This opponent (Guingamp) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Guingamp
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.10
1.33
1.07
1.00
1.13
vs Stronger (6)
1.17
0.83
0.67
0.67
1.67
1.00
vs Similar (18)
1.00
1.22
1.33
1.33
0.67
1.11
vs Weaker (6)
1.67
1.00
2.00
0.67
1.33
1.33
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Sochaux) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
60.7%
Under 1.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
32.3%
@ 2.40-7.0%
Under 2.5
67.7%
@ 1.55+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.3%
Under 3.5
85.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
41.2%
No
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
14.9%
1-1
14.9%
1-0 ✓
12.9%
0-1
11.5%
2-0
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
6.1%
Sochaux goals ↓
Guingamp goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
12%
6.1%
1.9%
0.5%
1
13%
15%
6.4%
2.0%
0.5%
2
7.5%
7.1%
3.4%
1.1%
0.3%
3
2.6%
2.5%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.7%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sochaux goals (down), columns = Guingamp goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Toulouse
2.08
Ajaccio
1.97
Auxerre
1.95
Paris FC
1.84
Sochaux
1.79
Guingamp
1.53
Le Havre
1.32
Caen
1.32
Nimes
1.29
PAU
1.29
Dijon
1.24
Niort
1.21
Bastia
1.21
Valenciennes
1.16
Amiens
1.16
Grenoble
1.16
Rodez
1.13
Rouen
1.05
Dunkerque
0.82
Nancy
0.71
Sochaux is 0.26 points better than Guingamp in terms of average points per game (1.79 vs 1.53).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Toulouse
2.16
Auxerre
1.61
Paris FC
1.42
Guingamp
1.37
Caen
1.34
Dijon
1.26
Sochaux
1.24
Nimes
1.16
Amiens
1.13
PAU
1.08
Niort
1.03
Ajaccio
1.03
Le Havre
1.00
Bastia
1.00
Valenciennes
0.89
Rouen
0.87
Nancy
0.84
Rodez
0.84
Grenoble
0.84
Dunkerque
0.74
Sochaux is 0.13 goals worse than Guingamp in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.37).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajaccio
0.50
Toulouse
0.87
Sochaux
0.89
Paris FC
0.92
Bastia
0.95
Auxerre
1.03
Le Havre
1.08
Amiens
1.08
Niort
1.11
Caen
1.11
Rodez
1.11
Grenoble
1.16
Valenciennes
1.24
Guingamp
1.26
PAU
1.29
Rouen
1.32
Nimes
1.34
Dunkerque
1.39
Dijon
1.39
Nancy
1.82
Sochaux is 0.37 goals better than Guingamp in terms of goals conceded per game (0.89 vs 1.26).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sochaux
For 7.0 · Against 4.8 · Total 11.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 3.5 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 13.6 · Total 27.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Guingamp
For 4.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 7.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.9 · Against 12.8 · Total 27.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sochaux
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.2
8.7
4.3
4.3
4.3
27.3
25.4
29.1
vs Stronger (11)
9.2
8.3
10.2
3.5
3.3
3.6
22.8
21.2
24.8
vs Similar (39)
8.8
9.4
8.3
4.5
4.6
4.5
28.5
26.7
30.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
42%
40%
44%
60%
56%
64%
92%
88%
96%
% under line
58%
60%
56%
40%
44%
36%
8%
12%
4%
This opponent (Guingamp) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Guingamp
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.8
8.4
4.1
4.2
4.0
29.5
28.8
30.2
vs Stronger (9)
9.1
9.2
9.0
3.1
4.0
2.4
27.6
25.5
29.2
vs Similar (32)
8.8
9.2
8.3
4.4
4.5
4.3
30.2
29.6
31.0
vs Weaker (9)
7.6
6.8
8.2
4.3
3.5
5.0
28.8
29.0
28.6
% over line
30%
36%
24%
60%
64%
56%
88%
84%
92%
% under line
70%
64%
76%
40%
36%
44%
12%
16%
8%
This opponent (Sochaux) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Toulouse
9.7
Rouen
9.7
Nimes
9.6
PAU
9.4
Bastia
9.3
Caen
9.2
Auxerre
9.2
Nancy
9.1
Dijon
9.1
Niort
9.1
Sochaux
8.9
Valenciennes
8.9
Paris FC
8.7
Ajaccio
8.7
Guingamp
8.6
Amiens
8.5
Grenoble
8.5
Dunkerque
8.0
Le Havre
7.8
Rodez
7.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Valenciennes
4.5
Sochaux
4.3
Dijon
4.2
Grenoble
4.2
Toulouse
4.2
Guingamp
4.1
Nimes
4.1
Rouen
4.1
Caen
4.1
Ajaccio
4.1
Dunkerque
4.1
Amiens
4.0
Rodez
4.0
Nancy
4.0
PAU
4.0
Bastia
3.8
Niort
3.7
Le Havre
3.6
Paris FC
3.5
Auxerre
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Valenciennes
31.8
Nancy
30.9
Dunkerque
30.8
Rouen
30.5
Rodez
29.9
Guingamp
29.5
Amiens
29.2
Toulouse
28.9
Caen
28.5
Niort
28.4
Ajaccio
28.1
Nimes
27.5
PAU
27.4
Dijon
27.4
Sochaux
27.3
Le Havre
26.9
Grenoble
26.9
Bastia
26.2
Paris FC
26.1
Auxerre
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
44.6%
Under 9.5
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
65.1%
Under 3.5
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
87.5%
Under 21.5
12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sochaux
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.47
0.33
0.47
0.27
0.47
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.43
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (23)
0.22
0.48
0.27
0.45
0.17
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Guingamp) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Guingamp
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.37
0.27
0.33
0.60
0.40
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (18)
0.33
0.39
0.33
0.44
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.67
0.33
0.33
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Sochaux) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sochaux over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sochaux over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sochaux over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guingamp over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guingamp over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guingamp over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sochaux
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.57
0.73
0.40
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.29
0.50
0.75
0.33
2.00
vs Similar (23)
0.91
0.35
0.82
0.27
1.00
0.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Guingamp) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Guingamp
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.73
1.07
0.73
0.40
0.73
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.83
0.67
0.67
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.83
1.00
0.89
0.33
0.78
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.33
1.67
0.33
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Sochaux) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sochaux over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sochaux over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sochaux over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guingamp over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guingamp over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guingamp over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sochaux · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Boubacar Fofana25%
Mehdi Jeannin0%
Julien Masson0%
Jonathan Mexique0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Landry Nomel0%
Kapit Djoco0%
Samy Baghdadi0%
Dylan Tavares0%
Mathis Clairicia0%
Dalangunypole Gomis0%
Noa Kotto Kotto Mouyema0%
Élie N'Gatta0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Élie N'Gatta25%
Mehdi Jeannin0%
Julien Masson0%
Boubacar Fofana0%
Jonathan Mexique0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Landry Nomel0%
Kapit Djoco0%
Samy Baghdadi0%
Dylan Tavares0%
Mathis Clairicia0%
Dalangunypole Gomis0%
Noa Kotto Kotto Mouyema0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mehdi Jeannin0%
Julien Masson0%
Boubacar Fofana0%
Jonathan Mexique0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Landry Nomel0%
Kapit Djoco0%
Samy Baghdadi0%
Dylan Tavares0%
Mathis Clairicia0%
Dalangunypole Gomis0%
Noa Kotto Kotto Mouyema0%
Élie N'Gatta0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mehdi Jeannin0%
Julien Masson0%
Boubacar Fofana0%
Jonathan Mexique0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Landry Nomel0%
Kapit Djoco0%
Samy Baghdadi0%
Dylan Tavares0%
Mathis Clairicia0%
Dalangunypole Gomis0%
Noa Kotto Kotto Mouyema0%
Élie N'Gatta0%
Guingamp · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Donatien Gomis25%
Albin Demouchy25%
Stanislas Kielt25%
Samir Ben Brahim25%
Erwin Koffi0%
Tom Ducrocq0%
Dylan Louiserre0%
Teddy Averlant0%
Adrián Ortolá0%
Florent Sanchez Da Silva0%
Amine Hemia0%
Amadou Samoura0%
Vimoj Muntu0%
Tanguy Ahile0%
Jérémie Matumona0%
Jasser Chamakh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Donatien Gomis50%
Albin Demouchy50%
Tom Ducrocq25%
Dylan Louiserre25%
Adrián Ortolá25%
Jasser Chamakh25%
Erwin Koffi0%
Teddy Averlant0%
Florent Sanchez Da Silva0%
Amine Hemia0%
Amadou Samoura0%
Stanislas Kielt0%
Vimoj Muntu0%
Tanguy Ahile0%
Jérémie Matumona0%
Samir Ben Brahim0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Amine Hemia33%
Jérémie Matumona33%
Teddy Averlant25%
Erwin Koffi0%
Tom Ducrocq0%
Dylan Louiserre0%
Donatien Gomis0%
Adrián Ortolá0%
Florent Sanchez Da Silva0%
Albin Demouchy0%
Amadou Samoura0%
Stanislas Kielt0%
Vimoj Muntu0%
Tanguy Ahile0%
Samir Ben Brahim0%
Jasser Chamakh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stanislas Kielt50%
Teddy Averlant25%
Erwin Koffi0%
Tom Ducrocq0%
Dylan Louiserre0%
Donatien Gomis0%
Adrián Ortolá0%
Florent Sanchez Da Silva0%
Amine Hemia0%
Albin Demouchy0%
Amadou Samoura0%
Vimoj Muntu0%
Tanguy Ahile0%
Jérémie Matumona0%
Samir Ben Brahim0%
Jasser Chamakh0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (37)
€176m
TOU (24)
€115m
AUX (29)
€84m
LH (25)
€55m
ROD (23)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
NAN (26)
€13m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
DUN (21)
€11m
BAS (19)
€7m
SOC (20)
€7m
DIJ (20)
€5m
AMI (14)
€4m
CAE (18)
€4m
VAL (21)
€4m
ROU (14)
€3m
Sochaux's squad is €4m less valuable than Guingamp's (€7m vs €11m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (13)
€59m
TOU (7)
€30m
AUX (11)
€23m
LH (10)
€9m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
NAN (9)
€5m
DUN (7)
€4m
BAS (9)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
SOC (8)
€3m
CAE (8)
€2m
ROU (5)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€1m
VAL (8)
€1m
AMI (4)
€0m
Sochaux and Guingamp have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (7)
€54m
TOU (7)
€39m
AUX (5)
€28m
LH (5)
€23m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
GRE (5)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
PAU (4)
€2m
DIJ (6)
€2m
DUN (5)
€1m
BAS (3)
€1m
SOC (3)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
CAE (4)
€1m
AMI (2)
€0m
ROU (3)
€0m
Sochaux's midfield is €4m less valuable than Guingamp's (€1m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (17)
€62m
TOU (10)
€46m
AUX (13)
€33m
LH (10)
€23m
ROD (10)
€7m
NAN (11)
€6m
PAU (10)
€6m
DUN (9)
€5m
GRE (10)
€4m
AMI (8)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
GUI (8)
€3m
BAS (7)
€2m
VAL (10)
€2m
CAE (6)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€2m
ROU (6)
€1m
Sochaux and Guingamp have a similar defence value (both €3m).
France: Ligue 2 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Toulouse
Ajaccio
Auxerre
Paris FC
Caen
Le Havre
Nimes
PAU
Dijon
Bastia
Niort
Amiens
Grenoble
Valenciennes
Rodez
Rouen
Dunkerque
Nancy