This opponent (K. Lierse S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
K. Lierse S.K.
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.93
1.27
1.93
1.47
1.93
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (25)
1.48
1.92
1.33
1.92
1.62
1.92
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
1.67
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.4%
Under 1.5
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.8%
Under 2.5
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.6%
Under 3.5
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.8%
No
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.0%
1-2
6.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
4.9%
Patro Eisden goals ↓
K. Lierse S.K. goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.9%
4.3%
3.5%
1.6%
0.5%
1
6.4%
11%
6.7%
3.0%
1.0%
2
7.0%
9.5%
6.4%
2.9%
1.0%
3
4.4%
6.0%
4.0%
1.8%
0.6%
4
2.1%
2.8%
1.9%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Patro Eisden goals (down), columns = K. Lierse S.K. goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beerschot VA
1.87
Dender
1.80
Lommel United
1.76
Deinze
1.76
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
Patro Eisden
1.59
SK Beveren
1.50
Oostende
1.27
Club Brugge II
1.23
KRC Genk II
1.23
K. Lierse S.K.
1.17
RSC Anderlecht II
1.13
Francs Borains
1.07
Seraing United
0.93
Standard Liège II
0.57
Patro Eisden is 0.43 points better than K. Lierse S.K. in terms of average points per game (1.59 vs 1.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dender
1.83
Lommel United
1.65
Deinze
1.65
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
KRC Genk II
1.53
Beerschot VA
1.53
SK Beveren
1.47
K. Lierse S.K.
1.47
Club Brugge II
1.33
RSC Anderlecht II
1.30
Patro Eisden
1.28
Francs Borains
1.27
Seraing United
1.10
Oostende
1.07
Standard Liège II
0.83
Patro Eisden is 0.19 goals worse than K. Lierse S.K. in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beerschot VA
0.97
Lommel United
1.00
Patro Eisden
1.06
Dender
1.07
Zulte Waregem
1.12
Deinze
1.21
Oostende
1.30
SK Beveren
1.33
Liège
1.37
RSC Anderlecht II
1.57
Club Brugge II
1.63
Seraing United
1.70
Francs Borains
1.73
KRC Genk II
1.73
K. Lierse S.K.
1.97
Standard Liège II
2.00
Patro Eisden is 0.90 goals better than K. Lierse S.K. in terms of goals conceded per game (1.06 vs 1.97).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Beerschot VA
61%
Lommel United
59%
SK Beveren
55%
Club Brugge II
54%
Zulte Waregem
54%
RSC Anderlecht II
51%
KRC Genk II
50%
Deinze
49%
Dender
49%
K. Lierse S.K.
49%
Seraing United
47%
Francs Borains
46%
Standard Liège II
46%
Liège
45%
Oostende
44%
Patro Eisden
41%
Patro Eisden is 7.9 percentage points worse than K. Lierse S.K. in terms of average possession (41% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Patro Eisden
For 4.3 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 11.2 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
K. Lierse S.K.
For 4.8 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 12.2 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Patro Eisden
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (22)
8.6
9.0
8.1
4.0
4.2
3.7
27.2
26.9
27.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
8.6
9.5
7.7
3.5
3.5
3.4
26.7
26.8
26.5
vs Weaker (5)
8.6
8.0
9.5
5.6
6.0
5.0
28.4
27.0
30.5
% over line
24%
22%
25%
59%
55%
64%
76%
78%
75%
% under line
76%
78%
75%
41%
45%
36%
24%
22%
25%
This opponent (K. Lierse S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
K. Lierse S.K.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
11.0
11.6
1.9
2.1
1.7
26.3
25.9
26.8
vs Stronger (4)
10.0
-
10.0
1.0
0.0
2.0
20.0
-
20.0
vs Similar (39)
12.0
11.3
12.8
1.8
2.1
1.6
26.5
26.0
27.2
vs Weaker (7)
8.7
10.0
6.0
2.6
3.2
1.7
27.3
25.5
31.0
% over line
76%
78%
75%
24%
24%
24%
71%
67%
75%
% under line
24%
22%
25%
76%
76%
76%
29%
33%
25%
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Liège
12.5
Standard Liège II
11.8
Beerschot VA
11.4
Deinze
11.4
K. Lierse S.K.
11.3
Francs Borains
11.1
Seraing United
11.0
KRC Genk II
10.8
SK Beveren
10.7
Club Brugge II
10.6
RSC Anderlecht II
10.6
Zulte Waregem
10.2
Lommel United
9.9
Oostende
9.7
Dender
9.3
Patro Eisden
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
KRC Genk II
6.1
RSC Anderlecht II
5.6
Liège
5.6
K. Lierse S.K.
5.5
Standard Liège II
5.5
Francs Borains
5.5
Beerschot VA
5.4
Dender
5.2
Seraing United
5.1
Deinze
5.1
Patro Eisden
5.1
Lommel United
4.9
Oostende
4.8
Club Brugge II
4.2
Zulte Waregem
4.2
SK Beveren
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dender
28.8
Deinze
27.5
Patro Eisden
27.2
Francs Borains
27.1
Seraing United
27.0
KRC Genk II
26.7
Standard Liège II
26.7
K. Lierse S.K.
26.3
RSC Anderlecht II
25.9
Beerschot VA
25.7
Oostende
25.1
SK Beveren
24.7
Liège
24.3
Club Brugge II
23.9
Zulte Waregem
22.8
Lommel United
21.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
58.8%
Under 9.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
71.3%
Under 3.5
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
81.3%
Under 21.5
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Patro Eisden
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.55
0.27
0.73
0.36
0.36
0.18
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.53
0.29
0.62
0.38
0.44
0.22
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.20
1.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (K. Lierse S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
K. Lierse S.K.
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.97
0.53
0.80
0.73
1.13
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.92
0.58
0.83
0.85
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.67
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Patro Eisden over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Patro Eisden
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.64
0.91
0.82
0.55
0.45
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.71
0.62
0.88
0.56
0.56
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.40
1.67
0.67
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (K. Lierse S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
K. Lierse S.K.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.97
0.73
1.13
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.76
1.00
0.75
1.08
0.77
0.92
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Patro Eisden over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Patro Eisden
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marius Noubissi27%
Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson22%
Kevin Kis16%
Bafode Dansoko12%
Yacine Bentayeb11%
Lukas Van Eenoo8%
Anis Hadj Moussa8%
Simon Bammens7%
Theo Pierrot7%
Leslie Bamona Lubelu6%
Elisha Sam6%
Stef Peeters5%
Wouter Corstjens4%
Tom Pietermaat0%
Roman Ferber0%
Henk Dijkhuizen0%
Yassin Gueroui0%
Mehdi Bounou0%
Iebe Swers0%
Justin Heekeren0%
Jordan Renson0%
Jordi Belin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Stef Peeters43%
Henk Dijkhuizen33%
Tom Pietermaat30%
Wouter Corstjens26%
Leslie Bamona Lubelu25%
Lukas Van Eenoo23%
Yassin Gueroui23%
Iebe Swers21%
Theo Pierrot21%
Marius Noubissi18%
Mehdi Bounou18%
Kevin Kis16%
Simon Bammens14%
Jordan Renson12%
Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson11%
Justin Heekeren8%
Bafode Dansoko8%
Anis Hadj Moussa8%
Elisha Sam6%
Roman Ferber0%
Yacine Bentayeb0%
Jordi Belin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lukas Van Eenoo23%
Simon Bammens14%
Bafode Dansoko12%
Stef Peeters10%
Marius Noubissi9%
Kevin Kis8%
Leslie Bamona Lubelu6%
Elisha Sam6%
Tom Pietermaat4%
Jordan Renson4%
Roman Ferber0%
Wouter Corstjens0%
Yacine Bentayeb0%
Henk Dijkhuizen0%
Yassin Gueroui0%
Mehdi Bounou0%
Iebe Swers0%
Justin Heekeren0%
Theo Pierrot0%
Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson0%
Jordi Belin0%
Anis Hadj Moussa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roman Ferber33%
Stef Peeters29%
Bafode Dansoko28%
Lukas Van Eenoo23%
Marius Noubissi18%
Elisha Sam12%
Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson11%
Jordan Renson8%
Anis Hadj Moussa8%
Theo Pierrot7%
Kevin Kis4%
Tom Pietermaat0%
Wouter Corstjens0%
Yacine Bentayeb0%
Henk Dijkhuizen0%
Yassin Gueroui0%
Mehdi Bounou0%
Iebe Swers0%
Simon Bammens0%
Justin Heekeren0%
Leslie Bamona Lubelu0%
Jordi Belin0%
K. Lierse S.K.
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Obbi Oulare24%
Ousmane Sow23%
Eric Ocansey23%
Thibaut Van Acker21%
Maxim Kireev17%
Stan Van Dessel11%
Joeri Poelmans10%
Nils Schouterden9%
Viktor Boone8%
Luc Marijnissen7%
Alexandre De Bruyn6%
Jens Cools6%
Sebastiaan Brebels4%
Jens Teunckens0%
Aristote Nkaka0%
Mickael Tirpan0%
Jarno Libert0%
Glenn Claes0%
Daan Vekemans0%
Mehdi Tarfi0%
Aske Sampers0%
Sam Vanderhallen0%
Samih El Touile0%
Senda Mukandila0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mickael Tirpan36%
Aristote Nkaka33%
Sebastiaan Brebels30%
Joeri Poelmans25%
Ousmane Sow23%
Nils Schouterden22%
Luc Marijnissen21%
Stan Van Dessel21%
Viktor Boone21%
Obbi Oulare18%
Jens Cools17%
Sam Vanderhallen14%
Thibaut Van Acker12%
Alexandre De Bruyn11%
Aske Sampers11%
Jarno Libert9%
Mehdi Tarfi9%
Jens Teunckens9%
Maxim Kireev6%
Eric Ocansey0%
Glenn Claes0%
Daan Vekemans0%
Samih El Touile0%
Senda Mukandila0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Obbi Oulare24%
Nils Schouterden22%
Jarno Libert18%
Sebastiaan Brebels17%
Ousmane Sow15%
Thibaut Van Acker12%
Samih El Touile12%
Alexandre De Bruyn6%
Stan Van Dessel5%
Eric Ocansey5%
Jens Teunckens0%
Aristote Nkaka0%
Mickael Tirpan0%
Glenn Claes0%
Jens Cools0%
Joeri Poelmans0%
Daan Vekemans0%
Mehdi Tarfi0%
Viktor Boone0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Aske Sampers0%
Sam Vanderhallen0%
Maxim Kireev0%
Senda Mukandila0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Obbi Oulare41%
Ousmane Sow38%
Thibaut Van Acker21%
Stan Van Dessel5%
Nils Schouterden4%
Sebastiaan Brebels4%
Jens Teunckens0%
Alexandre De Bruyn0%
Eric Ocansey0%
Aristote Nkaka0%
Mickael Tirpan0%
Jarno Libert0%
Glenn Claes0%
Jens Cools0%
Joeri Poelmans0%
Daan Vekemans0%
Mehdi Tarfi0%
Viktor Boone0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Aske Sampers0%
Sam Vanderhallen0%
Maxim Kireev0%
Samih El Touile0%
Senda Mukandila0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (25)
€26m
ZW (27)
€20m
SB (24)
€12m
BV (26)
€9m
DEN (19)
€8m
RAI (19)
€8m
KGI (18)
€7m
PE (25)
€7m
KLS (21)
€5m
FB (22)
€4m
SU (15)
€3m
Patro Eisden's squad is €2m more valuable than K. Lierse S.K.'s (€7m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZW (10)
€8m
LU (10)
€8m
SB (9)
€4m
BV (13)
€4m
RAI (8)
€3m
KGI (9)
€2m
KLS (7)
€2m
FB (8)
€2m
DEN (4)
€1m
PE (7)
€1m
SU (4)
€1m
Patro Eisden and K. Lierse S.K. have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (5)
€15m
ZW (4)
€4m
DEN (6)
€3m
SB (5)
€3m
PE (7)
€2m
KGI (1)
€2m
RAI (3)
€2m
FB (5)
€1m
SU (3)
€1m
KLS (3)
€1m
BV (2)
€0m
Patro Eisden's midfield is €2m more valuable than K. Lierse S.K.'s (€2m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZW (13)
€9m
BV (11)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
DEN (9)
€4m
PE (11)
€3m
RAI (8)
€3m
KLS (11)
€3m
KGI (8)
€2m
FB (9)
€2m
SU (8)
€2m
Patro Eisden and K. Lierse S.K. have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →