Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
š„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
āļø 7. Handicap
ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Vukovar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.90
0.33
0.80
0.27
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
0.10
1.00
0.17
0.83
0.00
1.25
vs Similar (20)
0.40
0.85
0.44
0.78
0.36
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Gorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Gorica
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.60
0.67
0.60
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (13)
0.38
0.54
0.33
0.67
0.43
0.43
vs Similar (17)
0.82
0.65
0.89
0.56
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Vukovar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vukovar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Vukovar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.03
1.00
1.00
0.40
1.07
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
1.50
0.67
1.50
0.75
1.50
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.80
1.22
0.67
0.27
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Gorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Gorica
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.80
0.60
0.80
0.40
0.80
vs Stronger (13)
0.54
0.92
0.83
0.83
0.29
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.47
0.71
0.44
0.78
0.50
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Vukovar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vukovar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 11.5 corners
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 5.5 cards
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 1.5
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 10.5 corners
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 2.5 cards
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 3.5
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
š½ 13. Player market rates
Vukovar
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jakov PuljiÄ48%
Robin GonzƔlez14%
Lovro Banovec12%
Å imun ButiÄ6%
Jakov Gurlica6%
Mario TadiÄ5%
Alen Jurilj5%
Kerim ĆalhanoÄlu5%
Vito ÄaiÄ4%
Rafael Camacho0%
Marin Pilj0%
Josip Å poljariÄ0%
Antonio Bosec0%
Antonio ÄakoviÄ0%
Josip Elez0%
Jakov Biljan0%
Kristijan PaviÄiÄ0%
Denis Pintol0%
Dominik Mulac0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Eniss Shabani0%
Marino Bulat0%
Moreno ŽivkoviÄ0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
David MejĆa0%
Pocholo Bugas0%
Kristijan ÄabrajiÄ0%
Lovre KuluÅ”iÄ0%
Luka Klanac0%
Mario TiÄinoviÄ0%
Josip Å poljariÄ0%
Niko PajvanÄiÄ0%
Danijel VinkoviÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marin Pilj80%
Lovre KuluÅ”iÄ43%
David MejĆa30%
Moreno ŽivkoviÄ29%
Jakov Biljan27%
Jakov PuljiÄ22%
Rafael Camacho20%
Josip Elez20%
Lovro Banovec20%
Luka Klanac20%
Eniss Shabani18%
Robin GonzƔlez17%
Kristijan PaviÄiÄ17%
Vito ÄaiÄ17%
Jakov Gurlica17%
Mario TadiÄ16%
Mario TiÄinoviÄ15%
Marino Bulat13%
Antonio Bosec10%
Alen Jurilj10%
Kerim ĆalhanoÄlu10%
Kristijan ÄabrajiÄ10%
Josip Å poljariÄ0%
Antonio ÄakoviÄ0%
Denis Pintol0%
Dominik Mulac0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
Pocholo Bugas0%
Å imun ButiÄ0%
Josip Å poljariÄ0%
Niko PajvanÄiÄ0%
Danijel VinkoviÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lovro Banovec16%
Robin GonzƔlez14%
Kerim ĆalhanoÄlu10%
Mario TiÄinoviÄ10%
Eniss Shabani9%
Moreno ŽivkoviÄ7%
Alen Jurilj5%
Kristijan ÄabrajiÄ5%
Rafael Camacho0%
Jakov PuljiÄ0%
Marin Pilj0%
Josip Å poljariÄ0%
Antonio Bosec0%
Antonio ÄakoviÄ0%
Josip Elez0%
Jakov Biljan0%
Kristijan PaviÄiÄ0%
Mario TadiÄ0%
Denis Pintol0%
Dominik Mulac0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Marino Bulat0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
David MejĆa0%
Pocholo Bugas0%
Vito ÄaiÄ0%
Jakov Gurlica0%
Lovre KuluÅ”iÄ0%
Å imun ButiÄ0%
Luka Klanac0%
Josip Å poljariÄ0%
Niko PajvanÄiÄ0%
Danijel VinkoviÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jakov PuljiÄ30%
Robin GonzƔlez7%
Å imun ButiÄ6%
Mario TadiÄ5%
Alen Jurilj5%
Kerim ĆalhanoÄlu5%
Lovro Banovec4%
Rafael Camacho0%
Marin Pilj0%
Josip Å poljariÄ0%
Antonio Bosec0%
Antonio ÄakoviÄ0%
Josip Elez0%
Jakov Biljan0%
Kristijan PaviÄiÄ0%
Denis Pintol0%
Dominik Mulac0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Eniss Shabani0%
Marino Bulat0%
Moreno ŽivkoviÄ0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
David MejĆa0%
Pocholo Bugas0%
Vito ÄaiÄ0%
Jakov Gurlica0%
Kristijan ÄabrajiÄ0%
Lovre KuluÅ”iÄ0%
Luka Klanac0%
Mario TiÄinoviÄ0%
Josip Å poljariÄ0%
Niko PajvanÄiÄ0%
Danijel VinkoviÄ0%
HNK Gorica
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ante Erceg32%
Jurica PrŔir22%
Filip ÄuiÄ19%
Iker Pozo13%
Bruno BogojeviÄ12%
Žan Trontelj9%
Ante Kavelj9%
Domagoj PaviÄiÄ6%
Jakov FilipoviÄ6%
Ognjen BakiÄ4%
Marijan Äabraja3%
Ivan FioliÄ0%
Stefan PeriÄ0%
Davor MatijaŔ0%
Mateo LeŔ0%
Theo Epailly0%
Elvir DurakoviÄ0%
Filip ÄuiÄ0%
Vanja Pelko0%
Medin Gashi0%
Wisdom Sule0%
Luka VrziÄ0%
Stjepan KuÄiÅ”0%
Zvonimir JosiÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Iker Pozo32%
Jurica PrŔir25%
Marijan Äabraja23%
Filip ÄuiÄ20%
Ognjen BakiÄ19%
Filip ÄuiÄ19%
Stefan PeriÄ17%
Ante Erceg16%
Wisdom Sule15%
Mateo LeŔ14%
Domagoj PaviÄiÄ13%
Bruno BogojeviÄ12%
Žan Trontelj12%
Vanja Pelko12%
Jakov FilipoviÄ9%
Davor MatijaŔ9%
Ante Kavelj9%
Elvir DurakoviÄ6%
Luka VrziÄ4%
Ivan FioliÄ0%
Theo Epailly0%
Medin Gashi0%
Stjepan KuÄiÅ”0%
Zvonimir JosiÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Filip ÄuiÄ20%
Bruno BogojeviÄ19%
Iker Pozo16%
Marijan Äabraja13%
Medin Gashi13%
Žan Trontelj12%
Jurica PrŔir9%
Wisdom Sule8%
Theo Epailly7%
Ante Kavelj6%
Ognjen BakiÄ4%
Domagoj PaviÄiÄ3%
Ivan FioliÄ0%
Stefan PeriÄ0%
Jakov FilipoviÄ0%
Davor MatijaŔ0%
Mateo LeŔ0%
Ante Erceg0%
Elvir DurakoviÄ0%
Vanja Pelko0%
Luka VrziÄ0%
Stjepan KuÄiÅ”0%
Zvonimir JosiÄ0%
Filip ÄuiÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Filip ÄuiÄ44%
Ante Erceg21%
Bruno BogojeviÄ12%
Jurica PrŔir9%
Wisdom Sule8%
Elvir DurakoviÄ6%
Ognjen BakiÄ4%
Luka VrziÄ4%
Ivan FioliÄ0%
Stefan PeriÄ0%
Jakov FilipoviÄ0%
Domagoj PaviÄiÄ0%
Marijan Äabraja0%
Davor MatijaŔ0%
Mateo LeŔ0%
Žan Trontelj0%
Iker Pozo0%
Theo Epailly0%
Filip ÄuiÄ0%
Vanja Pelko0%
Medin Gashi0%
Ante Kavelj0%
Stjepan KuÄiÅ”0%
Zvonimir JosiÄ0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
š° 14. Squad value
š° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (34)
€66m
HR (32)
€34m
HHS (29)
€34m
NO (33)
€15m
NV (27)
€11m
I1 (23)
€11m
NLZ (34)
€10m
HG (27)
€9m
NSB (31)
€8m
VUK (13)
€2m
Vukovar's squad is €6m less valuable than HNK Gorica's (€2m vs €9m).
āļø Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (15)
€33m
HR (15)
€21m
HHS (10)
€15m
NO (16)
€9m
NV (9)
€6m
I1 (10)
€4m
HG (10)
€4m
NSB (10)
€3m
NLZ (8)
€3m
VUK (6)
€1m
Vukovar's attack is €3m less valuable than HNK Gorica's (€1m vs €4m).
š§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HHS (6)
€8m
HR (3)
€5m
NLZ (8)
€3m
I1 (4)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
HG (6)
€2m
NSB (6)
€2m
NO (4)
€1m
NV (4)
€1m
VUK (2)
€0m
Vukovar's midfield is €2m less valuable than HNK Gorica's (€0m vs €2m).
š”ļø Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (17)
€30m
HHS (13)
€11m
HR (14)
€8m
NV (14)
€5m
I1 (9)
€5m
NO (13)
€4m
NLZ (18)
€4m
NSB (15)
€3m
HG (11)
€3m
VUK (5)
€1m
Vukovar's defence is €2m less valuable than HNK Gorica's (€1m vs €3m).
Croatia: HNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →