This opponent (Amiens) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amiens
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.00
0.93
1.00
0.67
1.00
vs Stronger (6)
1.17
1.50
1.00
1.67
1.33
1.33
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.88
0.92
0.83
0.50
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Rouen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.5%
Under 1.5
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.9%
@ 2.39+2.5%
Under 2.5
58.1%
@ 1.55-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.2%
Under 3.5
78.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.1%
No
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.8%
0-1
10.5%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.9%
Rouen goals ↓
Amiens goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
10%
7.3%
3.0%
0.9%
1
9.2%
14%
8.2%
3.4%
1.1%
2
5.9%
7.3%
4.5%
1.9%
0.6%
3
2.2%
2.7%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.6%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rouen goals (down), columns = Amiens goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Auxerre
1.93
Angers
1.85
Saint Etienne
1.73
Caen
1.55
Paris FC
1.51
Rodez
1.48
Amiens
1.43
Laval
1.40
Grenoble
1.38
Guingamp
1.38
Bastia
1.38
PAU
1.30
Bordeaux
1.30
Ajaccio
1.25
Annecy
1.25
Dunkerque
1.23
Estac Troyes
1.10
Concarneau
1.05
Quevilly
1.00
Rouen
1.00
Valenciennes
0.78
Rouen is 0.43 points worse than Amiens in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Auxerre
1.95
Rodez
1.62
PAU
1.55
Angers
1.50
Caen
1.40
Quevilly
1.34
Rouen
1.34
Bordeaux
1.30
Saint Etienne
1.29
Paris FC
1.29
Annecy
1.27
Guingamp
1.18
Grenoble
1.15
Estac Troyes
1.15
Bastia
1.12
Concarneau
1.05
Laval
1.05
Amiens
1.00
Dunkerque
0.95
Ajaccio
0.93
Valenciennes
0.70
Rouen is 0.34 goals better than Amiens in terms of goals scored per game (1.34 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Saint Etienne
0.83
Amiens
0.97
Auxerre
1.05
Guingamp
1.05
Angers
1.10
Paris FC
1.12
Grenoble
1.15
Ajaccio
1.18
Bastia
1.20
Caen
1.23
Laval
1.23
Annecy
1.27
Estac Troyes
1.32
Dunkerque
1.35
Bordeaux
1.38
Valenciennes
1.40
Quevilly
1.45
Rouen
1.45
Rodez
1.45
Concarneau
1.48
PAU
1.52
Rouen is 0.47 goals worse than Amiens in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 0.97).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bordeaux
60%
Auxerre
57%
Paris FC
56%
Concarneau
53%
Saint Etienne
53%
Angers
53%
Dunkerque
51%
Caen
51%
Estac Troyes
50%
Grenoble
50%
Ajaccio
49%
PAU
49%
Valenciennes
49%
Bastia
47%
Guingamp
47%
Quevilly
47%
Amiens
46%
Rodez
46%
Laval
44%
Annecy
43%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rouen
For 4.0 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.6 · Against 11.7 · Total 27.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Amiens
For 4.6 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 14.1 · Total 28.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rouen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
9.0
8.5
3.7
4.0
3.3
27.7
29.2
26.3
vs Stronger (35)
9.2
9.4
9.1
3.7
4.2
3.3
26.6
27.8
25.6
vs Similar (15)
7.7
8.3
6.7
3.6
3.7
3.5
30.3
31.6
28.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
42%
48%
36%
42%
48%
36%
90%
88%
92%
% under line
58%
52%
64%
58%
52%
64%
10%
12%
8%
This opponent (Amiens) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amiens
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
8.6
10.6
2.8
2.9
2.6
28.6
29.2
28.1
vs Stronger (9)
10.6
10.0
11.0
3.0
5.3
1.8
26.3
26.3
26.2
vs Similar (39)
9.0
8.1
10.2
2.8
2.6
2.9
29.3
29.8
28.8
vs Weaker (2)
12.5
11.0
14.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
27.5
29.0
26.0
% over line
51%
39%
65%
40%
35%
46%
86%
89%
82%
% under line
49%
61%
35%
60%
65%
54%
14%
11%
18%
This opponent (Rouen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rodez
10.1
Auxerre
10.0
Angers
10.0
Bordeaux
9.9
Estac Troyes
9.7
Saint Etienne
9.6
Amiens
9.4
Dunkerque
9.4
Guingamp
9.3
Laval
9.1
Paris FC
9.1
Annecy
9.0
Bastia
8.9
Quevilly
8.9
Caen
8.9
Grenoble
8.7
Rouen
8.7
PAU
8.7
Valenciennes
8.4
Concarneau
8.4
Ajaccio
7.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bordeaux
4.4
Angers
4.4
Valenciennes
4.3
Bastia
4.2
Caen
4.1
Laval
4.1
Saint Etienne
4.0
Estac Troyes
4.0
Rodez
3.9
PAU
3.9
Dunkerque
3.9
Annecy
3.9
Amiens
3.9
Concarneau
3.8
Grenoble
3.7
Rouen
3.7
Quevilly
3.7
Ajaccio
3.6
Guingamp
3.6
Auxerre
3.6
Paris FC
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Valenciennes
30.1
Caen
29.9
Laval
28.3
Concarneau
27.8
Amiens
27.8
Rouen
27.7
Quevilly
27.6
Ajaccio
27.5
Dunkerque
27.4
Bastia
27.3
Bordeaux
27.2
Guingamp
27.1
Saint Etienne
26.7
Annecy
26.6
Estac Troyes
26.3
PAU
26.2
Paris FC
25.8
Rodez
25.4
Grenoble
25.3
Angers
24.5
Auxerre
23.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
48.9%
Under 9.5
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
55.7%
Under 3.5
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
90.5%
Under 21.5
9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rouen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.73
0.47
0.80
1.00
0.67
vs Stronger (23)
0.78
0.83
0.45
0.82
1.08
0.83
vs Similar (7)
0.57
0.43
0.50
0.75
0.67
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Amiens) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amiens
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.47
0.53
0.40
0.33
0.53
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.83
0.67
0.67
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.42
0.38
0.50
0.33
0.33
0.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Rouen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rouen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rouen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.67
0.73
0.53
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (23)
0.65
0.70
0.73
0.55
0.58
0.83
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.57
0.75
0.50
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Amiens) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amiens
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.53
0.40
0.60
0.33
0.47
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.67
0.33
1.00
1.00
0.33
vs Similar (24)
0.29
0.50
0.42
0.50
0.17
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Rouen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rouen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Amiens
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Louis Mafouta32%
Gaël Kakuta27%
Andy Carroll14%
Mathis Touho14%
Yvan Ikia Dimi11%
Antoine Leautey11%
Jack Lahne9%
Mounir Chouiar7%
Maxime Do Couto4%
Jérémy Gélin3%
Frank Boya3%
Sébastien Corchia0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Nicholas Opoku0%
Sebastian Ring0%
Regis Gurtner0%
Kylian Kaiboue0%
Alexis Sauvage0%
Amadou Ciss0%
Abdoul Tapsoba0%
Youssouf Assogba0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Ayman Ouhatti0%
Osaze Urhoghide0%
Owen Gene0%
Ayoub Amraoui0%
Kassoum Ouattara0%
Rayan Lutin0%
Mohamed Jaouab0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kylian Kaiboue39%
Sebastian Ring29%
Mohamed Jaouab27%
Youssouf Assogba20%
Frank Boya19%
Mamadou Fofana18%
Louis Mafouta18%
Osaze Urhoghide17%
Mamadou Fofana15%
Owen Gene15%
Andy Carroll14%
Amadou Ciss14%
Gaël Kakuta14%
Jérémy Gélin13%
Yvan Ikia Dimi11%
Kassoum Ouattara10%
Maxime Do Couto9%
Sébastien Corchia7%
Abdoul Tapsoba7%
Nicholas Opoku4%
Antoine Leautey3%
Mounir Chouiar0%
Regis Gurtner0%
Alexis Sauvage0%
Jack Lahne0%
Ayman Ouhatti0%
Ayoub Amraoui0%
Rayan Lutin0%
Mathis Touho0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sébastien Corchia14%
Antoine Leautey11%
Frank Boya10%
Gaël Kakuta9%
Jack Lahne9%
Owen Gene9%
Mohamed Jaouab9%
Mounir Chouiar7%
Jérémy Gélin7%
Abdoul Tapsoba7%
Kylian Kaiboue6%
Andy Carroll4%
Louis Mafouta3%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Nicholas Opoku0%
Sebastian Ring0%
Regis Gurtner0%
Alexis Sauvage0%
Amadou Ciss0%
Maxime Do Couto0%
Youssouf Assogba0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Ayman Ouhatti0%
Osaze Urhoghide0%
Ayoub Amraoui0%
Kassoum Ouattara0%
Yvan Ikia Dimi0%
Rayan Lutin0%
Mathis Touho0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Louis Mafouta32%
Mounir Chouiar14%
Kylian Kaiboue13%
Antoine Leautey11%
Jack Lahne9%
Andy Carroll7%
Abdoul Tapsoba7%
Gaël Kakuta5%
Maxime Do Couto4%
Frank Boya3%
Sébastien Corchia0%
Jérémy Gélin0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Nicholas Opoku0%
Sebastian Ring0%
Regis Gurtner0%
Alexis Sauvage0%
Amadou Ciss0%
Youssouf Assogba0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Ayman Ouhatti0%
Osaze Urhoghide0%
Owen Gene0%
Ayoub Amraoui0%
Kassoum Ouattara0%
Yvan Ikia Dimi0%
Rayan Lutin0%
Mathis Touho0%
Mohamed Jaouab0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (37)
€176m
SE (30)
€93m
AUX (29)
€84m
ANG (23)
€73m
ET (23)
€36m
ROD (23)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
DUN (21)
€11m
ANN (21)
€10m
LAV (24)
€9m
BAS (19)
€7m
AMI (14)
€4m
CAE (18)
€4m
VAL (21)
€4m
CON (18)
€3m
ROU (14)
€3m
QUE (10)
€2m
Rouen's squad is €2m less valuable than Amiens's (€3m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (13)
€59m
SE (10)
€54m
ANG (9)
€30m
AUX (11)
€23m
ET (7)
€7m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
DUN (7)
€4m
BAS (9)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
ANN (7)
€3m
LAV (7)
€2m
CAE (8)
€2m
ROU (5)
€2m
VAL (8)
€1m
CON (7)
€1m
AMI (4)
€0m
QUE (2)
€0m
Rouen's attack is €1m more valuable than Amiens's (€2m vs €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (7)
€54m
AUX (5)
€28m
ANG (3)
€11m
ET (6)
€11m
SE (7)
€11m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
ANN (6)
€3m
LAV (7)
€3m
GRE (5)
€3m
PAU (4)
€2m
DUN (5)
€1m
BAS (3)
€1m
CON (5)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
CAE (4)
€1m
AMI (2)
€0m
QUE (2)
€0m
ROU (3)
€0m
Rouen and Amiens have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (17)
€62m
AUX (13)
€33m
ANG (11)
€32m
SE (13)
€28m
ET (10)
€17m
ROD (10)
€7m
PAU (10)
€6m
DUN (9)
€5m
LAV (10)
€4m
ANN (8)
€4m
GRE (10)
€4m
AMI (8)
€4m
GUI (8)
€3m
BAS (7)
€2m
VAL (10)
€2m
CAE (6)
€2m
QUE (6)
€1m
ROU (6)
€1m
CON (6)
€1m
Rouen's defence is €2m less valuable than Amiens's (€1m vs €4m).
France: Ligue 2 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Auxerre
Angers
Saint Etienne
Rodez
Caen
Paris FC
Laval
Guingamp
Grenoble
Bastia
PAU
Bordeaux
Annecy
Ajaccio
Dunkerque
Estac Troyes
Concarneau
Quevilly
Valenciennes