This opponent (Albacete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Albacete
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.20
1.60
0.93
1.33
1.47
vs Stronger (7)
1.29
1.71
1.50
1.75
1.00
1.67
vs Similar (21)
1.24
1.14
1.40
0.70
1.09
1.55
vs Weaker (2)
4.50
0.00
4.00
0.00
5.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Ponferradina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.5%
Under 1.5
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.1%
@ 2.11+3.3%
Under 2.5
51.9%
@ 1.71-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.3%
Under 3.5
73.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.8%
No
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.7%
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
0-0
8.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.4%
2-0
5.3%
Ponferradina goals ↓
Albacete goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.7%
9.3%
7.4%
3.5%
1.2%
1
7.6%
14%
8.8%
4.1%
1.5%
2
5.3%
7.4%
5.2%
2.5%
0.9%
3
2.1%
2.9%
2.1%
1.0%
0.3%
4
0.6%
0.9%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ponferradina goals (down), columns = Albacete goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Granada CF
1.79
Levante
1.72
Alaves
1.72
Las Palmas
1.71
Eibar
1.64
Albacete
1.52
FC Andorra
1.40
Oviedo
1.40
FC Cartagena
1.38
Tenerife
1.36
Burgos
1.29
Racing Santander
1.29
Leganes
1.26
Zaragoza
1.26
Huesca
1.24
Mirandes
1.24
Villarreal II
1.19
Sporting Gijon
1.19
Malaga
1.05
Ponferradina
1.05
Ibiza
0.81
Lugo
0.74
Ponferradina is 0.48 points worse than Albacete in terms of average points per game (1.05 vs 1.52).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Albacete
1.34
Granada CF
1.31
Villarreal II
1.17
Las Palmas
1.17
Mirandes
1.14
Levante
1.13
FC Andorra
1.12
FC Cartagena
1.12
Alaves
1.11
Eibar
1.05
Sporting Gijon
1.02
Tenerife
1.00
Ponferradina
0.95
Zaragoza
0.95
Racing Santander
0.93
Malaga
0.88
Leganes
0.88
Huesca
0.86
Oviedo
0.81
Burgos
0.79
Ibiza
0.79
Lugo
0.64
Ponferradina is 0.39 goals worse than Albacete in terms of goals scored per game (0.95 vs 1.34).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Las Palmas
0.69
Levante
0.70
Granada CF
0.71
Alaves
0.74
Burgos
0.83
Oviedo
0.83
Huesca
0.86
Tenerife
0.88
FC Andorra
0.88
Eibar
0.89
Zaragoza
0.93
Racing Santander
0.95
Leganes
1.00
Malaga
1.05
Sporting Gijon
1.14
FC Cartagena
1.17
Albacete
1.20
Ponferradina
1.26
Mirandes
1.29
Villarreal II
1.31
Lugo
1.36
Ibiza
1.57
Ponferradina is 0.06 goals worse than Albacete in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ponferradina
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Albacete
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Ponferradina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.8
9.8
0.9
1.2
0.7
22.5
22.8
22.2
vs Stronger (26)
11.6
12.7
10.0
0.8
1.4
0.2
22.8
23.0
22.5
vs Similar (24)
8.0
5.5
9.7
1.0
0.8
1.2
22.2
22.5
22.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
30%
20%
40%
10%
12%
8%
80%
100%
60%
% under line
70%
80%
60%
90%
88%
92%
20%
0%
40%
This opponent (Albacete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Albacete
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.4
7.0
7.8
1.1
0.8
1.3
28.1
29.2
27.0
vs Stronger (12)
8.5
8.0
8.7
2.2
0.8
3.1
26.5
27.0
26.3
vs Similar (36)
6.7
6.8
6.5
0.8
0.9
0.6
29.2
29.8
28.0
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
20%
20%
20%
14%
12%
16%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
80%
80%
80%
86%
88%
84%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Ponferradina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mirandes
9.9
Huesca
9.9
Alaves
9.9
Ibiza
9.7
Zaragoza
9.6
Granada CF
9.3
Ponferradina
9.3
Eibar
9.2
Sporting Gijon
9.2
Malaga
9.2
Burgos
9.2
Lugo
9.1
Levante
9.0
Racing Santander
8.8
Oviedo
8.8
Tenerife
8.7
Las Palmas
8.7
Leganes
8.6
FC Cartagena
8.5
Albacete
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Racing Santander
6.0
Granada CF
5.6
Malaga
5.6
Albacete
5.5
Las Palmas
5.4
Levante
5.4
Tenerife
5.3
Zaragoza
5.1
Oviedo
5.0
FC Cartagena
4.9
Mirandes
4.9
Leganes
4.9
Huesca
4.8
Ponferradina
4.8
Alaves
4.7
Sporting Gijon
4.7
Lugo
4.6
Eibar
4.3
Ibiza
4.2
Burgos
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
33.9
Las Palmas
30.7
Leganes
30.0
Albacete
29.4
FC Cartagena
28.9
Ibiza
28.1
Huesca
28.1
Malaga
28.0
Tenerife
28.0
Lugo
27.7
Oviedo
27.2
Alaves
26.7
Zaragoza
26.6
Granada CF
25.9
Mirandes
25.6
Levante
25.3
Burgos
24.6
Eibar
24.6
Ponferradina
24.4
Sporting Gijon
24.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
45.2%
Under 9.5
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
74.1%
Under 3.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
81.7%
Under 21.5
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ponferradina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.47
0.27
0.40
0.27
0.53
vs Stronger (17)
0.35
0.29
0.25
0.25
0.44
0.33
vs Similar (13)
0.15
0.69
0.29
0.57
0.00
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Albacete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Albacete
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.53
0.93
0.33
0.60
0.73
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
0.57
1.00
0.25
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.57
0.70
0.40
0.45
0.73
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
0.00
3.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Ponferradina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ponferradina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albacete over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albacete over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albacete over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ponferradina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.70
0.47
0.60
0.47
0.80
vs Stronger (17)
0.47
0.82
0.50
0.50
0.44
1.11
vs Similar (13)
0.46
0.54
0.43
0.71
0.50
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Albacete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Albacete
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.67
0.67
0.60
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.14
0.50
1.50
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.57
0.70
0.30
0.64
0.82
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Ponferradina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ponferradina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albacete over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albacete over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albacete over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ponferradina
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yuri19%
Eduardo Espiau12%
Daniel Ojeda11%
Hugo Vallejo10%
José Naranjo8%
Derik Lacerda8%
Naim García6%
Adrián Castellano6%
Alejandro Díez Salomón6%
José Amo6%
Alexandru Paşcanu6%
Agus Medina3%
Kelechi Nwakali3%
Jordan Lukaku0%
Amir Abedzadeh0%
Heriberto Tavares0%
Giorgi Makaridze0%
Erik Morán0%
Moises Delgado0%
Adrián Diéguez0%
Paris Barandiaran0%
Soufiane Chakla0%
Miguel San Román0%
Sabit Abdulai0%
Aldair0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
José Amo38%
Kelechi Nwakali31%
Agus Medina30%
Adrián Diéguez30%
Adrián Castellano29%
Jordan Lukaku29%
Paris Barandiaran28%
Alexandru Paşcanu28%
Erik Morán24%
Daniel Ojeda22%
Heriberto Tavares21%
Derik Lacerda21%
Sabit Abdulai21%
José Naranjo19%
Naim García19%
Eduardo Espiau18%
Amir Abedzadeh17%
Moises Delgado15%
Giorgi Makaridze14%
Hugo Vallejo14%
Aldair12%
Alejandro Díez Salomón6%
Yuri3%
Soufiane Chakla0%
Miguel San Román0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Ojeda14%
Naim García12%
Kelechi Nwakali8%
Alexandru Paşcanu8%
Derik Lacerda8%
Moises Delgado6%
José Naranjo6%
Paris Barandiaran6%
Heriberto Tavares5%
Sabit Abdulai5%
Hugo Vallejo3%
Adrián Diéguez3%
Agus Medina3%
Yuri3%
Jordan Lukaku0%
Amir Abedzadeh0%
Giorgi Makaridze0%
Adrián Castellano0%
Erik Morán0%
Alejandro Díez Salomón0%
José Amo0%
Soufiane Chakla0%
Miguel San Román0%
Eduardo Espiau0%
Aldair0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Naim García19%
José Naranjo14%
Daniel Ojeda14%
Kelechi Nwakali6%
Yuri5%
Derik Lacerda5%
Eduardo Espiau5%
Jordan Lukaku0%
Amir Abedzadeh0%
Heriberto Tavares0%
Giorgi Makaridze0%
Adrián Castellano0%
Erik Morán0%
Hugo Vallejo0%
Alejandro Díez Salomón0%
Moises Delgado0%
Adrián Diéguez0%
José Amo0%
Paris Barandiaran0%
Soufiane Chakla0%
Agus Medina0%
Miguel San Román0%
Alexandru Paşcanu0%
Sabit Abdulai0%
Aldair0%
Albacete
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Higinio Marín29%
Jonathan Dubasin22%
Maikel Mesa21%
Manuel Fuster19%
Andy Kawaya14%
Álvaro Rodríguez14%
Jovanny Bolívar12%
Juanma García10%
Lander Olaetxea7%
Dani Escriche7%
Mohammed Djetei6%
Carlos Isaac6%
Juan María Alcedo4%
Fran Álvarez4%
Riki Rodríguez3%
Flavien Boyomo3%
Julio Alonso0%
Javi Martínez0%
Bernabé Barragán0%
Cristian Glauder0%
Rubén Martínez0%
Sergio Maestre0%
Diego Altube0%
Juan Antonio Ros0%
Dani González0%
Rodrigo Alonso0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rodrigo Alonso30%
Riki Rodríguez28%
Flavien Boyomo26%
Lander Olaetxea24%
Cristian Glauder23%
Juan María Alcedo22%
Higinio Marín21%
Bernabé Barragán19%
Julio Alonso18%
Jonathan Dubasin15%
Javi Martínez14%
Dani Escriche14%
Álvaro Rodríguez14%
Maikel Mesa13%
Carlos Isaac12%
Manuel Fuster10%
Mohammed Djetei9%
Rubén Martínez8%
Fran Álvarez8%
Sergio Maestre7%
Juanma García3%
Jovanny Bolívar0%
Andy Kawaya0%
Diego Altube0%
Juan Antonio Ros0%
Dani González0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Manuel Fuster17%
Dani Escriche14%
Andy Kawaya14%
Jovanny Bolívar12%
Jonathan Dubasin12%
Juanma García10%
Álvaro Rodríguez8%
Julio Alonso8%
Maikel Mesa8%
Sergio Maestre7%
Carlos Isaac6%
Flavien Boyomo5%
Lander Olaetxea5%
Juan María Alcedo4%
Fran Álvarez4%
Cristian Glauder3%
Higinio Marín3%
Riki Rodríguez3%
Javi Martínez0%
Bernabé Barragán0%
Mohammed Djetei0%
Rubén Martínez0%
Diego Altube0%
Juan Antonio Ros0%
Dani González0%
Rodrigo Alonso0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jovanny Bolívar38%
Manuel Fuster21%
Higinio Marín18%
Jonathan Dubasin15%
Dani Escriche14%
Maikel Mesa10%
Fran Álvarez8%
Juanma García6%
Álvaro Rodríguez5%
Lander Olaetxea5%
Mohammed Djetei3%
Riki Rodríguez3%
Carlos Isaac0%
Julio Alonso0%
Javi Martínez0%
Bernabé Barragán0%
Andy Kawaya0%
Cristian Glauder0%
Rubén Martínez0%
Sergio Maestre0%
Diego Altube0%
Juan Antonio Ros0%
Flavien Boyomo0%
Juan María Alcedo0%
Dani González0%
Rodrigo Alonso0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →