This opponent (Drogheda United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Drogheda United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.47
1.57
0.86
0.94
2.00
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
1.90
0.50
1.00
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (19)
1.53
1.26
2.00
0.80
1.00
1.78
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
-
-
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
70.3%
Under 1.5
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.0%
Under 2.5
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.1%
Under 3.5
77.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.6%
No
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
11.3%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
0-1 â
6.3%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
4.9%
Shelbourne goals ↓
Drogheda United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
6.3%
3.0%
0.8%
0.2%
1
13%
13%
4.8%
1.3%
0.3%
2
11%
9.3%
3.8%
1.0%
0.2%
3
6.0%
4.9%
2.0%
0.5%
0.1%
4
2.4%
1.9%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Shelbourne goals (down), columns = Drogheda United goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.83
Derry City
1.75
Shelbourne
1.64
Bohemians
1.50
St Patrick's Athl.
1.44
Drogheda United
1.42
Sligo Rovers
1.14
Waterford
1.14
Galway United
1.08
Cork City
0.67
Bray Wanderers
0.00
Shelbourne is 0.22 points better than Drogheda United in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 1.42).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.56
Derry City
1.44
Shelbourne
1.33
Bohemians
1.33
Sligo Rovers
1.17
St Patrick's Athl.
1.17
Waterford
1.16
Drogheda United
1.06
Galway United
1.03
Bray Wanderers
1.00
Cork City
0.92
Shelbourne is 0.28 goals better than Drogheda United in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.06).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
St Patrick's Athl.
0.89
Shamrock Rovers
0.92
Shelbourne
1.03
Drogheda United
1.06
Bohemians
1.08
Derry City
1.08
Galway United
1.22
Sligo Rovers
1.50
Waterford
1.65
Cork City
1.69
Bray Wanderers
2.00
Shelbourne is 0.03 goals better than Drogheda United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.06).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
60%
Shelbourne
57%
Bohemians
56%
St Patrick's Athl.
54%
Derry City
54%
Sligo Rovers
49%
Waterford
47%
Cork City
46%
Galway United
41%
Drogheda United
36%
Shelbourne is 21.1 percentage points better than Drogheda United in terms of average possession (57% vs 36%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Shelbourne
For 3.9 · Against 3.7 · Total 7.6
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.7 · Against 2.5 · Total 6.2
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 12.0 · Total 23.5
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Drogheda United
For 4.5 · Against 8.0 · Total 12.5
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.2
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 9.6 · Total 20.9
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Shelbourne
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.4
8.8
5.7
5.6
5.8
25.4
26.2
24.7
vs Stronger (2)
8.0
6.0
10.0
2.5
4.0
1.0
20.5
22.0
19.0
vs Similar (48)
8.6
8.5
8.8
5.8
5.7
6.0
25.7
26.4
25.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
41%
46%
80%
83%
77%
76%
82%
71%
% under line
57%
59%
54%
20%
17%
23%
24%
18%
29%
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Drogheda United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.7
9.8
4.1
4.5
3.8
22.7
21.9
23.5
vs Stronger (16)
10.2
9.7
10.7
4.2
4.3
4.1
21.5
22.1
21.0
vs Similar (33)
9.5
9.7
9.2
4.2
4.6
3.8
23.3
21.8
25.3
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
47%
48%
45%
56%
56%
56%
62%
56%
68%
% under line
53%
52%
55%
44%
44%
44%
38%
44%
32%
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bohemians
10.9
Waterford
9.9
Shamrock Rovers
9.9
St Patrick's Athl.
9.8
Galway United
9.7
Drogheda United
9.7
Derry City
9.4
Cork City
9.4
Sligo Rovers
9.1
Shelbourne
8.5
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Shelbourne
6.2
Bohemians
5.8
Waterford
5.5
Sligo Rovers
5.4
Shamrock Rovers
5.4
St Patrick's Athl.
5.3
Derry City
5.1
Cork City
5.1
Galway United
4.6
Drogheda United
4.6
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sligo Rovers
25.8
Shelbourne
25.5
Cork City
25.3
Bohemians
24.9
Waterford
24.9
St Patrick's Athl.
24.4
Galway United
24.4
Derry City
24.2
Shamrock Rovers
23.2
Drogheda United
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.5%
Under 9.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
80.4%
Under 3.5
19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
65.5%
Under 21.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Shelbourne
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.47
0.67
0.53
0.40
0.40
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (28)
0.57
0.43
0.71
0.57
0.43
0.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Drogheda United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.60
0.57
0.29
0.56
0.88
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
0.80
0.00
0.00
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.53
0.80
0.40
0.56
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Shelbourne over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Shelbourne
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.40
0.67
0.27
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.64
0.39
0.71
0.29
0.57
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Drogheda United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.87
1.00
0.57
0.38
1.12
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
1.10
0.50
1.00
0.17
1.17
vs Similar (19)
0.84
0.74
1.20
0.40
0.44
1.11
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Shelbourne over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 3.5 cards
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 3.5
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 1.5
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Shelbourne
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Harry Wood20%
Ademipo Odubeko18%
Alistair Coote15%
John Martin13%
Daniel Kelly12%
Kerr McInroy11%
Sean Boyd8%
Jack Henry-Francis7%
Sam Bone7%
Evan Caffrey5%
Ellis Chapman4%
Mark Coyle3%
Jonathan Lunney3%
Rayhaan Tulloch0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Sean Gannon0%
Conor Kearns0%
Paddy Barrett0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Ryan O'Kane0%
Tyreke Wilson0%
James Norris0%
Kameron Ledwidge0%
Wessel Speel0%
Lewis Temple0%
Milan Mbeng0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mark Coyle42%
Rayhaan Tulloch33%
Tyreke Wilson29%
Sean Boyd28%
Paddy Barrett28%
Sam Bone27%
Sean Gannon26%
Harry Wood25%
John Martin18%
John O'Sullivan18%
James Norris18%
Jack Henry-Francis14%
Milan Mbeng13%
Jonathan Lunney13%
Kameron Ledwidge11%
Ademipo Odubeko11%
Evan Caffrey10%
Daniel Kelly8%
Kerr McInroy8%
Lewis Temple8%
Alistair Coote6%
Wessel Speel6%
Ellis Chapman4%
Conor Kearns0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Ryan O'Kane0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kerr McInroy11%
Harry Wood10%
Sean Boyd8%
Ademipo Odubeko8%
Evan Caffrey8%
Tyreke Wilson7%
Daniel Kelly4%
Sean Gannon4%
Mark Coyle3%
James Norris3%
Jonathan Lunney3%
John Martin3%
Kameron Ledwidge3%
Ellis Chapman0%
Rayhaan Tulloch0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Sam Bone0%
Conor Kearns0%
Paddy Barrett0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Alistair Coote0%
Ryan O'Kane0%
Wessel Speel0%
Jack Henry-Francis0%
Lewis Temple0%
Milan Mbeng0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ademipo Odubeko26%
Kerr McInroy16%
Harry Wood15%
Ellis Chapman11%
Jack Henry-Francis7%
Milan Mbeng7%
Alistair Coote6%
John Martin5%
Evan Caffrey5%
Sean Boyd4%
Rayhaan Tulloch0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Sean Gannon0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Sam Bone0%
Jonathan Lunney0%
Conor Kearns0%
Mark Coyle0%
Paddy Barrett0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Ryan O'Kane0%
Tyreke Wilson0%
James Norris0%
Kameron Ledwidge0%
Wessel Speel0%
Lewis Temple0%
Drogheda United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josh Thomas25%
Warren Davis19%
Dare Kareem19%
Douglas James-Taylor15%
Conor Keeley15%
Paul Doyle14%
Elicha Ahui12%
Darragh Markey10%
George Cooper8%
Ryan Brennan6%
Shane Farrell6%
Luke Heeney6%
Thomas Oluwa3%
Conor Kane0%
Luke Dennison0%
Jack Stretton0%
Andrew Quinn0%
Owen Lambe0%
Kieran Cruise0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Aaron Harper-Bailey0%
Steve Zishim Bawa0%
Bridel Bosakani0%
James Bolger0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Elicha Ahui38%
Ryan Brennan28%
Luke Heeney27%
Josh Thomas25%
Shane Farrell24%
Conor Keeley21%
Darragh Markey19%
Steve Zishim Bawa14%
Kieran Cruise12%
Andrew Quinn10%
Owen Lambe9%
Warren Davis9%
Conor Kane9%
Douglas James-Taylor8%
Thomas Oluwa6%
Dare Kareem6%
Luke Dennison6%
Paul Doyle0%
Jack Stretton0%
George Cooper0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Aaron Harper-Bailey0%
Bridel Bosakani0%
James Bolger0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Shane Farrell9%
Conor Keeley9%
Owen Lambe6%
Warren Davis6%
Conor Kane6%
Kieran Cruise6%
Thomas Oluwa3%
Darragh Markey3%
Andrew Quinn3%
Ryan Brennan3%
Luke Heeney3%
Douglas James-Taylor0%
Paul Doyle0%
Luke Dennison0%
Jack Stretton0%
Josh Thomas0%
George Cooper0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Elicha Ahui0%
Aaron Harper-Bailey0%
Steve Zishim Bawa0%
Bridel Bosakani0%
James Bolger0%
Dare Kareem0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Douglas James-Taylor38%
Josh Thomas25%
Conor Keeley9%
James Bolger8%
George Cooper8%
Thomas Oluwa6%
Owen Lambe3%
Warren Davis3%
Darragh Markey0%
Paul Doyle0%
Ryan Brennan0%
Shane Farrell0%
Luke Heeney0%
Conor Kane0%
Luke Dennison0%
Jack Stretton0%
Andrew Quinn0%
Kieran Cruise0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Elicha Ahui0%
Aaron Harper-Bailey0%
Steve Zishim Bawa0%
Bridel Bosakani0%
Dare Kareem0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
Shelbourne and Drogheda United have a similar squad value (both €4m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
Shelbourne and Drogheda United have a similar attack value (both €1m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
Shelbourne and Drogheda United have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
CC (0)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
Shelbourne and Drogheda United have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Ireland: Premier Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →
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Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Cork City
Bray Wanderers