Walsall are tipped to win, with a 44% chance of triumph, a 28% chance of a draw and a 28% chance of an Exeter victory. The model expects 2.7 goals on average, with the most likely total of 2 goals at 26%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 13.3% chance. Walsall, playing at home against a similar-strength side, average 1.64 goals scored and 1.36 conceded, while Exeter, on the road, average 1.57 scored and 1.36 conceded. The suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.4%), Under 6.5 (98.0%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.9%), Under 5.5 (94.5%), Home under 3.5 goals (93.2%), Away under 2.5 goals (88.7%), Home +2 handicap (88.3%) and Under 4.5 (86.5%). The home side’s recent unbeaten run of five games, highlighted by a 2-2 draw with Crewe, and Exeter’s recent 1-1 draw with Barnet, set the tone for a tightly contested match.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, a home win for Walsall at 44%, failed to materialise as the match finished 1-1, a draw. The model’s call was incorrect. Walsall’s unbeaten run in their last five, highlighted by a 2-2 draw with Crewe, was interrupted, while Exeter, coming off a 1-1 draw with Barnet, also failed to secure a win. Every model selection was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.4%, Under 6.5 hit at 98.0%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 96.9%, Under 5.5 hit at 94.5%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 93.2%, Away under 2.5 goals hit at 88.7%, Home +2 handicap hit at 88.3%, and Under 4.5 hit at 86.5%. All predictions were accurate, underscoring the model’s strength in over-under markets even when the favourite falters.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Walsall win✗ Miss
44.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Exeter win✗ Miss
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Walsall
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.47
1.62
1.06
1.43
1.93
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
2.00
3.00
1.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (23)
1.61
1.61
1.64
1.36
1.58
1.83
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.60
1.25
0.25
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Exeter) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Exeter
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.07
0.81
0.81
1.57
1.36
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.67
0.67
1.67
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.19
1.00
0.75
0.58
1.57
1.36
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Walsall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.0%
Under 1.5
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.2%
Under 2.5
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.2%
Under 3.5
71.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.9%
No
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
9.2%
0-0
8.0%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
Walsall goals ↓
Exeter goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.0%
6.7%
4.6%
1.8%
0.5%
1
9.2%
13%
7.0%
2.7%
0.8%
2
7.9%
9.2%
5.3%
2.1%
0.6%
3
4.0%
4.6%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.5%
1.8%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Walsall goals (down), columns = Exeter goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Newcastle
2.71
Sheffield Weds
2.50
Tottenham
2.40
Fleetwood Town
2.33
Crystal Palace
2.25
Blackpool
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Everton
2.00
Fulham
2.00
Brighton
2.00
Coventry
2.00
Derby
2.00
Wycombe
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Watford
2.00
Liverpool
2.00
Arsenal
1.80
Stoke
1.75
Brentford
1.75
Southampton
1.75
Preston
1.75
Walsall
1.67
Birmingham
1.50
Tranmere
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Cardiff
1.50
Sheffield United
1.50
Doncaster
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Oxford
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Crawley Town
1.50
Harrogate
1.50
Chelsea
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
West Ham
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Millwall
1.50
Norwich
1.50
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Leicester
1.33
Barrow
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Barnsley
1.33
Notts County
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Reading
1.00
Grimsby
0.50
Shrewsbury
0.50
Colchester
0.50
Bournemouth
0.00
Swindon
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Salford
0.00
Stockport
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Burton
0.00
Stevenage
0.00
Crewe
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Bristol City
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Lincoln
0.00
West Brom
0.00
Wrexham
0.00
Carlisle
0.00
Gillingham
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Cambridge
0.00
Port Vale
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Hull
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Bromley
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Newport County
0.00
Morecambe
0.00
Accrington
0.00
Walsall is 0.67 points better than Exeter in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester United
5.00
Blackburn
3.50
Notts County
3.00
Stevenage
3.00
Brighton
3.00
Watford
2.67
Stoke
2.50
Cardiff
2.50
Crystal Palace
2.50
Southampton
2.50
Chelsea
2.50
Huddersfield
2.50
Liverpool
2.50
Sheffield Weds
2.25
Arsenal
2.20
Swindon
2.00
Blackpool
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Sheffield United
2.00
Everton
2.00
Wrexham
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Port Vale
2.00
Crawley Town
2.00
Reading
2.00
Norwich
2.00
Preston
2.00
Newcastle
1.86
Tottenham
1.80
Fleetwood Town
1.67
Tranmere
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Fulham
1.50
Brentford
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Shrewsbury
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Wycombe
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Walsall
1.33
Stockport
1.00
Crewe
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Lincoln
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Doncaster
1.00
Grimsby
1.00
Coventry
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Oxford
1.00
Cambridge
1.00
Chesterfield
1.00
Barrow
1.00
Hull
1.00
Derby
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Newport County
1.00
Harrogate
1.00
Colchester
1.00
West Ham
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Barnsley
0.67
Birmingham
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Bournemouth
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Salford
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Burton
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Bristol City
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Carlisle
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Morecambe
0.00
Accrington
0.00
Walsall is 0.33 goals better than Exeter in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.43
Everton
0.50
Fulham
0.50
Oxford
0.50
Derby
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Blackpool
0.67
Coventry
0.67
Wycombe
0.67
Watford
0.67
Sheffield Weds
0.75
Bournemouth
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Portsmouth
1.00
Stoke
1.00
Fleetwood Town
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Bristol City
1.00
Swansea
1.00
Charlton
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Plymouth
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Chelsea
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Preston
1.00
Walsall
1.00
Liverpool
1.17
Brentford
1.25
Crystal Palace
1.25
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Leyton Orient
1.33
Arsenal
1.40
Sheffield United
1.50
Doncaster
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Colchester
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Leicester
1.67
Brighton
1.67
Tottenham
1.80
Tranmere
2.00
Salford
2.00
Crewe
2.00
Peterboro
2.00
Lincoln
2.00
West Brom
2.00
Carlisle
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Northampton
2.00
Cambridge
2.00
Chesterfield
2.00
Burnley
2.00
Hull
2.00
Bristol Rvs
2.00
Bromley
2.00
Sunderland
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Southampton
2.00
Bolton
2.00
Reading
2.00
Barrow
2.33
Cardiff
2.50
Shrewsbury
2.50
Middlesbrough
2.50
West Ham
2.50
Barnsley
2.67
Leeds
3.00
Notts County
3.00
Grimsby
3.00
Gillingham
3.00
Port Vale
3.00
Cheltenham
3.00
Crawley Town
3.00
Harrogate
3.00
Morecambe
3.00
Accrington
3.00
Norwich
3.50
Swindon
4.00
Burton
4.00
Stevenage
4.00
Wrexham
4.00
Newport County
4.00
Milton Keynes Dons
5.00
Stockport
6.00
Walsall and Exeter are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Walsall
For 6.0 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 9.5 · Total 21.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Exeter
For 5.8 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 11.3 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Walsall
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.0
11.1
3.9
4.4
3.4
21.2
21.5
20.8
vs Stronger (4)
11.0
10.5
11.5
4.5
6.0
3.0
16.2
16.5
16.0
vs Similar (39)
10.7
9.9
11.5
3.6
4.0
3.2
21.4
21.6
21.2
vs Weaker (7)
9.1
10.0
8.0
5.1
5.2
5.0
22.7
24.0
21.0
% over line
52%
46%
58%
56%
65%
46%
48%
54%
42%
% under line
48%
54%
42%
44%
35%
54%
52%
46%
58%
This opponent (Exeter) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Exeter
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.4
11.6
11.2
4.3
4.9
3.7
21.5
22.2
20.8
vs Stronger (7)
8.3
8.7
8.0
3.3
3.3
3.2
21.1
23.7
19.2
vs Similar (40)
12.0
12.2
11.7
4.5
5.0
4.0
21.8
22.2
21.4
vs Weaker (3)
10.7
9.0
14.0
4.3
6.0
1.0
17.7
19.0
15.0
% over line
64%
64%
64%
64%
72%
56%
54%
64%
44%
% under line
36%
36%
36%
36%
28%
44%
46%
36%
56%
This opponent (Walsall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Manchester United
12.6
Plymouth
12.4
Tottenham
12.0
Bromley
12.0
Tranmere
11.8
Fleetwood Town
11.7
Bournemouth
11.6
Coventry
11.6
Exeter
11.4
Southampton
11.3
Everton
11.3
Derby
11.3
Blackburn
11.3
Peterboro
11.3
Liverpool
11.3
Wrexham
11.2
Grimsby
11.2
Huddersfield
11.1
Middlesbrough
11.1
QPR
11.0
Stoke
11.0
Port Vale
11.0
Luton
10.9
Harrogate
10.8
Charlton
10.8
Notts County
10.8
Bolton
10.8
West Brom
10.8
Morecambe
10.7
Leeds
10.7
Crewe
10.6
Sheffield United
10.6
Wycombe
10.6
Fulham
10.6
Brentford
10.5
Mansfield
10.5
Birmingham
10.5
Bristol Rvs
10.5
Sheffield Weds
10.5
Burnley
10.5
Walsall
10.5
Reading
10.5
Norwich
10.5
Bristol City
10.5
Barnsley
10.5
Hull
10.5
Colchester
10.4
Sunderland
10.4
Crawley Town
10.4
Newcastle
10.4
Shrewsbury
10.4
Rotherham
10.4
Manchester City
10.4
Swansea
10.3
Wolves
10.3
Swindon
10.3
Nottingham Forest
10.3
Accrington
10.3
Oxford
10.3
Ipswich
10.3
Leyton Orient
10.2
Chelsea
10.2
Doncaster
10.1
Millwall
10.1
Bradford
10.1
Gillingham
10.0
West Ham
10.0
Crystal Palace
10.0
Stevenage
10.0
Newport County
10.0
Cheltenham
10.0
Watford
9.9
Portsmouth
9.9
Carlisle
9.8
Aston Villa
9.8
Leicester
9.7
Cambridge
9.7
Salford
9.7
Blackpool
9.7
Milton Keynes Dons
9.6
Cardiff
9.6
AFC Wimbledon
9.5
Brighton
9.5
Barrow
9.4
Lincoln
9.4
Preston
9.4
Arsenal
9.3
Stockport
9.3
Wigan
9.3
Northampton
9.2
Burton
8.8
Chesterfield
5.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Wigan
5.2
Brighton
5.2
Wolves
4.9
Chelsea
4.9
Aston Villa
4.9
Portsmouth
4.8
Sunderland
4.8
Tottenham
4.8
Southampton
4.7
Lincoln
4.6
Newcastle
4.5
Bristol Rvs
4.5
Colchester
4.5
Doncaster
4.5
Crawley Town
4.5
Crewe
4.5
Salford
4.5
Bradford
4.4
Morecambe
4.4
AFC Wimbledon
4.4
Notts County
4.4
Milton Keynes Dons
4.4
Coventry
4.3
Bolton
4.3
Exeter
4.3
Sheffield Weds
4.3
Stevenage
4.3
Watford
4.3
QPR
4.3
Oxford
4.2
Manchester United
4.2
Leicester
4.2
Leeds
4.2
Stoke
4.2
Blackpool
4.2
Burnley
4.2
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Hull
4.1
Millwall
4.1
Fleetwood Town
4.1
Cheltenham
4.1
West Ham
4.1
Liverpool
4.1
Charlton
4.1
Blackburn
4.1
Cambridge
4.0
Swansea
4.0
Barnsley
4.0
Barrow
4.0
Brentford
4.0
Bournemouth
4.0
Chesterfield
4.0
Shrewsbury
4.0
Gillingham
4.0
Port Vale
4.0
Crystal Palace
4.0
Norwich
3.9
Ipswich
3.9
Plymouth
3.9
Mansfield
3.9
Tranmere
3.9
Walsall
3.9
Wycombe
3.9
Leyton Orient
3.8
Sheffield United
3.8
Accrington
3.8
Luton
3.8
Burton
3.8
Swindon
3.8
Birmingham
3.8
Middlesbrough
3.8
Everton
3.8
Wrexham
3.7
Huddersfield
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Reading
3.7
Arsenal
3.7
Fulham
3.7
Derby
3.6
Stockport
3.6
Bromley
3.6
Preston
3.5
Peterboro
3.5
Carlisle
3.4
Cardiff
3.4
West Brom
3.4
Northampton
3.4
Newport County
3.4
Grimsby
3.3
Harrogate
3.2
Bristol City
3.2
Rotherham
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Stevenage
25.1
Portsmouth
24.8
Accrington
24.7
Wigan
24.4
Tottenham
24.2
Wolves
23.8
Luton
23.7
Crystal Palace
23.7
Watford
23.6
Bolton
23.5
Cheltenham
23.5
Birmingham
23.4
Chelsea
23.3
Brighton
23.2
Aston Villa
23.2
Sunderland
23.2
Salford
23.1
Newcastle
23.1
Milton Keynes Dons
23.0
Cambridge
23.0
Coventry
23.0
Ipswich
22.9
Doncaster
22.9
AFC Wimbledon
22.9
Grimsby
22.8
Bournemouth
22.8
Bristol Rvs
22.8
Bradford
22.8
Leeds
22.7
Hull
22.6
Stockport
22.5
Sheffield Weds
22.5
Swansea
22.5
QPR
22.4
Blackpool
22.4
Huddersfield
22.4
Lincoln
22.3
Preston
22.3
Liverpool
22.2
Millwall
22.2
Southampton
22.1
Stoke
22.0
Fleetwood Town
22.0
Plymouth
22.0
Bromley
22.0
Barrow
22.0
Crewe
21.8
Burton
21.8
Everton
21.7
Shrewsbury
21.7
Nottingham Forest
21.7
Oxford
21.7
Arsenal
21.7
Newport County
21.6
Reading
21.5
Middlesbrough
21.5
Exeter
21.5
Derby
21.4
Brentford
21.3
Burnley
21.2
Leicester
21.2
Wycombe
21.2
Walsall
21.2
Mansfield
21.2
Crawley Town
21.1
Norwich
21.1
Colchester
21.1
Chesterfield
21.0
Gillingham
21.0
Swindon
20.9
Fulham
20.9
West Ham
20.9
Morecambe
20.9
Rotherham
20.9
Charlton
20.8
Port Vale
20.8
Leyton Orient
20.5
Wrexham
20.4
Barnsley
20.3
Bristol City
20.3
Northampton
20.1
Carlisle
20.1
Sheffield United
20.1
Peterboro
19.9
Harrogate
19.9
Tranmere
19.8
Manchester United
19.8
Cardiff
19.7
Blackburn
19.6
Notts County
19.5
Manchester City
19.2
West Brom
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
58.9%
Under 9.5
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
64.1%
Under 3.5
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
63.5%
Under 21.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Walsall or Draw✓ Hit
72.1%
Avg Implied -
44%
28%
28%
covers Walsall + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Walsall or Exeter✗ Miss
72.1%
Avg Implied -
44%
28%
28%
covers Walsall + Exeter
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Exeter✓ Hit
55.8%
Avg Implied -
44%
28%
28%
covers Draw + Exeter
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Walsall over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.1%
Under
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Walsall over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
44.9%
Under
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Walsall over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.6%
Under
80.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Walsall over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.8%
Under
93.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Exeter over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.8%
Under
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Exeter over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
32.4%
Under
67.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Exeter over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.3%
Under
88.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Exeter over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Walsall, so a minus line means Walsall give that many goals of a start and Exeter receive them. At -1, Walsall must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Walsall win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Walsall)Actual: Exeter
Walsall -2
9.0%
Draw -2
13.7%
Exeter +2
77.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Walsall)Actual: Exeter
Walsall -1
22.7%
Draw -1
21.5%
Exeter +1
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Walsall)Actual: Walsall
Walsall +1
72.1%
Draw +1
16.2%
Exeter -1
11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Walsall)Actual: Walsall
Walsall +2
88.3%
Draw +2
8.0%
Exeter -2
3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Walsall
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.63
0.75
0.56
0.57
0.71
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.70
0.64
0.64
0.58
0.75
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.20
1.00
0.25
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Exeter) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Exeter
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.53
0.25
0.44
0.71
0.64
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.67
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.54
0.54
0.33
0.42
0.71
0.64
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Walsall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Walsall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Walsall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Walsall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Exeter over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Exeter over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Exeter over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Walsall
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.83
0.88
0.50
0.86
1.21
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (23)
1.00
0.91
1.00
0.73
1.00
1.08
vs Weaker (5)
0.20
0.40
0.25
0.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Exeter) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Exeter
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
0.56
0.38
0.86
0.71
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.00
0.67
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.65
0.46
0.42
0.17
0.86
0.71
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Walsall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Walsall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Walsall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Walsall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Exeter over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Exeter over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Exeter over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Walsall
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jamie Jellis33%
Liam Gordon0%
Albert Adomah0%
Charlie Lakin0%
Taylor Allen0%
Ryan Stirk0%
Evan Weir0%
Harry Williams0%
David Okagbue0%
Connor Barrett0%
Ronan Maher0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jamie Jellis67%
Liam Gordon33%
Ryan Stirk33%
Evan Weir33%
Albert Adomah0%
Charlie Lakin0%
Taylor Allen0%
Harry Williams0%
David Okagbue0%
Connor Barrett0%
Ronan Maher0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Liam Gordon0%
Albert Adomah0%
Charlie Lakin0%
Taylor Allen0%
Ryan Stirk0%
Evan Weir0%
Harry Williams0%
David Okagbue0%
Connor Barrett0%
Jamie Jellis0%
Ronan Maher0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Liam Gordon0%
Albert Adomah0%
Charlie Lakin0%
Taylor Allen0%
Ryan Stirk0%
Evan Weir0%
Harry Williams0%
David Okagbue0%
Connor Barrett0%
Jamie Jellis0%
Ronan Maher0%
Exeter · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jack Fitzwater67%
Reece Cole0%
Gwion Edwards0%
Josh Gordon0%
Taylor Perry0%
Jack Bycroft0%
Andrew Oluwabori0%
Ethan Sutherland0%
Edward James0%
Charlie Cummins0%
George Birch0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Charlie Cummins67%
Reece Cole33%
Gwion Edwards33%
Jack Fitzwater33%
Ethan Sutherland33%
Josh Gordon0%
Taylor Perry0%
Jack Bycroft0%
Andrew Oluwabori0%
Edward James0%
George Birch0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrew Oluwabori33%
Reece Cole0%
Gwion Edwards0%
Jack Fitzwater0%
Josh Gordon0%
Taylor Perry0%
Jack Bycroft0%
Ethan Sutherland0%
Edward James0%
Charlie Cummins0%
George Birch0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Reece Cole0%
Gwion Edwards0%
Jack Fitzwater0%
Josh Gordon0%
Taylor Perry0%
Jack Bycroft0%
Andrew Oluwabori0%
Ethan Sutherland0%
Edward James0%
Charlie Cummins0%
George Birch0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BRO (19)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
CAR (1)
€0m
MOR (1)
€0m
Walsall and Exeter have a similar squad value (both €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (3)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Walsall and Exeter have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
MKD (6)
€7m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
BAR (5)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
MOR (1)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
Walsall and Exeter have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Walsall and Exeter have a similar defence value (both €2m).
England: League Two 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League Two stats & trends →
England: League One 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Doncaster
Port Vale
Bradford
AFC Wimbledon
Notts County
Chesterfield
Salford
Grimsby
Colchester
Bromley
Swindon
Crewe
Fleetwood Town
Cheltenham
Barrow
Gillingham
Harrogate
Milton Keynes Dons
Tranmere
Accrington
Newport County
Carlisle
Morecambe
Birmingham
Wrexham
Stockport
Charlton
Wycombe
Leyton Orient
Reading
Bolton
Blackpool
Huddersfield
Lincoln
Barnsley
Rotherham
Stevenage
Wigan
Mansfield
Peterboro
Northampton
Burton
Crawley Town
Bristol Rvs
Cambridge
Shrewsbury