This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.13
1.27
2.60
0.93
1.67
1.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
3.50
0.00
3.00
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (27)
2.33
1.04
2.79
0.79
1.85
1.31
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (PSV Eindhoven) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (30%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
94.7%
Under 1.5
5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
84.0%
Under 2.5
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
67.7%
Under 3.5
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
40.1%
No
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
4-0
11.9%
3-0
11.6%
5-0
9.8%
2-0
8.5%
6-0
6.7%
4-1
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
5-1
5.1%
PSV Eindhoven goals ↓
Excelsior goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
1
3.9%
2.4%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
2
8.5%
4.4%
1.1%
0.2%
0.0%
3
12%
6.0%
1.6%
0.3%
0.0%
4
12%
6.2%
1.6%
0.3%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = PSV Eindhoven goals (down), columns = Excelsior goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barendrecht
2.50
Heerenveen
2.33
Excelsior
2.33
SC Genemuiden
2.33
Utrecht
2.25
Rijnsburgse Boys
2.25
ASWH
2.25
Heracles
2.20
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
GO Ahead Eagles
2.20
Noordwijk
2.17
Feyenoord
2.00
Waalwijk
2.00
De Graafschap
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Winterswijk
2.00
Koninklijke HFC
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Achilles Veen
2.00
Quick '20
2.00
PSV Eindhoven
1.75
Quick Boys
1.75
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Eemdijk
1.75
Hercules
1.67
Blauw Geel
1.67
Ajax
1.50
Groningen
1.50
Twente
1.50
Cambuur
1.50
Telstar
1.50
Fortuna Sittard
1.50
MVV
1.50
FC Volendam
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
TEC
1.50
Gemert
1.50
Sportlust '46
1.50
ADO '20
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
RKAVV
1.50
UDI '19
1.50
HV & CV Quick
1.50
Ajax Amateurs
1.50
Poortugaal
1.50
Kolping Boys
1.33
Dovo
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
Capelle
1.33
OJC Rosmalen
1.33
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
PEC Zwolle
1.00
Spakenburg
1.00
RKAV Volendam
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
Elinkwijk
1.00
EVV
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
SDC Putten
1.00
Smitshoek
1.00
HBC
1.00
De Bilt
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
Geldrop
1.00
Willem II
0.50
Katwijk
0.50
Hoek
0.50
Zwaluw VFC
0.50
Juliana '31
0.50
Roda
0.00
Vitesse
0.00
NAC Breda
0.00
VVV Venlo
0.00
ADO Den Haag
0.00
Emmen
0.00
Dordrecht
0.00
FC OSS
0.00
Den Bosch
0.00
Almere City FC
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
De Treffers
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
Harkemase Boys
0.00
GOES
0.00
Kozakken Boys
0.00
HHC
0.00
URK
0.00
Kloetinge
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
Heerjansdam
0.00
FC 's-Gravenzande
0.00
ACV
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
TOGB
0.00
Forum Sport
0.00
Huizen
0.00
SteDoCo
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Laar
0.00
SVBO
0.00
DAW Schaijk
0.00
Blauw Wit '34
0.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
0.00
UNA
0.00
ONS Sneek
0.00
DEM
0.00
PSV Eindhoven is 0.58 points worse than Excelsior in terms of average points per game (1.75 vs 2.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Eindhoven
4.00
PSV Eindhoven
3.50
Ijsselmeervogels
3.33
Sparta Nijkerk
3.25
Utrecht
3.00
Groningen
3.00
Barendrecht
3.00
Excelsior
2.67
Waalwijk
2.67
De Graafschap
2.67
Cambuur
2.50
Fortuna Sittard
2.50
FC Volendam
2.50
Hercules
2.33
Blauw Geel
2.33
Quick Boys
2.25
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
Feyenoord
2.00
Heerenveen
2.00
Twente
2.00
GO Ahead Eagles
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Katwijk
2.00
GOES
2.00
TEC
2.00
URK
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Gemert
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Sportlust '46
2.00
ACV
2.00
Achilles Veen
2.00
SteDoCo
2.00
HBC
2.00
De Bilt
2.00
HV & CV Quick
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
Geldrop
2.00
Noordwijk
1.83
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.75
Eemdijk
1.75
Kolping Boys
1.67
Capelle
1.67
Willem II
1.50
Telstar
1.50
MVV
1.50
ASWH
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
Ajax Amateurs
1.50
Juliana '31
1.50
Heracles
1.40
SC Genemuiden
1.33
Winterswijk
1.33
Koninklijke HFC
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
Quick '20
1.33
OJC Rosmalen
1.33
Roda
1.00
Ajax
1.00
Vitesse
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
NAC Breda
1.00
VVV Venlo
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
ADO Den Haag
1.00
Dordrecht
1.00
FC OSS
1.00
Den Bosch
1.00
De Treffers
1.00
Dovo
1.00
Harkemase Boys
1.00
Kozakken Boys
1.00
Kloetinge
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
ADO '20
1.00
Elinkwijk
1.00
Heerjansdam
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
SDC Putten
1.00
Huizen
1.00
Smitshoek
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
SVBO
1.00
RKAVV
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
1.00
UNA
1.00
ONS Sneek
1.00
DEM
1.00
Hoek
0.50
Zwaluw VFC
0.50
Emmen
0.00
Almere City FC
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
HHC
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
EVV
0.00
FC 's-Gravenzande
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
TOGB
0.00
Forum Sport
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Laar
0.00
DAW Schaijk
0.00
Blauw Wit '34
0.00
PSV Eindhoven is 0.83 goals better than Excelsior in terms of goals scored per game (3.50 vs 2.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
EVV
0.00
Winterswijk
0.33
Heracles
0.40
Barendrecht
0.50
ASWH
0.50
Sportlust '46
0.50
ADO '20
0.50
RKAVV
0.50
SC Genemuiden
0.67
Noordwijk
0.83
Utrecht
1.00
AZ Alkmaar
1.00
Ajax
1.00
GO Ahead Eagles
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
Telstar
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
Emmen
1.00
De Graafschap
1.00
HHC
1.00
Gemert
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
Elinkwijk
1.00
Hollandia
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
SDC Putten
1.00
Meerssen
1.00
Smitshoek
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
PSV Eindhoven
1.25
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.25
Feyenoord
1.33
Heerenveen
1.33
Waalwijk
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
Blauw Geel
1.33
Quick '20
1.33
OJC Rosmalen
1.33
MVV
1.50
FC Volendam
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
Quick Boys
1.50
Hoek
1.50
Excelsior Maassluis
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
Achilles Veen
1.50
Ajax Amateurs
1.50
Excelsior
1.67
Hercules
1.67
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Willem II
2.00
Groningen
2.00
NAC Breda
2.00
VVV Venlo
2.00
Fortuna Sittard
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
Dordrecht
2.00
Den Bosch
2.00
Dovo
2.00
Harkemase Boys
2.00
Kozakken Boys
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
Kloetinge
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Capelle
2.00
FC 's-Gravenzande
2.00
Forum Sport
2.00
Huizen
2.00
HBC
2.00
De Bilt
2.00
Zwaluw VFC
2.00
DAW Schaijk
2.00
Blauw Wit '34
2.00
HV & CV Quick
2.00
Juliana '31
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
2.00
Geldrop
2.00
DEM
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.33
Twente
2.50
Cambuur
2.50
Katwijk
2.50
Eemdijk
2.50
Rijnvogels
2.67
Kolping Boys
2.67
Roda
3.00
Vitesse
3.00
Almere City FC
3.00
Helmond Sport
3.00
Koninklijke HFC
3.00
AFC Amsterdam
3.00
TEC
3.00
GVVV Veenendaal
3.00
SteDoCo
3.00
SVBO
3.00
ONS Sneek
3.00
ADO Den Haag
4.00
FC OSS
4.00
De Treffers
4.00
Excelsior '31
4.00
GOES
4.00
URK
4.00
ROHDA Raalte
4.00
Heerjansdam
4.00
TOGB
4.00
UNA
4.00
ACV
5.00
Laar
6.00
PSV Eindhoven is 0.42 goals better than Excelsior in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
GO Ahead Eagles
54%
AZ Alkmaar
46%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
PSV Eindhoven
For 9.1 · Against 3.7 · Total 12.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.9 · Against 8.7 · Total 16.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Excelsior
For 5.8 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 9.5 · Total 21.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
PSV Eindhoven
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
11.2
10.2
2.9
2.9
2.8
17.3
16.2
18.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
9.8
9.3
10.3
3.8
4.0
3.5
20.1
20.3
19.8
vs Weaker (38)
11.0
11.8
10.2
2.6
2.6
2.6
16.4
14.9
17.7
% over line
65%
71%
60%
36%
36%
36%
27%
17%
36%
% under line
35%
29%
40%
64%
64%
64%
73%
83%
64%
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.8
10.3
3.5
3.2
3.9
18.7
18.5
18.9
vs Stronger (11)
10.4
9.4
11.2
2.2
1.8
2.5
13.2
13.4
13.0
vs Similar (38)
9.9
9.9
9.9
3.9
3.5
4.3
20.4
19.9
20.8
vs Weaker (1)
12.0
-
12.0
5.0
-
5.0
20.0
-
20.0
% over line
60%
57%
64%
50%
42%
58%
27%
22%
32%
% under line
40%
43%
36%
50%
58%
42%
73%
78%
68%
This opponent (PSV Eindhoven) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Vitesse
11.3
Heracles
11.1
NEC Nijmegen
11.0
Waalwijk
11.0
Dordrecht
11.0
Sparta Rotterdam
10.9
Feyenoord
10.9
Cambuur
10.9
FC Volendam
10.8
PSV Eindhoven
10.6
GO Ahead Eagles
10.6
Den Bosch
10.5
PEC Zwolle
10.4
FC Eindhoven
10.4
Utrecht
10.4
FC OSS
10.3
Telstar
10.3
Heerenveen
10.3
Willem II
10.3
De Graafschap
10.2
Emmen
10.2
Helmond Sport
10.2
Almere City FC
10.2
Excelsior
10.2
MVV
10.0
Roda
10.0
Fortuna Sittard
10.0
ADO Den Haag
9.9
VVV Venlo
9.9
Twente
9.9
Groningen
9.8
NAC Breda
9.6
AZ Alkmaar
9.5
Ajax
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ajax
4.2
Cambuur
4.1
ADO Den Haag
4.1
Excelsior
4.0
AZ Alkmaar
4.0
Feyenoord
3.9
Roda
3.9
Emmen
3.8
Groningen
3.8
Vitesse
3.8
Almere City FC
3.8
NAC Breda
3.8
Dordrecht
3.7
Den Bosch
3.7
Utrecht
3.7
NEC Nijmegen
3.7
Helmond Sport
3.7
VVV Venlo
3.6
FC Volendam
3.6
Telstar
3.6
FC OSS
3.5
Fortuna Sittard
3.5
PEC Zwolle
3.5
Willem II
3.5
De Graafschap
3.5
Twente
3.5
Heracles
3.5
Sparta Rotterdam
3.4
PSV Eindhoven
3.4
Waalwijk
3.3
MVV
3.2
Heerenveen
3.1
FC Eindhoven
3.1
GO Ahead Eagles
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Telstar
24.7
Vitesse
24.2
Dordrecht
24.1
ADO Den Haag
24.0
Emmen
23.8
FC OSS
23.8
Cambuur
23.3
VVV Venlo
23.1
Helmond Sport
22.9
Roda
22.6
Almere City FC
22.4
Heracles
22.0
Den Bosch
21.9
MVV
21.8
Ajax
21.8
Groningen
21.4
NAC Breda
21.1
NEC Nijmegen
21.1
AZ Alkmaar
21.0
Fortuna Sittard
20.7
FC Eindhoven
20.6
PEC Zwolle
20.5
De Graafschap
20.5
Utrecht
20.4
Heerenveen
20.2
Feyenoord
20.1
Willem II
20.0
FC Volendam
19.7
Twente
19.7
GO Ahead Eagles
19.6
Waalwijk
19.1
Sparta Rotterdam
18.8
Excelsior
18.7
PSV Eindhoven
17.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
58.7%
Under 9.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
71.8%
Under 3.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
47.5%
Under 21.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
PSV Eindhoven or Draw✓ Hit
98.6%
Avg Implied -
94%
5%
1%
covers PSV Eindhoven + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
PSV Eindhoven or Excelsior✗ Miss
95.1%
Avg Implied -
94%
5%
1%
covers PSV Eindhoven + Excelsior
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Excelsior✓ Hit
6.3%
Avg Implied -
94%
5%
1%
covers Draw + Excelsior
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
98.3%
Under
1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
91.6%
Under
8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
77.6%
Under
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
58.5%
Under
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
40.6%
Under
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
9.7%
Under
90.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.2%
Under
99.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to PSV Eindhoven, so a minus line means PSV Eindhoven give that many goals of a start and Excelsior receive them. At -1, PSV Eindhoven must win by two or more to land; a one-goal PSV Eindhoven win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (PSV Eindhoven)Actual: Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven -2
67.7%
Draw -2
16.0%
Excelsior +2
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (PSV Eindhoven)Actual: Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven -1
83.7%
Draw -1
10.0%
Excelsior +1
6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (PSV Eindhoven)Actual: PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven +1
98.6%
Draw +1
1.1%
Excelsior -1
0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (PSV Eindhoven)Actual: PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven +2
99.7%
Draw +2
0.3%
Excelsior -2
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
PSV Eindhoven
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
0.53
1.94
0.50
1.07
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.83
0.83
1.00
0.67
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (24)
1.71
0.46
2.15
0.46
1.18
0.45
Clean sheet %
57% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.43
1.47
0.47
0.93
0.40
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
1.30
0.48
1.57
0.50
1.00
0.46
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+53pp vs league)
This opponent (PSV Eindhoven) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
PSV Eindhoven
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
0.37
2.00
0.19
1.64
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.00
0.83
1.33
0.33
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (24)
2.04
0.25
2.15
0.15
1.91
0.36
Clean sheet %
67% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.83
1.13
0.47
0.73
1.20
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
3.50
0.00
3.00
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (27)
1.04
0.56
1.21
0.29
0.85
0.85
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (PSV Eindhoven) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home win
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home over 1.5 goals
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home -1 handicap
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 6.5
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 2.5 goals
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
PSV Eindhoven
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Malik Tillman39%
Ricardo Pepi38%
Ivan Perišić35%
Luuk de Jong30%
Noa Lang29%
Hirving Lozano27%
Johan Bakayoko27%
Ismael Saibari26%
Guus Til19%
Couhaib Driouech15%
Isaac Babadi8%
Jerdy Schouten7%
Ryan Flamingo6%
Armando Obispo5%
Richard Ledezma3%
Joey Veerman3%
Olivier Boscagli2%
Mauro Júnior0%
Rick Karsdorp0%
Lucas Pérez0%
Walter Benítez0%
Joël Drommel0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Sergiño Dest0%
Fredrik Oppegård0%
Adamo Nagalo0%
Esmir Bajraktarević0%
Matteo Dams0%
Tygo Land0%
Wessel Kuhn0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matteo Dams18%
Ivan Perišić18%
Tyrell Malacia17%
Richard Ledezma16%
Isaac Babadi15%
Malik Tillman15%
Rick Karsdorp15%
Joey Veerman13%
Luuk de Jong11%
Jerdy Schouten11%
Olivier Boscagli9%
Armando Obispo9%
Mauro Júnior8%
Ismael Saibari7%
Noa Lang5%
Johan Bakayoko4%
Guus Til4%
Ryan Flamingo4%
Ricardo Pepi4%
Walter Benítez2%
Hirving Lozano0%
Lucas Pérez0%
Joël Drommel0%
Sergiño Dest0%
Fredrik Oppegård0%
Couhaib Driouech0%
Adamo Nagalo0%
Esmir Bajraktarević0%
Tygo Land0%
Wessel Kuhn0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ismael Saibari29%
Noa Lang26%
Guus Til26%
Ivan Perišić24%
Joey Veerman21%
Luuk de Jong20%
Hirving Lozano18%
Sergiño Dest14%
Olivier Boscagli14%
Mauro Júnior14%
Ricardo Pepi12%
Rick Karsdorp10%
Malik Tillman9%
Isaac Babadi8%
Jerdy Schouten7%
Couhaib Driouech5%
Johan Bakayoko4%
Ryan Flamingo4%
Richard Ledezma3%
Armando Obispo0%
Lucas Pérez0%
Walter Benítez0%
Joël Drommel0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Fredrik Oppegård0%
Adamo Nagalo0%
Esmir Bajraktarević0%
Matteo Dams0%
Tygo Land0%
Wessel Kuhn0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luuk de Jong48%
Guus Til28%
Hirving Lozano27%
Ricardo Pepi27%
Ismael Saibari26%
Malik Tillman21%
Johan Bakayoko18%
Noa Lang17%
Ivan Perišić15%
Joey Veerman8%
Couhaib Driouech5%
Armando Obispo5%
Ryan Flamingo4%
Mauro Júnior3%
Rick Karsdorp0%
Lucas Pérez0%
Walter Benítez0%
Olivier Boscagli0%
Joël Drommel0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Jerdy Schouten0%
Sergiño Dest0%
Richard Ledezma0%
Fredrik Oppegård0%
Adamo Nagalo0%
Isaac Babadi0%
Esmir Bajraktarević0%
Matteo Dams0%
Tygo Land0%
Wessel Kuhn0%
Excelsior
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lance Duijvestijn42%
Richie Omorowa34%
Noah Naujoks23%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes22%
Lennard Hartjes18%
Jacky Donkor18%
Jerolldino Bergraaf16%
Mike van Duinen15%
Kik Pierie12%
Seydou Fini11%
Jose De Almeida Reis10%
Ilias Bronkhorst8%
Arthur Zagre6%
Casper Widell5%
Zach Booth5%
Cedric Hatenboer4%
Django Warmerdam0%
Calvin Raatsie0%
Xander Blomme0%
Pascal Kuiper0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Joshua Eijgenraam0%
Serano Seymor0%
Nolan Martens0%
Seb Loeffen0%
Rayvien Rosario0%
Siem de Moes0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Seb Loeffen33%
Siem de Moes33%
Kik Pierie25%
Ilias Bronkhorst25%
Xander Blomme22%
Arthur Zagre18%
Serano Seymor17%
Cedric Hatenboer15%
Richie Omorowa14%
Calvin Raatsie14%
Noah Naujoks13%
Lance Duijvestijn12%
Mike van Duinen12%
Joshua Eijgenraam10%
Rayvien Rosario10%
Jerolldino Bergraaf10%
Lennard Hartjes9%
Casper Widell8%
Mathijs Tielemans8%
Django Warmerdam6%
Jacky Donkor6%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes5%
Seydou Fini5%
Pascal Kuiper0%
Zach Booth0%
Nolan Martens0%
Jose De Almeida Reis0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lance Duijvestijn38%
Pascal Kuiper25%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes22%
Noah Naujoks20%
Ilias Bronkhorst18%
Arthur Zagre12%
Jacky Donkor12%
Jose De Almeida Reis10%
Lennard Hartjes9%
Seydou Fini8%
Joshua Eijgenraam7%
Jerolldino Bergraaf6%
Kik Pierie6%
Django Warmerdam6%
Richie Omorowa3%
Casper Widell3%
Mike van Duinen0%
Calvin Raatsie0%
Xander Blomme0%
Zach Booth0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Serano Seymor0%
Nolan Martens0%
Seb Loeffen0%
Rayvien Rosario0%
Siem de Moes0%
Cedric Hatenboer0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lance Duijvestijn38%
Noah Naujoks30%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes16%
Jacky Donkor15%
Kik Pierie12%
Ilias Bronkhorst12%
Jerolldino Bergraaf10%
Zach Booth10%
Mike van Duinen9%
Casper Widell8%
Richie Omorowa7%
Cedric Hatenboer4%
Seydou Fini3%
Arthur Zagre0%
Django Warmerdam0%
Calvin Raatsie0%
Xander Blomme0%
Pascal Kuiper0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Joshua Eijgenraam0%
Serano Seymor0%
Lennard Hartjes0%
Nolan Martens0%
Seb Loeffen0%
Rayvien Rosario0%
Siem de Moes0%
Jose De Almeida Reis0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
HS (16)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FO (17)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
PSV Eindhoven's squad is €264m more valuable than Excelsior's (€280m vs €16m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
WI (8)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
HS (5)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
FO (5)
€1m
PSV Eindhoven's attack is €99m more valuable than Excelsior's (€106m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
ADH (3)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
FO (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
PSV Eindhoven's midfield is €57m more valuable than Excelsior's (€60m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
FO (9)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
HS (6)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
DB (7)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
PSV Eindhoven's defence is €108m more valuable than Excelsior's (€115m vs €6m).
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
Netherlands: Eerste Divisie 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eerste Divisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ajax
Feyenoord
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
GO Ahead Eagles
NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle
Fortuna Sittard
Sparta Rotterdam
Groningen
Heracles
NAC Breda
Willem II
Waalwijk
Almere City FC
Telstar
Dordrecht
Den Bosch
Cambuur
De Graafschap
ADO Den Haag
FC Volendam
Emmen
Jong AZ
FC Eindhoven
Roda
Helmond Sport
Vitesse
VVV Venlo
MVV
FC OSS
Jong Ajax
Jong PSV U21
Jong Utrecht