Universitatea Cluj is expected to come out on top against Uta Arad, given their recent form and home advantage. The home side is coming off a win, having beaten FC Botosani 2-1 in their last match. Universitatea Cluj has been scoring at a rate of 2.25 goals per game when playing at home, while conceding just 0.5 goals on average against weaker opponents.
In contrast, Uta Arad has been struggling away from home, scoring only 0.5 goals per game against stronger opponents and conceding 2.5 goals on average. This matchup is expected to be a low-scoring one, with a total of 2.5 goals anticipated. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favour of Universitatea Cluj, with a probability of 13.5%.
The model's selection for this match is a home win, with a probability of 60%. The model also suggests selecting Under 3.5 goals, which has a probability of 76.2% and a 3% edge. Additionally, Over 1.5 goals is a suggested pick with a probability of 72.0% and a 2% edge. The home win percentage is 60%, the draw percentage is 25%, and the away win percentage is 14%.
Results analysis
The model’s forecast proved spot on, with Universitatea Cluj securing a 2-1 home win. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 61 % probability and the call was correct. The match’s final score matched the most likely 2-0 outcome, and the 2-1 result still kept the home side victorious. The suggested selections performed impressively: Away under 3.5 goals hit with a 99.3 % probability, Away under 2.5 goals hit at 96.1 %, Home +2 handicap hit at 95.7 %, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 89.9 %, Home or Draw hit at 85.7 %, Home +1 handicap hit at 85.7 %, Away under 1.5 goals hit at 83.2 %, and Home over 0.5 goals hit at 82.6 %. The model’s predictions largely came through, confirming its strong form analysis.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Universitatea Cluj win✓ Hit
60.5%
Avg Implied 46.8% · @ 1.97
Edge
+13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.05
Betano
2.02
Dafabet
2.01
10Bet
1.98
1xBet
1.97
Draw✗ Miss
25.2%
Avg Implied 27.8% · @ 3.30
Edge
-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.51
Betfair
3.40
Bet365
3.40
1xBet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.35
Uta Arad win✗ Miss
14.3%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.63
Edge
-11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.90
1xBet
3.74
Marathonbet
3.74
Dafabet
3.70
BetVictor
3.70
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Universitatea Cluj
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
0.87
2.06
0.44
1.29
1.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.72
0.90
2.13
0.47
1.29
1.36
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Uta Arad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Uta Arad
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.17
1.67
1.07
1.00
1.27
vs Stronger (8)
1.00
1.62
1.20
1.40
0.67
2.00
vs Similar (22)
1.45
1.00
1.90
0.90
1.08
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Universitatea Cluj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.0%
@ 1.30+1.0%
Under 1.5
28.0%
@ 3.21-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
888Sport
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.41
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.30
Betano
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.2%
@ 2.00-1.6%
Under 2.5
54.8%
@ 1.77+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.08
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.03
10Bet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Under
Betano
1.82
Pinnacle
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.9%
@ 3.46-2.9%
Under 3.5
76.1%
@ 1.27+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
888Sport
3.50
Betano
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Under
Pinnacle
1.31
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.1%
@ 1.79-7.4%
No
55.9%
@ 1.91+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
888Sport
1.80
Betano
1.80
No
Betano
1.95
Betfair
1.91
888Sport
1.91
William Hil
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.5%@ 6.52+6.7%
2-0
12.7%@ 8.82+7.7%
1-1
11.8%@ 6.10+4.5%
0-0
9.4%@ 8.59+4.3%
2-1 ✓
9.4%@ 8.06+3.9%
3-0
7.4%@ 16.39+4.7%
3-1
5.5%@ 15.33+2.6%
0-1
5.1%@ 9.51+0.4%
Universitatea Cluj goals ↓
Uta Arad goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.4%
5.1%
2.3%
0.6%
0.1%
1
13%
12%
4.0%
1.0%
0.2%
2
13%
9.4%
3.5%
0.8%
0.2%
3
7.4%
5.5%
2.0%
0.5%
0.1%
4
3.2%
2.4%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Universitatea Cluj goals (down), columns = Uta Arad goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
Rapid
1.71
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.71
Universitatea Craiova
1.57
FCSB
1.57
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.43
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.43
Arges Pitesti
1.43
FC Botosani
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
FC Voluntari
0.71
Csikszereda
0.14
Universitatea Cluj is 0.64 points better than Uta Arad in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 0.86).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Universitatea Craiova
2.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.83
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
FCSB
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.29
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.14
Rapid
1.14
FC Voluntari
1.00
FC Botosani
1.00
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.57
Csikszereda
0.57
Arges Pitesti
0.57
Universitatea Cluj is 0.64 goals better than Uta Arad in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 0.86).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.43
Corvinul Hunedoara
0.57
Rapid
0.57
Dinamo Bucuresti
0.71
Arges Pitesti
0.71
FC Botosani
1.14
FCSB
1.14
Farul Constanta
1.14
Oţelul
1.14
Universitatea Craiova
1.29
Uta Arad
1.43
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.43
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.67
Csikszereda
1.86
FC Voluntari
2.57
Universitatea Cluj is 0.07 goals worse than Uta Arad in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.43).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Universitatea Craiova
60%
FCSB
58%
Universitatea Cluj
57%
Dinamo Bucuresti
56%
Oţelul
55%
CFR 1907 Cluj
55%
FC Botosani
53%
Rapid
50%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
49%
Farul Constanta
48%
Uta Arad
46%
Corvinul Hunedoara
44%
Arges Pitesti
44%
Petrolul Ploiesti
42%
Csikszereda
42%
FC Voluntari
41%
Universitatea Cluj is 10.2 percentage points better than Uta Arad in terms of average possession (57% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Universitatea Cluj
For 4.1 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 9.6 · Total 20.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Uta Arad
For 5.4 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 13.1 · Total 26.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Universitatea Cluj
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.2
10.4
3.1
2.6
3.6
20.8
20.2
21.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (47)
9.8
9.1
10.6
3.2
2.6
3.7
20.8
20.2
21.5
vs Weaker (3)
8.7
10.0
6.0
1.3
2.0
0.0
20.7
20.0
22.0
% over line
45%
41%
50%
42%
35%
50%
43%
41%
45%
% under line
55%
59%
50%
58%
65%
50%
57%
59%
55%
This opponent (Uta Arad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Uta Arad
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.6
9.5
4.4
4.1
4.7
23.9
24.2
23.6
vs Stronger (12)
8.6
7.0
10.0
5.5
5.3
5.7
22.9
24.6
21.5
vs Similar (38)
9.8
10.3
9.3
4.0
3.7
4.3
24.2
24.1
24.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
46%
50%
41%
68%
58%
79%
70%
67%
73%
% under line
54%
50%
59%
32%
42%
21%
30%
33%
27%
This opponent (Universitatea Cluj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FCSB
10.4
Rapid
10.0
Universitatea Cluj
10.0
Farul Constanta
9.7
Uta Arad
9.7
Oţelul
9.5
FC Botosani
9.5
Petrolul Ploiesti
9.5
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
9.5
Dinamo Bucuresti
9.4
Arges Pitesti
9.3
Universitatea Craiova
9.1
CFR 1907 Cluj
8.9
Csikszereda
8.8
FC Voluntari
8.5
Corvinul Hunedoara
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Arges Pitesti
5.1
Universitatea Craiova
5.1
FC Botosani
5.0
FCSB
4.9
Petrolul Ploiesti
4.8
Uta Arad
4.7
FC Voluntari
4.6
Rapid
4.6
Dinamo Bucuresti
4.5
Corvinul Hunedoara
4.5
Oţelul
4.5
Csikszereda
4.5
Farul Constanta
4.3
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
4.3
Universitatea Cluj
4.0
CFR 1907 Cluj
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Oţelul
26.9
FC Botosani
26.4
Arges Pitesti
25.6
Petrolul Ploiesti
25.5
Universitatea Craiova
24.8
Csikszereda
24.7
FCSB
24.6
Uta Arad
24.2
Rapid
24.0
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
24.0
Dinamo Bucuresti
23.8
FC Voluntari
23.6
Farul Constanta
23.2
Corvinul Hunedoara
22.6
CFR 1907 Cluj
22.4
Universitatea Cluj
20.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
48.2%
@ 1.89-0.8%
Under 9.5
51.8%
@ 1.82+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.00
1xBet
1.95
Betano
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
10Bet
1.85
Under
Bet365
1.91
Unibet
1.89
10Bet
1.83
Betano
1.82
Pinnacle
1.77
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
65.1%
@ 1.50+4.4%
Under 3.5
34.9%
@ 2.32-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Under
Betano
2.32
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
55.9%
Under 21.5
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Universitatea Cluj or Draw✓ Hit
85.7%
Avg Implied 74.8% · @ 1.25
Edge
+10.9%
61%
25%
14%
covers Universitatea Cluj + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Universitatea Cluj or Uta Arad✓ Hit
74.8%
Avg Implied 72.7% · @ 1.28
Edge
+2.1%
61%
25%
14%
covers Universitatea Cluj + Uta Arad
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.33
888Sport
1.33
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Draw or Uta Arad✗ Miss
39.5%
Avg Implied 52.4% · @ 1.78
Edge
-13.0%
61%
25%
14%
covers Draw + Uta Arad
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.91
SBO
1.83
Betfair
1.80
Betano
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Universitatea Cluj over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
82.6%
@ 1.21+5.9%
Under
17.4%
@ 3.98-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
BetVictor
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.33
BetVictor
4.10
888Sport
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Universitatea Cluj over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
52.2%
@ 2.08+7.3%
Under
47.8%
@ 1.69-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.12
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.07
Under
Pinnacle
1.76
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
BetVictor
1.70
888Sport
1.70
Universitatea Cluj over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
25.6%
@ 4.39+4.5%
Under
74.4%
@ 1.18-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Unibet
4.50
BetVictor
4.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.20
Betano
1.20
888Sport
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Universitatea Cluj over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.1%
@ 10.56+1.1%
Under
89.9%
@ 1.04-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
888Sport
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Uta Arad over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
52.1%
@ 1.44-12.0%
Under
47.9%
@ 2.58+12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.48
Betano
1.45
Marathonbet
1.45
BetVictor
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Under
Pinnacle
2.66
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Unibet
2.60
10Bet
2.60
Uta Arad over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
16.8%
@ 3.22-12.0%
Under
83.2%
@ 1.31+12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.39
BetVictor
3.30
Marathonbet
3.26
1xBet
3.26
Bet365
3.25
Under
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Uta Arad over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.9%
@ 8.52-7.1%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.05+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
888Sport
9.00
Betfair
8.50
1xBet
8.20
Marathonbet
8.20
Under
Betano
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
Uta Arad over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.7%
@ 22.33-3.7%
Under
99.3%
@ 1.01+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
29.00
Bet365
26.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Universitatea Cluj, so a minus line means Universitatea Cluj give that many goals of a start and Uta Arad receive them. At -1, Universitatea Cluj must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Universitatea Cluj win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Universitatea Cluj)Actual: Uta Arad
Universitatea Cluj -2
16.2%
@ 8.28+5.4%
Draw -2
19.2%
@ 5.79+3.6%
Uta Arad +2
64.6%
@ 1.22-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
9.00
Bet365
8.50
Unibet
8.50
Marathonbet
7.10
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Unibet
5.60
Marathonbet
5.55
Away
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Unibet
1.19
Handicap -1 (Universitatea Cluj)Actual: Draw
Universitatea Cluj -1
35.4%
@ 3.70+11.5%
Draw -1
25.1%
@ 3.58+0.3%
Uta Arad +1
39.5%
@ 1.73-11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
3.85
10Bet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.42
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
10Bet
3.55
Unibet
3.45
Away
Marathonbet
1.77
10Bet
1.75
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.68
Handicap +1 (Universitatea Cluj)Actual: Universitatea Cluj
Universitatea Cluj +1
85.7%
@ 1.25+14.3%
Draw +1
10.0%
@ 5.07-7.7%
Uta Arad -1
4.3%
@ 8.14-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.15
10Bet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.70
Away
Betfair
9.00
Bet365
8.50
10Bet
8.00
Marathonbet
7.70
Unibet
7.50
Handicap +2 (Universitatea Cluj)Actual: Universitatea Cluj
Universitatea Cluj +2
95.7%
@ 1.06+8.5%
Draw +2
3.4%
@ 11.00-5.0%
Uta Arad -2
0.9%
@ 21.00-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Betfair
12.00
Unibet
9.00
Away
Betfair
26.00
Bet365
21.00
Unibet
16.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Universitatea Cluj
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.50
1.00
0.12
0.43
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.72
0.52
1.00
0.13
0.43
0.93
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Uta Arad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Uta Arad
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.53
0.60
0.47
0.40
0.60
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
0.62
0.40
0.80
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.50
0.70
0.30
0.42
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Universitatea Cluj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Universitatea Cluj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Universitatea Cluj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Universitatea Cluj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uta Arad over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uta Arad over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uta Arad over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Universitatea Cluj
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.37
1.06
0.31
0.86
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.00
0.38
1.13
0.33
0.86
0.43
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Uta Arad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Uta Arad
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.63
1.07
0.60
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (22)
0.91
0.50
1.20
0.60
0.67
0.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Universitatea Cluj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Universitatea Cluj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Universitatea Cluj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Universitatea Cluj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uta Arad over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uta Arad over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uta Arad over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
96.1%
1.05
Betano
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
95.7%
1.06
Unibet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
-
-
+8.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
89.9%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
85.7%
1.25
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
10Bet
1.25
+10.9%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
85.7%
1.25
Unibet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
+14.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
83.2%
1.31
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Betfair
1.30
+12.0%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
82.6%
1.21
Betano
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
BetVictor
1.20
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.2%
1.22
Betano
1.22
-
-
-
-
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
76.1%
1.27
Pinnacle
1.31
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
74.9%
1.27
Unibet
1.35
Betano
1.28
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
74.8%
1.28
William Hil
1.33
888Sport
1.33
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Bet365
1.30
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
74.4%
1.18
Pinnacle
1.20
Betano
1.20
888Sport
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
-4.5%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.0%
1.30
Betano
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
888Sport
1.30
Unibet
1.30
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
70.9%
1.37
Betano
1.37
-
-
-
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Universitatea Cluj
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alibek Aliev50%
Mouhamadou Drammeh40%
Jovo Lukić33%
Oucasse Mendy25%
Dorin Codrea0%
Iulian Cristea0%
Ovidiu Bic0%
Dan Nistor0%
Alexandru Chipciu0%
Dino Mikanović0%
Florent Poulolo0%
Marius Ștefănescu0%
Jug Stanojev0%
Ștefan Lefter0%
Issouf Macalou0%
Pedro Pinho0%
Adams Friday0%
Alin Chinteș0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dorin Codrea40%
Pedro Pinho40%
Marius Ștefănescu33%
Alin Chinteș33%
Alexandru Chipciu20%
Dino Mikanović20%
Mouhamadou Drammeh20%
Iulian Cristea17%
Ovidiu Bic17%
Dan Nistor17%
Alibek Aliev17%
Issouf Macalou17%
Jovo Lukić0%
Florent Poulolo0%
Jug Stanojev0%
Ștefan Lefter0%
Oucasse Mendy0%
Adams Friday0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dan Nistor33%
Alibek Aliev33%
Jovo Lukić33%
Adams Friday20%
Dorin Codrea0%
Iulian Cristea0%
Ovidiu Bic0%
Alexandru Chipciu0%
Dino Mikanović0%
Florent Poulolo0%
Mouhamadou Drammeh0%
Marius Ștefănescu0%
Jug Stanojev0%
Ștefan Lefter0%
Oucasse Mendy0%
Issouf Macalou0%
Pedro Pinho0%
Alin Chinteș0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jovo Lukić33%
Oucasse Mendy25%
Mouhamadou Drammeh20%
Dan Nistor17%
Alibek Aliev17%
Dorin Codrea0%
Iulian Cristea0%
Ovidiu Bic0%
Alexandru Chipciu0%
Dino Mikanović0%
Florent Poulolo0%
Marius Ștefănescu0%
Jug Stanojev0%
Ștefan Lefter0%
Issouf Macalou0%
Pedro Pinho0%
Adams Friday0%
Alin Chinteș0%
Uta Arad
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ismet Sinani17%
Jayson Papeau14%
Marius Coman14%
Hakim Abdallah14%
Andrei Dorobanțu14%
Alexandru Benga0%
Marinos Tzionis0%
Peter Ouaneh0%
Andrei Gorcea0%
Sota Mino0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Andrea Padula0%
Dmytro Pospelov0%
Din Alomerovic0%
Roman Alin0%
Richard Odada0%
Denis Țăroi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dmytro Pospelov50%
Peter Ouaneh40%
Alexandru Benga33%
Jayson Papeau29%
Sota Mino29%
Roman Alin29%
Andrea Padula20%
Din Alomerovic20%
Richard Odada17%
Marinos Tzionis14%
Andrei Dorobanțu14%
Andrei Gorcea0%
Marius Coman0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Hakim Abdallah0%
Denis Țăroi0%
Ismet Sinani0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jayson Papeau29%
Roman Alin29%
Dmytro Pospelov25%
Alexandru Benga0%
Marinos Tzionis0%
Peter Ouaneh0%
Andrei Gorcea0%
Marius Coman0%
Sota Mino0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Andrea Padula0%
Hakim Abdallah0%
Din Alomerovic0%
Richard Odada0%
Andrei Dorobanțu0%
Denis Țăroi0%
Ismet Sinani0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roman Alin43%
Marius Coman29%
Ismet Sinani17%
Hakim Abdallah14%
Andrei Dorobanțu14%
Alexandru Benga0%
Marinos Tzionis0%
Peter Ouaneh0%
Jayson Papeau0%
Andrei Gorcea0%
Sota Mino0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Andrea Padula0%
Dmytro Pospelov0%
Din Alomerovic0%
Richard Odada0%
Denis Țăroi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (25)
€37m
RAP (31)
€30m
FCS (27)
€26m
DB (26)
€20m
UC (26)
€17m
C1C (22)
€14m
AP (26)
€13m
FC (32)
€11m
FB (25)
€9m
UA (21)
€8m
OŢE (20)
€7m
CH (24)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
SOS (31)
€6m
PP (20)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
Universitatea Cluj's squad is €8m more valuable than Uta Arad's (€17m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (10)
€14m
RAP (13)
€14m
FCS (9)
€12m
C1C (6)
€8m
DB (10)
€8m
UC (8)
€7m
FC (10)
€4m
FB (8)
€4m
AP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
OŢE (8)
€2m
SOS (12)
€2m
CSI (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
PP (5)
€1m
Universitatea Cluj's attack is €3m more valuable than Uta Arad's (€7m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€10m
DB (4)
€5m
UC (6)
€4m
FCS (5)
€4m
RAP (4)
€3m
AP (6)
€3m
FC (7)
€2m
C1C (5)
€2m
PP (7)
€2m
FB (5)
€2m
CSI (4)
€1m
SOS (7)
€1m
OŢE (2)
€1m
UA (3)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
Universitatea Cluj's midfield is €4m more valuable than Uta Arad's (€4m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (9)
€13m
RAP (14)
€12m
FCS (13)
€11m
DB (12)
€7m
AP (9)
€6m
UC (12)
€5m
FC (15)
€4m
OŢE (10)
€4m
C1C (11)
€4m
UA (10)
€4m
FB (12)
€3m
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
PP (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
Universitatea Cluj's defence is €2m more valuable than Uta Arad's (€5m vs €4m).
Romania: Liga I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga I stats & trends →