This opponent (Chambly) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Chambly
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.73
1.13
1.53
1.00
1.93
vs Stronger (13)
0.77
1.77
0.57
1.43
1.00
2.17
vs Similar (17)
1.29
1.71
1.62
1.62
1.00
1.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Valenciennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.3%
Under 1.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.6%
@ 2.09+1.5%
Under 2.5
53.4%
@ 1.72-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.1%
Under 3.5
74.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.8%
No
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-0
10.4%
0-0
9.1%
2-1 ✓
9.1%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
Valenciennes goals ↓
Chambly goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.1%
7.2%
4.5%
1.6%
0.4%
1
10%
14%
6.6%
2.4%
0.6%
2
8.5%
9.1%
4.9%
1.7%
0.5%
3
4.2%
4.5%
2.4%
0.9%
0.2%
4
1.5%
1.6%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Valenciennes goals (down), columns = Chambly goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Estac Troyes
2.03
Clermont Foot
1.89
Toulouse
1.84
Grenoble
1.71
Paris FC
1.68
Auxerre
1.63
Sochaux
1.34
Le Havre
1.24
Guingamp
1.24
Valenciennes
1.24
Nancy
1.24
Amiens
1.24
Ajaccio
1.21
PAU
1.16
Rodez
1.13
Niort
1.08
Caen
1.08
Dunkerque
1.08
Chambly
1.00
Chateauroux
0.61
Valenciennes is 0.24 points better than Chambly in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Toulouse
1.87
Auxerre
1.68
Clermont Foot
1.61
Estac Troyes
1.58
Nancy
1.39
Paris FC
1.39
Grenoble
1.34
Valenciennes
1.32
Sochaux
1.18
PAU
1.11
Chambly
1.08
Guingamp
1.08
Le Havre
1.00
Rodez
1.00
Niort
0.89
Caen
0.89
Amiens
0.89
Dunkerque
0.89
Ajaccio
0.89
Chateauroux
0.84
Valenciennes is 0.24 goals better than Chambly in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 1.08).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Clermont Foot
0.66
Grenoble
0.92
Estac Troyes
0.95
Paris FC
0.97
Sochaux
0.97
Amiens
1.05
Toulouse
1.11
Guingamp
1.13
Auxerre
1.13
Ajaccio
1.13
Rodez
1.16
Dunkerque
1.24
Le Havre
1.26
Caen
1.29
PAU
1.29
Nancy
1.39
Niort
1.53
Chateauroux
1.53
Valenciennes
1.55
Chambly
1.68
Valenciennes is 0.13 goals better than Chambly in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.68).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Valenciennes
For 2.5 · Against 5.6 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 18.7 · Total 33.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
C
Chambly
For 2.2 · Against 5.1 · Total 7.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 13.9 · Total 27.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Valenciennes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.8
8.4
4.6
4.8
4.3
31.4
30.9
32.0
vs Stronger (17)
8.2
7.7
8.8
5.1
5.0
5.1
32.2
32.0
32.5
vs Similar (33)
8.9
9.5
8.2
4.3
4.8
3.9
31.0
30.2
31.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
37%
40%
33%
70%
72%
68%
96%
96%
96%
% under line
63%
60%
67%
30%
28%
32%
4%
4%
4%
This opponent (Chambly) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Chambly
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.5
7.0
8.0
4.4
4.7
4.1
30.8
32.1
29.4
vs Stronger (24)
7.2
7.0
7.3
4.4
5.2
3.5
29.1
32.3
25.9
vs Similar (26)
7.7
7.0
8.6
4.4
4.2
4.7
32.3
31.9
32.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
26%
15%
38%
66%
73%
58%
94%
92%
96%
% under line
74%
85%
62%
34%
27%
42%
6%
8%
4%
This opponent (Valenciennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Auxerre
10.0
Guingamp
9.7
PAU
9.7
Chateauroux
9.5
Toulouse
9.4
Estac Troyes
9.1
Clermont Foot
9.0
Ajaccio
8.9
Amiens
8.8
Nancy
8.7
Niort
8.6
Caen
8.6
Valenciennes
8.6
Sochaux
8.5
Rodez
8.3
Grenoble
8.3
Le Havre
8.1
Paris FC
7.9
Chambly
7.5
Dunkerque
7.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Paris FC
4.8
Estac Troyes
4.7
Valenciennes
4.6
Caen
4.5
Amiens
4.5
PAU
4.5
Rodez
4.4
Chambly
4.4
Nancy
4.3
Sochaux
4.2
Chateauroux
4.2
Toulouse
4.2
Dunkerque
4.1
Grenoble
4.1
Niort
4.0
Le Havre
3.9
Clermont Foot
3.9
Guingamp
3.9
Auxerre
3.8
Ajaccio
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Nancy
31.7
Valenciennes
31.4
Chambly
30.8
Dunkerque
30.8
Paris FC
30.7
Amiens
30.7
Niort
30.6
Caen
30.1
Toulouse
29.9
Rodez
29.8
PAU
29.5
Estac Troyes
29.4
Sochaux
29.3
Chateauroux
29.2
Grenoble
28.5
Ajaccio
27.9
Guingamp
27.8
Le Havre
27.8
Clermont Foot
25.9
Auxerre
25.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
33.8%
Under 9.5
66.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.7%
Under 3.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
96.5%
Under 21.5
3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Valenciennes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.27
0.33
0.73
vs Stronger (11)
0.73
0.55
0.80
0.40
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (19)
0.37
0.47
0.60
0.20
0.11
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Chambly) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Chambly
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.53
0.40
0.47
0.47
0.60
vs Stronger (13)
0.23
0.69
0.14
0.57
0.33
0.83
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.41
0.62
0.38
0.56
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Valenciennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Valenciennes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chambly over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chambly over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chambly over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Valenciennes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.93
0.53
0.73
0.73
1.13
vs Stronger (11)
0.82
0.55
0.80
0.40
0.83
0.67
vs Similar (19)
0.53
1.16
0.40
0.90
0.67
1.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Chambly) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Chambly
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.20
0.73
1.07
0.53
1.33
vs Stronger (13)
0.54
1.08
0.43
0.86
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (17)
0.71
1.29
1.00
1.25
0.44
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Valenciennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Valenciennes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chambly over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chambly over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chambly over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Valenciennes · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aymen Boutoutaou15%
Manga Foe Ondoa13%
Nick Venema13%
Giovino Flamarion11%
Andrew Jung8%
Makabi Lilepo7%
Ilyes Hamache7%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde7%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga6%
Anthony Knockaert5%
Joffrey Cuffaut5%
David Kruse5%
Allan Linguet4%
Lucas Woudenberg3%
Bruno Costa0%
Marius Noubissi0%
Taylor Moore0%
Jason Berthomier0%
Julien Masson0%
Jean Louchet0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Halid Šabanović0%
Siriné Doucouré0%
Jordan Poha0%
Jean Eric Moursou0%
Lassana Diabaté0%
Sofiane Boudraa0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Tidyane Diagouraga0%
Yacine El Amri0%
Sacha Banse0%
Joachim Kayi Sanda0%
Tanguy Lienard0%
Souleymane Basse0%
Sory Diallo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gabin Blancquart40%
Tanguy Lienard33%
Halid Šabanović25%
Anthony Knockaert24%
Sacha Banse23%
Allan Linguet22%
Julien Masson21%
Andrew Jung20%
Tidyane Diagouraga20%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga19%
Jordan Poha17%
Joachim Kayi Sanda15%
Ugo Bonnet14%
Sofiane Boudraa14%
Souleymane Basse14%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde13%
Manga Foe Ondoa13%
Jean Eric Moursou12%
Taylor Moore12%
Giovino Flamarion11%
Bruno Costa10%
Joffrey Cuffaut10%
David Kruse9%
Siriné Doucouré8%
Jean Louchet6%
Lucas Woudenberg6%
Nick Venema4%
Aymen Boutoutaou4%
Ilyes Hamache4%
Marius Noubissi0%
Jason Berthomier0%
Makabi Lilepo0%
Lassana Diabaté0%
Yacine El Amri0%
Sory Diallo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nick Venema13%
Giovino Flamarion11%
Bruno Costa10%
Anthony Knockaert10%
Andrew Jung8%
Sacha Banse8%
Allan Linguet7%
Makabi Lilepo7%
Ugo Bonnet7%
Manga Foe Ondoa7%
Aymen Boutoutaou4%
Ilyes Hamache4%
Marius Noubissi0%
Taylor Moore0%
Jason Berthomier0%
Joffrey Cuffaut0%
Julien Masson0%
Jean Louchet0%
Lucas Woudenberg0%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga0%
Halid Šabanović0%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde0%
Siriné Doucouré0%
David Kruse0%
Jordan Poha0%
Jean Eric Moursou0%
Lassana Diabaté0%
Sofiane Boudraa0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Tidyane Diagouraga0%
Yacine El Amri0%
Joachim Kayi Sanda0%
Tanguy Lienard0%
Souleymane Basse0%
Sory Diallo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aymen Boutoutaou27%
Makabi Lilepo19%
Nick Venema17%
Andrew Jung12%
Siriné Doucouré8%
Manga Foe Ondoa7%
David Kruse5%
Sacha Banse4%
Bruno Costa0%
Marius Noubissi0%
Anthony Knockaert0%
Taylor Moore0%
Jason Berthomier0%
Joffrey Cuffaut0%
Allan Linguet0%
Julien Masson0%
Jean Louchet0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Giovino Flamarion0%
Lucas Woudenberg0%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga0%
Halid Šabanović0%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde0%
Jordan Poha0%
Jean Eric Moursou0%
Ilyes Hamache0%
Lassana Diabaté0%
Sofiane Boudraa0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Tidyane Diagouraga0%
Yacine El Amri0%
Joachim Kayi Sanda0%
Tanguy Lienard0%
Souleymane Basse0%
Sory Diallo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →