This opponent (Concarneau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Concarneau
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.20
1.40
0.33
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (3)
0.33
1.33
0.50
1.50
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Rouen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.0%
Under 1.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.2%
@ 2.14+2.4%
Under 2.5
53.8%
@ 1.67-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.7%
Under 3.5
75.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.1%
No
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
Rouen goals ↓
Concarneau goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.3%
7.1%
4.3%
1.5%
0.4%
1
11%
14%
6.4%
2.2%
0.6%
2
8.9%
9.2%
4.8%
1.6%
0.4%
3
4.4%
4.6%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.6%
1.7%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rouen goals (down), columns = Concarneau goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Auxerre
1.93
Angers
1.85
Saint Etienne
1.73
Caen
1.55
Paris FC
1.51
Rodez
1.48
Amiens
1.43
Laval
1.40
Grenoble
1.38
Guingamp
1.38
Bastia
1.38
PAU
1.30
Bordeaux
1.30
Ajaccio
1.25
Annecy
1.25
Dunkerque
1.23
Estac Troyes
1.10
Concarneau
1.05
Quevilly
1.00
Rouen
1.00
Valenciennes
0.78
Rouen is 0.05 points worse than Concarneau in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.05).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Auxerre
1.95
Rodez
1.62
PAU
1.55
Angers
1.50
Caen
1.40
Quevilly
1.34
Rouen
1.34
Bordeaux
1.30
Saint Etienne
1.29
Paris FC
1.29
Annecy
1.27
Guingamp
1.18
Grenoble
1.15
Estac Troyes
1.15
Bastia
1.12
Concarneau
1.05
Laval
1.05
Amiens
1.00
Dunkerque
0.95
Ajaccio
0.93
Valenciennes
0.70
Rouen is 0.29 goals better than Concarneau in terms of goals scored per game (1.34 vs 1.05).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Saint Etienne
0.83
Amiens
0.97
Auxerre
1.05
Guingamp
1.05
Angers
1.10
Paris FC
1.12
Grenoble
1.15
Ajaccio
1.18
Bastia
1.20
Caen
1.23
Laval
1.23
Annecy
1.27
Estac Troyes
1.32
Dunkerque
1.35
Bordeaux
1.38
Valenciennes
1.40
Quevilly
1.45
Rouen
1.45
Rodez
1.45
Concarneau
1.48
PAU
1.52
Rouen is 0.03 goals better than Concarneau in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 1.48).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bordeaux
60%
Auxerre
57%
Paris FC
56%
Concarneau
53%
Saint Etienne
53%
Angers
53%
Dunkerque
51%
Caen
51%
Estac Troyes
50%
Grenoble
50%
Ajaccio
49%
PAU
49%
Valenciennes
49%
Bastia
47%
Guingamp
47%
Quevilly
47%
Amiens
46%
Rodez
46%
Laval
44%
Annecy
43%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rouen
For 4.6 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 12.4 · Total 26.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Concarneau
For 4.8 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 17.0 · Total 28.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rouen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.0
7.5
8.6
3.8
4.2
3.4
28.8
30.1
27.5
vs Stronger (32)
8.5
8.0
9.0
3.9
4.3
3.6
27.6
29.3
26.1
vs Similar (18)
7.1
6.8
7.6
3.6
4.2
2.8
31.1
31.2
31.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
27%
20%
33%
46%
52%
40%
92%
96%
88%
% under line
73%
80%
67%
54%
48%
60%
8%
4%
12%
This opponent (Concarneau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Concarneau
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (5)
8.8
6.7
12.0
3.8
5.0
2.0
28.2
29.0
27.0
vs Stronger (2)
11.0
11.0
11.0
2.0
3.0
1.0
26.0
24.0
28.0
vs Similar (3)
7.3
4.5
13.0
5.0
6.0
3.0
29.7
31.5
26.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
33%
100%
20%
33%
0%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
40%
67%
0%
80%
67%
100%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Rouen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Estac Troyes
9.8
Bordeaux
9.4
Valenciennes
9.2
Saint Etienne
9.1
Amiens
9.1
Auxerre
9.1
Guingamp
9.0
Angers
8.9
Caen
8.9
PAU
8.9
Paris FC
8.9
Concarneau
8.8
Quevilly
8.8
Bastia
8.8
Grenoble
8.5
Dunkerque
8.4
Rouen
8.1
Rodez
8.1
Ajaccio
7.9
Annecy
7.1
Laval
7.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Valenciennes
4.5
Annecy
4.4
Caen
4.4
Estac Troyes
4.4
Bordeaux
4.4
Angers
4.2
Guingamp
4.1
Laval
4.1
Ajaccio
4.1
Saint Etienne
4.1
Grenoble
4.0
PAU
4.0
Bastia
4.0
Dunkerque
3.9
Rouen
3.8
Rodez
3.8
Concarneau
3.8
Amiens
3.7
Auxerre
3.4
Paris FC
3.2
Quevilly
2.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Valenciennes
30.6
Dunkerque
30.5
Rouen
28.6
Caen
28.4
Concarneau
28.2
Quevilly
28.2
Bastia
28.0
Ajaccio
27.6
Laval
27.5
Guingamp
27.5
Rodez
27.3
Grenoble
26.5
PAU
26.5
Amiens
26.3
Annecy
26.0
Estac Troyes
25.4
Saint Etienne
25.1
Angers
25.0
Paris FC
25.0
Bordeaux
23.6
Auxerre
22.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
44.0%
Under 9.5
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.4%
Under 3.5
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
88.6%
Under 21.5
11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rouen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.30
0.47
0.20
0.53
0.40
vs Stronger (21)
0.62
0.24
0.67
0.11
0.58
0.33
vs Similar (9)
0.22
0.44
0.17
0.33
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
77% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Concarneau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Concarneau
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.00
0.40
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Rouen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rouen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Concarneau over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Concarneau over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Concarneau over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rouen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.90
0.67
0.80
0.67
1.00
vs Stronger (21)
0.71
1.05
0.89
1.11
0.58
1.00
vs Similar (9)
0.56
0.56
0.33
0.33
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Concarneau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Concarneau
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.20
1.00
0.33
0.67
0.00
1.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (3)
0.33
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Rouen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rouen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Concarneau over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Concarneau over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Concarneau over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Concarneau
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bevic Moussiti Oko40%
Pape Ibnou Ba29%
Yanis Merdji20%
Kandet Diawara13%
Tom Lebeau12%
Baptiste Mouazan11%
Nassim Chadli9%
Clément Rodrigues9%
Noha Ndombasi Nlandu8%
Thibault Sinquin7%
Maxime Etuin6%
Axel Urie6%
Isaac Matondo3%
Alexandre Philiponeau0%
Ambroise Gboho0%
Julien Faussurier0%
Esteban Salles0%
Issouf Paro0%
Romain Sans0%
Guillaume Jannez0%
Gabriel Bares0%
Julien Celestine0%
Alec Georgen0%
Mamadou Sylla0%
Abdelwahed Wahib0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tom Lebeau38%
Julien Celestine27%
Nassim Chadli18%
Issouf Paro17%
Thibault Sinquin14%
Yanis Merdji13%
Maxime Etuin12%
Alexandre Philiponeau12%
Alec Georgen9%
Axel Urie8%
Abdelwahed Wahib8%
Esteban Salles8%
Romain Sans8%
Gabriel Bares8%
Isaac Matondo7%
Kandet Diawara7%
Guillaume Jannez6%
Julien Faussurier6%
Baptiste Mouazan6%
Clément Rodrigues5%
Ambroise Gboho0%
Bevic Moussiti Oko0%
Mamadou Sylla0%
Pape Ibnou Ba0%
Noha Ndombasi Nlandu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bevic Moussiti Oko20%
Nassim Chadli9%
Clément Rodrigues9%
Alec Georgen9%
Julien Faussurier8%
Abdelwahed Wahib8%
Romain Sans8%
Yanis Merdji7%
Kandet Diawara7%
Pape Ibnou Ba6%
Gabriel Bares4%
Noha Ndombasi Nlandu4%
Isaac Matondo3%
Alexandre Philiponeau3%
Baptiste Mouazan3%
Ambroise Gboho0%
Maxime Etuin0%
Esteban Salles0%
Issouf Paro0%
Tom Lebeau0%
Guillaume Jannez0%
Thibault Sinquin0%
Julien Celestine0%
Mamadou Sylla0%
Axel Urie0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bevic Moussiti Oko40%
Nassim Chadli23%
Pape Ibnou Ba19%
Ambroise Gboho8%
Yanis Merdji7%
Axel Urie6%
Isaac Matondo3%
Alexandre Philiponeau0%
Julien Faussurier0%
Maxime Etuin0%
Esteban Salles0%
Issouf Paro0%
Tom Lebeau0%
Romain Sans0%
Guillaume Jannez0%
Thibault Sinquin0%
Gabriel Bares0%
Julien Celestine0%
Alec Georgen0%
Mamadou Sylla0%
Kandet Diawara0%
Noha Ndombasi Nlandu0%
Baptiste Mouazan0%
Abdelwahed Wahib0%
Clément Rodrigues0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (37)
€176m
SE (30)
€93m
AUX (29)
€84m
ANG (23)
€73m
ET (23)
€36m
ROD (23)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
DUN (21)
€11m
ANN (21)
€10m
LAV (24)
€9m
BAS (19)
€7m
AMI (14)
€4m
CAE (18)
€4m
VAL (21)
€4m
CON (18)
€3m
ROU (14)
€3m
QUE (10)
€2m
Rouen and Concarneau have a similar squad value (both €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (13)
€59m
SE (10)
€54m
ANG (9)
€30m
AUX (11)
€23m
ET (7)
€7m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
DUN (7)
€4m
BAS (9)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
ANN (7)
€3m
LAV (7)
€2m
CAE (8)
€2m
ROU (5)
€2m
VAL (8)
€1m
CON (7)
€1m
AMI (4)
€0m
QUE (2)
€0m
Rouen and Concarneau have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (7)
€54m
AUX (5)
€28m
ANG (3)
€11m
ET (6)
€11m
SE (7)
€11m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
ANN (6)
€3m
LAV (7)
€3m
GRE (5)
€3m
PAU (4)
€2m
DUN (5)
€1m
BAS (3)
€1m
CON (5)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
CAE (4)
€1m
AMI (2)
€0m
QUE (2)
€0m
ROU (3)
€0m
Rouen and Concarneau have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (17)
€62m
AUX (13)
€33m
ANG (11)
€32m
SE (13)
€28m
ET (10)
€17m
ROD (10)
€7m
PAU (10)
€6m
DUN (9)
€5m
LAV (10)
€4m
ANN (8)
€4m
GRE (10)
€4m
AMI (8)
€4m
GUI (8)
€3m
BAS (7)
€2m
VAL (10)
€2m
CAE (6)
€2m
QUE (6)
€1m
ROU (6)
€1m
CON (6)
€1m
Rouen and Concarneau have a similar defence value (both €1m).
France: Ligue 2 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →