This opponent (Boavista) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Boavista
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.50
1.13
1.33
1.20
1.67
vs Stronger (19)
1.21
1.63
1.00
1.40
1.44
1.89
vs Similar (11)
1.09
1.27
1.40
1.20
0.83
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Rio Ave) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.4%
Under 1.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.6%
@ 2.27+12.0%
Under 2.5
46.4%
@ 1.62-12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.3%
Under 3.5
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.7%
No
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
1-0 ✓
9.5%
2-0
9.5%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
5.9%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
Rio Ave goals ↓
Boavista goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
5.0%
3.2%
1.1%
0.3%
1
9.5%
12%
5.7%
1.9%
0.5%
2
9.5%
9.8%
5.1%
1.7%
0.4%
3
5.7%
5.9%
3.0%
1.0%
0.3%
4
2.6%
2.6%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rio Ave goals (down), columns = Boavista goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Benfica
2.56
FC Porto
2.50
SC Braga
2.29
Sporting CP
2.18
Arouca
1.59
Guimaraes
1.56
Estrela
1.50
Chaves
1.35
Boavista
1.29
Famalicao
1.29
Casa Pia
1.21
Vizela
1.18
Rio Ave
1.18
GIL Vicente
1.09
Estoril
1.03
Portimonense
1.00
Maritimo
0.81
Pacos Ferreira
0.68
Santa Clara
0.65
Rio Ave is 0.12 points worse than Boavista in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Benfica
2.41
SC Braga
2.21
FC Porto
2.15
Sporting CP
2.09
Estrela
1.50
Boavista
1.26
Famalicao
1.15
Rio Ave
1.06
Arouca
1.06
Chaves
1.03
Vizela
1.00
Guimaraes
1.00
Maritimo
0.97
Estoril
0.97
GIL Vicente
0.94
Casa Pia
0.91
Pacos Ferreira
0.76
Santa Clara
0.76
Portimonense
0.74
Rio Ave is 0.21 goals worse than Boavista in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.26).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Benfica
0.59
FC Porto
0.65
SC Braga
0.88
Sporting CP
0.94
Arouca
1.09
Vizela
1.12
Guimaraes
1.15
Chaves
1.18
Casa Pia
1.18
GIL Vicente
1.21
Rio Ave
1.26
Famalicao
1.38
Portimonense
1.41
Estoril
1.44
Estrela
1.50
Boavista
1.59
Santa Clara
1.71
Pacos Ferreira
1.82
Maritimo
1.83
Rio Ave is 0.32 goals better than Boavista in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.59).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rio Ave
For 6.5 · Against 5.2 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 17.7 · Total 32.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Boavista
For 3.1 · Against 4.3 · Total 7.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.9 · Against 3.2 · Total 7.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 13.2 · Total 28.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rio Ave
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.2
10.2
3.2
3.9
2.7
30.9
32.7
29.2
vs Stronger (12)
9.6
9.0
10.2
3.2
4.0
2.3
33.9
35.8
32.0
vs Similar (26)
9.5
9.1
9.9
3.5
4.4
2.6
29.3
32.2
26.6
vs Weaker (12)
10.1
9.6
10.6
2.8
2.7
3.0
31.9
31.2
32.6
% over line
49%
42%
55%
48%
67%
31%
92%
100%
85%
% under line
51%
58%
45%
52%
33%
69%
8%
0%
15%
This opponent (Boavista) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Boavista
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.6
9.0
5.3
5.3
5.4
29.5
29.8
29.1
vs Stronger (32)
9.5
9.7
9.3
5.0
4.9
5.0
27.6
26.7
28.2
vs Similar (18)
9.0
9.5
8.3
6.0
5.7
6.4
32.9
34.1
31.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
49%
58%
40%
76%
76%
76%
90%
95%
85%
% under line
51%
42%
60%
24%
24%
24%
10%
5%
15%
This opponent (Rio Ave) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Estrela
15.0
Vizela
11.3
Chaves
11.1
Benfica
10.8
Pacos Ferreira
10.2
Portimonense
10.1
Guimaraes
10.1
Rio Ave
10.1
GIL Vicente
10.1
Estoril
10.0
Boavista
9.9
FC Porto
9.7
Santa Clara
9.6
Famalicao
9.6
Arouca
9.4
SC Braga
9.4
Maritimo
9.2
Sporting CP
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Arouca
6.6
Boavista
6.4
Famalicao
6.4
Maritimo
6.4
FC Porto
6.4
Sporting CP
6.3
Vizela
6.1
GIL Vicente
6.0
Pacos Ferreira
5.7
Guimaraes
5.7
Santa Clara
5.7
Estoril
5.6
Portimonense
5.6
SC Braga
5.4
Benfica
5.2
Chaves
5.0
Estrela
5.0
Rio Ave
4.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Maritimo
34.1
Santa Clara
31.7
Chaves
31.6
Pacos Ferreira
31.2
Arouca
31.0
Famalicao
30.9
Rio Ave
30.8
Guimaraes
30.4
Boavista
30.0
Estoril
29.9
Portimonense
29.3
Sporting CP
28.8
FC Porto
28.6
Vizela
27.9
SC Braga
27.0
Estrela
27.0
GIL Vicente
27.0
Benfica
26.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
46.3%
Under 9.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
88.2%
Under 3.5
11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
94.2%
Under 21.5
5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rio Ave
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.57
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.73
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
0.89
0.60
0.60
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (15)
0.40
0.33
0.29
0.29
0.50
0.38
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
0.67
0.33
0.33
0.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Boavista) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Boavista
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.73
0.33
0.73
0.60
0.73
vs Stronger (19)
0.53
0.74
0.30
0.80
0.78
0.67
vs Similar (11)
0.36
0.73
0.40
0.60
0.33
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Rio Ave) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rio Ave over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Boavista over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Boavista over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Boavista over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rio Ave
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.77
0.40
0.60
0.67
0.93
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
1.33
0.40
1.20
0.25
1.50
vs Similar (15)
0.60
0.67
0.43
0.43
0.75
0.88
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.17
0.33
0.00
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Boavista) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Boavista
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.77
0.80
0.60
0.60
0.93
vs Stronger (19)
0.68
0.89
0.70
0.60
0.67
1.22
vs Similar (11)
0.73
0.55
1.00
0.60
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Rio Ave) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rio Ave over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Boavista over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Boavista over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Boavista over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 4.5 cards
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Rio Ave
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aziz35%
Emmanuel Boateng21%
Leonardo Ruiz16%
Fábio Ronaldo10%
Hernâni10%
Costinha9%
Pedro Amaral8%
Patrick William8%
Gonçalo Rodrigues6%
João Graça5%
André Pereira5%
Renato Pantalon5%
Paulo Vitor4%
Aderllan Santos3%
Andreas Samaris0%
Sávio0%
Jhonatan0%
Joca Fernandes0%
Ukra0%
Vítor Gomes0%
Miguel Nóbrega0%
Amine Oudrhiri0%
Josué Sá0%
João Ferreira0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Bruno Ventura0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
João Ferreira50%
Pedro Amaral42%
João Graça37%
Renato Pantalon32%
Josué Sá28%
Patrick William27%
Andreas Samaris25%
André Pereira24%
Leonardo Ruiz20%
Emmanuel Boateng18%
Joca Fernandes17%
Costinha15%
Vítor Gomes15%
Sávio14%
Ukra13%
Gonçalo Rodrigues12%
Paulo Vitor12%
Aziz12%
Amine Oudrhiri11%
Fábio Ronaldo10%
Jhonatan9%
Aderllan Santos9%
Hernâni5%
Miguel Nóbrega0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Bruno Ventura0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aziz18%
Pedro Amaral17%
Joca Fernandes17%
André Pereira14%
Ukra13%
Fábio Ronaldo10%
Miguel Nóbrega9%
Costinha9%
Sávio7%
Gonçalo Rodrigues6%
Josué Sá6%
João Graça5%
Vítor Gomes5%
Hernâni5%
Miguel Baeza5%
Andreas Samaris4%
Paulo Vitor4%
Patrick William4%
Emmanuel Boateng0%
Renato Pantalon0%
Jhonatan0%
Amine Oudrhiri0%
Aderllan Santos0%
Leonardo Ruiz0%
João Ferreira0%
Bruno Ventura0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aziz18%
Joca Fernandes17%
Emmanuel Boateng14%
Leonardo Ruiz8%
Costinha6%
André Pereira5%
Hernâni5%
Paulo Vitor4%
Fábio Ronaldo3%
Gonçalo Rodrigues3%
Andreas Samaris0%
Patrick William0%
Sávio0%
Renato Pantalon0%
Pedro Amaral0%
Jhonatan0%
Ukra0%
Vítor Gomes0%
Miguel Nóbrega0%
Amine Oudrhiri0%
Aderllan Santos0%
Josué Sá0%
João Graça0%
João Ferreira0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Bruno Ventura0%
Boavista
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yusupha Njie44%
Ricardo Mangas15%
Róbert Boženík13%
Vincent Sasso12%
Sebastián Pérez10%
Bruno Lourenço10%
Salvador Agra10%
Martim Tavares9%
Masaki Watai7%
Gaius Makouta6%
Bruno Onyemaechi3%
Kenji Gorré3%
César Dutra0%
Ibrahima Camará0%
Rafael Bracali0%
Filipe Ferreira0%
Ilija Vukotić0%
Miguel Reisinho0%
Reggie Cannon0%
Rodrigo Abascal0%
Luís Santos0%
Robson0%
Pedro Malheiro0%
Julio Dabo0%
Joel Silva0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Filipe Ferreira43%
Sebastián Pérez34%
Miguel Reisinho33%
Bruno Lourenço31%
Reggie Cannon30%
Gaius Makouta28%
Rodrigo Abascal26%
Vincent Sasso25%
Yusupha Njie22%
Bruno Onyemaechi21%
Salvador Agra20%
Pedro Malheiro19%
Róbert Boženík17%
Ibrahima Camará17%
Ricardo Mangas15%
Joel Silva14%
Masaki Watai13%
Kenji Gorré13%
Luís Santos11%
Ilija Vukotić8%
Rafael Bracali7%
Martim Tavares5%
César Dutra0%
Robson0%
Julio Dabo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kenji Gorré20%
Gaius Makouta19%
Pedro Malheiro19%
Filipe Ferreira14%
Salvador Agra10%
Ibrahima Camará8%
Yusupha Njie7%
Rodrigo Abascal7%
Masaki Watai7%
Róbert Boženík4%
Ricardo Mangas4%
Bruno Lourenço3%
Bruno Onyemaechi3%
César Dutra0%
Vincent Sasso0%
Rafael Bracali0%
Ilija Vukotić0%
Miguel Reisinho0%
Reggie Cannon0%
Sebastián Pérez0%
Luís Santos0%
Robson0%
Martim Tavares0%
Julio Dabo0%
Joel Silva0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yusupha Njie52%
Róbert Boženík17%
Bruno Lourenço14%
Kenji Gorré10%
Ricardo Mangas7%
Gaius Makouta6%
Ibrahima Camará4%
César Dutra0%
Masaki Watai0%
Salvador Agra0%
Vincent Sasso0%
Rafael Bracali0%
Filipe Ferreira0%
Ilija Vukotić0%
Miguel Reisinho0%
Reggie Cannon0%
Rodrigo Abascal0%
Sebastián Pérez0%
Luís Santos0%
Bruno Onyemaechi0%
Robson0%
Pedro Malheiro0%
Martim Tavares0%
Julio Dabo0%
Joel Silva0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →
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Benfica
FC Porto
SC Braga
Sporting CP
Arouca
Guimaraes
Chaves
Famalicao
Casa Pia
Vizela
GIL Vicente
Estoril
Portimonense
Maritimo
Pacos Ferreira
Santa Clara
Estrela