This Championship match between Watford and Southampton is expected to be a closely contested affair with Southampton as the clear favourites to win. Southampton's recent unbeaten streak in their last 5 matches, including a 2-1 win over Middlesbrough, suggests they have the momentum going into this game.
The model predicts an away win with a probability of 49%, while the draw has a 26% chance and Watford winning at home is the least likely outcome at 25%. The expected number of goals is 3.0, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The model's selection is a score of 1-1, with a probability of 12.1%.
Watford has struggled at home, scoring an average of 1.08 goals and conceding 1.0 per match against similar opponents. Southampton, on the other hand, has been scoring 1.58 goals and conceding 1.42 away from home against similar opponents.
The model's selection is an Over 1.5 goals with an 80.5% probability, suggesting a high-scoring match. The home win percentage is 25%, the draw percentage is 26%, and the away win percentage is 49%. The model's suggested picks also include a 4% edge in the Over 1.5 goals selection.
Results analysis
In a stunning upset, Watford came from behind to claim a 2-1 victory over Southampton, extending their win streak after previously coming off a win. The pre-match favourite, Southampton, failed to deliver, with the model's selection of an Away win coming up short. The model's call was wrong as the model's selection of an Away win had a pre-match probability of 49%. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals hit, with an 80.5% probability. The model's selection of an Away win had a pre-match probability of 49%.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Watford win✓ Hit
24.9%
Avg Implied 27.0% · @ 3.47
Edge
-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.75
Pinnacle
3.65
Bet365
3.60
Betfair
3.60
Dafabet
3.55
Draw✗ Miss
25.7%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.49
Edge
-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.70
Pinnacle
3.61
Dafabet
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Southampton win✗ Miss
49.5%
Avg Implied 46.1% · @ 2.03
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.12
Dafabet
2.09
SBO
2.09
Pinnacle
2.07
888Sport
2.05
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Watford
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.57
1.07
1.20
1.00
1.93
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.07
1.61
1.15
1.23
1.00
1.93
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Southampton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
0.97
1.67
0.73
2.00
1.20
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.50
2.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.79
0.92
1.69
0.69
1.91
1.18
vs Weaker (4)
2.25
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.5%
@ 1.22+3.9%
Under 1.5
19.5%
@ 3.99-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
Pinnacle
1.24
BetVictor
1.24
Unibet
1.23
888Sport
1.22
Under
Bet365
4.33
Pinnacle
4.29
Betfair
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Betano
3.95
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.6%
@ 1.74+2.4%
Under 2.5
43.4%
@ 2.06-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.78
Pinnacle
1.78
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Under
SBO
2.14
Pinnacle
2.13
Betano
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.2%
@ 2.79+0.8%
Under 3.5
65.8%
@ 1.40-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.95
Betano
2.90
Pinnacle
2.88
Betfair
2.80
888Sport
2.80
Under
Betano
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.42
BetVictor
1.41
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.8%
@ 1.61+1.1%
No
41.2%
@ 2.21-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.65
Unibet
1.64
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.62
888Sport
1.62
No
Betfair
2.38
10Bet
2.25
888Sport
2.20
William Hil
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%@ 6.35+5.0%
1-2
9.6%@ 7.90+3.9%
0-1
8.1%@ 8.18+2.6%
0-2
8.1%@ 10.16+3.6%
2-1 ✓
6.6%@ 10.64+2.3%
0-0
6.3%@ 11.60+2.4%
2-2
5.8%@ 11.53+1.9%
1-3
5.6%@ 14.04+2.4%
Watford goals ↓
Southampton goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.3%
8.1%
8.1%
4.7%
2.1%
1
5.1%
12%
9.6%
5.6%
2.5%
2
3.7%
6.6%
5.8%
3.4%
1.5%
3
1.5%
2.6%
2.3%
1.3%
0.6%
4
0.4%
0.8%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Watford goals (down), columns = Southampton goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Wolves
2.02
West Ham
1.99
Burnley
1.87
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Birmingham
1.39
Swansea
1.39
Cardiff
1.35
Bristol City
1.35
Sheffield United
1.30
Preston
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Stoke
1.20
Portsmouth
1.20
West Brom
1.15
Charlton
1.15
Blackburn
1.13
Bolton
1.04
Lincoln
0.95
Watford is 0.47 points worse than Southampton in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.71).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Wolves
1.92
West Ham
1.89
Burnley
1.78
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Cardiff
1.28
Birmingham
1.24
Swansea
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Bolton
0.99
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Lincoln
0.90
Watford is 0.58 goals worse than Southampton in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.73).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Wolves
0.87
West Ham
0.89
Burnley
0.94
Middlesbrough
1.00
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Norwich
1.22
Stoke
1.22
West Brom
1.26
Charlton
1.26
Bristol City
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Derby
1.28
Cardiff
1.31
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Wrexham
1.41
Watford
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
QPR
1.59
Bolton
1.70
Lincoln
1.87
Watford is 0.23 goals worse than Southampton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.19).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Watford is 5.1 percentage points worse than Southampton in terms of average possession (51% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Watford
For 6.2 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 10.5 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Southampton
For 6.2 · Against 5.9 · Total 12.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 11.1 · Total 20.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Watford
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.3
10.0
4.3
4.2
4.5
21.3
22.3
20.3
vs Stronger (2)
7.0
7.0
7.0
4.0
5.0
3.0
23.0
30.0
16.0
vs Similar (47)
10.3
10.3
10.2
4.3
4.1
4.6
21.2
21.9
20.5
vs Weaker (1)
13.0
13.0
-
5.0
5.0
-
24.0
24.0
-
% over line
58%
58%
58%
54%
54%
54%
44%
50%
38%
% under line
42%
42%
42%
46%
46%
46%
56%
50%
62%
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Southampton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
11.2
10.8
3.7
3.9
3.6
22.3
23.3
21.5
vs Stronger (3)
11.7
13.0
11.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
19.3
20.0
19.0
vs Similar (41)
11.2
11.2
11.2
3.9
4.0
3.8
22.8
23.8
21.9
vs Weaker (6)
9.5
10.0
9.2
2.8
3.5
2.5
20.7
20.5
20.8
% over line
65%
74%
58%
56%
52%
59%
49%
52%
46%
% under line
35%
26%
42%
44%
48%
41%
51%
48%
54%
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sheffield United
11.5
Southampton
10.9
West Ham
10.9
Millwall
10.8
Middlesbrough
10.8
Portsmouth
10.8
Preston
10.7
Stoke
10.7
Cardiff
10.6
Blackburn
10.5
Norwich
10.4
Birmingham
10.3
QPR
10.2
Watford
10.2
Wrexham
10.1
Bolton
10.1
Bristol City
10.0
Swansea
10.0
Derby
9.9
Charlton
9.6
Wolves
9.5
West Brom
9.3
Burnley
9.3
Lincoln
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Watford
4.3
Derby
4.1
Lincoln
4.1
Sheffield United
4.0
Swansea
4.0
Southampton
4.0
Stoke
3.9
Portsmouth
3.9
Blackburn
3.9
Bristol City
3.9
Norwich
3.8
West Ham
3.8
Wolves
3.7
QPR
3.7
Bolton
3.7
Birmingham
3.7
Charlton
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Millwall
3.5
Wrexham
3.5
Cardiff
3.5
West Brom
3.4
Preston
3.4
Burnley
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Wolves
23.3
Lincoln
22.9
Derby
22.6
West Ham
22.5
Swansea
22.5
Southampton
22.4
Bolton
22.4
Portsmouth
22.1
Birmingham
22.0
Charlton
21.6
Sheffield United
21.5
Middlesbrough
21.4
Norwich
21.3
Watford
21.3
Blackburn
21.2
Bristol City
21.1
Cardiff
20.8
QPR
20.8
Millwall
20.6
Stoke
20.6
Burnley
20.5
West Brom
20.5
Preston
20.1
Wrexham
19.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
61.9%
@ 1.60+3.9%
Under 9.5
38.1%
@ 2.21-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.69
Betfair
1.65
1xBet
1.61
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.56
Under
Unibet
2.35
Betano
2.27
Marathonbet
2.18
Pinnacle
2.17
1xBet
2.16
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
57.2%
@ 1.58-1.7%
Under 3.5
42.8%
@ 2.27+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Unibet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
Under
Pinnacle
2.41
Unibet
2.25
1xBet
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
51.1%
@ 1.76-1.5%
Under 21.5
48.9%
@ 1.95+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.76
Under
1xBet
1.95
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Watford or Draw✓ Hit
50.5%
Avg Implied -
25%
26%
49%
covers Watford + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Watford or Southampton✓ Hit
74.3%
Avg Implied -
25%
26%
49%
covers Watford + Southampton
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Southampton✗ Miss
75.1%
Avg Implied -
25%
26%
49%
covers Draw + Southampton
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Watford
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.67
0.40
0.40
0.33
0.93
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.39
0.68
0.46
0.38
0.33
0.93
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Southampton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.37
0.80
0.33
0.60
0.40
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.46
0.85
0.38
0.36
0.55
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Watford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Watford
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.90
0.67
0.80
0.67
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.68
0.93
0.69
0.85
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Southampton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.60
0.87
0.40
1.40
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.17
0.46
0.85
0.31
1.55
0.64
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Watford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
80.5%
1.22
Betano
1.26
Pinnacle
1.24
BetVictor
1.24
Unibet
1.23
888Sport
1.22
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
78.1%
1.37
Unibet
1.37
-
-
-
-
+10.9%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
76.6%
1.46
Unibet
1.46
-
-
-
-
+13.9%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
73.4%
1.33
Betfair
1.36
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Unibet
1.30
+4.3%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Watford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Amin Nabizada40%
Luca Kjerrumgaard33%
Iker Bravo25%
M. Doumbia20%
E. Kayembe0%
M. Payero0%
M. Pollock0%
J. Zemura0%
O. Traoré0%
F. Ravaglia0%
H. Kyprianou0%
Edoardo Bove0%
K. Keben0%
R. Vata0%
Othmane Maamma0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Edoardo Bove40%
Othmane Maamma40%
M. Pollock25%
Iker Bravo25%
M. Payero20%
H. Kyprianou20%
K. Keben20%
M. Doumbia20%
Amin Nabizada20%
E. Kayembe0%
J. Zemura0%
O. Traoré0%
F. Ravaglia0%
R. Vata0%
Luca Kjerrumgaard0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
O. Traoré25%
Amin Nabizada20%
E. Kayembe0%
M. Payero0%
M. Pollock0%
J. Zemura0%
F. Ravaglia0%
H. Kyprianou0%
Edoardo Bove0%
K. Keben0%
R. Vata0%
Iker Bravo0%
Luca Kjerrumgaard0%
Othmane Maamma0%
M. Doumbia0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luca Kjerrumgaard67%
Iker Bravo50%
M. Payero20%
M. Doumbia20%
E. Kayembe0%
M. Pollock0%
J. Zemura0%
O. Traoré0%
F. Ravaglia0%
H. Kyprianou0%
Edoardo Bove0%
K. Keben0%
R. Vata0%
Othmane Maamma0%
Amin Nabizada0%
Southampton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cyle Larin80%
Leo Scienza40%
Romeo Akachukwu33%
Ryan Manning25%
Tom Fellows25%
Divin Mubama25%
Finn Azaz20%
Jack Stephens0%
Nathan Wood0%
James Bree0%
Flynn Downes0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Lewis Dobbin0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Cameron Bragg0%
Kuryu Matsuki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ryan Manning50%
James Bree40%
Flynn Downes40%
Tom Fellows25%
Cyle Larin20%
Leo Scienza20%
Cameron Bragg20%
Jack Stephens0%
Nathan Wood0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Lewis Dobbin0%
Finn Azaz0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Divin Mubama0%
Kuryu Matsuki0%
Romeo Akachukwu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Finn Azaz60%
Ryan Manning50%
Flynn Downes20%
Leo Scienza20%
Cameron Bragg20%
Cyle Larin0%
Jack Stephens0%
Nathan Wood0%
James Bree0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Lewis Dobbin0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Tom Fellows0%
Divin Mubama0%
Kuryu Matsuki0%
Romeo Akachukwu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cyle Larin80%
Kuryu Matsuki20%
Jack Stephens0%
Nathan Wood0%
Ryan Manning0%
James Bree0%
Flynn Downes0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Lewis Dobbin0%
Finn Azaz0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Tom Fellows0%
Leo Scienza0%
Divin Mubama0%
Cameron Bragg0%
Romeo Akachukwu0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
BOL (22)
€17m
LIN (24)
€12m
Watford's squad is €116m less valuable than Southampton's (€88m vs €205m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
BOL (6)
€4m
LIN (7)
€3m
Watford's attack is €45m less valuable than Southampton's (€28m vs €72m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
POR (5)
€5m
BOL (4)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
LIN (4)
€2m
Watford's midfield is €14m less valuable than Southampton's (€38m vs €53m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (12)
€141m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
LIN (13)
€6m
Watford's defence is €57m less valuable than Southampton's (€22m vs €79m).
England: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Charlton
Wolves
Swansea
QPR
Middlesbrough
Millwall
West Brom
Birmingham
Blackburn
Bolton
Bristol City
Cardiff
Sheffield United
Norwich
Portsmouth
Lincoln
West Ham
Wrexham
Derby
Burnley
Preston
Stoke