This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bohemians
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.33
1.40
1.47
1.60
1.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.50
1.33
1.40
1.47
1.60
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.1%
Under 1.5
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.0%
Under 2.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.7%
Under 3.5
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.8%
No
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
0-1
7.4%
0-2
6.9%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
1-0
6.0%
Shelbourne goals ↓
Bohemians goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.5%
7.4%
6.9%
3.7%
1.5%
1
6.0%
13%
9.1%
4.9%
1.9%
2
4.7%
7.5%
6.0%
3.2%
1.3%
3
2.1%
3.3%
2.7%
1.4%
0.6%
4
0.7%
1.1%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Shelbourne goals (down), columns = Bohemians goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.96
St Patrick's Athl.
1.72
Bohemians
1.72
Dundalk
1.38
Shelbourne
1.30
Galway United
1.21
Derry City
1.17
Waterford
1.10
Drogheda United
0.97
Sligo Rovers
0.79
Shelbourne is 0.43 points worse than Bohemians in terms of average points per game (1.30 vs 1.72).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bohemians
1.72
Shamrock Rovers
1.64
Dundalk
1.59
St Patrick's Athl.
1.55
Derry City
1.41
Shelbourne
1.37
Waterford
1.34
Galway United
1.29
Drogheda United
1.14
Sligo Rovers
0.79
Shelbourne is 0.35 goals worse than Bohemians in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 1.72).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
St Patrick's Athl.
0.86
Shamrock Rovers
0.96
Bohemians
1.17
Derry City
1.38
Shelbourne
1.44
Galway United
1.50
Dundalk
1.55
Sligo Rovers
1.66
Drogheda United
1.66
Waterford
1.66
Shelbourne is 0.27 goals worse than Bohemians in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 1.17).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
62%
Bohemians
59%
St Patrick's Athl.
55%
Derry City
54%
Shelbourne
53%
Dundalk
52%
Sligo Rovers
46%
Drogheda United
40%
Galway United
40%
Waterford
39%
Shelbourne is 5.7 percentage points worse than Bohemians in terms of average possession (53% vs 59%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Shelbourne
For 5.0 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.9
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.9
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 8.6 · Total 19.3
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bohemians
For 6.3 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.6
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.8
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 13.8 · Total 24.9
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Shelbourne
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.4
9.4
4.1
3.8
4.4
21.4
21.0
21.7
vs Stronger (9)
10.3
9.3
11.3
2.4
1.6
3.5
20.2
20.3
20.0
vs Similar (41)
9.2
9.4
9.1
4.5
4.3
4.6
21.6
21.2
22.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
48%
52%
43%
58%
52%
64%
55%
52%
57%
% under line
52%
48%
57%
42%
48%
36%
45%
48%
43%
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bohemians
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.1
10.4
4.6
5.2
4.0
23.0
22.7
23.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (50)
10.3
10.1
10.4
4.6
5.2
4.0
23.0
22.7
23.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
54%
54%
54%
66%
76%
56%
54%
54%
54%
% under line
46%
46%
46%
34%
24%
44%
46%
46%
46%
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Waterford
11.0
Sligo Rovers
11.0
Galway United
10.5
Dundalk
10.3
Bohemians
10.3
Drogheda United
10.3
St Patrick's Athl.
10.0
Shelbourne
9.4
Derry City
9.2
Shamrock Rovers
8.7
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Derry City
5.5
Dundalk
5.2
St Patrick's Athl.
5.0
Shelbourne
4.9
Waterford
4.9
Shamrock Rovers
4.9
Bohemians
4.8
Galway United
4.7
Sligo Rovers
4.6
Drogheda United
4.6
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Derry City
23.3
Dundalk
23.3
Bohemians
23.1
Galway United
23.0
Waterford
22.9
St Patrick's Athl.
22.4
Shamrock Rovers
22.2
Drogheda United
21.6
Shelbourne
21.3
Sligo Rovers
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.3%
Under 9.5
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
62.5%
Under 3.5
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
52.1%
Under 21.5
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Shelbourne
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.63
0.47
0.67
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
0.75
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.62
0.54
0.54
0.69
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bohemians
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.60
0.67
0.60
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.67
0.60
0.67
0.60
0.67
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Shelbourne over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Shelbourne
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.70
0.80
0.87
0.73
0.53
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
0.75
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.88
0.69
0.92
0.92
0.85
0.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bohemians
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.73
0.73
0.87
0.93
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.83
0.73
0.73
0.87
0.93
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Shelbourne over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 1.5
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 5.5 cards
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Shelbourne
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
John Martin38%
Harry Wood32%
D. Kelly24%
Ademipo Odubeko17%
James Norris14%
S. Moore12%
P. Barrett12%
Zeno Ibsen Rossi11%
Sean Boyd11%
Jack Henry-Francis11%
Alistair Coote9%
Sam Bone5%
W. Jarvis5%
Kerr McInroy5%
Rodrigo Freitas5%
Evan Caffrey4%
Ellis Chapman0%
S. Gannon0%
Jonathan Lunney0%
Odhran Casey0%
K. Ledwidge0%
Wessel Speel0%
Eddie Beach0%
Maill Lundgren0%
Milan Mbeng0%
James Roche0%
Daniel Ring0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James Roche40%
Jonathan Lunney32%
John Martin31%
P. Barrett29%
S. Gannon29%
Kerr McInroy29%
D. Kelly28%
Rodrigo Freitas27%
Jack Henry-Francis26%
Maill Lundgren23%
Zeno Ibsen Rossi22%
Sean Boyd22%
Sam Bone20%
Evan Caffrey20%
Alistair Coote17%
Ademipo Odubeko17%
James Norris14%
Odhran Casey12%
S. Moore12%
Harry Wood9%
K. Ledwidge7%
Milan Mbeng7%
W. Jarvis5%
Wessel Speel4%
Ellis Chapman0%
Eddie Beach0%
Daniel Ring0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Maill Lundgren23%
Ademipo Odubeko17%
Harry Wood14%
John Martin12%
Kerr McInroy10%
Alistair Coote9%
Milan Mbeng7%
Jack Henry-Francis5%
Sam Bone5%
W. Jarvis5%
Rodrigo Freitas5%
Evan Caffrey4%
K. Ledwidge4%
Ellis Chapman0%
S. Gannon0%
D. Kelly0%
Jonathan Lunney0%
P. Barrett0%
Odhran Casey0%
James Norris0%
Wessel Speel0%
Zeno Ibsen Rossi0%
Eddie Beach0%
S. Moore0%
James Roche0%
Daniel Ring0%
Sean Boyd0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
John Martin38%
Harry Wood18%
Ademipo Odubeko17%
Milan Mbeng14%
Kerr McInroy10%
D. Kelly8%
P. Barrett6%
Sean Boyd6%
Alistair Coote4%
Evan Caffrey4%
Ellis Chapman0%
S. Gannon0%
Sam Bone0%
Jonathan Lunney0%
Odhran Casey0%
James Norris0%
K. Ledwidge0%
Wessel Speel0%
Zeno Ibsen Rossi0%
Jack Henry-Francis0%
Eddie Beach0%
Maill Lundgren0%
W. Jarvis0%
S. Moore0%
James Roche0%
Daniel Ring0%
Rodrigo Freitas0%
Bohemians
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Douglas James-Taylor29%
C. Whelan28%
R. Tierney23%
Dayle Rooney19%
Zane Myers19%
Patrick Hickey17%
H. Vaughan12%
C. Parsons12%
D. Devoy11%
M. Strods11%
A. McDonnell4%
S. Todd4%
Jordan Flores4%
N. Morahan0%
Cian Byrne0%
K. ChorÄ Åžka0%
D. Power0%
Ryan Burke0%
S. Diallo0%
Leigh Kavanagh0%
S. Mullen0%
P. Walters0%
Hugh Martin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
D. Devoy32%
H. Vaughan21%
Jordan Flores19%
Dayle Rooney19%
S. Mullen19%
Patrick Hickey17%
A. McDonnell17%
R. Tierney17%
S. Todd12%
Douglas James-Taylor12%
S. Diallo7%
Zane Myers6%
M. Strods5%
Cian Byrne5%
C. Parsons4%
D. Power3%
N. Morahan0%
K. ChorÄ Åžka0%
C. Whelan0%
Ryan Burke0%
Leigh Kavanagh0%
P. Walters0%
Hugh Martin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Douglas James-Taylor18%
M. Strods16%
D. Devoy14%
Dayle Rooney14%
C. Whelan14%
H. Vaughan12%
R. Tierney10%
Jordan Flores8%
S. Diallo7%
N. Morahan6%
S. Mullen5%
C. Parsons4%
A. McDonnell0%
S. Todd0%
Cian Byrne0%
K. ChorÄ Åžka0%
D. Power0%
Ryan Burke0%
Leigh Kavanagh0%
P. Walters0%
Patrick Hickey0%
Zane Myers0%
Hugh Martin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
C. Whelan17%
Dayle Rooney10%
H. Vaughan8%
D. Devoy7%
R. Tierney7%
Zane Myers6%
Douglas James-Taylor6%
S. Mullen5%
C. Parsons4%
Patrick Hickey3%
A. McDonnell0%
Jordan Flores0%
N. Morahan0%
S. Todd0%
Cian Byrne0%
K. ChorÄ Åžka0%
D. Power0%
Ryan Burke0%
S. Diallo0%
Leigh Kavanagh0%
P. Walters0%
M. Strods0%
Hugh Martin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
DUN (20)
€3m
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
Shelbourne and Bohemians have a similar squad value (both €4m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
DUN (3)
€0m
Shelbourne and Bohemians have a similar attack value (both €1m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
DUN (6)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
Shelbourne and Bohemians have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
DUN (11)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
Shelbourne and Bohemians have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Ireland: Premier Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Derry City
Galway United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers