Como is expected to win this match, with a likely low-scoring draw or away win outcome. The expected total number of goals is 2.4. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 13.6% probability.
Udinese has struggled at home, scoring 0.88 goals on average against stronger opponents, while conceding 0.38. In contrast, Como has excelled away from home, scoring 2.5 goals on average against weaker opponents, while conceding 0.38.
The model's selections include a Draw or Away win (82.2%), Over 21.5 fouls (80.3%), Under 3.5 (77.1%), Over 1.5 (71.2%), and Home or Away (70.8%).
Como's recent form has been impressive, with a three-game winning run, while Udinese has struggled, losing two of their last five matches. The probabilities for the match result are 23% for Udinese, 29% for a draw, and 49% for Como.
Results analysis
The draw surprised everyone, as the pre-match favourite, the model’s pick of an away win, failed to materialise. Udinese and Como finished 1-1, a result that left the model’s prediction incorrect. The model had given the away side a 48 % chance of victory, but the match ended in a stalemate. The model’s other selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.8 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 99.3 %, Under 6.5 at 99.3 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.8 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.9 %, Under 5.5 at 97.5 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.5 % and Home under 2.5 goals at 96.1 %. With Udinese coming off a draw and Como unbeaten in their last five, the 1-1 scoreline was a fitting, if unexpected, outcome.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Udinese win✗ Miss
23.0%
Avg Implied 20.4% · @ 4.67
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
5.00
Pinnacle
4.90
Unibet
4.90
1xBet
4.86
Betfair
4.75
Draw✓ Hit
28.9%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.48
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.60
1xBet
3.60
Superbet
3.55
Dafabet
3.55
Betano
3.55
Como win✗ Miss
48.0%
Avg Implied 52.3% · @ 1.82
Edge
-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.88
Pinnacle
1.85
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
William Hil
1.83
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Udinese
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.20
0.87
0.93
1.47
1.47
vs Stronger (12)
1.08
1.17
0.67
0.50
1.50
1.83
vs Similar (18)
1.22
1.22
1.00
1.22
1.44
1.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Como) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Como
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
0.80
1.93
0.87
1.80
0.73
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.60
1.50
2.00
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (17)
1.59
0.76
1.50
0.70
1.71
0.86
vs Weaker (8)
3.00
0.38
3.67
0.67
2.60
0.20
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Udinese) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.5%
@ 1.35+0.6%
Under 1.5
29.5%
@ 3.13-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
10Bet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Superbet
1.36
BetVictor
1.35
Under
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.25
Betfair
3.25
Betano
3.20
Superbet
3.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.2%
@ 2.10-2.1%
Under 2.5
56.8%
@ 1.74+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.19
Pinnacle
2.17
Marathonbet
2.13
Betano
2.12
10Bet
2.10
Under
SBO
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.2%
@ 3.74-2.9%
Under 3.5
77.8%
@ 1.26+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.90
10Bet
3.85
Betfair
3.80
888Sport
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Under
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.26
888Sport
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.1%
@ 1.93-0.2%
No
51.9%
@ 1.81+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
888Sport
2.00
Superbet
1.95
Bet365
1.95
10Bet
1.95
William Hil
1.95
No
Betfair
1.87
Betano
1.83
Unibet
1.82
Superbet
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.7%@ 6.32+6.5%
0-1
12.0%@ 5.99+4.3%
0-0
10.3%@ 8.65+5.0%
0-2
9.7%@ 7.68+3.7%
1-2
9.1%@ 7.96+3.4%
1-0
7.2%@ 10.53+2.9%
2-1
5.9%@ 13.72+2.5%
0-3
4.7%@ 13.72+1.4%
Udinese goals ↓
Como goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
12%
9.7%
4.7%
1.7%
1
7.2%
14%
9.1%
4.4%
1.6%
2
4.0%
5.9%
4.3%
2.1%
0.8%
3
1.3%
1.8%
1.3%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Udinese goals (down), columns = Como goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Inter
2.29
Napoli
2.00
AS Roma
1.92
Como
1.87
AC Milan
1.84
Juventus
1.82
Atalanta
1.55
Bologna
1.47
Lazio
1.42
Udinese
1.32
Sassuolo
1.29
Torino
1.18
Parma
1.18
Cagliari
1.13
Venezia
1.12
Fiorentina
1.11
Genoa
1.08
Frosinone
1.03
Monza
1.01
Lecce
1.00
Udinese is 0.55 points worse than Como in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 1.87).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Inter
2.34
Como
1.71
Juventus
1.61
AS Roma
1.55
Napoli
1.53
AC Milan
1.39
Atalanta
1.34
Bologna
1.29
Sassuolo
1.21
Udinese
1.18
Torino
1.16
Lazio
1.08
Genoa
1.08
Fiorentina
1.08
Cagliari
1.05
Venezia
1.00
Frosinone
0.91
Monza
0.90
Lecce
0.74
Parma
0.74
Udinese is 0.53 goals worse than Como in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 1.71).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Como
0.76
AS Roma
0.82
Juventus
0.89
AC Milan
0.92
Inter
0.92
Napoli
0.95
Atalanta
0.95
Lazio
1.05
Parma
1.21
Bologna
1.21
Udinese
1.26
Fiorentina
1.32
Sassuolo
1.32
Lecce
1.32
Genoa
1.34
Cagliari
1.39
Venezia
1.48
Frosinone
1.62
Monza
1.64
Torino
1.66
Udinese is 0.50 goals worse than Como in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 0.76).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Como
62%
Inter
60%
Napoli
59%
Juventus
58%
AS Roma
56%
Atalanta
55%
Bologna
55%
AC Milan
52%
Fiorentina
51%
Lazio
50%
Genoa
49%
Sassuolo
46%
Udinese
46%
Cagliari
46%
Torino
44%
Parma
44%
Lecce
42%
Udinese is 16.0 percentage points worse than Como in terms of average possession (46% vs 62%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Udinese
For 4.4 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 10.5 · Total 22.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Como
For 5.7 · Against 2.9 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 13.2 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Udinese
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.1
9.7
3.8
3.9
3.6
25.0
26.5
23.6
vs Stronger (18)
9.5
8.4
10.4
3.7
3.8
3.6
24.0
25.9
22.5
vs Similar (32)
9.3
9.5
9.2
3.8
4.0
3.6
25.6
26.8
24.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
44%
44%
54%
60%
48%
76%
80%
72%
% under line
56%
56%
56%
46%
40%
52%
24%
20%
28%
This opponent (Como) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Como
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.6
7.1
8.1
4.7
4.6
4.9
26.3
25.2
27.4
vs Stronger (7)
6.1
4.2
8.7
4.3
5.2
3.0
25.9
24.0
28.3
vs Similar (29)
7.8
8.1
7.5
4.7
4.4
5.1
25.7
24.2
27.1
vs Weaker (14)
7.9
6.7
9.1
5.0
4.6
5.4
27.8
27.7
27.9
% over line
26%
16%
36%
70%
68%
72%
82%
72%
92%
% under line
74%
84%
64%
30%
32%
28%
18%
28%
8%
This opponent (Udinese) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Frosinone
10.0
Lecce
9.9
Juventus
9.7
Udinese
9.4
Bologna
9.4
Inter
9.2
Atalanta
9.1
Venezia
9.0
Sassuolo
9.0
Monza
9.0
Cagliari
8.9
Fiorentina
8.9
Parma
8.8
AC Milan
8.7
AS Roma
8.7
Genoa
8.6
Lazio
8.6
Torino
8.5
Napoli
8.4
Como
7.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lazio
5.3
Fiorentina
4.8
Frosinone
4.8
Como
4.7
Monza
4.5
Genoa
4.5
Sassuolo
4.4
AS Roma
4.3
Venezia
4.3
Bologna
4.0
Cagliari
3.9
Parma
3.9
Lecce
3.8
AC Milan
3.8
Udinese
3.8
Juventus
3.6
Atalanta
3.6
Torino
3.5
Napoli
3.5
Inter
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Frosinone
30.3
Venezia
29.8
Bologna
28.4
AS Roma
28.3
Fiorentina
28.1
Monza
27.8
Cagliari
27.7
Genoa
27.6
Como
26.3
Lecce
25.5
Udinese
25.0
Lazio
24.9
Sassuolo
24.7
Torino
24.6
Parma
24.5
Inter
24.1
Napoli
23.5
Juventus
23.1
Atalanta
21.9
AC Milan
21.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
36.8%
@ 2.30-3.5%
Under 9.5
63.2%
@ 1.55+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.55
Pinnacle
2.37
Unibet
2.35
Betano
2.32
1xBet
2.22
Under
Superbet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.57
Betano
1.57
Unibet
1.52
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
59.0%
@ 1.62+1.4%
Under 3.5
41.0%
@ 2.20-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Unibet
1.62
Betano
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.49
Betano
2.30
Unibet
2.12
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
80.3%
@ 1.43+17.4%
Under 21.5
19.7%
@ 2.42-17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.43
Under
1xBet
2.42
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Udinese or Draw✓ Hit
46.9%
Avg Implied 47.8% · @ 1.98
Edge
-0.8%
23%
29%
48%
covers Udinese + Draw
Best 5 market prices
SBO
2.05
Marathonbet
2.03
1xBet
2.02
Betano
2.02
Superbet
2.00
Udinese or Como✗ Miss
70.8%
Avg Implied 73.1% · @ 1.29
Edge
-2.3%
23%
29%
48%
covers Udinese + Como
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Betano
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Draw or Como✓ Hit
82.2%
Avg Implied 79.1% · @ 1.19
Edge
+3.1%
23%
29%
48%
covers Draw + Como
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betano
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Udinese over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
52.2%
@ 1.58-6.7%
Under
47.8%
@ 2.26+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.63
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.59
1xBet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.58
Under
Pinnacle
2.35
888Sport
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Betano
2.27
Bet365
2.25
Udinese over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
16.9%
@ 3.92-6.9%
Under
83.1%
@ 1.23+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.26
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.90
Under
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Udinese over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.9%
@ 11.29-4.5%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.03+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
888Sport
12.00
Marathonbet
12.00
1xBet
12.00
Superbet
10.00
Under
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
Udinese over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.7%
@ 27.17-2.9%
Under
99.3%
@ 1.01+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
34.00
Bet365
34.00
Betano
13.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Como over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.6%
@ 1.19-1.8%
Under
23.4%
@ 4.32+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.21
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.80
Pinnacle
4.59
BetVictor
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Unibet
4.30
Como over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
42.7%
@ 1.98-4.6%
Under
57.3%
@ 1.77+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.06
1xBet
2.03
Marathonbet
2.03
888Sport
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.79
Superbet
1.78
Como over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.0%
@ 4.15-4.5%
Under
82.0%
@ 1.20+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
Pinnacle
4.42
888Sport
4.20
BetVictor
4.20
10Bet
4.20
Under
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Como over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.0%
@ 9.37-4.0%
Under
94.0%
@ 1.04+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
11.00
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
9.50
1xBet
9.50
Superbet
8.90
Under
Betano
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Udinese, so a minus line means Udinese give that many goals of a start and Como receive them. At -1, Udinese must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Udinese win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Udinese)Actual: Como
Udinese -2
1.2%
@ 33.33-1.7%
Draw -2
4.3%
@ 14.33-2.3%
Como +2
94.6%
@ 1.04+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
41.00
Superbet
30.00
Bet365
29.00
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
14.00
Betfair
14.00
Away
Superbet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Handicap -1 (Udinese)Actual: Como
Udinese -1
5.4%
@ 9.89-3.5%
Draw -1
12.3%
@ 5.44-3.9%
Como +1
82.2%
@ 1.18+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
11.00
10Bet
9.50
Marathonbet
5.95
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Unibet
6.00
10Bet
5.50
Marathonbet
3.70
Away
Marathonbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Handicap +1 (Udinese)Actual: Udinese
Udinese +1
46.9%
@ 1.97+1.3%
Draw +1
25.5%
@ 3.44-0.7%
Como -1
27.6%
@ 3.20-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.03
Unibet
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Bet365
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Draw
Bet365
3.60
Superbet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.48
Unibet
3.35
10Bet
3.35
Away
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.25
Marathonbet
3.22
Superbet
3.20
Handicap +2 (Udinese)Actual: Udinese
Udinese +2
72.4%
@ 1.30+3.3%
Draw +2
16.7%
@ 5.12-1.0%
Como -2
10.9%
@ 6.78-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Unibet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
Superbet
5.20
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Away
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.80
Marathonbet
6.50
10Bet
6.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Udinese
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.47
0.40
0.33
0.53
0.60
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
0.42
0.17
0.33
0.83
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.44
0.50
0.56
0.33
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Como) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Como
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.33
0.87
0.40
0.67
0.27
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.40
1.00
0.50
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.35
0.50
0.30
0.86
0.43
vs Weaker (8)
1.12
0.25
2.00
0.67
0.60
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Udinese) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
64.4%
@ 1.43-1.0%
Under 0.5
35.6%
@ 2.71+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.47
1xBet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.45
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Under
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.82
Pinnacle
2.82
Betano
2.80
William Hil
2.70
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
32.0%
@ 3.03+1.1%
Under 1.5
68.0%
@ 1.36-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.23
1xBet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.10
Superbet
3.00
Under
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.4%
@ 7.91-1.4%
Under 2.5
89.6%
@ 1.06+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
BetVictor
8.50
William Hil
8.50
1xBet
8.10
Marathonbet
8.10
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
10Bet
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Udinese over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
38.2%
@ 2.79+4.9%
Under
61.8%
@ 1.40-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.00
1xBet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.80
Unibet
2.80
Superbet
2.75
Under
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.40
Superbet
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Udinese over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.6%
@ 10.62-0.3%
Under
91.4%
@ 1.04+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
12.00
Marathonbet
12.00
Superbet
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
Udinese over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 30.00-2.1%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
45.00
Betano
15.00
Under
Betano
1.01
Como over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
46.6%
@ 1.84-4.1%
Under
53.4%
@ 1.89+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
10Bet
1.85
Superbet
1.82
Under
Betano
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
10Bet
1.90
Superbet
1.88
Unibet
1.88
Como over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.1%
@ 5.17-6.8%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.13+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.55
1xBet
5.55
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.10
Superbet
4.90
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Unibet
1.11
Como over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 12.62-5.0%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.02+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Udinese
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.73
0.47
0.60
0.93
0.87
vs Stronger (12)
0.58
0.75
0.50
0.17
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (18)
0.78
0.72
0.44
0.89
1.11
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Como) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Como
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.47
1.07
0.47
1.13
0.47
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.20
0.50
1.50
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.94
0.41
1.00
0.40
0.86
0.43
vs Weaker (8)
1.88
0.12
1.67
0.00
2.00
0.20
Clean sheet %
70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Udinese) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.8%
Under 0.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
42.0%
Under 1.5
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.3%
Under 2.5
82.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Udinese over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
42.7%
Under
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Udinese over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.4%
Under
85.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Udinese over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.1%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Como over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
54.9%
Under
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Como over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.9%
Under
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Como over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
99.3%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.3%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.5%
1.02
Bet365
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
96.1%
1.03
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
94.6%
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
94.0%
1.04
Betano
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
92.8%
1.07
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
888Sport
1.08
Unibet
1.07
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
91.4%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
-
-
-
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.6%
1.06
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
10Bet
1.06
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.9%
1.13
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Unibet
1.11
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
83.5%
1.18
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.18
Unibet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
83.1%
1.23
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
82.2%
1.19
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betano
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
82.2%
1.18
Marathonbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
82.0%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
80.3%
1.43
1xBet
1.43
-
-
-
-
+17.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.9%
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Unibet
1.27
Betano
1.26
-
-
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.8%
1.26
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.26
888Sport
1.25
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
76.6%
1.19
Pinnacle
1.21
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
888Sport
1.20
-1.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
76.6%
1.31
Betano
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Unibet
1.29
Superbet
1.25
-
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
74.5%
1.33
Superbet
1.43
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.30
Unibet
1.30
+5.1%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
72.4%
1.30
Superbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Unibet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
70.8%
1.29
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Betano
1.30
888Sport
1.30
-2.3%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
70.5%
1.35
Betano
1.38
10Bet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Superbet
1.36
BetVictor
1.35
+0.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Udinese
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
H. Kamara50%
Jürgen Ekkelenkamp33%
J. Piotrowski33%
Keinan Davis33%
Oumar Solet0%
M. Vojvoda0%
Enzo Ebosse0%
J. Karlström0%
Maduka Okoye0%
Oier Zarraga0%
James Abankwah0%
Unai Gómez0%
L. Miller0%
Juan Arizala0%
I. Gueye0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
J. Piotrowski33%
J. Karlström25%
James Abankwah25%
Unai Gómez25%
Jürgen Ekkelenkamp0%
Oumar Solet0%
M. Vojvoda0%
Keinan Davis0%
Enzo Ebosse0%
H. Kamara0%
Maduka Okoye0%
Oier Zarraga0%
L. Miller0%
Juan Arizala0%
I. Gueye0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jürgen Ekkelenkamp33%
Keinan Davis33%
Oumar Solet25%
M. Vojvoda25%
H. Kamara25%
J. Piotrowski0%
Enzo Ebosse0%
J. Karlström0%
Maduka Okoye0%
Oier Zarraga0%
James Abankwah0%
Unai Gómez0%
L. Miller0%
Juan Arizala0%
I. Gueye0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
H. Kamara25%
I. Gueye25%
Jürgen Ekkelenkamp0%
Oumar Solet0%
J. Piotrowski0%
M. Vojvoda0%
Keinan Davis0%
Enzo Ebosse0%
J. Karlström0%
Maduka Okoye0%
Oier Zarraga0%
James Abankwah0%
Unai Gómez0%
L. Miller0%
Juan Arizala0%
Como · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anastasios Douvikas32%
Nico Paz30%
Martin Baturina24%
Lucas Da Cunha17%
Jayden Addai12%
Marc-Oliver Kempf11%
Assane Diao10%
Alberto Moreno9%
Jesús Rodriguez8%
Máximo Perrone7%
Stefan Posch7%
Mërgim Vojvoda6%
Maxence Caqueret6%
Jacobo Ramón5%
Sergi Roberto4%
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn4%
Álvaro Morata3%
Diego Carlos3%
Álex Valle3%
Jean Butez0%
Ivan Smolčić0%
Edoardo Goldaniga0%
Ignace Van der Brempt0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jacobo Ramón32%
Diego Carlos29%
Ivan Smolčić25%
Jayden Addai25%
Máximo Perrone22%
Sergi Roberto21%
Alberto Moreno17%
Nico Paz15%
Álvaro Morata13%
Ignace Van der Brempt13%
Assane Diao10%
Álex Valle10%
Lucas Da Cunha10%
Maxence Caqueret8%
Jesús Rodriguez8%
Marc-Oliver Kempf8%
Jean Butez7%
Stefan Posch7%
Mërgim Vojvoda6%
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn4%
Martin Baturina3%
Anastasios Douvikas0%
Edoardo Goldaniga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jesús Rodriguez25%
Maxence Caqueret19%
Nico Paz15%
Álex Valle13%
Martin Baturina12%
Lucas Da Cunha10%
Ignace Van der Brempt9%
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn8%
Máximo Perrone7%
Mërgim Vojvoda6%
Assane Diao5%
Anastasios Douvikas5%
Alberto Moreno4%
Álvaro Morata3%
Diego Carlos3%
Ivan Smolčić3%
Marc-Oliver Kempf3%
Jean Butez2%
Sergi Roberto0%
Stefan Posch0%
Edoardo Goldaniga0%
Jayden Addai0%
Jacobo Ramón0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nico Paz45%
Anastasios Douvikas16%
Assane Diao10%
Jesús Rodriguez8%
Jacobo Ramón8%
Stefan Posch7%
Jayden Addai6%
Sergi Roberto4%
Álvaro Morata3%
Mërgim Vojvoda3%
Martin Baturina3%
Marc-Oliver Kempf3%
Alberto Moreno0%
Maxence Caqueret0%
Jean Butez0%
Ivan Smolčić0%
Diego Carlos0%
Edoardo Goldaniga0%
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn0%
Ignace Van der Brempt0%
Lucas Da Cunha0%
Máximo Perrone0%
Álex Valle0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
SAS (38)
€194m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
VEN (36)
€117m
FRO (33)
€84m
LEC (31)
€72m
MON (29)
€70m
Udinese's squad is €331m less valuable than Como's (€157m vs €488m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
SAS (12)
€90m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
VEN (9)
€39m
PAR (8)
€35m
FRO (8)
€34m
MON (11)
€26m
LEC (9)
€20m
Udinese's attack is €215m less valuable than Como's (€46m vs €261m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
SAS (9)
€53m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
VEN (11)
€31m
CAG (9)
€31m
FRO (11)
€27m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
Udinese's midfield is €45m less valuable than Como's (€39m vs €83m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
COM (14)
€144m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
SAS (17)
€52m
CAG (11)
€52m
VEN (16)
€47m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
FRO (14)
€24m
MON (11)
€20m
Udinese's defence is €72m less valuable than Como's (€72m vs €144m).
Italy: Serie A 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
AS Roma
Inter
AC Milan
Juventus
Atalanta
Lazio
Frosinone
Napoli
Sassuolo
Cagliari
Lecce
Torino
Bologna
Parma
Genoa
Monza
Venezia
Fiorentina