This opponent (Nimes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nimes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.40
1.20
1.60
1.33
1.20
vs Stronger (13)
1.15
1.77
1.00
2.17
1.29
1.43
vs Similar (17)
1.35
1.12
1.33
1.22
1.38
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (PAU) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.3%
Under 1.5
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.8%
@ 2.05-3.2%
Under 2.5
57.2%
@ 1.75+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.0%
Under 3.5
78.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.1%
No
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
10.4%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.5%
PAU goals ↓
Nimes goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
7.5%
4.2%
1.3%
0.3%
1
12%
14%
6.0%
1.9%
0.5%
2
9.5%
9.0%
4.3%
1.4%
0.3%
3
4.5%
4.3%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.6%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = PAU goals (down), columns = Nimes goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Toulouse
2.08
Ajaccio
1.97
Auxerre
1.95
Paris FC
1.84
Sochaux
1.79
Guingamp
1.53
Le Havre
1.32
Caen
1.32
Nimes
1.29
PAU
1.29
Dijon
1.24
Niort
1.21
Bastia
1.21
Valenciennes
1.16
Amiens
1.16
Grenoble
1.16
Rodez
1.13
Rouen
1.05
Dunkerque
0.82
Nancy
0.71
PAU and Nimes are level in average points per game (both 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Toulouse
2.16
Auxerre
1.61
Paris FC
1.42
Guingamp
1.37
Caen
1.34
Dijon
1.26
Sochaux
1.24
Nimes
1.16
Amiens
1.13
PAU
1.08
Niort
1.03
Ajaccio
1.03
Le Havre
1.00
Bastia
1.00
Valenciennes
0.89
Rouen
0.87
Nancy
0.84
Rodez
0.84
Grenoble
0.84
Dunkerque
0.74
PAU is 0.08 goals worse than Nimes in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.16).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajaccio
0.50
Toulouse
0.87
Sochaux
0.89
Paris FC
0.92
Bastia
0.95
Auxerre
1.03
Le Havre
1.08
Amiens
1.08
Niort
1.11
Caen
1.11
Rodez
1.11
Grenoble
1.16
Valenciennes
1.24
Guingamp
1.26
PAU
1.29
Rouen
1.32
Nimes
1.34
Dunkerque
1.39
Dijon
1.39
Nancy
1.82
PAU is 0.05 goals better than Nimes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.34).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
PAU
For 3.8 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 13.5 · Total 25.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nimes
For 5.0 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 14.7 · Total 29.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
PAU
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
8.7
9.9
3.9
4.0
3.8
27.0
28.3
25.5
vs Stronger (9)
10.4
9.2
12.0
3.8
2.4
5.5
23.2
21.6
25.2
vs Similar (33)
9.2
8.8
9.6
4.1
4.8
3.3
27.5
29.5
25.3
vs Weaker (8)
8.5
7.8
9.2
3.5
3.0
4.0
29.1
32.0
26.2
% over line
50%
46%
54%
54%
58%
50%
90%
88%
92%
% under line
50%
54%
46%
46%
42%
50%
10%
12%
8%
This opponent (Nimes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nimes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.6
9.1
4.1
4.4
3.9
27.2
28.5
25.9
vs Stronger (30)
8.7
8.7
8.7
3.9
4.5
3.4
25.6
27.0
24.3
vs Similar (20)
10.2
10.6
9.8
4.5
4.3
4.7
29.6
30.4
28.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
42%
44%
40%
64%
68%
60%
82%
84%
80%
% under line
58%
56%
60%
36%
32%
40%
18%
16%
20%
This opponent (PAU) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rouen
9.7
Bastia
9.6
Toulouse
9.5
Auxerre
9.4
Nimes
9.3
PAU
9.3
Dijon
9.3
Niort
9.0
Valenciennes
9.0
Guingamp
8.9
Caen
8.8
Nancy
8.7
Paris FC
8.5
Amiens
8.5
Ajaccio
8.5
Sochaux
8.4
Grenoble
8.1
Dunkerque
7.8
Le Havre
7.7
Rodez
7.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Valenciennes
4.4
Toulouse
4.3
Guingamp
4.2
Grenoble
4.2
Dijon
4.2
Caen
4.1
Nimes
4.1
Rouen
4.1
Sochaux
4.1
Dunkerque
4.1
Rodez
4.0
Amiens
4.0
Ajaccio
4.0
PAU
3.9
Niort
3.9
Nancy
3.8
Bastia
3.8
Paris FC
3.7
Le Havre
3.7
Auxerre
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Valenciennes
31.8
Nancy
31.0
Dunkerque
30.7
Rouen
30.3
Guingamp
30.1
Toulouse
30.0
Rodez
30.0
Amiens
29.6
Niort
29.5
Caen
28.8
Ajaccio
28.4
Sochaux
27.6
Le Havre
27.5
Nimes
27.2
Grenoble
27.1
PAU
27.0
Dijon
26.8
Paris FC
26.8
Bastia
26.1
Auxerre
23.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
38.0%
Under 9.5
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
60.3%
Under 3.5
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
88.4%
Under 21.5
11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
PAU
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.53
0.69
0.31
0.14
0.79
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.33
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (20)
0.45
0.60
0.64
0.36
0.22
0.89
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Nimes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nimes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.60
0.60
0.73
0.47
0.47
vs Stronger (13)
0.31
0.85
0.17
1.00
0.43
0.71
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.41
0.89
0.56
0.50
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (PAU) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
PAU over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAU over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAU over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
PAU
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.60
1.12
0.44
0.64
0.79
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.83
0.33
0.00
1.33
1.67
vs Similar (20)
1.00
0.40
1.36
0.45
0.56
0.33
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
1.25
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Nimes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nimes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.80
0.60
0.87
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (13)
0.85
0.92
0.83
1.17
0.86
0.71
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.71
0.44
0.67
0.88
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (PAU) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
PAU over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAU over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAU over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
PAU · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Babacar Leye50%
Axel Bamba0%
Brice Maubleu0%
Jessy Benet0%
Lorenzo Rajot0%
Gaëtan Paquiez0%
Hacene Benali0%
Alexis Lefebvre0%
Tom Pouilly0%
Tom Saettel0%
Cheikh Fall0%
Luan Gadegbeku0%
Giovani Versini0%
Axel Dodote0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Axel Bamba50%
Gaëtan Paquiez50%
Tom Saettel33%
Giovani Versini33%
Lorenzo Rajot25%
Hacene Benali25%
Axel Dodote25%
Brice Maubleu0%
Jessy Benet0%
Alexis Lefebvre0%
Tom Pouilly0%
Cheikh Fall0%
Luan Gadegbeku0%
Babacar Leye0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jessy Benet25%
Lorenzo Rajot25%
Axel Bamba0%
Brice Maubleu0%
Gaëtan Paquiez0%
Hacene Benali0%
Alexis Lefebvre0%
Tom Pouilly0%
Tom Saettel0%
Cheikh Fall0%
Luan Gadegbeku0%
Babacar Leye0%
Giovani Versini0%
Axel Dodote0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cheikh Fall50%
Babacar Leye25%
Axel Bamba0%
Brice Maubleu0%
Jessy Benet0%
Lorenzo Rajot0%
Gaëtan Paquiez0%
Hacene Benali0%
Alexis Lefebvre0%
Tom Pouilly0%
Tom Saettel0%
Luan Gadegbeku0%
Giovani Versini0%
Axel Dodote0%
Nimes · 2022/23
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Malik Tchokounté29%
Rafiki Saïd27%
Moussa Koné17%
Nicolas Benezet10%
Pablo Pagis9%
Lys Mousset9%
Jens Jakob Thomasen9%
Guessouma Fofana8%
Elías Már Ómarsson8%
Jean N'Guessan6%
Lamine Fomba6%
Benoît Poulain5%
Thibault Vargas4%
Kelyan Guessoum3%
Yassine Benrahou0%
Joseph Lopy0%
Steve Ambri0%
Ronny Labonne0%
Lucas Dias0%
Patrick Burner0%
Maël Durand de Gevigney0%
Axel Maraval0%
Scotty Sadzoute0%
Mehdi Zerkane0%
Leon Delpech0%
Mahamadou Doucouré0%
Nasser Djiga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lamine Fomba33%
Guessouma Fofana25%
Yassine Benrahou22%
Steve Ambri21%
Jean N'Guessan20%
Nicolas Benezet19%
Nasser Djiga19%
Kelyan Guessoum17%
Maël Durand de Gevigney16%
Ronny Labonne12%
Mehdi Zerkane11%
Malik Tchokounté11%
Patrick Burner9%
Moussa Koné8%
Elías Már Ómarsson8%
Axel Maraval7%
Joseph Lopy6%
Benoît Poulain5%
Jens Jakob Thomasen4%
Thibault Vargas4%
Pablo Pagis3%
Lys Mousset0%
Lucas Dias0%
Scotty Sadzoute0%
Leon Delpech0%
Rafiki Saïd0%
Mahamadou Doucouré0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mahamadou Doucouré33%
Joseph Lopy19%
Lys Mousset18%
Thibault Vargas12%
Yassine Benrahou11%
Mehdi Zerkane11%
Malik Tchokounté11%
Rafiki Saïd10%
Pablo Pagis9%
Jens Jakob Thomasen9%
Elías Már Ómarsson8%
Steve Ambri7%
Jean N'Guessan6%
Lamine Fomba6%
Nicolas Benezet5%
Kelyan Guessoum3%
Ronny Labonne3%
Patrick Burner3%
Benoît Poulain0%
Lucas Dias0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Maël Durand de Gevigney0%
Axel Maraval0%
Moussa Koné0%
Scotty Sadzoute0%
Leon Delpech0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pablo Pagis22%
Elías Már Ómarsson17%
Malik Tchokounté13%
Yassine Benrahou11%
Lys Mousset9%
Moussa Koné8%
Rafiki Saïd7%
Jean N'Guessan6%
Thibault Vargas4%
Ronny Labonne3%
Benoît Poulain0%
Jens Jakob Thomasen0%
Joseph Lopy0%
Lamine Fomba0%
Steve Ambri0%
Lucas Dias0%
Kelyan Guessoum0%
Nicolas Benezet0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Patrick Burner0%
Maël Durand de Gevigney0%
Axel Maraval0%
Scotty Sadzoute0%
Mehdi Zerkane0%
Leon Delpech0%
Mahamadou Doucouré0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Toulouse
Ajaccio
Auxerre
Paris FC
Sochaux
Guingamp
Caen
Le Havre
Dijon
Bastia
Niort
Amiens
Grenoble
Valenciennes
Rodez
Rouen
Dunkerque
Nancy