Saint Etienne are expected to emerge victorious in this Ligue 2 encounter, having recently been on a 2-game winning run. However, Grenoble's strong away form against stronger opponents, scoring 4 goals on average, suggests they will pose a challenge.
The model predicts a 60% chance of a home win, 22% draw, and 17% away win. The expected total goals is 3.1, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 10.5%.
Saint Etienne have a strong home record, scoring 2.31 goals and conceding 0.54 on average against weaker opponents. Grenoble, on the other hand, have struggled away against stronger opponents, conceding 2 goals on average.
The model's suggested picks include Over 21.5 fouls (84.3%) and Over 1.5 (82.7%). The home win percentage is 60%, the draw percentage is 22%, and the away win percentage is 17%.
Results analysis
Saint Etienne’s 4-0 triumph over Grenoble extended their three-game winning run at home, confirming the model’s prediction of a home win at 61 %. The model’s favourite was correct, and the final score matched the actual result. Every suggested pick was settled: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.4 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.7 %, Under 7.5 hit at 98.7 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.2 %, Under 6.5 hit at 96.4 %, Away under 1.5 HT goals hit at 94.5 %, Home +2 handicap hit at 94.2 %, while Home under 2.5 HT goals missed at 93.5 %. The model’s selections largely came through, underscoring its accuracy for this match.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Saint Etienne win✓ Hit
61.4%
Avg Implied 67.9% · @ 1.37
Edge
-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Dafabet
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
Draw✗ Miss
22.4%
Avg Implied 20.3% · @ 4.59
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.91
1xBet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.80
Dafabet
4.80
Superbet
4.80
Grenoble win✗ Miss
16.2%
Avg Implied 11.9% · @ 7.85
Edge
+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
8.50
BetVictor
8.50
Pinnacle
8.11
Marathonbet
8.10
1xBet
8.05
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Saint Etienne
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
0.93
2.31
0.69
1.29
1.21
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
1.19
1.19
1.38
0.88
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (14)
2.57
0.64
3.25
0.50
1.67
0.83
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Grenoble) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grenoble
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.17
0.73
0.87
1.27
1.47
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.00
1.30
0.85
1.00
1.14
1.57
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Saint Etienne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.8%
@ 1.23+5.5%
Under 1.5
18.2%
@ 3.94-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.26
Superbet
1.26
888Sport
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
Under
10Bet
4.20
Betfair
4.10
Pinnacle
3.96
Betano
3.95
Unibet
3.95
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.8%
@ 1.75+4.8%
Under 2.5
41.2%
@ 2.05-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.82
SBO
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.75
Under
10Bet
2.15
Betano
2.12
Marathonbet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Unibet
2.06
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.4%
@ 2.84+3.5%
Under 3.5
63.6%
@ 1.39-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.05
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
3.00
BetVictor
2.90
888Sport
2.90
Under
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.45
Unibet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.6%
@ 1.97+8.7%
No
44.4%
@ 1.75-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
2.10
Superbet
2.07
Bet365
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
No
10Bet
1.83
Betano
1.80
888Sport
1.75
1xBet
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%@ 8.32+5.2%
2-0
10.1%@ 6.16+2.8%
2-1
9.9%@ 7.72+4.1%
1-0
8.8%@ 6.30+1.7%
3-0
7.0%@ 8.58+1.7%
3-1
6.9%@ 10.87+2.7%
0-0
5.7%@ 11.71+1.9%
2-2
4.9%@ 18.75+2.5%
Saint Etienne goals ↓
Grenoble goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.7%
3.7%
2.3%
0.7%
0.2%
1
8.8%
11%
4.7%
1.6%
0.4%
2
10%
9.9%
4.9%
1.6%
0.4%
3
7.0%
6.9%
3.4%
1.1%
0.3%
4
3.6%
3.5%
1.7%
0.6%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Saint Etienne goals (down), columns = Grenoble goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Nantes
1.92
Saint Etienne
1.75
Rodez
1.67
Reims
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Metz
1.64
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Sochaux
1.11
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Dijon
1.03
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
Saint Etienne is 0.67 points better than Grenoble in terms of average points per game (1.75 vs 1.08).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nantes
1.80
Saint Etienne
1.72
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
Metz
1.54
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Clermont Foot
1.11
Sochaux
1.05
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Dijon
0.97
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
Saint Etienne is 0.81 goals better than Grenoble in terms of goals scored per game (1.72 vs 0.92).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Nantes
0.85
Montpellier
0.92
Metz
1.00
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Sochaux
1.47
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
Dijon
1.58
PAU
1.81
Saint Etienne is 0.08 goals better than Grenoble in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.19).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
Saint Etienne is 15.6 percentage points better than Grenoble in terms of average possession (59% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Saint Etienne
For 5.7 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.7 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 13.2 · Total 25.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Grenoble
For 2.1 · Against 6.1 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 12.8 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Saint Etienne
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
10.5
8.5
3.6
3.7
3.4
26.1
26.9
25.3
vs Stronger (3)
12.7
12.5
13.0
2.7
3.5
1.0
23.0
26.0
17.0
vs Similar (25)
9.5
10.6
8.2
3.8
3.8
3.8
26.8
27.7
25.8
vs Weaker (22)
9.2
9.9
8.4
3.4
3.6
3.1
25.8
26.1
25.4
% over line
42%
56%
26%
48%
58%
38%
83%
84%
83%
% under line
58%
44%
74%
52%
42%
62%
17%
16%
17%
This opponent (Grenoble) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grenoble
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.7
9.4
3.5
3.1
3.9
25.7
26.5
24.9
vs Stronger (6)
10.0
10.8
8.5
3.0
2.5
4.0
24.8
25.0
24.5
vs Similar (43)
9.5
9.5
9.5
3.7
3.2
4.0
25.8
26.8
25.0
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
54%
50%
58%
48%
46%
50%
75%
79%
71%
% under line
46%
50%
42%
52%
54%
50%
25%
21%
29%
This opponent (Saint Etienne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Laval
10.4
Rodez
9.9
Grenoble
9.7
Montpellier
9.6
Nancy
9.5
Saint Etienne
9.5
PAU
9.4
Metz
9.4
Nantes
9.3
Dijon
9.3
Sochaux
9.2
Clermont Foot
9.1
Guingamp
9.1
Reims
8.7
Boulogne
8.6
Dunkerque
8.6
Annecy
8.4
RED Star FC 93
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Guingamp
4.7
PAU
4.5
Nantes
4.5
Boulogne
4.4
Sochaux
4.3
Annecy
4.2
Montpellier
4.2
Rodez
4.1
Reims
4.1
Nancy
4.0
Dunkerque
4.0
Laval
4.0
Clermont Foot
3.9
RED Star FC 93
3.9
Metz
3.8
Saint Etienne
3.8
Dijon
3.8
Grenoble
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Montpellier
29.8
Nancy
29.1
Annecy
28.7
Boulogne
28.4
Laval
28.1
Guingamp
27.7
Dijon
27.6
RED Star FC 93
26.7
Clermont Foot
26.7
Nantes
26.6
Sochaux
26.2
Saint Etienne
26.2
PAU
25.9
Dunkerque
25.9
Rodez
25.7
Grenoble
25.6
Reims
24.8
Metz
22.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.6%
@ 1.81+0.2%
Under 9.5
48.4%
@ 1.91-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
1xBet
1.82
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.96
1xBet
1.93
Betano
1.93
Unibet
1.92
Bet365
1.91
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
56.0%
@ 1.88+7.1%
Under 3.5
44.0%
@ 1.80-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.88
Under
Superbet
1.80
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
84.8%
Under 21.5
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Saint Etienne or Draw✓ Hit
83.8%
Avg Implied 87.4% · @ 1.07
Edge
-3.5%
61%
22%
16%
covers Saint Etienne + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Saint Etienne or Grenoble✓ Hit
77.6%
Avg Implied 80.5% · @ 1.17
Edge
-2.9%
61%
22%
16%
covers Saint Etienne + Grenoble
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.19
888Sport
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Draw or Grenoble✗ Miss
38.6%
Avg Implied 32.2% · @ 2.92
Edge
+6.4%
61%
22%
16%
covers Draw + Grenoble
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.10
1xBet
3.04
Marathonbet
3.04
Betano
3.00
Superbet
2.92
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Saint Etienne over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.4%
@ 1.09+1.8%
Under
12.6%
@ 6.46-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
BetVictor
1.08
Under
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
Betfair
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Saint Etienne over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
61.2%
@ 1.50-1.0%
Under
38.8%
@ 2.47+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.54
Superbet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Under
Pinnacle
2.53
Marathonbet
2.52
1xBet
2.52
Bet365
2.50
Betfair
2.50
Saint Etienne over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
34.2%
@ 2.56-2.2%
Under
65.8%
@ 1.47+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.72
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Superbet
2.62
BetVictor
2.60
Under
Betano
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
1xBet
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.45
Saint Etienne over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
15.5%
@ 4.92-3.3%
Under
84.5%
@ 1.14+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.15
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
1xBet
4.85
Under
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Grenoble over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
62.6%
@ 1.78+10.4%
Under
37.4%
@ 1.94-10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
Superbet
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
888Sport
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Under
10Bet
2.05
Bet365
2.00
Betano
2.00
Pinnacle
1.96
Unibet
1.95
Grenoble over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
25.8%
@ 4.99+7.1%
Under
74.2%
@ 1.15-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.25
1xBet
5.25
BetVictor
5.25
Superbet
5.20
Under
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Grenoble over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.7%
@ 15.88+1.7%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.02-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
19.00
Superbet
17.00
Bet365
17.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Grenoble over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 55.50-98.2%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
60.00
Bet365
51.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Saint Etienne, so a minus line means Saint Etienne give that many goals of a start and Grenoble receive them. At -1, Saint Etienne must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Saint Etienne win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Saint Etienne)Actual: Saint Etienne
Saint Etienne -2
19.7%
@ 3.69-4.7%
Draw -2
19.0%
@ 4.09-3.0%
Grenoble +2
61.3%
@ 1.67+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Superbet
3.65
Unibet
3.50
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
Superbet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Away
Marathonbet
1.73
Unibet
1.68
Superbet
1.68
Betfair
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Handicap -1 (Saint Etienne)Actual: Saint Etienne
Saint Etienne -1
38.7%
@ 2.07-4.5%
Draw -1
22.8%
@ 3.46-3.0%
Grenoble +1
38.6%
@ 2.87+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.20
10Bet
2.10
Superbet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.04
Unibet
2.00
Draw
Bet365
3.60
Superbet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
Betfair
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Away
Marathonbet
3.04
Betfair
3.00
Superbet
2.87
Unibet
2.85
10Bet
2.85
Handicap +1 (Saint Etienne)Actual: Saint Etienne
Saint Etienne +1
83.8%
@ 1.08-1.2%
Draw +1
10.3%
@ 9.03+0.2%
Grenoble -1
5.8%
@ 19.33+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Draw
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
9.00
Superbet
8.10
Away
Betfair
23.00
Superbet
18.00
Bet365
17.00
Handicap +2 (Saint Etienne)Actual: Saint Etienne
Saint Etienne +2
94.2%
@ 1.01-0.4%
Draw +2
4.3%
@ 23.50+0.2%
Grenoble -2
1.5%
@ 71.00+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
Draw
Betfair
26.00
Bet365
21.00
Away
Betfair
101.00
Bet365
41.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Saint Etienne
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.33
1.12
0.31
0.79
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.50
0.31
0.38
0.38
0.62
0.25
vs Weaker (14)
1.50
0.36
1.88
0.25
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Grenoble) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grenoble
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.33
0.40
0.27
0.53
0.40
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.44
0.37
0.46
0.31
0.43
0.43
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Saint Etienne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.4%
@ 1.33+7.1%
Under 0.5
22.6%
@ 3.15-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.34
Pinnacle
1.34
BetVictor
1.34
William Hil
1.33
Under
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.23
10Bet
3.20
Superbet
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
41.9%
@ 2.51+4.8%
Under 1.5
58.1%
@ 1.48-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.70
Betano
2.62
Superbet
2.57
Betfair
2.55
1xBet
2.50
Under
Unibet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
16.5%
@ 6.09+1.2%
Under 2.5
83.5%
@ 1.10-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Superbet
6.10
Bet365
6.00
Betano
5.90
Under
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.10
Betfair
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Saint Etienne over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
69.3%
@ 1.52+8.4%
Under
30.7%
@ 2.37-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.55
Superbet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
10Bet
1.50
Under
Pinnacle
2.46
Unibet
2.40
10Bet
2.40
Superbet
2.35
1xBet
2.33
Saint Etienne over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
26.0%
@ 3.52-0.2%
Under
74.0%
@ 1.25+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
Superbet
3.50
1xBet
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Under
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
Saint Etienne over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
6.5%
@ 8.94-3.9%
Under
93.5%
@ 1.03+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Superbet
9.00
10Bet
8.50
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Grenoble over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
32.6%
@ 3.19+3.5%
Under
67.4%
@ 1.31-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.71
Marathonbet
3.24
Betano
3.20
Superbet
3.20
10Bet
3.00
Under
1xBet
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.32
Unibet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Grenoble over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.5%
@ 12.42-2.0%
Under
94.5%
@ 1.02+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
10Bet
12.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Grenoble over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.6%
@ 65.00-99.4%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
65.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Saint Etienne
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.60
1.19
0.38
0.50
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.88
1.00
0.50
0.38
1.25
vs Weaker (14)
1.07
0.29
1.38
0.25
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Grenoble) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grenoble
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.83
0.33
0.60
0.73
1.07
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.56
0.93
0.38
0.69
0.71
1.14
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Saint Etienne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
84.0%
Under 0.5
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
51.5%
Under 1.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
26.0%
Under 2.5
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Saint Etienne over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
74.7%
Under
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
35.5%
Under
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.5%
Under
87.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
37.3%
Under
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.9%
Under
92.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Betfair
1.01
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
94.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
-
-
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
93.5%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
+3.9%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
92.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-1.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
91.1%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Betfair
1.04
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
87.4%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
BetVictor
1.08
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
84.5%
1.14
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
+3.3%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
83.8%
1.07
Betano
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-3.5%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
83.8%
1.08
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
-
-
-1.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
83.5%
1.10
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.10
Betfair
1.08
-1.2%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
81.8%
1.23
Pinnacle
1.26
Superbet
1.26
888Sport
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
80.7%
1.14
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Pinnacle
1.15
Unibet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
-1.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
77.6%
1.17
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.19
888Sport
1.18
William Hil
1.18
-2.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
77.4%
1.33
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.34
Pinnacle
1.34
BetVictor
1.34
William Hil
1.33
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
75.7%
1.36
Superbet
1.36
-
-
-
-
+9.6%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 2H goals
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
74.2%
1.15
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
-7.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
74.0%
1.25
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
+0.2%
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.0%
1.33
Superbet
1.36
Unibet
1.35
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.29
+3.1%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Saint Etienne
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Irvin Cardona75%
Thierno Ballo75%
Jakob Breum67%
Zuriko Davitashvili25%
Áron Csongvai25%
Augustine Boakye25%
Gautier Larsonneur0%
Julien Le Cardinal0%
Maxime Bernauer0%
Tamar Svetlin0%
Sohaib Nair0%
Joshua Duffus0%
Kevin Pedro0%
Adam Baallal0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jakob Breum67%
Zuriko Davitashvili25%
Maxime Bernauer25%
Irvin Cardona0%
Gautier Larsonneur0%
Julien Le Cardinal0%
Tamar Svetlin0%
Thierno Ballo0%
Áron Csongvai0%
Sohaib Nair0%
Joshua Duffus0%
Augustine Boakye0%
Kevin Pedro0%
Adam Baallal0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jakob Breum67%
Irvin Cardona50%
Thierno Ballo50%
Augustine Boakye50%
Zuriko Davitashvili25%
Áron Csongvai25%
Gautier Larsonneur0%
Julien Le Cardinal0%
Maxime Bernauer0%
Tamar Svetlin0%
Sohaib Nair0%
Joshua Duffus0%
Kevin Pedro0%
Adam Baallal0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thierno Ballo50%
Jakob Breum33%
Irvin Cardona25%
Zuriko Davitashvili25%
Joshua Duffus25%
Kevin Pedro25%
Gautier Larsonneur0%
Julien Le Cardinal0%
Maxime Bernauer0%
Tamar Svetlin0%
Áron Csongvai0%
Sohaib Nair0%
Augustine Boakye0%
Adam Baallal0%
Grenoble
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Baptiste Mouazan33%
Yadaly Diaby33%
Samba Diba33%
Kyliann Fofana25%
Yohann Magnin0%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Clément Vidal0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Mael Corboz0%
Lucas Bernadou0%
Matthéo Xantippe0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Nesta Zahui0%
Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yohann Magnin50%
Clément Vidal50%
Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro50%
Baptiste Mouazan33%
Samba Diba33%
Matthéo Xantippe25%
Kyliann Fofana25%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Mael Corboz0%
Lucas Bernadou0%
Yadaly Diaby0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Nesta Zahui0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yohann Magnin25%
Matthéo Xantippe25%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Clément Vidal0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Mael Corboz0%
Lucas Bernadou0%
Baptiste Mouazan0%
Yadaly Diaby0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Nesta Zahui0%
Samba Diba0%
Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro0%
Kyliann Fofana0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yadaly Diaby33%
Yohann Magnin0%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Clément Vidal0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Mael Corboz0%
Lucas Bernadou0%
Baptiste Mouazan0%
Matthéo Xantippe0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Nesta Zahui0%
Samba Diba0%
Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro0%
Kyliann Fofana0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SE (30)
€93m
NAN (25)
€82m
REI (30)
€72m
MET (26)
€43m
MON (24)
€29m
ROD (23)
€15m
CF (21)
€15m
RSF (22)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
NAN (26)
€13m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
DUN (21)
€11m
ANN (21)
€10m
LAV (24)
€9m
BOU (23)
€8m
SOC (20)
€7m
DIJ (20)
€5m
Saint Etienne's squad is €81m more valuable than Grenoble's (€93m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SE (10)
€54m
REI (12)
€38m
NAN (8)
€31m
MET (11)
€17m
MON (9)
€11m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
NAN (9)
€5m
DUN (7)
€4m
RSF (6)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
ANN (7)
€3m
SOC (8)
€3m
BOU (6)
€2m
CF (5)
€2m
LAV (7)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€1m
Saint Etienne's attack is €49m more valuable than Grenoble's (€54m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MET (5)
€18m
NAN (7)
€16m
REI (6)
€13m
SE (7)
€11m
MON (5)
€6m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
RSF (5)
€3m
ANN (6)
€3m
LAV (7)
€3m
GRE (5)
€3m
CF (4)
€3m
BOU (6)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
PAU (4)
€2m
DIJ (6)
€2m
DUN (5)
€1m
SOC (3)
€1m
Saint Etienne's midfield is €8m more valuable than Grenoble's (€11m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (10)
€34m
SE (13)
€28m
REI (12)
€21m
MON (10)
€12m
CF (12)
€10m
MET (10)
€8m
ROD (10)
€7m
RSF (11)
€7m
NAN (11)
€6m
PAU (10)
€6m
DUN (9)
€5m
LAV (10)
€4m
ANN (8)
€4m
GRE (10)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
BOU (11)
€3m
GUI (8)
€3m
DIJ (7)
€2m
Saint Etienne's defence is €24m more valuable than Grenoble's (€28m vs €4m).
France: Ligue 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Reims
Montpellier
Rodez
Nancy
Annecy
Metz
RED Star FC 93
Sochaux
Dunkerque
Guingamp
PAU
Laval
Boulogne
Clermont Foot
Dijon
Nantes