This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Millwall
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.20
1.13
1.13
0.73
1.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.96
1.19
1.14
1.14
0.77
1.23
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.33
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Portsmouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.4%
Under 1.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.7%
Under 2.5
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.2%
Under 3.5
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.1%
No
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.2%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.3%
0-1 ✓
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
4.9%
Portsmouth goals ↓
Millwall goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.1%
7.3%
4.7%
1.7%
0.5%
1
10%
14%
6.8%
2.5%
0.7%
2
8.3%
9.1%
4.9%
1.8%
0.5%
3
4.0%
4.4%
2.4%
0.9%
0.2%
4
1.5%
1.6%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Portsmouth goals (down), columns = Millwall goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Newcastle
2.71
Sheffield Weds
2.50
Tottenham
2.40
Fleetwood Town
2.33
Crystal Palace
2.25
Blackpool
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Everton
2.00
Fulham
2.00
Brighton
2.00
Coventry
2.00
Derby
2.00
Wycombe
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Watford
2.00
Liverpool
2.00
Arsenal
1.80
Stoke
1.75
Brentford
1.75
Southampton
1.75
Preston
1.75
Walsall
1.67
Birmingham
1.50
Tranmere
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Cardiff
1.50
Sheffield United
1.50
Doncaster
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Oxford
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Crawley Town
1.50
Harrogate
1.50
Chelsea
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
West Ham
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Millwall
1.50
Norwich
1.50
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Leicester
1.33
Barrow
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Barnsley
1.33
Notts County
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Reading
1.00
Grimsby
0.50
Shrewsbury
0.50
Colchester
0.50
Bournemouth
0.00
Swindon
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Salford
0.00
Stockport
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Burton
0.00
Stevenage
0.00
Crewe
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Bristol City
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Lincoln
0.00
West Brom
0.00
Wrexham
0.00
Carlisle
0.00
Gillingham
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Cambridge
0.00
Port Vale
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Hull
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Bromley
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Newport County
0.00
Morecambe
0.00
Accrington
0.00
Portsmouth is 1.50 points worse than Millwall in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester United
5.00
Blackburn
3.50
Notts County
3.00
Stevenage
3.00
Brighton
3.00
Watford
2.67
Stoke
2.50
Cardiff
2.50
Crystal Palace
2.50
Southampton
2.50
Chelsea
2.50
Huddersfield
2.50
Liverpool
2.50
Sheffield Weds
2.25
Arsenal
2.20
Swindon
2.00
Blackpool
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Sheffield United
2.00
Everton
2.00
Wrexham
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Port Vale
2.00
Crawley Town
2.00
Reading
2.00
Norwich
2.00
Preston
2.00
Newcastle
1.86
Tottenham
1.80
Fleetwood Town
1.67
Tranmere
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Fulham
1.50
Brentford
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Shrewsbury
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Wycombe
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Walsall
1.33
Stockport
1.00
Crewe
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Lincoln
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Doncaster
1.00
Grimsby
1.00
Coventry
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Oxford
1.00
Cambridge
1.00
Chesterfield
1.00
Barrow
1.00
Hull
1.00
Derby
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Newport County
1.00
Harrogate
1.00
Colchester
1.00
West Ham
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Barnsley
0.67
Birmingham
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Bournemouth
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Salford
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Burton
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Bristol City
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Carlisle
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Morecambe
0.00
Accrington
0.00
Portsmouth is 0.50 goals worse than Millwall in terms of goals scored per game (0.00 vs 0.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.43
Everton
0.50
Fulham
0.50
Oxford
0.50
Derby
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Blackpool
0.67
Coventry
0.67
Wycombe
0.67
Watford
0.67
Sheffield Weds
0.75
Bournemouth
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Portsmouth
1.00
Stoke
1.00
Fleetwood Town
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Bristol City
1.00
Swansea
1.00
Charlton
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Plymouth
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Chelsea
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Preston
1.00
Walsall
1.00
Liverpool
1.17
Brentford
1.25
Crystal Palace
1.25
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Leyton Orient
1.33
Arsenal
1.40
Sheffield United
1.50
Doncaster
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Colchester
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Leicester
1.67
Brighton
1.67
Tottenham
1.80
Tranmere
2.00
Salford
2.00
Crewe
2.00
Peterboro
2.00
Lincoln
2.00
West Brom
2.00
Carlisle
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Northampton
2.00
Cambridge
2.00
Chesterfield
2.00
Burnley
2.00
Hull
2.00
Bristol Rvs
2.00
Bromley
2.00
Sunderland
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Southampton
2.00
Bolton
2.00
Reading
2.00
Barrow
2.33
Cardiff
2.50
Shrewsbury
2.50
Middlesbrough
2.50
West Ham
2.50
Barnsley
2.67
Leeds
3.00
Notts County
3.00
Grimsby
3.00
Gillingham
3.00
Port Vale
3.00
Cheltenham
3.00
Crawley Town
3.00
Harrogate
3.00
Morecambe
3.00
Accrington
3.00
Norwich
3.50
Swindon
4.00
Burton
4.00
Stevenage
4.00
Wrexham
4.00
Newport County
4.00
Milton Keynes Dons
5.00
Stockport
6.00
Portsmouth is 0.50 goals worse than Millwall in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Portsmouth
For 3.5 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 14.0 · Total 28.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Millwall
For 5.4 · Against 7.1 · Total 12.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 8.6 · Total 20.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Portsmouth
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.3
9.6
4.8
4.9
4.8
24.8
25.2
24.4
vs Stronger (1)
12.0
-
12.0
6.0
-
6.0
40.0
-
40.0
vs Similar (24)
9.8
10.5
9.2
4.4
4.7
4.2
24.3
24.1
24.6
vs Weaker (25)
10.0
10.1
9.8
5.2
5.1
5.3
24.6
26.2
22.8
% over line
54%
56%
52%
66%
72%
60%
74%
80%
68%
% under line
46%
44%
48%
34%
28%
40%
26%
20%
32%
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Millwall
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.1
10.1
4.1
4.0
4.3
22.2
22.4
21.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (44)
10.2
10.4
9.9
4.2
4.1
4.2
21.8
22.1
21.6
vs Weaker (6)
9.5
6.5
11.0
3.8
2.0
4.8
24.5
26.0
23.8
% over line
50%
52%
48%
62%
64%
60%
56%
68%
44%
% under line
50%
48%
52%
38%
36%
40%
44%
32%
56%
This opponent (Portsmouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Manchester United
12.6
Plymouth
12.4
Tottenham
12.0
Bromley
12.0
Tranmere
11.8
Fleetwood Town
11.7
Bournemouth
11.6
Coventry
11.6
Exeter
11.4
Southampton
11.3
Everton
11.3
Derby
11.3
Blackburn
11.3
Peterboro
11.3
Liverpool
11.3
Wrexham
11.2
Grimsby
11.2
Huddersfield
11.1
Middlesbrough
11.1
QPR
11.0
Stoke
11.0
Port Vale
11.0
Luton
10.9
Harrogate
10.8
Charlton
10.8
Notts County
10.8
Bolton
10.8
West Brom
10.8
Morecambe
10.7
Leeds
10.7
Crewe
10.6
Sheffield United
10.6
Wycombe
10.6
Fulham
10.6
Brentford
10.5
Mansfield
10.5
Birmingham
10.5
Bristol Rvs
10.5
Sheffield Weds
10.5
Burnley
10.5
Walsall
10.5
Reading
10.5
Norwich
10.5
Bristol City
10.5
Barnsley
10.5
Hull
10.5
Colchester
10.4
Sunderland
10.4
Crawley Town
10.4
Newcastle
10.4
Shrewsbury
10.4
Rotherham
10.4
Manchester City
10.4
Swansea
10.3
Wolves
10.3
Swindon
10.3
Nottingham Forest
10.3
Accrington
10.3
Oxford
10.3
Ipswich
10.3
Leyton Orient
10.2
Chelsea
10.2
Doncaster
10.1
Millwall
10.1
Bradford
10.1
Gillingham
10.0
West Ham
10.0
Crystal Palace
10.0
Stevenage
10.0
Newport County
10.0
Cheltenham
10.0
Watford
9.9
Portsmouth
9.9
Carlisle
9.8
Aston Villa
9.8
Leicester
9.7
Cambridge
9.7
Salford
9.7
Blackpool
9.7
Milton Keynes Dons
9.6
Cardiff
9.6
AFC Wimbledon
9.5
Brighton
9.5
Barrow
9.4
Lincoln
9.4
Preston
9.4
Arsenal
9.3
Stockport
9.3
Wigan
9.3
Northampton
9.2
Burton
8.8
Chesterfield
5.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Wigan
5.2
Brighton
5.2
Wolves
4.9
Chelsea
4.9
Aston Villa
4.9
Portsmouth
4.8
Sunderland
4.8
Tottenham
4.8
Southampton
4.7
Lincoln
4.6
Newcastle
4.5
Bristol Rvs
4.5
Colchester
4.5
Doncaster
4.5
Crawley Town
4.5
Crewe
4.5
Salford
4.5
Bradford
4.4
Morecambe
4.4
AFC Wimbledon
4.4
Notts County
4.4
Milton Keynes Dons
4.4
Coventry
4.3
Bolton
4.3
Exeter
4.3
Sheffield Weds
4.3
Stevenage
4.3
Watford
4.3
QPR
4.3
Oxford
4.2
Manchester United
4.2
Leicester
4.2
Leeds
4.2
Stoke
4.2
Blackpool
4.2
Burnley
4.2
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Hull
4.1
Millwall
4.1
Fleetwood Town
4.1
Cheltenham
4.1
West Ham
4.1
Liverpool
4.1
Charlton
4.1
Blackburn
4.1
Cambridge
4.0
Swansea
4.0
Barnsley
4.0
Barrow
4.0
Brentford
4.0
Bournemouth
4.0
Chesterfield
4.0
Shrewsbury
4.0
Gillingham
4.0
Port Vale
4.0
Crystal Palace
4.0
Norwich
3.9
Ipswich
3.9
Plymouth
3.9
Mansfield
3.9
Tranmere
3.9
Walsall
3.9
Wycombe
3.9
Leyton Orient
3.8
Sheffield United
3.8
Accrington
3.8
Luton
3.8
Burton
3.8
Swindon
3.8
Birmingham
3.8
Middlesbrough
3.8
Everton
3.8
Wrexham
3.7
Huddersfield
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Reading
3.7
Arsenal
3.7
Fulham
3.7
Derby
3.6
Stockport
3.6
Bromley
3.6
Preston
3.5
Peterboro
3.5
Carlisle
3.4
Cardiff
3.4
West Brom
3.4
Northampton
3.4
Newport County
3.4
Grimsby
3.3
Harrogate
3.2
Bristol City
3.2
Rotherham
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Stevenage
25.1
Portsmouth
24.8
Accrington
24.7
Wigan
24.4
Tottenham
24.2
Wolves
23.8
Luton
23.7
Crystal Palace
23.7
Watford
23.6
Bolton
23.5
Cheltenham
23.5
Birmingham
23.4
Chelsea
23.3
Brighton
23.2
Aston Villa
23.2
Sunderland
23.2
Salford
23.1
Newcastle
23.1
Milton Keynes Dons
23.0
Cambridge
23.0
Coventry
23.0
Ipswich
22.9
Doncaster
22.9
AFC Wimbledon
22.9
Grimsby
22.8
Bournemouth
22.8
Bristol Rvs
22.8
Bradford
22.8
Leeds
22.7
Hull
22.6
Stockport
22.5
Sheffield Weds
22.5
Swansea
22.5
QPR
22.4
Blackpool
22.4
Huddersfield
22.4
Lincoln
22.3
Preston
22.3
Liverpool
22.2
Millwall
22.2
Southampton
22.1
Stoke
22.0
Fleetwood Town
22.0
Plymouth
22.0
Bromley
22.0
Barrow
22.0
Crewe
21.8
Burton
21.8
Everton
21.7
Shrewsbury
21.7
Nottingham Forest
21.7
Oxford
21.7
Arsenal
21.7
Newport County
21.6
Reading
21.5
Middlesbrough
21.5
Exeter
21.5
Derby
21.4
Brentford
21.3
Burnley
21.2
Leicester
21.2
Wycombe
21.2
Walsall
21.2
Mansfield
21.2
Crawley Town
21.1
Norwich
21.1
Colchester
21.1
Chesterfield
21.0
Gillingham
21.0
Swindon
20.9
Fulham
20.9
West Ham
20.9
Morecambe
20.9
Rotherham
20.9
Charlton
20.8
Port Vale
20.8
Leyton Orient
20.5
Wrexham
20.4
Barnsley
20.3
Bristol City
20.3
Northampton
20.1
Carlisle
20.1
Sheffield United
20.1
Peterboro
19.9
Harrogate
19.9
Tranmere
19.8
Manchester United
19.8
Cardiff
19.7
Blackburn
19.6
Notts County
19.5
Manchester City
19.2
West Brom
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.5%
Under 9.5
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
70.3%
Under 3.5
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
79.3%
Under 21.5
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Portsmouth or Draw✗ Miss
73.0%
Avg Implied -
44%
29%
27%
covers Portsmouth + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Portsmouth or Millwall✓ Hit
71.3%
Avg Implied -
44%
29%
27%
covers Portsmouth + Millwall
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Millwall✓ Hit
55.7%
Avg Implied -
44%
29%
27%
covers Draw + Millwall
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Portsmouth over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
76.7%
Under
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portsmouth over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
42.7%
Under
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portsmouth over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.0%
Under
82.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portsmouth over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.0%
Under
94.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
66.3%
Under
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
29.7%
Under
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.7%
Under
90.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Portsmouth, so a minus line means Portsmouth give that many goals of a start and Millwall receive them. At -1, Portsmouth must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Portsmouth win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Portsmouth)Actual: Millwall
Portsmouth -2
8.6%
Draw -2
13.7%
Millwall +2
77.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Portsmouth)Actual: Millwall
Portsmouth -1
22.3%
Draw -1
22.0%
Millwall +1
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Portsmouth)Actual: Draw
Portsmouth +1
73.0%
Draw +1
16.1%
Millwall -1
10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Portsmouth)Actual: Portsmouth
Portsmouth +2
89.1%
Draw +2
7.6%
Millwall -2
3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Portsmouth
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.50
1.08
0.85
0.59
0.24
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.54
0.85
0.67
1.33
0.43
0.43
vs Weaker (16)
0.94
0.19
1.43
0.43
0.56
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Millwall
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.53
0.60
0.60
0.27
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.48
0.59
0.64
0.64
0.31
0.54
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Portsmouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Portsmouth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portsmouth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portsmouth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Portsmouth
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.43
1.15
0.46
0.88
0.41
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (13)
0.92
0.23
1.00
0.33
0.86
0.14
vs Weaker (16)
1.06
0.50
1.29
0.57
0.89
0.44
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Millwall
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.67
0.53
0.53
0.47
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.48
0.59
0.50
0.50
0.46
0.69
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.33
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Portsmouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Portsmouth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portsmouth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portsmouth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Portsmouth
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Colby Bishop28%
Mark O'Mahony23%
Thomas Waddingham20%
Callum Lang18%
Josh Murphy17%
Conor Shaughnessy11%
Matt Ritchie10%
Connor Ogilvie9%
Adil Aouchiche8%
Harvey Blair8%
Elias Sørensen8%
Ryley Towler8%
Robert Atkinson7%
Christian Saydee7%
Andre Dozzell5%
Paddy Lane4%
Regan Poole4%
Zak Swanson3%
Freddie Potts3%
Nicolas Schmid0%
Will Norris0%
Isaac Hayden0%
Marlon Pack0%
Tom McIntyre0%
Jordan Williams0%
Cohen Bramall0%
Owen Moxon0%
Samuel Silvera0%
Terry Devlin0%
Kusini Yengi0%
Abdoulaye Kamara0%
Kaide Gordon0%
Hayden Matthews0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Callum Lang30%
Robert Atkinson29%
Jordan Williams29%
Andre Dozzell28%
Tom McIntyre25%
Owen Moxon25%
Harvey Blair25%
Ryley Towler23%
Will Norris22%
Conor Shaughnessy22%
Abdoulaye Kamara20%
Thomas Waddingham20%
Marlon Pack20%
Freddie Potts19%
Regan Poole19%
Matt Ritchie18%
Cohen Bramall17%
Adil Aouchiche17%
Christian Saydee17%
Zak Swanson16%
Josh Murphy14%
Kusini Yengi14%
Isaac Hayden12%
Connor Ogilvie11%
Colby Bishop9%
Paddy Lane9%
Mark O'Mahony8%
Terry Devlin6%
Nicolas Schmid3%
Samuel Silvera0%
Elias Sørensen0%
Kaide Gordon0%
Hayden Matthews0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Josh Murphy29%
Freddie Potts11%
Colby Bishop9%
Adil Aouchiche8%
Robert Atkinson7%
Callum Lang6%
Nicolas Schmid6%
Marlon Pack5%
Paddy Lane4%
Zak Swanson3%
Terry Devlin3%
Matt Ritchie2%
Andre Dozzell2%
Connor Ogilvie2%
Regan Poole0%
Will Norris0%
Isaac Hayden0%
Tom McIntyre0%
Jordan Williams0%
Conor Shaughnessy0%
Cohen Bramall0%
Owen Moxon0%
Samuel Silvera0%
Elias Sørensen0%
Kusini Yengi0%
Abdoulaye Kamara0%
Christian Saydee0%
Ryley Towler0%
Harvey Blair0%
Kaide Gordon0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Thomas Waddingham0%
Hayden Matthews0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Josh Murphy19%
Colby Bishop19%
Callum Lang15%
Samuel Silvera8%
Adil Aouchiche8%
Elias Sørensen8%
Ryley Towler8%
Mark O'Mahony8%
Matt Ritchie8%
Robert Atkinson7%
Paddy Lane4%
Connor Ogilvie2%
Nicolas Schmid0%
Regan Poole0%
Will Norris0%
Isaac Hayden0%
Marlon Pack0%
Tom McIntyre0%
Andre Dozzell0%
Jordan Williams0%
Conor Shaughnessy0%
Cohen Bramall0%
Owen Moxon0%
Terry Devlin0%
Zak Swanson0%
Kusini Yengi0%
Abdoulaye Kamara0%
Christian Saydee0%
Harvey Blair0%
Freddie Potts0%
Kaide Gordon0%
Thomas Waddingham0%
Hayden Matthews0%
Millwall
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mihailo Ivanović28%
Calum Scanlon25%
Josh Coburn24%
Romain Esse19%
Camiel Neghli17%
Duncan Watmore14%
Wes Harding12%
Femi Azeez8%
Casper De Norre8%
Tom Bradshaw8%
Raees Bangura-Williams8%
Jake Cooper8%
Aaron Connolly7%
Luke Cundle6%
Japhet Tanganga5%
George Honeyman4%
Ryan Wintle4%
Macaulay Langstaff3%
Joe Bryan2%
George Saville2%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Liam Roberts0%
Lukas Jensen0%
Tristan Crama0%
Aidomo Emakhu0%
Zak Sturge0%
Daniel Kelly0%
George Evans0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Raees Bangura-Williams23%
Aaron Connolly21%
Ryan Leonard19%
Japhet Tanganga19%
Joe Bryan18%
Liam Roberts17%
George Saville16%
George Honeyman16%
Romain Esse15%
Danny McNamara13%
Ryan Wintle13%
Wes Harding12%
Jake Cooper12%
Casper De Norre12%
Luke Cundle11%
Aidomo Emakhu11%
Femi Azeez11%
Shaun Hutchinson9%
Murray Wallace8%
Tristan Crama5%
Mihailo Ivanović5%
Billy Mitchell5%
Lukas Jensen2%
Tom Bradshaw0%
Duncan Watmore0%
Macaulay Langstaff0%
Josh Coburn0%
Zak Sturge0%
Camiel Neghli0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Daniel Kelly0%
George Evans0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Raees Bangura-Williams23%
George Honeyman13%
Femi Azeez13%
Tristan Crama10%
Casper De Norre10%
Aidomo Emakhu7%
Joe Bryan7%
Macaulay Langstaff6%
Billy Mitchell5%
George Saville4%
Romain Esse4%
Duncan Watmore3%
Ryan Leonard3%
Jake Cooper2%
Ryan Wintle0%
Wes Harding0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Danny McNamara0%
Tom Bradshaw0%
Aaron Connolly0%
Liam Roberts0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Luke Cundle0%
Lukas Jensen0%
Josh Coburn0%
Zak Sturge0%
Camiel Neghli0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Mihailo Ivanović0%
George Evans0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mihailo Ivanović18%
Camiel Neghli17%
Femi Azeez16%
Josh Coburn10%
Tom Bradshaw8%
Jake Cooper8%
Japhet Tanganga7%
Duncan Watmore7%
Romain Esse4%
George Honeyman2%
Casper De Norre2%
Ryan Wintle0%
Joe Bryan0%
George Saville0%
Wes Harding0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Aaron Connolly0%
Liam Roberts0%
Macaulay Langstaff0%
Luke Cundle0%
Lukas Jensen0%
Tristan Crama0%
Aidomo Emakhu0%
Zak Sturge0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Daniel Kelly0%
George Evans0%
Raees Bangura-Williams0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BRO (19)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
CAR (1)
€0m
MOR (1)
€0m
Portsmouth's squad is €52m less valuable than Millwall's (€32m vs €85m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (3)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Portsmouth's attack is €17m less valuable than Millwall's (€13m vs €30m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
MKD (6)
€7m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
BAR (5)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
MOR (1)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
Portsmouth's midfield is €24m less valuable than Millwall's (€5m vs €29m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Portsmouth's defence is €11m less valuable than Millwall's (€14m vs €25m).
England: Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Leeds
Burnley
Sheffield United
Sunderland
Coventry
Bristol City
Blackburn
West Brom
Middlesbrough
Swansea
Sheffield Weds
Norwich
Watford
QPR
Oxford
Stoke
Derby
Preston
Hull
Luton
Plymouth
Cardiff