Rapid enter the match on a positive streak, having won their last game 2-0 against Petrolul Ploiesti, while Universitatea Craiova also finish on a win, beating FC Voluntari 3-1. The contest feels finely balanced: the model favours a home win, yet the probabilities are 40% for Rapid, 30% for a draw and 29% for Craiova. The expected total is 2.4 goals, with the most likely total being two goals at 28%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.3% chance. Rapid’s home form shows they average one goal scored and 1.17 conceded against similar opposition, while Craiova’s away record is 0.45 scored and 1.18 conceded versus comparable teams. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (98.9%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.2% with a 6% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.1%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.6% with a 7% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.4% with a 6% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.1% with a 6% edge) and Under 5.5 (96.6% with a 4% edge).
Results analysis
Rapid’s home form has been shaky, coming off a 1-1 draw, while Universitatea Craiova also finished a draw in their last outing. The match ended 1-1, a draw that surprised the model’s pre-match favourite, the home win, which had a 40% probability. The model’s call was wrong. Every suggested pick was a hit: Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (98.9%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.4%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.6%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.9%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.8%) and Under 5.5 (96.6%). The game confirmed the model’s confidence in low-scoring outcomes, even though the predicted winner did not materialise.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Rapid win✗ Miss
40.4%
Avg Implied 31.1% · @ 2.96
Edge
+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.08
10Bet
3.05
Dafabet
3.00
Betano
3.00
Superbet
3.00
Draw✓ Hit
30.2%
Avg Implied 29.0% · @ 3.18
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
3.30
Unibet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.28
Pinnacle
3.28
Universitatea Craiova win✗ Miss
29.4%
Avg Implied 39.9% · @ 2.31
Edge
-10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.45
Unibet
2.40
Pinnacle
2.39
Dafabet
2.35
Betano
2.32
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Rapid
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.13
1.00
1.07
1.06
1.19
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.90
1.43
1.00
1.17
0.78
1.78
vs Weaker (9)
1.33
0.44
1.00
0.50
1.43
0.43
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Universitatea Craiova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Universitatea Craiova
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.87
2.00
0.75
0.64
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.10
1.00
1.90
0.80
0.36
1.18
vs Weaker (9)
2.00
0.56
2.17
0.67
1.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.8%
@ 1.32-0.6%
Under 1.5
30.2%
@ 3.15+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
Under
Unibet
3.35
Pinnacle
3.28
Superbet
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.2%
@ 2.05-3.7%
Under 2.5
57.8%
@ 1.74+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
2.08
Superbet
2.07
Under
SBO
1.78
Betano
1.78
Unibet
1.78
Superbet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.75
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.5%
@ 3.63-4.2%
Under 3.5
78.5%
@ 1.25+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.80
BetVictor
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.72
10Bet
3.70
Under
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.1%
@ 1.78-2.7%
No
50.9%
@ 1.92+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Marathonbet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.80
No
Unibet
1.98
Superbet
1.97
William Hil
1.95
Betano
1.95
Betfair
1.95
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.3%@ 5.78+6.6%
1-0
10.8%@ 8.27+5.5%
0-0
10.6%@ 8.35+5.3%
0-1
8.7%@ 7.05+2.4%
2-1
8.4%@ 10.04+4.0%
2-0
7.9%@ 13.92+4.7%
1-2
7.0%@ 8.59+1.8%
0-2
5.4%@ 10.46+1.1%
Rapid goals ↓
Universitatea Craiova goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
8.7%
5.4%
1.9%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
7.0%
2.5%
0.7%
2
7.9%
8.4%
4.5%
1.6%
0.4%
3
3.4%
3.7%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.1%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rapid goals (down), columns = Universitatea Craiova goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
Rapid
1.71
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.71
Universitatea Craiova
1.57
FCSB
1.57
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.43
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.43
Arges Pitesti
1.43
FC Botosani
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
FC Voluntari
0.71
Csikszereda
0.14
Rapid is 0.14 points better than Universitatea Craiova in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 1.57).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Universitatea Craiova
2.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.83
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
FCSB
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.29
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.14
Rapid
1.14
FC Voluntari
1.00
FC Botosani
1.00
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.57
Csikszereda
0.57
Arges Pitesti
0.57
Rapid is 0.86 goals worse than Universitatea Craiova in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.43
Corvinul Hunedoara
0.57
Rapid
0.57
Dinamo Bucuresti
0.71
Arges Pitesti
0.71
FC Botosani
1.14
FCSB
1.14
Farul Constanta
1.14
Oţelul
1.14
Universitatea Craiova
1.29
Uta Arad
1.43
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.43
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.67
Csikszereda
1.86
FC Voluntari
2.57
Rapid is 0.71 goals better than Universitatea Craiova in terms of goals conceded per game (0.57 vs 1.29).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Universitatea Craiova
60%
FCSB
58%
Universitatea Cluj
57%
Dinamo Bucuresti
56%
Oţelul
55%
CFR 1907 Cluj
55%
FC Botosani
53%
Rapid
50%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
49%
Farul Constanta
48%
Uta Arad
46%
Corvinul Hunedoara
44%
Arges Pitesti
44%
Petrolul Ploiesti
42%
Csikszereda
42%
FC Voluntari
41%
Rapid is 9.9 percentage points worse than Universitatea Craiova in terms of average possession (50% vs 60%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rapid
For 6.5 · Against 5.5 · Total 12.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 10.2 · Total 21.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Universitatea Craiova
For 4.9 · Against 3.1 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 9.4 · Total 20.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rapid
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.5
9.9
4.2
4.0
4.4
23.8
23.7
23.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (32)
11.2
11.6
10.9
4.1
4.1
4.1
22.8
22.8
22.7
vs Weaker (18)
8.3
8.0
8.5
4.4
3.9
4.8
25.5
25.9
25.3
% over line
45%
52%
38%
50%
48%
52%
55%
52%
58%
% under line
55%
48%
62%
50%
52%
48%
45%
48%
42%
This opponent (Universitatea Craiova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Universitatea Craiova
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
9.0
7.7
3.8
4.0
3.6
23.6
22.7
24.5
vs Stronger (1)
8.0
8.0
-
4.0
4.0
-
24.0
24.0
-
vs Similar (30)
8.2
8.9
7.6
3.5
3.5
3.5
24.3
24.1
24.4
vs Weaker (19)
8.6
9.2
7.7
4.2
4.7
3.7
22.6
21.1
24.7
% over line
34%
43%
25%
50%
60%
40%
63%
57%
70%
% under line
66%
57%
75%
50%
40%
60%
37%
43%
30%
This opponent (Rapid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FCSB
10.2
Rapid
10.1
Universitatea Cluj
10.0
Farul Constanta
9.9
FC Botosani
9.8
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
9.7
Uta Arad
9.6
Petrolul Ploiesti
9.5
Oţelul
9.5
Dinamo Bucuresti
9.4
Arges Pitesti
9.4
FC Voluntari
8.8
Csikszereda
8.8
CFR 1907 Cluj
8.7
Universitatea Craiova
8.7
Corvinul Hunedoara
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Botosani
5.0
Arges Pitesti
5.0
Universitatea Craiova
5.0
FCSB
4.9
Corvinul Hunedoara
4.7
Petrolul Ploiesti
4.7
Dinamo Bucuresti
4.7
Uta Arad
4.7
FC Voluntari
4.6
Csikszereda
4.5
Rapid
4.5
Farul Constanta
4.4
Oţelul
4.3
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
4.2
Universitatea Cluj
4.1
CFR 1907 Cluj
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Botosani
26.6
Oţelul
26.6
Arges Pitesti
25.3
Petrolul Ploiesti
25.3
Csikszereda
25.0
FCSB
24.9
Uta Arad
24.3
Corvinul Hunedoara
24.0
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
23.9
FC Voluntari
23.8
Universitatea Craiova
23.8
Rapid
23.7
Dinamo Bucuresti
23.6
Farul Constanta
23.2
CFR 1907 Cluj
22.7
Universitatea Cluj
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.7%
@ 1.77-4.6%
Under 9.5
52.3%
@ 1.95+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.84
Pinnacle
1.82
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.77
10Bet
1.75
Under
Betano
2.02
Superbet
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
71.9%
@ 1.30+1.8%
Under 3.5
28.1%
@ 3.06-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.25
Under
Superbet
3.35
Betano
2.77
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
68.2%
Under 21.5
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Rapid or Draw✓ Hit
70.6%
Avg Implied 59.8% · @ 1.56
Edge
+10.8%
40%
30%
29%
covers Rapid + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.60
Betano
1.60
SBO
1.59
Superbet
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Rapid or Universitatea Craiova✗ Miss
69.8%
Avg Implied 71.4% · @ 1.30
Edge
-1.7%
40%
30%
29%
covers Rapid + Universitatea Craiova
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.35
Betfair
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
Draw or Universitatea Craiova✓ Hit
59.6%
Avg Implied 68.7% · @ 1.36
Edge
-9.1%
40%
30%
29%
covers Draw + Universitatea Craiova
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
William Hil
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Rapid over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.7%
@ 1.36+4.5%
Under
27.3%
@ 2.92-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Superbet
1.38
1xBet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Under
Superbet
3.05
Betfair
3.00
Unibet
3.00
Pinnacle
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Rapid over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
37.3%
@ 2.80+4.1%
Under
62.7%
@ 1.39-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.97
Betfair
2.88
BetVictor
2.88
10Bet
2.88
Superbet
2.82
Under
Superbet
1.43
Betano
1.42
Unibet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Rapid over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.3%
@ 7.00+0.9%
Under
85.7%
@ 1.07-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
7.40
Superbet
7.10
10Bet
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Under
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.07
BetVictor
1.06
Rapid over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.3%
@ 16.75-1.4%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.02+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
20.00
Bet365
19.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Betano
1.02
Universitatea Craiova over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
65.7%
@ 1.28-7.0%
Under
34.3%
@ 3.42+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.32
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Under
Pinnacle
3.57
Betfair
3.50
Betano
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Unibet
3.40
Universitatea Craiova over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
29.1%
@ 2.37-10.4%
Under
70.9%
@ 1.54+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.47
BetVictor
2.38
Betfair
2.38
Under
1xBet
1.58
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Universitatea Craiova over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.4%
@ 5.41-7.8%
Under
90.6%
@ 1.12+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
6.00
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
5.50
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Universitatea Craiova over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 14.25-4.4%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.03+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Superbet
1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Rapid, so a minus line means Rapid give that many goals of a start and Universitatea Craiova receive them. At -1, Rapid must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Rapid win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Rapid)Actual: Universitatea Craiova
Rapid -2
6.7%
@ 16.33+1.1%
Draw -2
12.2%
@ 9.00+2.1%
Universitatea Craiova +2
81.1%
@ 1.08-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
20.00
Bet365
17.00
Unibet
12.00
Draw
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
9.50
Unibet
7.50
Away
Bet365
1.09
Unibet
1.09
Betfair
1.07
Handicap -1 (Rapid)Actual: Universitatea Craiova
Rapid -1
18.9%
@ 6.55+5.3%
Draw -1
21.5%
@ 4.47+1.5%
Universitatea Craiova +1
59.6%
@ 1.35-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.00
10Bet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.00
Unibet
5.75
Draw
Bet365
4.75
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
Unibet
4.20
Away
Unibet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Handicap +1 (Rapid)Actual: Rapid
Rapid +1
70.6%
@ 1.55+13.0%
Draw +1
17.5%
@ 3.91-5.3%
Universitatea Craiova -1
11.9%
@ 4.59-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
Betfair
1.53
Unibet
1.53
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.10
Unibet
3.80
10Bet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Away
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.80
Unibet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
Handicap +2 (Rapid)Actual: Rapid
Rapid +2
88.1%
@ 1.15+10.1%
Draw +2
8.3%
@ 6.66-5.2%
Universitatea Craiova -2
3.5%
@ 10.74-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Superbet
6.90
Marathonbet
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.40
Away
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
11.00
Unibet
9.50
Marathonbet
9.20
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rapid
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.37
0.50
0.29
0.44
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.48
0.58
0.33
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (9)
0.44
0.11
0.00
0.00
0.57
0.14
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Universitatea Craiova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Universitatea Craiova
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.43
0.62
0.50
0.29
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.48
0.70
0.50
0.18
0.45
vs Weaker (9)
0.56
0.33
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.3%
@ 1.41+1.4%
Under 0.5
32.7%
@ 2.73-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.44
BetVictor
1.43
Pinnacle
1.41
Under
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.86
Unibet
2.80
10Bet
2.80
William Hil
2.80
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
30.4%
@ 2.92-1.4%
Under 1.5
69.6%
@ 1.36+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.10
Pinnacle
3.06
Bet365
3.00
Superbet
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Under
10Bet
1.40
Superbet
1.38
BetVictor
1.37
Betano
1.37
Pinnacle
1.37
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.3%
@ 7.47-2.1%
Under 2.5
89.7%
@ 1.06+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.00
Superbet
7.60
William Hil
7.50
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Unibet
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rapid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.1%
@ 2.23+0.6%
Under
57.9%
@ 1.59-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.32
Betano
2.32
1xBet
2.26
Marathonbet
2.26
Superbet
2.22
Under
Unibet
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Betano
1.57
Rapid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.7%
@ 7.54-1.7%
Under
89.3%
@ 1.06+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.10
1xBet
8.10
Superbet
7.40
Betano
7.10
10Bet
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Rapid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 21.83-2.7%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
27.00
10Bet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
Universitatea Craiova over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
41.0%
@ 2.04-4.3%
Under
59.0%
@ 1.70+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.11
Betano
2.10
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.03
Marathonbet
2.03
Under
10Bet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.72
Unibet
1.71
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
Universitatea Craiova over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.9%
@ 6.33-3.8%
Under
89.1%
@ 1.09+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.60
1xBet
6.60
Superbet
6.50
Betano
6.20
10Bet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Universitatea Craiova over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 18.33-3.6%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.01+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
22.00
10Bet
21.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rapid
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.77
0.50
0.79
0.62
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.95
0.42
0.83
0.44
1.11
vs Weaker (9)
0.89
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.86
0.29
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Universitatea Craiova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Universitatea Craiova
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.43
1.38
0.25
0.36
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.52
1.20
0.30
0.18
0.73
vs Weaker (9)
1.44
0.22
1.67
0.17
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.9%
@ 1.26+2.6%
Under 0.5
24.1%
@ 3.48-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.27
William Hil
1.25
Under
Betano
3.65
Superbet
3.65
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.44
1xBet
3.44
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
40.1%
@ 2.23-1.7%
Under 1.5
59.9%
@ 1.60+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.30
Superbet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Under
Betano
1.65
Unibet
1.62
Superbet
1.62
William Hil
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.1%
@ 4.98-3.6%
Under 2.5
84.9%
@ 1.15+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.20
William Hil
5.00
1xBet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.80
Under
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rapid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
48.6%
@ 1.93+0.7%
Under
51.4%
@ 1.78-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.00
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.92
Betano
1.91
Superbet
1.88
Under
Betano
1.82
Superbet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.76
10Bet
1.73
Rapid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.7%
@ 5.74-2.4%
Under
86.3%
@ 1.10+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
6.25
1xBet
5.90
Marathonbet
5.85
Superbet
5.50
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Rapid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 17.33-2.4%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.01+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Universitatea Craiova over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
53.7%
@ 1.75+0.7%
Under
46.3%
@ 1.97-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.74
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Under
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Universitatea Craiova over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.1%
@ 4.66-3.8%
Under
83.9%
@ 1.16+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
1xBet
4.50
Betano
4.35
Under
Betano
1.19
Marathonbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Universitatea Craiova over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 12.67-4.2%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.02+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.6%
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.6%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.7%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
90.8%
1.07
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Unibet
1.07
BetVictor
1.05
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
90.6%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.12
+7.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.7%
1.06
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Unibet
1.05
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.3%
1.06
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.1%
1.09
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
88.1%
1.15
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
+10.1%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
86.3%
1.10
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
85.7%
1.07
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.07
BetVictor
1.06
-0.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.9%
1.15
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
83.9%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Marathonbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
81.1%
1.08
Bet365
1.09
Unibet
1.09
Betfair
1.07
-
-
-3.2%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.5%
1.25
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.9%
1.26
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.27
William Hil
1.25
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.3%
1.34
Superbet
1.44
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.32
Unibet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
72.7%
1.36
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Superbet
1.38
1xBet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.9%
1.30
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.25
-
-
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
70.9%
1.54
1xBet
1.58
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
Superbet
1.54
+10.4%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
70.6%
1.56
10Bet
1.60
Betano
1.60
SBO
1.59
Superbet
1.57
Betfair
1.57
+10.8%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
70.6%
1.55
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
Betfair
1.53
Unibet
1.53
+13.0%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Rapid
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alex Dobre33%
Claudiu Petrila33%
Olimpiu Moruțan33%
Filip Stojilković33%
Alexandru Paşcanu25%
Daniel Graovac0%
Mohammed Kamara0%
Lars Kramer0%
Marian Aioani0%
Cătălin Vulturar0%
Denis Ciobotariu0%
Vladan Bubanja0%
Răzvan Onea0%
Constantin Grameni0%
Timotej Jambor0%
Robert Sălceanu0%
Omar El Sawy0%
Rareș Pop0%
Jason Kodor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cătălin Vulturar50%
Alexandru Paşcanu50%
Robert Sălceanu40%
Alex Dobre33%
Lars Kramer33%
Vladan Bubanja33%
Filip Stojilković33%
Mohammed Kamara25%
Denis Ciobotariu25%
Marian Aioani17%
Constantin Grameni17%
Daniel Graovac0%
Claudiu Petrila0%
Olimpiu Moruțan0%
Răzvan Onea0%
Timotej Jambor0%
Omar El Sawy0%
Rareș Pop0%
Jason Kodor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Olimpiu Moruțan33%
Timotej Jambor33%
Omar El Sawy25%
Vladan Bubanja17%
Constantin Grameni17%
Daniel Graovac0%
Alex Dobre0%
Mohammed Kamara0%
Lars Kramer0%
Marian Aioani0%
Cătălin Vulturar0%
Claudiu Petrila0%
Denis Ciobotariu0%
Răzvan Onea0%
Filip Stojilković0%
Alexandru Paşcanu0%
Robert Sălceanu0%
Rareș Pop0%
Jason Kodor0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Claudiu Petrila33%
Filip Stojilković33%
Rareș Pop33%
Alexandru Paşcanu25%
Alex Dobre17%
Olimpiu Moruțan17%
Vladan Bubanja17%
Daniel Graovac0%
Mohammed Kamara0%
Lars Kramer0%
Marian Aioani0%
Cătălin Vulturar0%
Denis Ciobotariu0%
Răzvan Onea0%
Constantin Grameni0%
Timotej Jambor0%
Robert Sălceanu0%
Omar El Sawy0%
Jason Kodor0%
Universitatea Craiova
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Monday Etim40%
Steven Nsimba33%
Ștefan Baiaram25%
Nikola Stevanović20%
Oleksandr Romanchuk20%
Samuel Teles17%
Heriberto Tavares0%
Nicușor Bancu0%
Alexandru Cicâldău0%
Tudor Băluță0%
Vladimir Screciu0%
Alexandru Crețu0%
Anzor Mekvabishvili0%
Assad Al-Hamlawi0%
Carlos Mora0%
Răzvan Sava0%
David Matei0%
Luca Băsceanu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Monday Etim40%
Oleksandr Romanchuk40%
David Matei40%
Nicușor Bancu33%
Samuel Teles33%
Assad Al-Hamlawi33%
Alexandru Crețu25%
Ștefan Baiaram25%
Tudor Băluță20%
Anzor Mekvabishvili20%
Răzvan Sava20%
Heriberto Tavares0%
Alexandru Cicâldău0%
Nikola Stevanović0%
Vladimir Screciu0%
Steven Nsimba0%
Carlos Mora0%
Luca Băsceanu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ștefan Baiaram25%
Tudor Băluță20%
Monday Etim20%
David Matei20%
Nicușor Bancu17%
Carlos Mora17%
Heriberto Tavares0%
Alexandru Cicâldău0%
Nikola Stevanović0%
Vladimir Screciu0%
Alexandru Crețu0%
Steven Nsimba0%
Samuel Teles0%
Oleksandr Romanchuk0%
Anzor Mekvabishvili0%
Assad Al-Hamlawi0%
Răzvan Sava0%
Luca Băsceanu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
David Matei60%
Alexandru Cicâldău40%
Monday Etim40%
Assad Al-Hamlawi33%
Ștefan Baiaram25%
Tudor Băluță20%
Nikola Stevanović20%
Steven Nsimba17%
Heriberto Tavares0%
Nicușor Bancu0%
Vladimir Screciu0%
Alexandru Crețu0%
Samuel Teles0%
Oleksandr Romanchuk0%
Anzor Mekvabishvili0%
Carlos Mora0%
Răzvan Sava0%
Luca Băsceanu0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (25)
€37m
RAP (31)
€30m
FCS (27)
€26m
DB (26)
€20m
UC (26)
€17m
C1C (22)
€14m
AP (26)
€13m
FC (32)
€11m
FB (25)
€9m
UA (21)
€8m
OŢE (20)
€7m
CH (24)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
SOS (31)
€6m
PP (20)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
Rapid's squad is €8m less valuable than Universitatea Craiova's (€30m vs €37m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (10)
€14m
RAP (13)
€14m
FCS (9)
€12m
C1C (6)
€8m
DB (10)
€8m
UC (8)
€7m
FC (10)
€4m
FB (8)
€4m
AP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
OŢE (8)
€2m
SOS (12)
€2m
CSI (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
PP (5)
€1m
Rapid and Universitatea Craiova have a similar attack value (both €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€10m
DB (4)
€5m
UC (6)
€4m
FCS (5)
€4m
RAP (4)
€3m
AP (6)
€3m
FC (7)
€2m
C1C (5)
€2m
PP (7)
€2m
FB (5)
€2m
CSI (4)
€1m
SOS (7)
€1m
OŢE (2)
€1m
UA (3)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
Rapid's midfield is €6m less valuable than Universitatea Craiova's (€3m vs €10m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (9)
€13m
RAP (14)
€12m
FCS (13)
€11m
DB (12)
€7m
AP (9)
€6m
UC (12)
€5m
FC (15)
€4m
OŢE (10)
€4m
C1C (11)
€4m
UA (10)
€4m
FB (12)
€3m
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
PP (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
Rapid's defence is €1m less valuable than Universitatea Craiova's (€12m vs €13m).
Romania: Liga I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Dinamo Bucuresti
Petrolul Ploiesti
FCSB
Corvinul Hunedoara
Farul Constanta
Oţelul
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Arges Pitesti
CFR 1907 Cluj
Universitatea Cluj
FC Botosani
Uta Arad
FC Voluntari
Csikszereda