Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice Result & Analysis

Defensive solidity will dictate a tight, low-scoring affair as Widzew Łódź, averaging 1.88 goals for and 1.5 against at home against similarly ranked opponents, faces Piast Gliwice, who average 1.56 for and only 0.67 against on the road. The model favours an away win, with a 38% chance, while the draw and home win probabilities sit at 31% each. The expected total goals is 2.2, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 14.6% probability. The match is projected to see 2 goals, with a 28% chance of that total. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 82.1%, Under 3.5 cards at 81.2%, Over 2.5 cards at 80.1%, Under 11.5 corners at 76.2%, and Under 5.5 cards at 73.9%. The home win percentage is 31%, the draw 31%, and the away win 38%.

The away side, on a two-game winning streak, extended its run with a 2-3 victory over the home team, who were coming off a defeat. The final score confirmed the model’s pick of an away win, with a 38% probability, and the prediction was correct. The match far exceeded the expected total of 2.2 goals, delivering a higher tally than the model’s most likely 2-goal outcome. The suggested picks were mixed: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 82.1%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 73.9%, while Under 3.5, Over 2.5 cards, and Under 11.5 corners all missed, with probabilities of 81.2%, 80.1%, and 76.2% respectively.