Universitatea Craiova is the clear favourite to win this match, backed by the model's high probability of 85% for a home win. This confidence stems from the team's impressive home form, where they have scored an average of 2.5 goals and conceded a mere 0.4 goals against weaker opponents.
In contrast, FC Voluntari's away form has been dismal, failing to score any goals and conceding an average of 2.33 goals against stronger opponents. This weakness in their away form has made Universitatea Craiova the strong favourite to win.
The model predicts a high-scoring match with an expected total of 3.6 goals and a most likely total of 3 goals. The most likely scoreline is a 2-0 win for Universitatea Craiova, with a probability of 12.8%.
The model's suggested picks include an Over 1.5 goals selection with a probability of 87.5%, indicating a high likelihood of at least two goals being scored. The Home win selection also features, with a probability of 85.1%.
The probabilities of a home win, draw, and away win are 85%, 11%, and 4%, respectively.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved accurate as Universitatea Craiova secured a 3-1home win, extending their recent run with a victory. The pre-match favourite was a home win, assigned an 85 % probability, and the model’s call was correct. The most likely scoreline was 3-0, but the actual 3-1 result still fell within the predicted range. The model’s selections performed strongly: Away under 3.5 goals hit at 99.7 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.4 %, Home +2 handicap at 99.0 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.8 %, Away under 2.5 goals at 97.9 %, Under 7.5 at 97.2 %, Home or Draw at 96.0 %, and Home +1 handicap at 96.0 %. All picks were settled, with none missed.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Universitatea Craiova win✓ Hit
84.5%
Avg Implied 67.9% · @ 1.36
Edge
+16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.41
Betano
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
Unibet
1.38
Dafabet
1.38
Draw✗ Miss
11.4%
Avg Implied 20.0% · @ 4.62
Edge
-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
5.00
Pinnacle
4.97
Dafabet
4.80
Betfair
4.75
Marathonbet
4.75
FC Voluntari win✗ Miss
4.0%
Avg Implied 12.1% · @ 7.63
Edge
-8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
8.50
1xBet
8.00
Unibet
8.00
Pinnacle
7.90
Marathonbet
7.80
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Universitatea Craiova
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.83
1.88
0.69
0.71
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.14
1.00
1.90
0.80
0.45
1.18
vs Weaker (9)
1.78
0.44
1.83
0.50
1.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Voluntari) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Voluntari
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.13
1.93
0.93
1.47
1.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
5.00
-
-
0.00
5.00
vs Similar (26)
1.73
1.08
1.86
0.93
1.58
1.25
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
0.33
3.00
1.00
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Universitatea Craiova) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.3%
@ 1.21+10.0%
Under 1.5
12.7%
@ 4.09-10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.33
Pinnacle
4.27
Superbet
4.25
BetVictor
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
68.6%
@ 1.70+13.3%
Under 2.5
31.4%
@ 2.11-13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Pinnacle
1.71
Superbet
1.71
Under
Pinnacle
2.16
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.15
SBO
2.14
Marathonbet
2.12
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.1%
@ 2.75+13.2%
Under 3.5
52.9%
@ 1.41-13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.96
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.80
Superbet
2.77
888Sport
2.75
Under
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.45
10Bet
1.42
Betfair
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
41.9%
@ 1.95-5.7%
No
58.1%
@ 1.77+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
2.00
888Sport
1.95
Betano
1.95
No
Superbet
1.82
Betano
1.80
Betfair
1.80
1xBet
1.78
Unibet
1.77
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.8%@ 6.25+5.7%
3-0
12.7%@ 8.64+7.5%
4-0
9.4%@ 14.69+6.4%
1-0
8.2%@ 6.44+1.3%
2-1
7.4%@ 7.62+1.6%
3-1 ✓
7.3%@ 10.60+3.1%
5-0
5.5%@ 30.80+4.1%
1-1
5.5%@ 8.32+0.2%
Universitatea Craiova goals ↓
FC Voluntari goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.4%
1.2%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
1
8.2%
5.5%
1.4%
0.3%
0.0%
2
13%
7.4%
2.1%
0.4%
0.1%
3
13%
7.3%
2.1%
0.4%
0.1%
4
9.4%
5.4%
1.5%
0.3%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Universitatea Craiova goals (down), columns = FC Voluntari goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
Rapid
1.71
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.71
Universitatea Craiova
1.57
FCSB
1.57
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.43
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.43
Arges Pitesti
1.43
FC Botosani
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
FC Voluntari
0.71
Csikszereda
0.14
Universitatea Craiova is 0.86 points better than FC Voluntari in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 0.71).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Universitatea Craiova
2.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.83
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
FCSB
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.29
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.14
Rapid
1.14
FC Voluntari
1.00
FC Botosani
1.00
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.57
Csikszereda
0.57
Arges Pitesti
0.57
Universitatea Craiova is 1.00 goals better than FC Voluntari in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.43
Corvinul Hunedoara
0.57
Rapid
0.57
Dinamo Bucuresti
0.71
Arges Pitesti
0.71
FC Botosani
1.14
FCSB
1.14
Farul Constanta
1.14
Oţelul
1.14
Universitatea Craiova
1.29
Uta Arad
1.43
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.43
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.67
Csikszereda
1.86
FC Voluntari
2.57
Universitatea Craiova is 1.29 goals better than FC Voluntari in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 2.57).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Universitatea Craiova
60%
FCSB
58%
Universitatea Cluj
57%
Dinamo Bucuresti
56%
Oţelul
55%
CFR 1907 Cluj
55%
FC Botosani
53%
Rapid
50%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
49%
Farul Constanta
48%
Uta Arad
46%
Corvinul Hunedoara
44%
Arges Pitesti
44%
Petrolul Ploiesti
42%
Csikszereda
42%
FC Voluntari
41%
Universitatea Craiova is 19.0 percentage points better than FC Voluntari in terms of average possession (60% vs 41%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Universitatea Craiova
For 4.5 · Against 3.4 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 11.0 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Voluntari
For 4.0 · Against 3.7 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 11.7 · Total 21.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Universitatea Craiova
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
9.3
8.1
4.0
4.0
4.0
24.2
22.8
25.8
vs Stronger (1)
8.0
8.0
-
4.0
4.0
-
24.0
24.0
-
vs Similar (30)
8.5
8.9
8.2
3.8
3.5
4.1
25.3
24.1
26.3
vs Weaker (19)
8.9
9.8
7.7
4.2
4.7
3.7
22.8
21.4
24.7
% over line
39%
48%
30%
52%
60%
44%
66%
57%
75%
% under line
61%
52%
70%
48%
40%
56%
34%
43%
25%
This opponent (FC Voluntari) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Voluntari
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.6
6.8
8.5
0.7
0.7
0.7
23.4
24.0
22.8
vs Stronger (1)
10.0
-
10.0
2.0
-
2.0
22.0
-
22.0
vs Similar (45)
7.3
6.8
8.0
0.7
0.7
0.7
23.6
24.0
23.0
vs Weaker (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
38%
25%
50%
8%
12%
4%
62%
75%
50%
% under line
62%
75%
50%
92%
88%
96%
38%
25%
50%
This opponent (Universitatea Craiova) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FCSB
10.5
Rapid
10.1
Universitatea Cluj
10.0
FC Botosani
9.7
Farul Constanta
9.7
Uta Arad
9.6
Oţelul
9.5
Petrolul Ploiesti
9.5
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
9.5
Dinamo Bucuresti
9.4
Arges Pitesti
9.3
Universitatea Craiova
9.0
CFR 1907 Cluj
8.9
Csikszereda
8.8
FC Voluntari
8.5
Corvinul Hunedoara
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Arges Pitesti
5.1
Universitatea Craiova
5.0
FCSB
4.9
FC Botosani
4.9
Petrolul Ploiesti
4.8
Dinamo Bucuresti
4.7
Corvinul Hunedoara
4.7
Uta Arad
4.6
FC Voluntari
4.6
Rapid
4.5
Oţelul
4.5
Csikszereda
4.5
Universitatea Cluj
4.3
Farul Constanta
4.3
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
4.3
CFR 1907 Cluj
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Oţelul
26.9
FC Botosani
26.3
Arges Pitesti
25.6
Petrolul Ploiesti
25.4
Corvinul Hunedoara
25.0
Csikszereda
24.7
FCSB
24.7
Universitatea Craiova
24.3
Uta Arad
24.2
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
24.0
Dinamo Bucuresti
23.7
Rapid
23.7
FC Voluntari
23.6
Farul Constanta
23.2
CFR 1907 Cluj
22.4
Universitatea Cluj
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
44.8%
@ 1.95-2.5%
Under 9.5
55.2%
@ 1.76+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.00
Bet365
2.00
10Bet
2.00
1xBet
1.96
Marathonbet
1.94
Under
Superbet
1.85
Unibet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
68.7%
@ 1.43+4.5%
Under 3.5
31.3%
@ 2.57-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.43
Under
Superbet
2.57
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
56.5%
Under 21.5
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Universitatea Craiova or Draw✓ Hit
96.0%
Avg Implied 87.4% · @ 1.07
Edge
+8.5%
85%
11%
4%
covers Universitatea Craiova + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Universitatea Craiova or FC Voluntari✓ Hit
88.6%
Avg Implied 80.9% · @ 1.16
Edge
+7.7%
85%
11%
4%
covers Universitatea Craiova + FC Voluntari
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.19
William Hil
1.18
888Sport
1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Draw or FC Voluntari✗ Miss
15.5%
Avg Implied 31.7% · @ 2.95
Edge
-16.3%
85%
11%
4%
covers Draw + FC Voluntari
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.10
Superbet
3.00
888Sport
3.00
William Hil
3.00
Betano
3.00
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Universitatea Craiova over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
94.8%
@ 1.08+8.5%
Under
5.2%
@ 6.83-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
888Sport
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Under
1xBet
7.50
Superbet
7.10
888Sport
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Universitatea Craiova over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
79.5%
@ 1.47+16.4%
Under
20.5%
@ 2.51-16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.51
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
Under
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.63
Superbet
2.57
Marathonbet
2.53
BetVictor
2.50
Universitatea Craiova over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
56.8%
@ 2.53+20.0%
Under
43.2%
@ 1.47-20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.65
Betfair
2.63
Superbet
2.55
BetVictor
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Under
Superbet
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
Universitatea Craiova over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
34.4%
@ 4.83+15.2%
Under
65.6%
@ 1.15-15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.10
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
888Sport
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Under
Superbet
1.17
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
888Sport
1.15
10Bet
1.15
FC Voluntari over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
43.7%
@ 1.75-9.4%
Under
56.3%
@ 1.98+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
Superbet
1.78
BetVictor
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Under
Superbet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.04
10Bet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
888Sport
2.00
FC Voluntari over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
11.4%
@ 4.74-8.2%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.16+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.90
BetVictor
4.80
Under
Superbet
1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
888Sport
1.17
1xBet
1.16
FC Voluntari over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 15.00-4.3%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.02+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
888Sport
17.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Superbet
1.03
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.02
Bet365
1.02
FC Voluntari over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.3%
@ 55.50-99.7%
Under
99.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
60.00
Bet365
51.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Universitatea Craiova, so a minus line means Universitatea Craiova give that many goals of a start and FC Voluntari receive them. At -1, Universitatea Craiova must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Universitatea Craiova win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Universitatea Craiova)Actual: Draw
Universitatea Craiova -2
44.9%
@ 3.66+20.2%
Draw -2
21.8%
@ 4.12-0.1%
FC Voluntari +2
33.3%
@ 1.69-20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.70
10Bet
3.70
Unibet
3.55
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
Betfair
4.20
Superbet
4.15
10Bet
3.95
Away
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.73
Betfair
1.67
Unibet
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Handicap -1 (Universitatea Craiova)Actual: Universitatea Craiova
Universitatea Craiova -1
66.7%
@ 2.04+22.6%
Draw -1
17.9%
@ 3.55-7.4%
FC Voluntari +1
15.5%
@ 2.93-15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.10
Superbet
2.07
10Bet
2.05
Unibet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.00
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.56
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Away
Superbet
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Marathonbet
2.97
10Bet
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Handicap +1 (Universitatea Craiova)Actual: Universitatea Craiova
Universitatea Craiova +1
96.0%
@ 1.08+10.8%
Draw +1
3.1%
@ 9.17-6.9%
FC Voluntari -1
1.0%
@ 19.00-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
Unibet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Draw
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
9.50
Unibet
8.00
Away
Bet365
21.00
Betfair
21.00
Unibet
15.00
Handicap +2 (Universitatea Craiova)Actual: Universitatea Craiova
Universitatea Craiova +2
99.0%
@ 1.01+4.4%
Draw +2
0.8%
@ 24.50-3.1%
FC Voluntari -2
0.2%
@ 66.00-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
Draw
Betfair
26.00
Bet365
23.00
Away
Betfair
81.00
Bet365
51.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Universitatea Craiova
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.43
0.56
0.50
0.29
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.48
0.70
0.50
0.18
0.45
vs Weaker (9)
0.44
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Voluntari) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Voluntari
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.47
0.93
0.40
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
0.69
0.42
0.86
0.43
0.50
0.42
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Universitatea Craiova) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.2%
@ 1.31+9.2%
Under 0.5
19.8%
@ 3.21-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
BetVictor
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Under
Superbet
3.40
Pinnacle
3.33
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.22
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
45.5%
@ 2.48+8.0%
Under 1.5
54.5%
@ 1.49-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.62
Betano
2.60
Betfair
2.55
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Under
Superbet
1.54
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.8%
@ 5.88+3.0%
Under 2.5
81.2%
@ 1.10-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
William Hil
6.00
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.95
Marathonbet
5.90
Under
Superbet
1.14
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Unibet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Universitatea Craiova over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
70.2%
@ 1.52+9.0%
Under
29.8%
@ 2.39-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.53
1xBet
1.52
10Bet
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Under
Pinnacle
2.48
Superbet
2.42
10Bet
2.40
Unibet
2.38
1xBet
2.37
Universitatea Craiova over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
32.0%
@ 3.46+5.2%
Under
68.0%
@ 1.26-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.64
Betano
3.55
10Bet
3.40
1xBet
3.40
Superbet
3.30
Under
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Universitatea Craiova over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.5%
@ 8.71-1.1%
Under
90.5%
@ 1.03+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.70
10Bet
8.50
Superbet
8.40
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
FC Voluntari over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
28.0%
@ 3.14-1.6%
Under
72.0%
@ 1.32+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.53
10Bet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.14
Betano
3.10
Unibet
3.05
Under
1xBet
1.36
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.30
Unibet
1.30
FC Voluntari over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.2%
@ 12.00-3.7%
Under
95.8%
@ 1.02+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
FC Voluntari over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.6%
@ 60.00-99.4%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
60.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Universitatea Craiova
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.40
1.31
0.19
0.43
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.52
1.20
0.30
0.27
0.73
vs Weaker (9)
1.33
0.11
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Voluntari) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Voluntari
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.53
1.00
0.80
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
1.04
0.65
1.00
0.50
1.08
0.83
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Universitatea Craiova) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
83.5%
@ 1.19+5.1%
Under 0.5
16.5%
@ 4.32-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Under
Superbet
4.55
Marathonbet
4.50
1xBet
4.45
Betano
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
53.5%
@ 1.93+5.0%
Under 1.5
46.5%
@ 1.81-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Superbet
1.95
Bet365
1.91
Betano
1.90
Under
Betano
1.88
Superbet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
1xBet
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
30.0%
@ 3.95+6.4%
Under 2.5
70.0%
@ 1.22-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
4.20
William Hil
4.20
Superbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.82
Under
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
888Sport
1.20
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Universitatea Craiova over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
73.1%
@ 1.36+4.7%
Under
26.9%
@ 2.94-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Under
Betano
3.00
Superbet
2.92
1xBet
2.90
Universitatea Craiova over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
41.7%
@ 2.63+6.4%
Under
58.3%
@ 1.44-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.67
1xBet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.62
Betano
2.57
Under
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.43
Superbet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Universitatea Craiova over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.1%
@ 6.13+2.0%
Under
82.9%
@ 1.09-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Superbet
6.30
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
FC Voluntari over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
36.0%
@ 2.52-0.9%
Under
64.0%
@ 1.47+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.58
Superbet
2.55
Betano
2.50
1xBet
2.44
Under
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Superbet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.43
FC Voluntari over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.8%
@ 9.29-4.2%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.03+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.25
1xBet
9.10
Superbet
9.00
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
FC Voluntari over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 38.00-98.8%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
38.00
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
99.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
97.9%
1.02
Superbet
1.03
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
96.0%
1.07
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
William Hil
1.08
+8.5%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
96.0%
1.08
Bet365
1.10
Unibet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
-
-
+10.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
95.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
94.8%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
888Sport
1.08
Betfair
1.08
+8.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
94.2%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
93.2%
1.01
Superbet
1.02
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
90.5%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
88.6%
1.16
Superbet
1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
888Sport
1.17
1xBet
1.16
+8.2%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
88.6%
1.16
Superbet
1.19
William Hil
1.18
888Sport
1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.18
+7.7%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
87.3%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
+10.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
85.3%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.05
-5.0%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.6%
1.16
Superbet
1.16
-
-
-
-
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Home win
84.5%
1.36
Superbet
1.41
Betano
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
Unibet
1.38
Dafabet
1.38
+16.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
83.5%
1.19
William Hil
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
82.9%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
-
-
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
81.2%
1.10
Superbet
1.14
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Unibet
1.08
-3.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
80.2%
1.31
Betano
1.37
BetVictor
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.31
+9.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 1.5 goals
79.5%
1.47
Superbet
1.51
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
+16.4%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.6%
1.27
Superbet
1.36
Unibet
1.30
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 2H goals
73.1%
1.36
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Superbet
1.36
-
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 0.5 HT goals
72.0%
1.32
1xBet
1.36
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.30
Unibet
1.30
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
71.9%
1.14
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
888Sport
1.15
Unibet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-9.9%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 HT goals
70.2%
1.52
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.53
1xBet
1.52
10Bet
1.50
Superbet
1.50
+9.0%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Universitatea Craiova
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Monday Etim40%
Steven Nsimba33%
Ștefan Baiaram25%
Nikola Stevanović20%
Oleksandr Romanchuk20%
Samuel Teles17%
Heriberto Tavares0%
Nicușor Bancu0%
Alexandru Cicâldău0%
Tudor Băluță0%
Vladimir Screciu0%
Alexandru Crețu0%
Anzor Mekvabishvili0%
Assad Al-Hamlawi0%
Carlos Mora0%
Răzvan Sava0%
David Matei0%
Luca Băsceanu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Monday Etim40%
Oleksandr Romanchuk40%
David Matei40%
Nicușor Bancu33%
Samuel Teles33%
Assad Al-Hamlawi33%
Alexandru Crețu25%
Ștefan Baiaram25%
Tudor Băluță20%
Anzor Mekvabishvili20%
Răzvan Sava20%
Heriberto Tavares0%
Alexandru Cicâldău0%
Nikola Stevanović0%
Vladimir Screciu0%
Steven Nsimba0%
Carlos Mora0%
Luca Băsceanu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ștefan Baiaram25%
Tudor Băluță20%
Monday Etim20%
David Matei20%
Nicușor Bancu17%
Carlos Mora17%
Heriberto Tavares0%
Alexandru Cicâldău0%
Nikola Stevanović0%
Vladimir Screciu0%
Alexandru Crețu0%
Steven Nsimba0%
Samuel Teles0%
Oleksandr Romanchuk0%
Anzor Mekvabishvili0%
Assad Al-Hamlawi0%
Răzvan Sava0%
Luca Băsceanu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
David Matei60%
Alexandru Cicâldău40%
Monday Etim40%
Assad Al-Hamlawi33%
Ștefan Baiaram25%
Tudor Băluță20%
Nikola Stevanović20%
Steven Nsimba17%
Heriberto Tavares0%
Nicușor Bancu0%
Vladimir Screciu0%
Alexandru Crețu0%
Samuel Teles0%
Oleksandr Romanchuk0%
Anzor Mekvabishvili0%
Carlos Mora0%
Răzvan Sava0%
Luca Băsceanu0%
FC Voluntari
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Remus Guțea29%
Mihai Roman II20%
Cristian Merloi17%
Marvin Schieb14%
Matko Babić0%
Daniel Toma0%
Radu Crişan0%
Ion Gheorghe0%
Denis Haruț0%
Lovro Cvek0%
Metod Jurhar0%
Daniel Dumbrăvanu0%
Florian Haită0%
Adrian Chică-Roșă0%
Mihael Onișa0%
Matej Mamić0%
Alexandru Șuteu0%
Robert Petculescu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Adrian Chică-Roșă50%
Mihai Roman II40%
Radu Crişan29%
Daniel Toma20%
Florian Haită20%
Ion Gheorghe14%
Denis Haruț14%
Daniel Dumbrăvanu14%
Mihael Onișa14%
Matko Babić0%
Marvin Schieb0%
Lovro Cvek0%
Metod Jurhar0%
Cristian Merloi0%
Matej Mamić0%
Alexandru Șuteu0%
Robert Petculescu0%
Remus Guțea0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cristian Merloi17%
Ion Gheorghe14%
Matej Mamić14%
Matko Babić0%
Marvin Schieb0%
Daniel Toma0%
Radu Crişan0%
Mihai Roman II0%
Denis Haruț0%
Lovro Cvek0%
Metod Jurhar0%
Daniel Dumbrăvanu0%
Florian Haită0%
Adrian Chică-Roșă0%
Mihael Onișa0%
Alexandru Șuteu0%
Robert Petculescu0%
Remus Guțea0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Matko Babić29%
Remus Guțea29%
Alexandru Șuteu14%
Marvin Schieb0%
Daniel Toma0%
Radu Crişan0%
Mihai Roman II0%
Ion Gheorghe0%
Denis Haruț0%
Lovro Cvek0%
Metod Jurhar0%
Daniel Dumbrăvanu0%
Florian Haită0%
Cristian Merloi0%
Adrian Chică-Roșă0%
Mihael Onișa0%
Matej Mamić0%
Robert Petculescu0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (25)
€37m
RAP (31)
€30m
FCS (27)
€26m
DB (26)
€20m
UC (26)
€17m
C1C (22)
€14m
AP (26)
€13m
FC (32)
€11m
FB (25)
€9m
UA (21)
€8m
OŢE (20)
€7m
CH (24)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
SOS (31)
€6m
PP (20)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
Universitatea Craiova's squad is €31m more valuable than FC Voluntari's (€37m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (10)
€14m
RAP (13)
€14m
FCS (9)
€12m
C1C (6)
€8m
DB (10)
€8m
UC (8)
€7m
FC (10)
€4m
FB (8)
€4m
AP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
OŢE (8)
€2m
SOS (12)
€2m
CSI (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
PP (5)
€1m
Universitatea Craiova's attack is €12m more valuable than FC Voluntari's (€14m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€10m
DB (4)
€5m
UC (6)
€4m
FCS (5)
€4m
RAP (4)
€3m
AP (6)
€3m
FC (7)
€2m
C1C (5)
€2m
PP (7)
€2m
FB (5)
€2m
CSI (4)
€1m
SOS (7)
€1m
OŢE (2)
€1m
UA (3)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
Universitatea Craiova's midfield is €9m more valuable than FC Voluntari's (€10m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (9)
€13m
RAP (14)
€12m
FCS (13)
€11m
DB (12)
€7m
AP (9)
€6m
UC (12)
€5m
FC (15)
€4m
OŢE (10)
€4m
C1C (11)
€4m
UA (10)
€4m
FB (12)
€3m
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
PP (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
Universitatea Craiova's defence is €11m more valuable than FC Voluntari's (€13m vs €3m).
Romania: Liga I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga I stats & trends →