This opponent (Crewe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crewe
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.37
1.21
1.79
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
2.00
0.00
3.00
3.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.09
1.30
1.40
1.60
0.85
1.08
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
1.40
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Rotherham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.3%
Under 1.5
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.2%
Under 2.5
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.1%
Under 3.5
76.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.8%
No
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
11.6%
0-0
9.8%
2-1 ✓
9.4%
3-0
6.3%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.1%
Rotherham goals ↓
Crewe goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.8%
5.9%
2.8%
0.8%
0.2%
1
13%
13%
4.6%
1.3%
0.3%
2
12%
9.4%
3.8%
1.0%
0.2%
3
6.3%
5.1%
2.1%
0.6%
0.1%
4
2.6%
2.1%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rotherham goals (down), columns = Crewe goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Newcastle
2.71
Sheffield Weds
2.50
Tottenham
2.40
Fleetwood Town
2.33
Crystal Palace
2.25
Blackpool
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Everton
2.00
Fulham
2.00
Brighton
2.00
Coventry
2.00
Derby
2.00
Wycombe
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Watford
2.00
Liverpool
2.00
Arsenal
1.80
Stoke
1.75
Brentford
1.75
Southampton
1.75
Preston
1.75
Walsall
1.67
Birmingham
1.50
Tranmere
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Cardiff
1.50
Sheffield United
1.50
Doncaster
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Oxford
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Crawley Town
1.50
Harrogate
1.50
Chelsea
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
West Ham
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Millwall
1.50
Norwich
1.50
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Leicester
1.33
Barrow
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Barnsley
1.33
Notts County
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Reading
1.00
Grimsby
0.50
Shrewsbury
0.50
Colchester
0.50
Bournemouth
0.00
Swindon
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Salford
0.00
Stockport
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Burton
0.00
Stevenage
0.00
Crewe
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Bristol City
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Lincoln
0.00
West Brom
0.00
Wrexham
0.00
Carlisle
0.00
Gillingham
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Cambridge
0.00
Port Vale
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Hull
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Bromley
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Newport County
0.00
Morecambe
0.00
Accrington
0.00
Rotherham is 1.50 points better than Crewe in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 0.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester United
5.00
Blackburn
3.50
Notts County
3.00
Stevenage
3.00
Brighton
3.00
Watford
2.67
Stoke
2.50
Cardiff
2.50
Crystal Palace
2.50
Southampton
2.50
Chelsea
2.50
Huddersfield
2.50
Liverpool
2.50
Sheffield Weds
2.25
Arsenal
2.20
Swindon
2.00
Blackpool
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Sheffield United
2.00
Everton
2.00
Wrexham
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Port Vale
2.00
Crawley Town
2.00
Reading
2.00
Norwich
2.00
Preston
2.00
Newcastle
1.86
Tottenham
1.80
Fleetwood Town
1.67
Tranmere
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Fulham
1.50
Brentford
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Shrewsbury
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Wycombe
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Walsall
1.33
Stockport
1.00
Crewe
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Lincoln
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Doncaster
1.00
Grimsby
1.00
Coventry
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Oxford
1.00
Cambridge
1.00
Chesterfield
1.00
Barrow
1.00
Hull
1.00
Derby
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Newport County
1.00
Harrogate
1.00
Colchester
1.00
West Ham
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Barnsley
0.67
Birmingham
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Bournemouth
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Salford
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Burton
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Bristol City
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Carlisle
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Morecambe
0.00
Accrington
0.00
Rotherham is 0.50 goals better than Crewe in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.43
Everton
0.50
Fulham
0.50
Oxford
0.50
Derby
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Blackpool
0.67
Coventry
0.67
Wycombe
0.67
Watford
0.67
Sheffield Weds
0.75
Bournemouth
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Portsmouth
1.00
Stoke
1.00
Fleetwood Town
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Bristol City
1.00
Swansea
1.00
Charlton
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Plymouth
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Chelsea
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Preston
1.00
Walsall
1.00
Liverpool
1.17
Brentford
1.25
Crystal Palace
1.25
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Leyton Orient
1.33
Arsenal
1.40
Sheffield United
1.50
Doncaster
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Colchester
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Leicester
1.67
Brighton
1.67
Tottenham
1.80
Tranmere
2.00
Salford
2.00
Crewe
2.00
Peterboro
2.00
Lincoln
2.00
West Brom
2.00
Carlisle
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Northampton
2.00
Cambridge
2.00
Chesterfield
2.00
Burnley
2.00
Hull
2.00
Bristol Rvs
2.00
Bromley
2.00
Sunderland
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Southampton
2.00
Bolton
2.00
Reading
2.00
Barrow
2.33
Cardiff
2.50
Shrewsbury
2.50
Middlesbrough
2.50
West Ham
2.50
Barnsley
2.67
Leeds
3.00
Notts County
3.00
Grimsby
3.00
Gillingham
3.00
Port Vale
3.00
Cheltenham
3.00
Crawley Town
3.00
Harrogate
3.00
Morecambe
3.00
Accrington
3.00
Norwich
3.50
Swindon
4.00
Burton
4.00
Stevenage
4.00
Wrexham
4.00
Newport County
4.00
Milton Keynes Dons
5.00
Stockport
6.00
Rotherham is 0.50 goals better than Crewe in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rotherham
For 3.2 · Against 6.2 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 9.3 · Total 20.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Crewe
For 4.8 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 10.8 · Total 20.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rotherham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
11.5
9.2
3.1
2.9
3.4
20.9
20.3
21.5
vs Stronger (46)
10.7
11.7
9.7
3.2
2.8
3.5
20.6
20.1
21.1
vs Similar (4)
6.2
7.0
6.0
3.0
5.0
2.3
24.2
25.0
24.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
56%
72%
40%
34%
32%
36%
50%
44%
56%
% under line
44%
28%
60%
66%
68%
64%
50%
56%
44%
This opponent (Crewe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crewe
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.4
10.9
4.5
4.5
4.5
21.8
22.0
21.6
vs Stronger (4)
10.8
9.5
12.0
4.5
4.0
5.0
24.0
20.5
27.5
vs Similar (40)
10.6
10.5
10.6
4.5
4.4
4.5
21.8
22.2
21.2
vs Weaker (6)
11.0
10.0
12.0
4.7
5.3
4.0
21.0
21.7
20.3
% over line
60%
56%
64%
64%
64%
64%
48%
48%
48%
% under line
40%
44%
36%
36%
36%
36%
52%
52%
52%
This opponent (Rotherham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Manchester United
12.6
Plymouth
12.4
Tottenham
12.0
Bromley
12.0
Tranmere
11.8
Fleetwood Town
11.7
Bournemouth
11.6
Coventry
11.6
Exeter
11.4
Southampton
11.3
Everton
11.3
Derby
11.3
Blackburn
11.3
Peterboro
11.3
Liverpool
11.3
Wrexham
11.2
Grimsby
11.2
Huddersfield
11.1
Middlesbrough
11.1
QPR
11.0
Stoke
11.0
Port Vale
11.0
Luton
10.9
Harrogate
10.8
Charlton
10.8
Notts County
10.8
Bolton
10.8
West Brom
10.8
Morecambe
10.7
Leeds
10.7
Crewe
10.6
Sheffield United
10.6
Wycombe
10.6
Fulham
10.6
Brentford
10.5
Mansfield
10.5
Birmingham
10.5
Bristol Rvs
10.5
Sheffield Weds
10.5
Burnley
10.5
Walsall
10.5
Reading
10.5
Norwich
10.5
Bristol City
10.5
Barnsley
10.5
Hull
10.5
Colchester
10.4
Sunderland
10.4
Crawley Town
10.4
Newcastle
10.4
Shrewsbury
10.4
Rotherham
10.4
Manchester City
10.4
Swansea
10.3
Wolves
10.3
Swindon
10.3
Nottingham Forest
10.3
Accrington
10.3
Oxford
10.3
Ipswich
10.3
Leyton Orient
10.2
Chelsea
10.2
Doncaster
10.1
Millwall
10.1
Bradford
10.1
Gillingham
10.0
West Ham
10.0
Crystal Palace
10.0
Stevenage
10.0
Newport County
10.0
Cheltenham
10.0
Watford
9.9
Portsmouth
9.9
Carlisle
9.8
Aston Villa
9.8
Leicester
9.7
Cambridge
9.7
Salford
9.7
Blackpool
9.7
Milton Keynes Dons
9.6
Cardiff
9.6
AFC Wimbledon
9.5
Brighton
9.5
Barrow
9.4
Lincoln
9.4
Preston
9.4
Arsenal
9.3
Stockport
9.3
Wigan
9.3
Northampton
9.2
Burton
8.8
Chesterfield
5.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Wigan
5.2
Brighton
5.2
Wolves
4.9
Chelsea
4.9
Aston Villa
4.9
Portsmouth
4.8
Sunderland
4.8
Tottenham
4.8
Southampton
4.7
Lincoln
4.6
Newcastle
4.5
Bristol Rvs
4.5
Colchester
4.5
Doncaster
4.5
Crawley Town
4.5
Crewe
4.5
Salford
4.5
Bradford
4.4
Morecambe
4.4
AFC Wimbledon
4.4
Notts County
4.4
Milton Keynes Dons
4.4
Coventry
4.3
Bolton
4.3
Exeter
4.3
Sheffield Weds
4.3
Stevenage
4.3
Watford
4.3
QPR
4.3
Oxford
4.2
Manchester United
4.2
Leicester
4.2
Leeds
4.2
Stoke
4.2
Blackpool
4.2
Burnley
4.2
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Hull
4.1
Millwall
4.1
Fleetwood Town
4.1
Cheltenham
4.1
West Ham
4.1
Liverpool
4.1
Charlton
4.1
Blackburn
4.1
Cambridge
4.0
Swansea
4.0
Barnsley
4.0
Barrow
4.0
Brentford
4.0
Bournemouth
4.0
Chesterfield
4.0
Shrewsbury
4.0
Gillingham
4.0
Port Vale
4.0
Crystal Palace
4.0
Norwich
3.9
Ipswich
3.9
Plymouth
3.9
Mansfield
3.9
Tranmere
3.9
Walsall
3.9
Wycombe
3.9
Leyton Orient
3.8
Sheffield United
3.8
Accrington
3.8
Luton
3.8
Burton
3.8
Swindon
3.8
Birmingham
3.8
Middlesbrough
3.8
Everton
3.8
Wrexham
3.7
Huddersfield
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Reading
3.7
Arsenal
3.7
Fulham
3.7
Derby
3.6
Stockport
3.6
Bromley
3.6
Preston
3.5
Peterboro
3.5
Carlisle
3.4
Cardiff
3.4
West Brom
3.4
Northampton
3.4
Newport County
3.4
Grimsby
3.3
Harrogate
3.2
Bristol City
3.2
Rotherham
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Stevenage
25.1
Portsmouth
24.8
Accrington
24.7
Wigan
24.4
Tottenham
24.2
Wolves
23.8
Luton
23.7
Crystal Palace
23.7
Watford
23.6
Bolton
23.5
Cheltenham
23.5
Birmingham
23.4
Chelsea
23.3
Brighton
23.2
Aston Villa
23.2
Sunderland
23.2
Salford
23.1
Newcastle
23.1
Milton Keynes Dons
23.0
Cambridge
23.0
Coventry
23.0
Ipswich
22.9
Doncaster
22.9
AFC Wimbledon
22.9
Grimsby
22.8
Bournemouth
22.8
Bristol Rvs
22.8
Bradford
22.8
Leeds
22.7
Hull
22.6
Stockport
22.5
Sheffield Weds
22.5
Swansea
22.5
QPR
22.4
Blackpool
22.4
Huddersfield
22.4
Lincoln
22.3
Preston
22.3
Liverpool
22.2
Millwall
22.2
Southampton
22.1
Stoke
22.0
Fleetwood Town
22.0
Plymouth
22.0
Bromley
22.0
Barrow
22.0
Crewe
21.8
Burton
21.8
Everton
21.7
Shrewsbury
21.7
Nottingham Forest
21.7
Oxford
21.7
Arsenal
21.7
Newport County
21.6
Reading
21.5
Middlesbrough
21.5
Exeter
21.5
Derby
21.4
Brentford
21.3
Burnley
21.2
Leicester
21.2
Wycombe
21.2
Walsall
21.2
Mansfield
21.2
Crawley Town
21.1
Norwich
21.1
Colchester
21.1
Chesterfield
21.0
Gillingham
21.0
Swindon
20.9
Fulham
20.9
West Ham
20.9
Morecambe
20.9
Rotherham
20.9
Charlton
20.8
Port Vale
20.8
Leyton Orient
20.5
Wrexham
20.4
Barnsley
20.3
Bristol City
20.3
Northampton
20.1
Carlisle
20.1
Sheffield United
20.1
Peterboro
19.9
Harrogate
19.9
Tranmere
19.8
Manchester United
19.8
Cardiff
19.7
Blackburn
19.6
Notts County
19.5
Manchester City
19.2
West Brom
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
59.5%
Under 9.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
58.4%
Under 3.5
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
64.7%
Under 21.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Rotherham or Draw✓ Hit
82.7%
Avg Implied -
56%
27%
17%
covers Rotherham + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rotherham or Crewe✓ Hit
73.2%
Avg Implied -
56%
27%
17%
covers Rotherham + Crewe
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Crewe✗ Miss
44.1%
Avg Implied -
56%
27%
17%
covers Draw + Crewe
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Rotherham over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.5%
Under
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotherham over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
48.7%
Under
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotherham over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
22.6%
Under
77.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotherham over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.4%
Under
91.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crewe over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
55.5%
Under
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crewe over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
19.4%
Under
80.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crewe over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crewe over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Rotherham, so a minus line means Rotherham give that many goals of a start and Crewe receive them. At -1, Rotherham must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Rotherham win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Rotherham)Actual: Crewe
Rotherham -2
13.5%
Draw -2
17.7%
Crewe +2
68.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Rotherham)Actual: Draw
Rotherham -1
31.1%
Draw -1
24.7%
Crewe +1
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Rotherham)Actual: Rotherham
Rotherham +1
82.7%
Draw +1
11.7%
Crewe -1
5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Rotherham)Actual: Rotherham
Rotherham +2
94.4%
Draw +2
4.3%
Crewe -2
1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rotherham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
0.97
0.21
0.43
0.25
1.44
vs Stronger (28)
0.25
1.04
0.23
0.46
0.27
1.53
vs Similar (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Crewe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crewe
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.80
0.71
0.86
0.50
0.75
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
0.00
2.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.74
0.90
0.70
0.38
0.77
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.80
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Rotherham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rotherham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotherham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotherham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crewe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crewe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crewe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rotherham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.93
0.57
0.71
0.38
1.12
vs Stronger (28)
0.50
0.96
0.62
0.77
0.40
1.13
vs Similar (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Crewe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crewe
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.57
0.50
0.93
0.50
0.25
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.48
0.57
0.50
0.90
0.46
0.31
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.60
0.67
1.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Rotherham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rotherham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotherham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotherham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crewe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crewe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crewe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Rotherham · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fábio Tavares67%
Paul Mullin33%
Ewan Otoo33%
Joe Rafferty0%
Denzel Hall0%
Ar'Jany Martha0%
Ted Cann0%
Kian Spence0%
Brandon Cover0%
Sonny Aljofree0%
Jili Buyabu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Brandon Cover100%
Jili Buyabu67%
Fábio Tavares33%
Paul Mullin0%
Joe Rafferty0%
Denzel Hall0%
Ar'Jany Martha0%
Ted Cann0%
Kian Spence0%
Ewan Otoo0%
Sonny Aljofree0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ar'Jany Martha33%
Kian Spence33%
Ewan Otoo33%
Paul Mullin0%
Joe Rafferty0%
Fábio Tavares0%
Denzel Hall0%
Ted Cann0%
Brandon Cover0%
Sonny Aljofree0%
Jili Buyabu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fábio Tavares33%
Paul Mullin0%
Joe Rafferty0%
Denzel Hall0%
Ar'Jany Martha0%
Ted Cann0%
Kian Spence0%
Brandon Cover0%
Ewan Otoo0%
Sonny Aljofree0%
Jili Buyabu0%
Crewe · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jack Lankester33%
Josh March33%
Adrien Thibaut25%
Jordan Gibson0%
Luke Offord0%
Reece Hutchinson0%
Mickey Demetriou0%
Charlie McNeill0%
Joel Tabiner0%
Matúš Holíček0%
Lewis Billington0%
Tom Booth0%
Calum Agius0%
Joshua Stephenson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mickey Demetriou33%
Josh March33%
Jordan Gibson0%
Luke Offord0%
Jack Lankester0%
Reece Hutchinson0%
Charlie McNeill0%
Joel Tabiner0%
Matúš Holíček0%
Lewis Billington0%
Tom Booth0%
Adrien Thibaut0%
Calum Agius0%
Joshua Stephenson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lewis Billington50%
Charlie McNeill33%
Jordan Gibson0%
Luke Offord0%
Jack Lankester0%
Reece Hutchinson0%
Mickey Demetriou0%
Josh March0%
Joel Tabiner0%
Matúš Holíček0%
Tom Booth0%
Adrien Thibaut0%
Calum Agius0%
Joshua Stephenson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jordan Gibson50%
Charlie McNeill33%
Calum Agius25%
Luke Offord0%
Jack Lankester0%
Reece Hutchinson0%
Mickey Demetriou0%
Josh March0%
Joel Tabiner0%
Matúš Holíček0%
Lewis Billington0%
Tom Booth0%
Adrien Thibaut0%
Joshua Stephenson0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BRO (19)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
CAR (1)
€0m
MOR (1)
€0m
Rotherham and Crewe have a similar squad value (both €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (3)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Rotherham and Crewe have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
MKD (6)
€7m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
BAR (5)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
MOR (1)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
Rotherham and Crewe have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Rotherham and Crewe have a similar defence value (both €2m).
England: League One 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
England: League Two 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League Two stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Birmingham
Wrexham
Stockport
Charlton
Wycombe
Leyton Orient
Reading
Bolton
Blackpool
Huddersfield
Lincoln
Barnsley
Stevenage
Wigan
Exeter
Mansfield
Peterboro
Northampton
Burton
Crawley Town
Bristol Rvs
Cambridge
Shrewsbury
Doncaster
Port Vale
Bradford
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
Notts County
Chesterfield
Salford
Grimsby
Colchester
Bromley
Swindon
Fleetwood Town
Cheltenham
Barrow
Gillingham
Harrogate
Milton Keynes Dons
Tranmere
Accrington
Newport County
Carlisle
Morecambe