This opponent (Saint Etienne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Saint Etienne
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.77
1.38
0.75
1.29
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.79
0.79
2.00
0.71
1.57
0.86
vs Weaker (16)
0.94
0.75
0.89
0.78
1.00
0.71
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Rouen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.4%
Under 1.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.2%
@ 1.50-7.3%
Under 2.5
44.8%
@ 2.50+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.8%
Under 3.5
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.5%
No
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
0-2
10.9%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-3
6.6%
0-0
6.6%
2-1 ✓
4.5%
Rouen goals ↓
Saint Etienne goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
10%
11%
7.2%
3.6%
1
4.0%
11%
9.9%
6.6%
3.2%
2
2.3%
4.5%
4.5%
3.0%
1.5%
3
0.7%
1.4%
1.4%
0.9%
0.4%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rouen goals (down), columns = Saint Etienne goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Auxerre
1.93
Angers
1.85
Saint Etienne
1.73
Caen
1.55
Paris FC
1.51
Rodez
1.48
Amiens
1.43
Laval
1.40
Grenoble
1.38
Guingamp
1.38
Bastia
1.38
PAU
1.30
Bordeaux
1.30
Ajaccio
1.25
Annecy
1.25
Dunkerque
1.23
Estac Troyes
1.10
Concarneau
1.05
Quevilly
1.00
Rouen
1.00
Valenciennes
0.78
Rouen is 0.73 points worse than Saint Etienne in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.73).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Auxerre
1.95
Rodez
1.62
PAU
1.55
Angers
1.50
Caen
1.40
Quevilly
1.34
Rouen
1.34
Bordeaux
1.30
Saint Etienne
1.29
Paris FC
1.29
Annecy
1.27
Guingamp
1.18
Grenoble
1.15
Estac Troyes
1.15
Bastia
1.12
Concarneau
1.05
Laval
1.05
Amiens
1.00
Dunkerque
0.95
Ajaccio
0.93
Valenciennes
0.70
Rouen is 0.05 goals better than Saint Etienne in terms of goals scored per game (1.34 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Saint Etienne
0.83
Amiens
0.97
Auxerre
1.05
Guingamp
1.05
Angers
1.10
Paris FC
1.12
Grenoble
1.15
Ajaccio
1.18
Bastia
1.20
Caen
1.23
Laval
1.23
Annecy
1.27
Estac Troyes
1.32
Dunkerque
1.35
Bordeaux
1.38
Valenciennes
1.40
Quevilly
1.45
Rouen
1.45
Rodez
1.45
Concarneau
1.48
PAU
1.52
Rouen is 0.62 goals worse than Saint Etienne in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 0.83).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bordeaux
60%
Auxerre
57%
Paris FC
56%
Concarneau
53%
Saint Etienne
53%
Angers
53%
Dunkerque
51%
Caen
51%
Estac Troyes
50%
Grenoble
50%
Ajaccio
49%
PAU
49%
Valenciennes
49%
Bastia
47%
Guingamp
47%
Quevilly
47%
Amiens
46%
Rodez
46%
Laval
44%
Annecy
43%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rouen
For 5.0 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.4 · Against 11.9 · Total 29.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Saint Etienne
For 5.9 · Against 5.9 · Total 11.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 13.1 · Total 27.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rouen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.0
8.8
3.4
3.9
3.0
27.2
28.7
25.7
vs Stronger (35)
9.3
9.4
9.2
3.6
4.1
3.1
26.5
27.7
25.3
vs Similar (15)
8.0
8.4
7.6
3.1
3.4
2.7
28.9
30.9
26.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
46%
52%
40%
38%
48%
28%
90%
88%
92%
% under line
54%
48%
60%
62%
52%
72%
10%
12%
8%
This opponent (Saint Etienne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Saint Etienne
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
11.6
9.6
2.9
3.4
2.3
26.8
27.7
25.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
11.4
13.1
9.6
3.1
3.9
2.3
26.8
27.6
26.0
vs Weaker (33)
10.3
10.8
9.6
2.8
3.2
2.3
26.8
27.7
25.5
% over line
62%
62%
61%
36%
46%
25%
92%
100%
83%
% under line
38%
38%
39%
64%
54%
75%
8%
0%
17%
This opponent (Rouen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rodez
10.4
Auxerre
10.1
Bordeaux
9.9
Angers
9.9
Saint Etienne
9.8
Estac Troyes
9.6
Dunkerque
9.6
Guingamp
9.3
Caen
9.2
Amiens
9.2
Laval
9.1
Paris FC
9.1
Annecy
9.1
Bastia
9.0
Grenoble
9.0
Rouen
8.9
Quevilly
8.9
PAU
8.9
Concarneau
8.5
Valenciennes
8.4
Ajaccio
7.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Angers
4.3
Bordeaux
4.3
Bastia
4.2
Valenciennes
4.1
Caen
4.1
Laval
4.1
Saint Etienne
4.0
Annecy
3.9
Estac Troyes
3.9
Dunkerque
3.8
PAU
3.8
Amiens
3.7
Concarneau
3.6
Rodez
3.6
Guingamp
3.6
Auxerre
3.6
Quevilly
3.5
Ajaccio
3.5
Rouen
3.4
Grenoble
3.3
Paris FC
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Caen
29.4
Valenciennes
29.2
Amiens
27.8
Laval
27.8
Quevilly
27.4
Ajaccio
27.3
Bordeaux
27.3
Bastia
27.3
Concarneau
27.2
Rouen
27.2
Guingamp
26.9
Saint Etienne
26.8
Dunkerque
26.8
Estac Troyes
26.5
Annecy
26.5
PAU
25.7
Paris FC
25.4
Rodez
24.7
Grenoble
24.6
Angers
24.2
Auxerre
23.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
45.6%
Under 9.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
49.4%
Under 3.5
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
87.4%
Under 21.5
12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rouen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.77
0.60
0.80
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (23)
0.74
0.91
0.54
0.92
1.00
0.90
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.29
1.00
0.00
0.60
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Saint Etienne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Saint Etienne
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.30
0.69
0.19
0.79
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.79
0.21
0.71
0.00
0.86
0.43
vs Weaker (16)
0.69
0.38
0.67
0.33
0.71
0.43
Clean sheet %
80% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Rouen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rouen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rouen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.67
0.73
0.67
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (23)
0.74
0.65
0.77
0.62
0.70
0.70
vs Similar (7)
0.57
0.71
0.50
1.00
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Saint Etienne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Saint Etienne
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.47
0.69
0.56
0.50
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.00
0.57
1.29
0.71
0.71
0.43
vs Weaker (16)
0.25
0.38
0.22
0.44
0.29
0.29
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Rouen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rouen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Saint Etienne
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ibrahim Sissoko39%
Irvin Cardona33%
Dylan Chambost14%
Mathieu Cafaro11%
Aimen Moueffek11%
Ibrahima Wadji10%
Nathanaël Mbuku10%
Mickael Nade8%
Gaëtan Charbonnier6%
Léo Pétrot5%
Yvann Maçon5%
Mahmoud Bentayg5%
Dylan Batubinsika4%
Anthony Briançon3%
Florian Tardieu3%
Dennis Appiah0%
Gautier Larsonneur0%
Lamine Fomba0%
Victor Lobry0%
Thomas Monconduit0%
Stéphane Diarra0%
Maxence Rivera0%
Etienne Green0%
Benjamin Bouchouari0%
Karim Cisse0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yvann Maçon30%
Anthony Briançon22%
Thomas Monconduit21%
Benjamin Bouchouari21%
Florian Tardieu15%
Irvin Cardona14%
Mathieu Cafaro14%
Karim Cisse12%
Mickael Nade12%
Gautier Larsonneur12%
Dennis Appiah11%
Dylan Chambost11%
Dylan Batubinsika11%
Lamine Fomba10%
Ibrahim Sissoko10%
Mahmoud Bentayg9%
Léo Pétrot8%
Victor Lobry7%
Aimen Moueffek6%
Nathanaël Mbuku5%
Gaëtan Charbonnier0%
Stéphane Diarra0%
Ibrahima Wadji0%
Maxence Rivera0%
Etienne Green0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mathieu Cafaro22%
Irvin Cardona14%
Dylan Chambost14%
Nathanaël Mbuku10%
Dennis Appiah6%
Aimen Moueffek6%
Yvann Maçon5%
Thomas Monconduit4%
Mickael Nade4%
Dylan Batubinsika4%
Ibrahim Sissoko3%
Anthony Briançon3%
Florian Tardieu0%
Gautier Larsonneur0%
Gaëtan Charbonnier0%
Lamine Fomba0%
Victor Lobry0%
Stéphane Diarra0%
Ibrahima Wadji0%
Léo Pétrot0%
Maxence Rivera0%
Etienne Green0%
Benjamin Bouchouari0%
Karim Cisse0%
Mahmoud Bentayg0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ibrahim Sissoko32%
Ibrahima Wadji20%
Irvin Cardona19%
Mathieu Cafaro17%
Nathanaël Mbuku15%
Benjamin Bouchouari9%
Maxence Rivera8%
Victor Lobry7%
Lamine Fomba3%
Florian Tardieu3%
Aimen Moueffek3%
Dennis Appiah0%
Dylan Batubinsika0%
Gautier Larsonneur0%
Gaëtan Charbonnier0%
Thomas Monconduit0%
Anthony Briançon0%
Mickael Nade0%
Stéphane Diarra0%
Yvann Maçon0%
Dylan Chambost0%
Léo Pétrot0%
Etienne Green0%
Karim Cisse0%
Mahmoud Bentayg0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (37)
€176m
SE (30)
€93m
AUX (29)
€84m
ANG (23)
€73m
ET (23)
€36m
ROD (23)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
DUN (21)
€11m
ANN (21)
€10m
LAV (24)
€9m
BAS (19)
€7m
AMI (14)
€4m
CAE (18)
€4m
VAL (21)
€4m
CON (18)
€3m
ROU (14)
€3m
QUE (10)
€2m
Rouen's squad is €90m less valuable than Saint Etienne's (€3m vs €93m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (13)
€59m
SE (10)
€54m
ANG (9)
€30m
AUX (11)
€23m
ET (7)
€7m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
DUN (7)
€4m
BAS (9)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
ANN (7)
€3m
LAV (7)
€2m
CAE (8)
€2m
ROU (5)
€2m
VAL (8)
€1m
CON (7)
€1m
AMI (4)
€0m
QUE (2)
€0m
Rouen's attack is €53m less valuable than Saint Etienne's (€2m vs €54m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (7)
€54m
AUX (5)
€28m
ANG (3)
€11m
ET (6)
€11m
SE (7)
€11m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
ANN (6)
€3m
LAV (7)
€3m
GRE (5)
€3m
PAU (4)
€2m
DUN (5)
€1m
BAS (3)
€1m
CON (5)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
CAE (4)
€1m
AMI (2)
€0m
QUE (2)
€0m
ROU (3)
€0m
Rouen's midfield is €10m less valuable than Saint Etienne's (€0m vs €11m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (17)
€62m
AUX (13)
€33m
ANG (11)
€32m
SE (13)
€28m
ET (10)
€17m
ROD (10)
€7m
PAU (10)
€6m
DUN (9)
€5m
LAV (10)
€4m
ANN (8)
€4m
GRE (10)
€4m
AMI (8)
€4m
GUI (8)
€3m
BAS (7)
€2m
VAL (10)
€2m
CAE (6)
€2m
QUE (6)
€1m
ROU (6)
€1m
CON (6)
€1m
Rouen's defence is €27m less valuable than Saint Etienne's (€1m vs €28m).
France: Ligue 2 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Auxerre
Angers
Rodez
Caen
Paris FC
Amiens
Laval
Guingamp
Grenoble
Bastia
PAU
Bordeaux
Annecy
Ajaccio
Dunkerque
Estac Troyes
Concarneau
Quevilly
Valenciennes