Standard Liege are expected to emerge victorious in this encounter against RAAL La Louvière, with a predicted scoreline of 1-1 holding a 13.5% probability. The match is anticipated to be a low-scoring affair, with an expected total of 2.7 goals. The home side, Standard Liege, have a 42% chance of winning, while RAAL La Louvière have a 29% chance of securing an away victory, with a 28% probability of the match ending in a draw.
Standard Liege have a tendency to score 1 goal on average when playing at home against stronger opponents, while conceding 1.44 goals. Meanwhile, RAAL La Louvière score 1 goal on average when playing away against weaker opponents, while conceding 1 goal.
The model's selection for this match includes Over 1.5 goals at 75.4%, Under 3.5 goals at 72.5%, and Home or Draw at 70.7%.
Results analysis
Standard Liège’s win over RAAL La Louvière extended a good run, ending their last five with a victory. The model’s favourite, a home win, proved correct as the final score was 2-0. The pre-match probability for the favourite was 41 %. The model’s selections performed strongly: Under 7.5 hit at 99.7 %, Under 6.5 hit at 99.0 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.8 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 97.8 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.5 %, Under 5.5 hit at 96.9 %, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 96.0 %, and Away under 1.5 HT goals hit at 92.7 %. All predictions settled as hit, confirming the model’s accuracy.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Standard Liege win✓ Hit
40.8%
Avg Implied 48.8% · @ 1.91
Edge
-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Betano
1.98
Pinnacle
1.96
BetVictor
1.93
Draw✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied 27.5% · @ 3.39
Edge
+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.53
Pinnacle
3.51
10Bet
3.50
Unibet
3.45
Superbet
3.45
RAAL La Louvière win✗ Miss
30.8%
Avg Implied 23.7% · @ 3.94
Edge
+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.18
Unibet
4.10
10Bet
4.10
1xBet
4.09
Betfair
4.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Standard Liege
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.20
0.79
1.29
1.69
1.12
vs Stronger (6)
1.17
0.83
1.00
0.33
1.33
1.33
vs Similar (22)
1.27
1.27
0.73
1.55
1.82
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.50
-
-
1.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (RAAL La Louvière) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RAAL La Louvière
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.60
1.15
1.54
1.18
1.65
vs Stronger (12)
1.25
1.67
1.40
1.80
1.14
1.57
vs Similar (18)
1.11
1.56
1.00
1.38
1.20
1.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Standard Liege) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.3%
@ 1.33+5.0%
Under 1.5
24.7%
@ 3.16-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Superbet
1.35
10Bet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Under
Pinnacle
3.38
BetVictor
3.25
Superbet
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.2%
@ 2.05+3.2%
Under 2.5
50.8%
@ 1.75-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.12
Betfair
2.10
Unibet
2.08
SBO
2.08
Pinnacle
2.08
Under
Pinnacle
1.81
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
SBO
1.76
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.3%
@ 3.65+1.7%
Under 3.5
72.7%
@ 1.26-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.85
Betfair
3.80
Pinnacle
3.76
10Bet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Under
Pinnacle
1.29
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.29
888Sport
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.7%
@ 1.86+4.5%
No
45.3%
@ 1.87-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.91
Unibet
1.90
Betano
1.88
Betfair
1.87
Superbet
1.87
No
William Hil
1.91
Bet365
1.91
888Sport
1.91
Superbet
1.90
BetVictor
1.87
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%@ 6.04+6.3%
1-0
8.9%@ 6.09+1.7%
2-1
8.8%@ 7.81+3.2%
0-0
8.4%@ 8.42+3.1%
1-2
7.5%@ 11.82+3.8%
0-1
7.4%@ 9.39+2.7%
2-0 ✓
7.3%@ 8.16+1.9%
2-2
5.4%@ 14.15+2.2%
Standard Liege goals ↓
RAAL La Louvière goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.4%
7.4%
5.2%
2.1%
0.6%
1
8.9%
14%
7.5%
3.0%
0.9%
2
7.3%
8.8%
5.4%
2.2%
0.7%
3
3.5%
4.2%
2.5%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.2%
1.5%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Standard Liege goals (down), columns = RAAL La Louvière goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lommel United
2.67
Club Brugge KV
2.20
Union St. Gilloise
2.15
St. Truiden
1.77
Genk
1.46
Standard Liege
1.43
Anderlecht
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.33
KVC Westerlo
1.30
KV Mechelen
1.27
Charleroi
1.27
Gent
1.27
Antwerp
1.20
Kortrijk
1.16
Cercle Brugge
1.14
OH Leuven
1.00
SK Beveren
0.99
RAAL La Louvière
0.94
Standard Liege is 0.48 points better than RAAL La Louvière in terms of average points per game (1.43 vs 0.94).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lommel United
2.33
Club Brugge KV
2.27
Union St. Gilloise
1.65
St. Truiden
1.52
Anderlecht
1.48
Zulte Waregem
1.47
Cercle Brugge
1.47
Genk
1.39
Gent
1.29
KVC Westerlo
1.25
Charleroi
1.25
Kortrijk
1.20
KV Mechelen
1.20
Standard Liege
1.10
Antwerp
1.07
OH Leuven
1.02
SK Beveren
1.02
RAAL La Louvière
0.97
Standard Liege is 0.13 goals better than RAAL La Louvière in terms of goals scored per game (1.10 vs 0.97).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.68
Lommel United
0.83
Club Brugge KV
1.12
Standard Liege
1.15
St. Truiden
1.15
Antwerp
1.20
Charleroi
1.25
Genk
1.29
RAAL La Louvière
1.39
Gent
1.39
KVC Westerlo
1.43
Zulte Waregem
1.47
OH Leuven
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.52
Anderlecht
1.55
Kortrijk
1.59
Cercle Brugge
1.61
SK Beveren
1.87
Standard Liege is 0.24 goals better than RAAL La Louvière in terms of goals conceded per game (1.15 vs 1.39).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Club Brugge KV
60%
Genk
58%
St. Truiden
55%
Anderlecht
53%
Union St. Gilloise
52%
Charleroi
50%
Antwerp
49%
KVC Westerlo
49%
KV Mechelen
49%
Gent
49%
Zulte Waregem
48%
Cercle Brugge
48%
OH Leuven
46%
Lommel United
45%
Standard Liege
44%
RAAL La Louvière
39%
Standard Liege is 5.5 percentage points better than RAAL La Louvière in terms of average possession (44% vs 39%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Standard Liege
For 3.9 · Against 7.2 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.8 · Against 12.5 · Total 21.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
RAAL La Louvière
For 5.7 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 10.4 · Total 21.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Standard Liege
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.3
9.9
4.0
4.8
3.2
22.2
22.9
21.5
vs Stronger (10)
11.2
10.6
11.8
5.0
6.4
3.6
21.6
23.8
19.4
vs Similar (35)
10.0
10.5
9.4
3.9
4.5
3.4
22.3
22.8
21.7
vs Weaker (5)
8.0
7.5
9.0
2.4
3.5
1.7
23.3
21.0
28.0
% over line
46%
42%
50%
60%
75%
46%
52%
58%
46%
% under line
54%
58%
50%
40%
25%
54%
48%
42%
54%
This opponent (RAAL La Louvière) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RAAL La Louvière
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.1
8.9
3.5
3.5
3.4
24.6
24.0
25.2
vs Stronger (15)
10.4
10.4
10.3
3.9
3.0
4.6
24.5
23.1
25.9
vs Similar (32)
8.4
8.5
8.3
3.1
3.3
2.9
24.0
22.8
24.9
vs Weaker (3)
8.3
8.3
-
6.0
6.0
-
30.7
30.7
-
% over line
43%
43%
43%
48%
46%
50%
72%
65%
78%
% under line
57%
57%
57%
52%
54%
50%
28%
35%
22%
This opponent (Standard Liege) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
OH Leuven
11.1
Cercle Brugge
10.8
Charleroi
10.7
Club Brugge KV
10.6
KVC Westerlo
10.6
Anderlecht
10.4
KV Mechelen
10.2
Kortrijk
10.2
Gent
10.1
Standard Liege
10.1
SK Beveren
10.0
Zulte Waregem
9.9
St. Truiden
9.8
Lommel United
9.6
Genk
9.6
Union St. Gilloise
9.3
Antwerp
9.3
RAAL La Louvière
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Anderlecht
5.3
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
OH Leuven
4.7
SK Beveren
4.5
Kortrijk
4.3
Standard Liege
4.2
Antwerp
4.2
St. Truiden
4.1
Cercle Brugge
4.1
Lommel United
4.0
KV Mechelen
4.0
KVC Westerlo
3.9
RAAL La Louvière
3.9
Charleroi
3.9
Zulte Waregem
3.8
Genk
3.8
Club Brugge KV
3.6
Gent
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
OH Leuven
25.2
Anderlecht
25.0
RAAL La Louvière
24.9
Lommel United
24.3
Antwerp
24.0
SK Beveren
23.6
Kortrijk
23.3
Cercle Brugge
23.1
KVC Westerlo
23.1
Zulte Waregem
23.0
Genk
22.5
Standard Liege
22.2
KV Mechelen
22.0
Charleroi
21.7
Union St. Gilloise
21.6
St. Truiden
21.3
Gent
21.1
Club Brugge KV
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.1%
@ 1.77+6.0%
Under 9.5
41.9%
@ 1.93-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.80
Unibet
1.79
Pinnacle
1.76
Under
Pinnacle
2.04
Marathonbet
1.98
Superbet
1.97
1xBet
1.96
Betano
1.93
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.1%
@ 1.58-0.5%
Under 3.5
41.9%
@ 2.23+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Superbet
1.56
Unibet
1.49
Under
Unibet
2.38
Superbet
2.25
Betano
2.07
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
61.6%
@ 1.43-1.3%
Under 21.5
38.4%
@ 2.42+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.43
Under
1xBet
2.42
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Standard Liege or Draw✓ Hit
70.7%
Avg Implied 76.3% · @ 1.23
Edge
-5.6%
41%
28%
31%
covers Standard Liege + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Standard Liege or RAAL La Louvière✓ Hit
69.4%
Avg Implied 73.3% · @ 1.28
Edge
-3.9%
41%
28%
31%
covers Standard Liege + RAAL La Louvière
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.32
888Sport
1.30
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Draw or RAAL La Louvière✗ Miss
59.9%
Avg Implied 50.4% · @ 1.86
Edge
+9.5%
41%
28%
31%
covers Draw + RAAL La Louvière
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.99
Unibet
1.91
Bet365
1.91
10Bet
1.90
1xBet
1.88
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Standard Liege over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.9%
@ 1.21-5.0%
Under
28.1%
@ 4.02+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.40
BetVictor
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Standard Liege over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
36.2%
@ 2.06-9.1%
Under
63.8%
@ 1.71+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.13
Betfair
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Betano
2.07
Under
Pinnacle
1.76
Marathonbet
1.75
10Bet
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Betano
1.70
Standard Liege over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.6%
@ 4.36-7.7%
Under
86.4%
@ 1.18+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.59
BetVictor
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.40
Under
Betano
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Standard Liege over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.0%
@ 10.14-5.2%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.03+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
888Sport
11.00
1xBet
10.50
Superbet
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
RAAL La Louvière over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
65.0%
@ 1.50+2.9%
Under
35.0%
@ 2.46-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.53
Unibet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Under
Pinnacle
2.62
888Sport
2.50
BetVictor
2.50
Betfair
2.50
Bet365
2.50
RAAL La Louvière over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
28.3%
@ 3.41+1.0%
Under
71.7%
@ 1.28-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.64
Unibet
3.55
10Bet
3.55
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
Under
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
RAAL La Louvière over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.0%
@ 9.24-1.1%
Under
91.0%
@ 1.04+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
10.00
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Unibet
9.50
1xBet
9.30
Under
Bet365
1.06
Betano
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
RAAL La Louvière over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 22.17-2.1%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.01+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Superbet
25.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Standard Liege, so a minus line means Standard Liege give that many goals of a start and RAAL La Louvière receive them. At -1, Standard Liege must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Standard Liege win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Standard Liege)Actual: Draw
Standard Liege -2
6.4%
@ 7.52-5.5%
Draw -2
12.1%
@ 5.33-4.7%
RAAL La Louvière +2
81.5%
@ 1.26+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
8.50
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.90
Unibet
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Draw
Superbet
5.70
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
10Bet
5.00
Away
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
Handicap -1 (Standard Liege)Actual: Standard Liege
Standard Liege -1
18.5%
@ 3.48-7.4%
Draw -1
21.5%
@ 3.51-4.2%
RAAL La Louvière +1
59.9%
@ 1.86+11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.75
Superbet
3.65
Bet365
3.60
Unibet
3.30
10Bet
3.30
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.70
10Bet
3.45
Betfair
3.40
Marathonbet
3.40
Away
Bet365
1.91
10Bet
1.90
Unibet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.86
Superbet
1.82
Handicap +1 (Standard Liege)Actual: Standard Liege
Standard Liege +1
70.7%
@ 1.23-2.6%
Draw +1
17.6%
@ 5.39+0.9%
RAAL La Louvière -1
11.7%
@ 8.93+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Unibet
5.40
Superbet
5.40
Marathonbet
5.30
Away
Betfair
10.00
10Bet
9.00
Unibet
9.00
Bet365
9.00
Superbet
8.30
Handicap +2 (Standard Liege)Actual: Standard Liege
Standard Liege +2
88.3%
@ 1.04-1.3%
Draw +2
8.3%
@ 13.00+1.1%
RAAL La Louvière -2
3.4%
@ 29.50+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.03
Draw
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
13.00
Away
Betfair
36.00
Bet365
23.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Standard Liege
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.53
0.36
0.50
0.88
0.56
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.50
0.67
0.00
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.50
0.27
0.64
0.82
0.36
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
-
-
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (RAAL La Louvière) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RAAL La Louvière
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.73
0.38
0.62
0.59
0.82
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
0.75
0.60
0.80
0.43
0.71
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.72
0.25
0.50
0.70
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Standard Liege) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
67.0%
@ 1.41+0.9%
Under 0.5
33.0%
@ 2.75-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
BetVictor
1.42
Superbet
1.42
Unibet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Under
Pinnacle
2.95
William Hil
2.88
10Bet
2.80
Superbet
2.80
Betfair
2.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
29.2%
@ 2.93-2.6%
Under 1.5
70.8%
@ 1.37+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.15
Unibet
3.10
Pinnacle
3.01
Betfair
3.00
Superbet
2.92
Under
William Hil
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
Superbet
1.39
10Bet
1.38
BetVictor
1.38
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.7%
@ 7.34-2.9%
Under 2.5
90.3%
@ 1.06+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
8.00
Superbet
7.60
Unibet
7.50
William Hil
7.50
Betano
7.30
Under
William Hil
1.08
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Standard Liege over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
49.0%
@ 1.87-0.8%
Under
51.0%
@ 1.85+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.95
Pinnacle
1.88
Unibet
1.88
Superbet
1.88
1xBet
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
10Bet
1.91
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
Unibet
1.83
Standard Liege over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.8%
@ 5.52-3.0%
Under
86.2%
@ 1.11+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Unibet
5.50
Betano
5.40
Superbet
5.40
Marathonbet
5.30
Under
10Bet
1.13
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Unibet
1.11
Standard Liege over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 14.42-4.1%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.02+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
17.00
10Bet
15.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
RAAL La Louvière over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
35.5%
@ 2.60-0.2%
Under
64.5%
@ 1.44+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.70
Unibet
2.70
Betano
2.62
10Bet
2.55
Superbet
2.55
Under
Pinnacle
1.48
Superbet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
RAAL La Louvière over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.3%
@ 9.36-2.6%
Under
92.7%
@ 1.03+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
10.50
1xBet
10.00
Marathonbet
9.60
10Bet
9.00
Superbet
8.80
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Unibet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
RAAL La Louvière over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 37.00-98.8%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
37.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Standard Liege
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
0.43
0.79
0.81
0.56
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (22)
0.73
0.77
0.45
0.91
1.00
0.64
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.50
-
-
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (RAAL La Louvière) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RAAL La Louvière
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.87
0.77
0.92
0.59
0.82
vs Stronger (12)
0.75
0.92
0.80
1.00
0.71
0.86
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.83
0.75
0.88
0.50
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Standard Liege) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Standard Liege over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liege over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liege over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RAAL La Louvière over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RAAL La Louvière over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RAAL La Louvière over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.0%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
1.02
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.03
888Sport
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.0%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.7%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Unibet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
91.4%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Pinnacle
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
91.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.06
Betano
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.3%
1.06
William Hil
1.08
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
88.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.03
-
-
-
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
86.4%
1.18
Betano
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
+7.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.2%
1.11
10Bet
1.13
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Unibet
1.11
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
81.5%
1.26
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
+10.2%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
77.4%
1.33
Unibet
1.38
Superbet
1.28
-
-
-
+9.0%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
76.7%
1.30
1xBet
1.30
-
-
-
-
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.3%
1.33
Betano
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Superbet
1.35
10Bet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.7%
1.26
Pinnacle
1.29
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.29
888Sport
1.25
Betfair
1.25
-1.7%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
71.9%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
10Bet
1.20
-5.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
71.7%
1.28
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
-1.0%
✓ Hit
Under 1.5 HT goals
70.8%
1.37
William Hil
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
Superbet
1.39
10Bet
1.38
BetVictor
1.38
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
70.7%
1.23
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-5.6%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
70.7%
1.23
Superbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.21
-2.6%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
70.3%
1.44
1xBet
1.44
-
-
-
-
+7.9%
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
70.2%
1.45
Unibet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.47
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.40
+6.7%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Standard Liege
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dennis Eckert Ayensa50%
Salieu Drammeh33%
Casper Nielsen25%
Adnane Abid25%
Bernard Nguene25%
Tobias Mohr0%
Ibrahim Karamoko0%
Marlon Fossey0%
Henry Lawrence0%
Alexis Trouillet0%
Ibe Hautekiet0%
Matthieu Epolo0%
Gustav Mortensen0%
Rayan Touzghar0%
Ryan Fosso0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matthieu Epolo50%
Ryan Fosso33%
Casper Nielsen25%
Alexis Trouillet25%
Gustav Mortensen25%
Adnane Abid25%
Tobias Mohr0%
Ibrahim Karamoko0%
Dennis Eckert Ayensa0%
Marlon Fossey0%
Henry Lawrence0%
Ibe Hautekiet0%
Rayan Touzghar0%
Salieu Drammeh0%
Bernard Nguene0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Casper Nielsen50%
Adnane Abid50%
Marlon Fossey25%
Bernard Nguene25%
Tobias Mohr0%
Ibrahim Karamoko0%
Dennis Eckert Ayensa0%
Henry Lawrence0%
Alexis Trouillet0%
Ibe Hautekiet0%
Matthieu Epolo0%
Gustav Mortensen0%
Rayan Touzghar0%
Ryan Fosso0%
Salieu Drammeh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bernard Nguene75%
Salieu Drammeh33%
Dennis Eckert Ayensa25%
Adnane Abid25%
Casper Nielsen0%
Tobias Mohr0%
Ibrahim Karamoko0%
Marlon Fossey0%
Henry Lawrence0%
Alexis Trouillet0%
Ibe Hautekiet0%
Matthieu Epolo0%
Gustav Mortensen0%
Rayan Touzghar0%
Ryan Fosso0%
RAAL La Louvière
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mustapha Isah75%
Elias Filet25%
Ismaila Coulibaly0%
Marcos Hernán Peano0%
Shaquil Delos0%
Thierry Lutonda0%
Wagane Faye0%
Yllan Okou0%
Mátyás Kovács0%
Zsombor Gruber0%
Djibril Lamego0%
Mame Wade0%
Patrick Nkoa0%
Léandro Rousseau0%
Anas Tajaouart0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mame Wade50%
Yllan Okou33%
Wagane Faye25%
Djibril Lamego25%
Ismaila Coulibaly0%
Marcos Hernán Peano0%
Shaquil Delos0%
Thierry Lutonda0%
Mátyás Kovács0%
Zsombor Gruber0%
Elias Filet0%
Patrick Nkoa0%
Léandro Rousseau0%
Anas Tajaouart0%
Mustapha Isah0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Zsombor Gruber33%
Mame Wade25%
Ismaila Coulibaly0%
Marcos Hernán Peano0%
Shaquil Delos0%
Thierry Lutonda0%
Wagane Faye0%
Yllan Okou0%
Mátyás Kovács0%
Elias Filet0%
Djibril Lamego0%
Patrick Nkoa0%
Léandro Rousseau0%
Anas Tajaouart0%
Mustapha Isah0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mustapha Isah50%
Ismaila Coulibaly0%
Marcos Hernán Peano0%
Shaquil Delos0%
Thierry Lutonda0%
Wagane Faye0%
Yllan Okou0%
Mátyás Kovács0%
Zsombor Gruber0%
Elias Filet0%
Djibril Lamego0%
Mame Wade0%
Patrick Nkoa0%
Léandro Rousseau0%
Anas Tajaouart0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
USG (26)
€98m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
KW (26)
€38m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
OL (27)
€30m
ST (23)
€30m
LU (25)
€26m
RLL (30)
€23m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
Standard Liege's squad is €31m more valuable than RAAL La Louvière's (€54m vs €23m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
USG (10)
€32m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
KW (11)
€16m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
LU (10)
€8m
OL (8)
€7m
RLL (10)
€6m
SB (9)
€4m
Standard Liege's attack is €9m more valuable than RAAL La Louvière's (€14m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USG (7)
€38m
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
LU (5)
€15m
ANT (4)
€10m
KW (5)
€9m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
OL (6)
€6m
RLL (7)
€6m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
Standard Liege's midfield is €3m more valuable than RAAL La Louvière's (€8m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
USG (9)
€28m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
OL (13)
€17m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
KW (10)
€12m
RLL (13)
€11m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
Standard Liege's defence is €20m more valuable than RAAL La Louvière's (€31m vs €11m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Charleroi
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
Zulte Waregem
Genk
Lommel United
Antwerp
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
SK Beveren
Cercle Brugge
KV Mechelen
KVC Westerlo
OH Leuven
Kortrijk