This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.73
2.19
1.94
1.43
1.50
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
4.00
1.33
4.33
0.50
3.50
vs Similar (11)
2.09
0.91
2.33
0.83
1.80
1.00
vs Weaker (14)
1.93
1.57
2.43
1.86
1.43
1.29
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Skalica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.2%
Under 1.5
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.7%
Under 2.5
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.8%
Under 3.5
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.8%
No
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.4%
0-0
10.5%
0-1
9.9%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.3%
Skalica goals ↓
Žilina goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
9.9%
6.8%
2.8%
0.8%
1
9.4%
14%
8.0%
3.2%
1.0%
2
6.3%
7.6%
4.7%
1.9%
0.6%
3
2.4%
3.0%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.7%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Skalica goals (down), columns = Žilina goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slovan Bratislava
2.28
Dunajska Streda
1.81
Spartak Trnava
1.78
Žilina
1.72
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.59
AS Trencin
1.53
Petržalka
1.50
Ružomberok
1.47
Skalica
1.25
Podbrezová
1.16
Zemplín Michalovce
0.88
FK Košice
0.84
Zlaté Moravce
0.38
Skalica is 0.47 points worse than Žilina in terms of average points per game (1.25 vs 1.72).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slovan Bratislava
2.38
Žilina
1.69
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.56
Podbrezová
1.53
Dunajska Streda
1.53
AS Trencin
1.50
Spartak Trnava
1.47
Ružomberok
1.19
Skalica
1.09
Petržalka
1.00
Zemplín Michalovce
0.94
FK Košice
0.84
Zlaté Moravce
0.66
Skalica is 0.59 goals worse than Žilina in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.69).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spartak Trnava
0.91
Slovan Bratislava
0.97
Dunajska Streda
1.00
AS Trencin
1.06
Skalica
1.19
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.28
Ružomberok
1.34
Žilina
1.41
Zemplín Michalovce
1.47
Petržalka
1.50
FK Košice
1.75
Podbrezová
1.88
Zlaté Moravce
2.06
Skalica is 0.22 goals better than Žilina in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 1.41).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
AS Trencin
64%
Slovan Bratislava
57%
Žilina
56%
Podbrezová
55%
Dukla Banská Bystrica
49%
Dunajska Streda
48%
Zlaté Moravce
47%
Spartak Trnava
47%
Skalica
45%
Zemplín Michalovce
45%
Ružomberok
44%
FK Košice
42%
Skalica is 10.4 percentage points worse than Žilina in terms of average possession (45% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Skalica
For 3.2 · Against 5.3 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 14.2 · Total 28.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Žilina
For 3.5 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 12.0 · Total 22.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Skalica
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.6
8.8
3.5
3.2
3.7
26.0
25.6
26.4
vs Stronger (20)
10.1
10.8
9.7
3.5
1.9
4.7
27.0
26.2
27.4
vs Similar (30)
8.7
9.2
7.9
3.5
4.0
3.0
25.3
25.4
25.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
47%
53%
42%
54%
50%
58%
79%
79%
79%
% under line
53%
47%
58%
46%
50%
42%
21%
21%
21%
This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.3
9.4
2.6
2.9
2.4
22.4
22.9
21.8
vs Stronger (7)
7.5
8.5
5.5
1.3
1.8
0.7
20.3
22.0
17.0
vs Similar (16)
8.7
9.4
7.8
2.9
3.4
2.3
22.2
19.8
25.8
vs Weaker (27)
10.3
9.6
10.9
2.8
2.9
2.7
23.1
25.2
21.3
% over line
45%
43%
47%
34%
40%
28%
54%
50%
59%
% under line
55%
57%
53%
66%
60%
72%
46%
50%
41%
This opponent (Skalica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Podbrezová
11.4
Zemplín Michalovce
10.7
Zlaté Moravce
10.5
Dunajska Streda
10.4
Dukla Banská Bystrica
10.2
AS Trencin
10.1
Ružomberok
9.7
Žilina
9.7
Spartak Trnava
9.3
Skalica
9.2
FK Košice
8.9
Slovan Bratislava
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
AS Trencin
5.0
Skalica
4.6
Zlaté Moravce
4.6
Dunajska Streda
4.6
Podbrezová
4.4
Slovan Bratislava
4.3
Spartak Trnava
4.3
Dukla Banská Bystrica
4.2
Ružomberok
4.1
Žilina
3.7
Zemplín Michalovce
3.2
FK Košice
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Zlaté Moravce
26.6
Slovan Bratislava
26.1
Ružomberok
26.0
Skalica
26.0
Dunajska Streda
25.7
Podbrezová
25.3
Spartak Trnava
24.2
AS Trencin
23.9
Zemplín Michalovce
23.7
FK Košice
23.7
Dukla Banská Bystrica
23.6
Žilina
22.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
39.6%
Under 9.5
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
52.5%
Under 3.5
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
60.8%
Under 21.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Skalica
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.47
0.60
0.53
0.47
0.40
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
0.60
0.50
0.75
0.17
0.50
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.40
0.64
0.45
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.60
1.00
0.75
0.71
0.43
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.40
0.33
1.67
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (11)
1.18
0.36
1.33
0.17
1.00
0.60
vs Weaker (14)
0.86
0.50
1.00
0.86
0.71
0.14
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Skalica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Skalica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skalica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skalica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Skalica
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.57
0.80
0.33
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
0.70
0.25
0.00
0.83
1.17
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.45
0.44
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.13
1.19
1.19
0.71
1.07
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
2.60
1.00
2.67
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (11)
0.91
0.55
1.00
0.67
0.80
0.40
vs Weaker (14)
1.07
1.07
1.43
1.00
0.71
1.14
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Skalica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Skalica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skalica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skalica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Skalica
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adam Morong22%
Róbert Matejov18%
Daniel Smékal18%
Matej Hradecky15%
Martin Černek13%
Denis Baumgartner12%
Davi Alves10%
Alex Sobczyk7%
Adam Krčík7%
Martin Nagy6%
Martin Mášik6%
Oliver Podhorín6%
Ján Vlasko0%
Matěj Luksch0%
Ondřej Rudzan0%
Mário Hollý0%
Roman Haša0%
Martin Junas0%
Michal Ranko0%
Adam Gaži0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ondřej Rudzan50%
Adam Krčík33%
Mário Hollý30%
Martin Junas25%
Daniel Smékal24%
Ján Vlasko22%
Oliver Podhorín17%
Adam Morong17%
Alex Sobczyk13%
Martin Černek13%
Róbert Matejov12%
Martin Mášik12%
Adam Gaži12%
Davi Alves10%
Michal Ranko7%
Martin Nagy6%
Matej Hradecky0%
Denis Baumgartner0%
Matěj Luksch0%
Roman Haša0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Martin Černek13%
Róbert Matejov12%
Mário Hollý10%
Matej Hradecky8%
Adam Krčík7%
Roman Haša7%
Daniel Smékal6%
Adam Morong6%
Oliver Podhorín0%
Alex Sobczyk0%
Ján Vlasko0%
Denis Baumgartner0%
Matěj Luksch0%
Ondřej Rudzan0%
Martin Nagy0%
Martin Mášik0%
Martin Junas0%
Michal Ranko0%
Adam Gaži0%
Davi Alves0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adam Morong17%
Davi Alves10%
Martin Černek7%
Martin Nagy6%
Martin Mášik6%
Adam Gaži6%
Oliver Podhorín0%
Alex Sobczyk0%
Ján Vlasko0%
Matej Hradecky0%
Denis Baumgartner0%
Róbert Matejov0%
Matěj Luksch0%
Ondřej Rudzan0%
Adam Krčík0%
Mário Hollý0%
Roman Haša0%
Martin Junas0%
Michal Ranko0%
Daniel Smékal0%
Žilina
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dávid Ďuriš50%
Matúš Rusnák25%
Timotej Jambor21%
Patrik Leitner17%
Patrik Iľko12%
Samuel Gidi12%
Yves Erick Bile12%
Mario Sauer11%
Samuel Ďatko8%
Ján Minárik7%
Antoin Loic Essomba Bikoula7%
Xavier Adang7%
Dominik Javorček6%
Tomáš Hubočan0%
Krisztián Bari0%
Kelian Nsona0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Tomáš Nemčík0%
Andrej Stojchevski0%
James Willy Ndjeungoue0%
Timotej Hranica0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ján Minárik27%
Tomáš Hubočan20%
Patrik Leitner17%
Antoin Loic Essomba Bikoula13%
Samuel Gidi12%
Yves Erick Bile12%
Krisztián Bari7%
Xavier Adang7%
Patrik Iľko6%
Dominik Javorček6%
Mario Sauer6%
Dávid Ďuriš0%
Samuel Ďatko0%
Kelian Nsona0%
Matúš Rusnák0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Tomáš Nemčík0%
Timotej Jambor0%
Andrej Stojchevski0%
James Willy Ndjeungoue0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Samuel Ďatko15%
Ján Minárik13%
Xavier Adang13%
Patrik Iľko12%
Timotej Jambor7%
Dominik Javorček6%
Samuel Gidi6%
Yves Erick Bile6%
Tomáš Hubočan0%
Dávid Ďuriš0%
Krisztián Bari0%
Kelian Nsona0%
Matúš Rusnák0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Tomáš Nemčík0%
Patrik Leitner0%
Andrej Stojchevski0%
Mario Sauer0%
Antoin Loic Essomba Bikoula0%
James Willy Ndjeungoue0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Timotej Jambor36%
Dávid Ďuriš25%
Matúš Rusnák25%
Patrik Iľko18%
Mario Sauer17%
Yves Erick Bile12%
Ján Minárik7%
Krisztián Bari7%
Dominik Javorček6%
Tomáš Hubočan0%
Samuel Ďatko0%
Kelian Nsona0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Tomáš Nemčík0%
Patrik Leitner0%
Andrej Stojchevski0%
Samuel Gidi0%
Antoin Loic Essomba Bikoula0%
James Willy Ndjeungoue0%
Xavier Adang0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (28)
€35m
DS (27)
€15m
ŽIL (25)
€12m
AT (27)
€7m
ST (27)
€7m
FK (25)
€6m
POD (22)
€5m
RUŽ (26)
€5m
ZM (22)
€4m
DBB (24)
€3m
SKA (22)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ZM (14)
€1m
Skalica's squad is €10m less valuable than Žilina's (€2m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (12)
€15m
DS (10)
€7m
ŽIL (10)
€4m
ST (9)
€2m
POD (8)
€2m
AT (9)
€2m
FK (5)
€1m
RUŽ (10)
€1m
ZM (8)
€1m
DBB (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
SKA (6)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
Skalica's attack is €4m less valuable than Žilina's (€0m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (6)
€7m
DS (6)
€4m
FK (9)
€2m
AT (6)
€2m
POD (5)
€1m
ŽIL (4)
€1m
ST (6)
€1m
RUŽ (5)
€1m
ZM (5)
€1m
DBB (6)
€1m
SKA (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
Skalica and Žilina have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (10)
€13m
ŽIL (11)
€6m
DS (11)
€5m
AT (12)
€4m
ST (12)
€3m
FK (11)
€2m
RUŽ (11)
€2m
POD (9)
€2m
ZM (9)
€2m
SKA (11)
€1m
DBB (11)
€1m
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
Skalica's defence is €5m less valuable than Žilina's (€1m vs €6m).
Slovakia: Super Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: Super Liga stats & trends →
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Slovan Bratislava
Dunajska Streda
Spartak Trnava
Dukla Banská Bystrica
AS Trencin
Ružomberok
Podbrezová
Zemplín Michalovce
FK Košice
Zlaté Moravce
Petržalka