This opponent (Valenciennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valenciennes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.43
1.00
1.53
1.00
1.33
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
2.00
1.60
2.60
0.40
1.40
vs Similar (20)
1.00
1.15
0.70
1.00
1.30
1.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Rouen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.8%
Under 1.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.2%
@ 2.00-4.9%
Under 2.5
57.8%
@ 1.78+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.5%
Under 3.5
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.4%
No
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0 ✓
10.7%
1-0
10.4%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.9%
Rouen goals ↓
Valenciennes goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
9.2%
5.9%
2.2%
0.6%
1
10%
14%
7.3%
2.7%
0.8%
2
7.3%
8.2%
4.6%
1.7%
0.5%
3
3.0%
3.4%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.9%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rouen goals (down), columns = Valenciennes goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Auxerre
1.93
Angers
1.85
Saint Etienne
1.73
Caen
1.55
Paris FC
1.51
Rodez
1.48
Amiens
1.43
Laval
1.40
Grenoble
1.38
Guingamp
1.38
Bastia
1.38
PAU
1.30
Bordeaux
1.30
Ajaccio
1.25
Annecy
1.25
Dunkerque
1.23
Estac Troyes
1.10
Concarneau
1.05
Quevilly
1.00
Rouen
1.00
Valenciennes
0.78
Rouen is 0.22 points better than Valenciennes in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.78).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Auxerre
1.95
Rodez
1.62
PAU
1.55
Angers
1.50
Caen
1.40
Quevilly
1.34
Rouen
1.34
Bordeaux
1.30
Saint Etienne
1.29
Paris FC
1.29
Annecy
1.27
Guingamp
1.18
Grenoble
1.15
Estac Troyes
1.15
Bastia
1.12
Concarneau
1.05
Laval
1.05
Amiens
1.00
Dunkerque
0.95
Ajaccio
0.93
Valenciennes
0.70
Rouen is 0.64 goals better than Valenciennes in terms of goals scored per game (1.34 vs 0.70).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Saint Etienne
0.83
Amiens
0.97
Auxerre
1.05
Guingamp
1.05
Angers
1.10
Paris FC
1.12
Grenoble
1.15
Ajaccio
1.18
Bastia
1.20
Caen
1.23
Laval
1.23
Annecy
1.27
Estac Troyes
1.32
Dunkerque
1.35
Bordeaux
1.38
Valenciennes
1.40
Quevilly
1.45
Rouen
1.45
Rodez
1.45
Concarneau
1.48
PAU
1.52
Rouen is 0.05 goals worse than Valenciennes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 1.40).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bordeaux
60%
Auxerre
57%
Paris FC
56%
Concarneau
53%
Saint Etienne
53%
Angers
53%
Dunkerque
51%
Caen
51%
Estac Troyes
50%
Grenoble
50%
Ajaccio
49%
PAU
49%
Valenciennes
49%
Bastia
47%
Guingamp
47%
Quevilly
47%
Amiens
46%
Rodez
46%
Laval
44%
Annecy
43%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rouen
For 5.4 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 12.0 · Total 25.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Valenciennes
For 3.9 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 16.1 · Total 30.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rouen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
8.0
8.6
3.8
4.3
3.2
28.8
30.6
27.0
vs Stronger (33)
8.7
8.5
8.9
3.9
4.6
3.3
27.6
30.2
25.5
vs Similar (17)
7.4
7.3
7.6
3.6
3.9
3.1
31.2
31.3
31.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
28%
28%
28%
46%
52%
40%
92%
96%
88%
% under line
72%
72%
72%
54%
48%
60%
8%
4%
12%
This opponent (Valenciennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valenciennes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
10.7
8.5
1.5
1.4
1.7
29.1
29.1
29.0
vs Stronger (14)
10.0
11.0
9.0
2.5
2.1
2.9
27.3
29.7
25.0
vs Similar (36)
9.2
10.5
8.2
1.2
1.1
1.2
30.2
28.8
31.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
47%
71%
25%
22%
20%
24%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
53%
29%
75%
78%
80%
76%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Rouen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Estac Troyes
10.0
Concarneau
9.8
Angers
9.8
Bordeaux
9.4
Auxerre
9.3
Dunkerque
9.3
Guingamp
9.2
Valenciennes
9.2
Quevilly
9.2
Saint Etienne
9.2
Annecy
9.1
Paris FC
9.1
Bastia
9.0
Caen
8.8
Amiens
8.8
Laval
8.6
PAU
8.6
Rodez
8.6
Rouen
8.3
Grenoble
8.1
Ajaccio
7.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Angers
4.6
Valenciennes
4.6
Bordeaux
4.5
Caen
4.3
Estac Troyes
4.2
Annecy
4.1
Bastia
4.1
PAU
4.0
Guingamp
4.0
Dunkerque
4.0
Grenoble
4.0
Ajaccio
3.9
Rodez
3.9
Saint Etienne
3.9
Amiens
3.8
Concarneau
3.8
Rouen
3.8
Laval
3.7
Auxerre
3.5
Quevilly
3.2
Paris FC
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Valenciennes
30.3
Dunkerque
29.1
Rouen
28.8
Concarneau
28.6
Caen
28.3
Ajaccio
27.9
Bastia
27.6
Laval
27.6
Guingamp
27.4
Quevilly
26.9
Rodez
26.8
Amiens
26.8
Grenoble
26.7
PAU
26.4
Annecy
25.4
Angers
25.0
Paris FC
24.9
Estac Troyes
24.6
Saint Etienne
24.4
Bordeaux
24.1
Auxerre
23.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
39.6%
Under 9.5
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.3%
Under 3.5
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
89.7%
Under 21.5
10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rouen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.67
0.53
0.67
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (20)
0.80
0.65
0.88
0.62
0.75
0.67
vs Similar (10)
0.20
0.70
0.14
0.71
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Valenciennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valenciennes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.50
0.40
0.47
0.60
0.53
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
0.80
0.80
1.00
0.40
0.60
vs Similar (20)
0.45
0.35
0.20
0.20
0.70
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Rouen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rouen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rouen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.87
0.60
0.73
0.73
1.00
vs Stronger (20)
0.65
1.05
0.62
1.12
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.70
0.50
0.57
0.29
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Valenciennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valenciennes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.93
0.60
1.07
0.40
0.80
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.20
0.80
1.60
0.00
0.80
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.80
0.50
0.80
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Rouen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rouen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Valenciennes
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aymen Boutoutaou15%
Manga Foe Ondoa13%
Nick Venema13%
Giovino Flamarion11%
Andrew Jung8%
Makabi Lilepo7%
Ilyes Hamache7%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde7%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga6%
Anthony Knockaert5%
Joffrey Cuffaut5%
David Kruse5%
Allan Linguet4%
Lucas Woudenberg3%
Bruno Costa0%
Marius Noubissi0%
Taylor Moore0%
Jason Berthomier0%
Julien Masson0%
Jean Louchet0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Halid Šabanović0%
Siriné Doucouré0%
Jordan Poha0%
Jean Eric Moursou0%
Lassana Diabaté0%
Sofiane Boudraa0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Tidyane Diagouraga0%
Yacine El Amri0%
Sacha Banse0%
Joachim Kayi Sanda0%
Tanguy Lienard0%
Souleymane Basse0%
Sory Diallo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gabin Blancquart40%
Tanguy Lienard33%
Halid Šabanović25%
Anthony Knockaert24%
Sacha Banse23%
Allan Linguet22%
Julien Masson21%
Andrew Jung20%
Tidyane Diagouraga20%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga19%
Jordan Poha17%
Joachim Kayi Sanda15%
Ugo Bonnet14%
Sofiane Boudraa14%
Souleymane Basse14%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde13%
Manga Foe Ondoa13%
Jean Eric Moursou12%
Taylor Moore12%
Giovino Flamarion11%
Bruno Costa10%
Joffrey Cuffaut10%
David Kruse9%
Siriné Doucouré8%
Jean Louchet6%
Lucas Woudenberg6%
Nick Venema4%
Aymen Boutoutaou4%
Ilyes Hamache4%
Marius Noubissi0%
Jason Berthomier0%
Makabi Lilepo0%
Lassana Diabaté0%
Yacine El Amri0%
Sory Diallo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nick Venema13%
Giovino Flamarion11%
Bruno Costa10%
Anthony Knockaert10%
Andrew Jung8%
Sacha Banse8%
Allan Linguet7%
Makabi Lilepo7%
Ugo Bonnet7%
Manga Foe Ondoa7%
Aymen Boutoutaou4%
Ilyes Hamache4%
Marius Noubissi0%
Taylor Moore0%
Jason Berthomier0%
Joffrey Cuffaut0%
Julien Masson0%
Jean Louchet0%
Lucas Woudenberg0%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga0%
Halid Šabanović0%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde0%
Siriné Doucouré0%
David Kruse0%
Jordan Poha0%
Jean Eric Moursou0%
Lassana Diabaté0%
Sofiane Boudraa0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Tidyane Diagouraga0%
Yacine El Amri0%
Joachim Kayi Sanda0%
Tanguy Lienard0%
Souleymane Basse0%
Sory Diallo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aymen Boutoutaou27%
Makabi Lilepo19%
Nick Venema17%
Andrew Jung12%
Siriné Doucouré8%
Manga Foe Ondoa7%
David Kruse5%
Sacha Banse4%
Bruno Costa0%
Marius Noubissi0%
Anthony Knockaert0%
Taylor Moore0%
Jason Berthomier0%
Joffrey Cuffaut0%
Allan Linguet0%
Julien Masson0%
Jean Louchet0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Giovino Flamarion0%
Lucas Woudenberg0%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga0%
Halid Šabanović0%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde0%
Jordan Poha0%
Jean Eric Moursou0%
Ilyes Hamache0%
Lassana Diabaté0%
Sofiane Boudraa0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Tidyane Diagouraga0%
Yacine El Amri0%
Joachim Kayi Sanda0%
Tanguy Lienard0%
Souleymane Basse0%
Sory Diallo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (37)
€176m
SE (30)
€93m
AUX (29)
€84m
ANG (23)
€73m
ET (23)
€36m
ROD (23)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
DUN (21)
€11m
ANN (21)
€10m
LAV (24)
€9m
BAS (19)
€7m
AMI (14)
€4m
CAE (18)
€4m
VAL (21)
€4m
CON (18)
€3m
ROU (14)
€3m
QUE (10)
€2m
Rouen's squad is €1m less valuable than Valenciennes's (€3m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (13)
€59m
SE (10)
€54m
ANG (9)
€30m
AUX (11)
€23m
ET (7)
€7m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
DUN (7)
€4m
BAS (9)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
ANN (7)
€3m
LAV (7)
€2m
CAE (8)
€2m
ROU (5)
€2m
VAL (8)
€1m
CON (7)
€1m
AMI (4)
€0m
QUE (2)
€0m
Rouen and Valenciennes have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (7)
€54m
AUX (5)
€28m
ANG (3)
€11m
ET (6)
€11m
SE (7)
€11m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
ANN (6)
€3m
LAV (7)
€3m
GRE (5)
€3m
PAU (4)
€2m
DUN (5)
€1m
BAS (3)
€1m
CON (5)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
CAE (4)
€1m
AMI (2)
€0m
QUE (2)
€0m
ROU (3)
€0m
Rouen and Valenciennes have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (17)
€62m
AUX (13)
€33m
ANG (11)
€32m
SE (13)
€28m
ET (10)
€17m
ROD (10)
€7m
PAU (10)
€6m
DUN (9)
€5m
LAV (10)
€4m
ANN (8)
€4m
GRE (10)
€4m
AMI (8)
€4m
GUI (8)
€3m
BAS (7)
€2m
VAL (10)
€2m
CAE (6)
€2m
QUE (6)
€1m
ROU (6)
€1m
CON (6)
€1m
Rouen and Valenciennes have a similar defence value (both €1m).
France: Ligue 2 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Auxerre
Angers
Saint Etienne
Rodez
Caen
Paris FC
Amiens
Laval
Guingamp
Grenoble
Bastia
PAU
Bordeaux
Annecy
Ajaccio
Dunkerque
Estac Troyes
Concarneau
Quevilly