Wisła Kraków enter the match after a draw against Pogon Szczecin, while Wieczysta Kraków come off a defeat to Cracovia. The model sees a 43 % chance of a home win, 21 % for a draw and 36 % for an away win, favouring a Wisła victory. The average number of goals expected is 4.4, with the most likely total being 6 + goals at 28 %. The single most probable scoreline is 2-2, with a 7.2 % probability. Wisła’s home form shows 1.67 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against similar opponents, whereas Wieczysta’s away form averages 2.4 scored and 2.0 conceded. The model’s suggested picks include Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.8 % with a 5 % edge, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 95.6 % with a 3 % edge, Over 1.5 at 93.9 % with a 15 % edge, Under 7.5 at 92.3 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 91.6 % with a 1 % edge, Over 19.5 fouls at 90.4 %, Home over 0.5 goals at 89.7 % with a 9 % edge, and Away over 0.5 goals at 87.9 % with a 17 % edge.
Results analysis
Wisla Krakow’s recent win extended their good run, and the model’s favourite, Home win, proved right with a 2-0 victory. The prediction of 2-0 matched the final score and the actual result. The model had a 43% probability of a home win, and the favoured outcome landed. Every suggested pick was settled: Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 94.4%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 94.1%, Over 1.5 hit at 93.9%, Under 7.5 hit at 92.3%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 91.3%, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 90.5%, Home over 0.5 goals hit at 89.7%, while Away over 0.5 goals missed at 87.9%. The model’s selections largely came through, confirming its accuracy.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Wisla Krakow win✓ Hit
42.7%
Avg Implied 50.9% · @ 1.82
Edge
-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.88
Betano
1.87
Pinnacle
1.86
Superbet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Draw✗ Miss
20.8%
Avg Implied 23.9% · @ 3.87
Edge
-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.22
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.96
Dafabet
3.95
10Bet
3.95
Wieczysta Kraków win✗ Miss
36.5%
Avg Implied 25.2% · @ 3.68
Edge
+11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
4.10
Betfair
3.80
10Bet
3.80
Superbet
3.75
Pinnacle
3.75
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Wisla Krakow
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.10
2.14
1.00
1.31
1.19
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.56
1.78
1.67
1.00
1.50
2.17
vs Weaker (21)
1.76
0.81
2.27
1.00
1.20
0.60
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Wieczysta Kraków) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wieczysta Kraków
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
1.63
1.60
1.60
2.33
1.67
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (21)
2.14
1.86
1.90
1.80
2.36
1.91
vs Weaker (8)
1.62
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.25
1.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Wisla Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
93.9%
@ 1.14+11.8%
Under 1.5
6.1%
@ 5.19-11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.16
Unibet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
Under
Pinnacle
5.90
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.40
Superbet
5.30
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
81.3%
@ 1.48+18.3%
Under 2.5
18.7%
@ 2.52-18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.52
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Under
Pinnacle
2.73
Bet365
2.60
BetVictor
2.55
Betfair
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
63.8%
@ 2.21+21.4%
Under 3.5
36.2%
@ 1.63-21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.30
Betfair
2.30
Pinnacle
2.26
10Bet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.23
Under
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.65
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.65
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
79.4%
@ 1.47+16.5%
No
20.6%
@ 2.50-16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.50
Unibet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.48
No
1xBet
2.56
Betfair
2.55
10Bet
2.55
BetVictor
2.55
William Hil
2.50
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-2
7.2%@ 11.11+3.2%
2-1
6.8%@ 7.85+1.1%
1-1
6.6%@ 7.68+0.8%
1-2
6.3%@ 11.50+2.4%
3-2
5.5%@ 16.03+2.7%
3-1
5.2%@ 11.68+1.3%
2-3
5.0%@ 24.09+3.2%
1-3
4.4%@ 24.28+2.6%
Wisla Krakow goals ↓
Wieczysta Kraków goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
1.8%
2.0%
2.8%
1.9%
1.0%
1
2.2%
6.6%
6.3%
4.4%
2.3%
2
3.2%
6.8%
7.2%
5.0%
2.7%
3
2.5%
5.2%
5.5%
3.8%
2.0%
4
1.4%
2.9%
3.1%
2.2%
1.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wisla Krakow goals (down), columns = Wieczysta Kraków goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lech Poznan
2.60
Gornik Zabrze
2.40
Legia Warszawa
2.00
GKS Katowice
1.80
Jagiellonia
1.80
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Pogon Szczecin
1.60
Zaglebie Lubin
1.60
Korona Kielce
1.60
Cracovia Krakow
1.33
Piast Gliwice
1.17
Radomiak Radom
1.17
Widzew Łódź
1.00
Slask Wroclaw
1.00
Motor Lublin
0.83
Wisla Plock
0.80
Wieczysta Kraków
0.60
Raków Częstochowa
0.00
Wisla Krakow is 1.07 points better than Wieczysta Kraków in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 0.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
GKS Katowice
2.40
Gornik Zabrze
2.20
Wisla Krakow
2.00
Lech Poznan
2.00
Legia Warszawa
2.00
Jagiellonia
1.80
Piast Gliwice
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wieczysta Kraków
1.60
Pogon Szczecin
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.33
Raków Częstochowa
1.20
Korona Kielce
1.20
Radomiak Radom
1.00
Motor Lublin
1.00
Zaglebie Lubin
1.00
Cracovia Krakow
1.00
Wisla Plock
0.60
Wisla Krakow is 0.40 goals better than Wieczysta Kraków in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.60).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Legia Warszawa
0.67
Pogon Szczecin
0.80
Zaglebie Lubin
0.80
Korona Kielce
0.80
Lech Poznan
0.80
Cracovia Krakow
1.17
GKS Katowice
1.20
Gornik Zabrze
1.40
Jagiellonia
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.50
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Motor Lublin
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wisla Plock
2.00
Piast Gliwice
2.17
Radomiak Radom
2.17
Wieczysta Kraków
2.40
Raków Częstochowa
2.60
Wisla Krakow is 0.73 goals better than Wieczysta Kraków in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 2.40).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Jagiellonia
58%
Piast Gliwice
56%
Wieczysta Kraków
54%
Lech Poznan
54%
Gornik Zabrze
53%
Raków Częstochowa
53%
Wisla Plock
52%
Legia Warszawa
52%
Wisla Krakow
52%
Radomiak Radom
50%
GKS Katowice
48%
Cracovia Krakow
48%
Korona Kielce
48%
Slask Wroclaw
47%
Zaglebie Lubin
47%
Widzew Łódź
46%
Motor Lublin
46%
Pogon Szczecin
41%
Wisla Krakow is 2.2 percentage points worse than Wieczysta Kraków in terms of average possession (52% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Wisla Krakow
For 5.4 · Against 5.8 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 12.0 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Wieczysta Kraków
For 4.0 · Against 7.0 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.0 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 13.2 · Total 26.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Wisla Krakow
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
13.0
10.0
0.4
0.3
0.6
25.4
25.5
25.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
11.2
13.0
10.0
1.7
1.4
1.9
25.4
25.5
25.3
vs Weaker (37)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
60%
100%
33%
6%
4%
7%
80%
100%
67%
% under line
40%
0%
67%
94%
96%
93%
20%
0%
33%
This opponent (Wieczysta Kraków) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wieczysta Kraków
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (41)
11.0
11.0
11.0
0.4
0.1
0.6
26.5
20.0
28.7
vs Stronger (1)
11.0
11.0
-
3.0
3.0
-
20.0
20.0
-
vs Similar (31)
11.0
-
11.0
0.4
0.0
0.8
28.7
-
28.7
vs Weaker (9)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
100%
33%
2%
0%
5%
50%
0%
67%
% under line
50%
0%
67%
98%
100%
95%
50%
100%
33%
This opponent (Wisla Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wisla Krakow
11.2
Wieczysta Kraków
11.0
Pogon Szczecin
10.6
Zaglebie Lubin
10.3
Slask Wroclaw
10.2
Korona Kielce
10.2
Lech Poznan
10.1
Gornik Zabrze
10.1
Motor Lublin
10.1
Radomiak Radom
10.0
Cracovia Krakow
9.9
Piast Gliwice
9.9
GKS Katowice
9.8
Wisla Plock
9.7
Jagiellonia
9.5
Widzew Łódź
9.1
Legia Warszawa
9.1
Raków Częstochowa
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Widzew Łódź
5.3
Radomiak Radom
5.0
Motor Lublin
4.9
Raków Częstochowa
4.7
Slask Wroclaw
4.6
Jagiellonia
4.5
Zaglebie Lubin
4.5
Cracovia Krakow
4.4
Legia Warszawa
4.3
Gornik Zabrze
4.0
Wisla Plock
4.0
Pogon Szczecin
4.0
Lech Poznan
3.9
Wisla Krakow
3.9
Korona Kielce
3.9
GKS Katowice
3.8
Wieczysta Kraków
3.8
Piast Gliwice
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Radomiak Radom
27.8
Widzew Łódź
26.5
Wieczysta Kraków
26.5
Jagiellonia
26.4
Legia Warszawa
25.9
Korona Kielce
25.6
Wisla Krakow
25.4
Motor Lublin
25.3
Cracovia Krakow
25.2
Raków Częstochowa
24.9
Zaglebie Lubin
24.7
Slask Wroclaw
24.6
Piast Gliwice
24.5
Lech Poznan
23.9
GKS Katowice
23.8
Pogon Szczecin
23.6
Gornik Zabrze
22.9
Wisla Plock
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
63.0%
@ 1.37-3.9%
Under 9.5
37.0%
@ 2.76+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.42
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Unibet
1.33
Under
Betano
2.90
Unibet
2.85
Marathonbet
2.74
1xBet
2.68
Superbet
2.65
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
56.2%
@ 1.48-5.7%
Under 3.5
43.8%
@ 2.40+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.48
Under
Superbet
2.40
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
81.2%
Under 21.5
18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Wisla Krakow or Draw✓ Hit
63.5%
Avg Implied 75.2% · @ 1.24
Edge
-11.7%
43%
21%
36%
covers Wisla Krakow + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Wisla Krakow or Wieczysta Kraków✓ Hit
79.2%
Avg Implied 76.5% · @ 1.22
Edge
+2.7%
43%
21%
36%
covers Wisla Krakow + Wieczysta Kraków
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Draw or Wieczysta Kraków✗ Miss
57.3%
Avg Implied 48.3% · @ 1.93
Edge
+9.0%
43%
21%
36%
covers Draw + Wieczysta Kraków
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.00
SBO
1.99
10Bet
1.95
Betano
1.95
Unibet
1.95
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Wisla Krakow over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
89.7%
@ 1.11+6.0%
Under
10.3%
@ 5.69-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Unibet
1.10
Under
Bet365
6.50
BetVictor
5.75
1xBet
5.70
Superbet
5.65
10Bet
5.50
Wisla Krakow over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
66.4%
@ 1.60+8.1%
Under
33.6%
@ 2.23-8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Under
Pinnacle
2.34
BetVictor
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Superbet
2.22
10Bet
2.20
Wisla Krakow over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
39.8%
@ 2.84+7.1%
Under
60.2%
@ 1.38-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.02
Marathonbet
2.89
BetVictor
2.88
Betano
2.87
10Bet
2.85
Under
1xBet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.38
Wisla Krakow over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
19.6%
@ 5.49+2.7%
Under
80.4%
@ 1.12-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.65
Betano
5.50
1xBet
4.80
Under
1xBet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Wieczysta Kraków over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
87.9%
@ 1.30+16.2%
Under
12.1%
@ 3.28-16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.62
BetVictor
3.40
Betano
3.35
Marathonbet
3.26
10Bet
3.25
Wieczysta Kraków over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
62.3%
@ 2.42+23.9%
Under
37.7%
@ 1.51-23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.47
10Bet
2.40
Superbet
2.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.56
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
BetVictor
1.53
Superbet
1.51
Wieczysta Kraków over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
35.3%
@ 5.52+18.4%
Under
64.7%
@ 1.12-18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Superbet
5.40
Marathonbet
5.35
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
Wieczysta Kraków over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
16.3%
@ 13.92+9.4%
Under
83.7%
@ 1.02-9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Wisla Krakow, so a minus line means Wisla Krakow give that many goals of a start and Wieczysta Kraków receive them. At -1, Wisla Krakow must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Wisla Krakow win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Wisla Krakow)Actual: Draw
Wisla Krakow -2
12.7%
@ 5.39-3.8%
Draw -2
12.7%
@ 5.01-5.1%
Wieczysta Kraków +2
74.6%
@ 1.36+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.45
Marathonbet
5.40
Unibet
5.10
Draw
Marathonbet
5.25
Superbet
5.10
10Bet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.70
Away
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.37
Superbet
1.35
10Bet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.31
Handicap -1 (Wisla Krakow)Actual: Wisla Krakow
Wisla Krakow -1
25.4%
@ 2.90-5.2%
Draw -1
17.3%
@ 3.78-6.2%
Wieczysta Kraków +1
57.3%
@ 1.93+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Marathonbet
2.92
Superbet
2.92
Bet365
2.88
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.85
10Bet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Away
Unibet
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Betfair
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Handicap +1 (Wisla Krakow)Actual: Wisla Krakow
Wisla Krakow +1
63.5%
@ 1.24-8.6%
Draw +1
16.0%
@ 5.56-0.1%
Wieczysta Kraków -1
20.5%
@ 7.57+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Unibet
5.60
Superbet
5.55
Marathonbet
5.40
10Bet
5.25
Away
Bet365
8.50
Unibet
8.00
10Bet
7.50
Superbet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.85
Handicap +2 (Wisla Krakow)Actual: Wisla Krakow
Wisla Krakow +2
79.5%
@ 1.06-6.7%
Draw +2
10.9%
@ 10.50+2.2%
Wieczysta Kraków -2
9.6%
@ 18.00+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Draw
Bet365
12.00
10Bet
9.00
Away
Bet365
21.00
10Bet
15.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Wisla Krakow
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.53
1.29
0.36
0.62
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.78
0.89
1.00
0.33
0.67
1.17
vs Weaker (21)
1.00
0.38
1.36
0.36
0.60
0.40
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Wieczysta Kraków) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wieczysta Kraków
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.73
0.80
0.80
0.93
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.90
0.76
1.00
0.80
0.82
0.73
vs Weaker (8)
0.88
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Wisla Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
76.2%
@ 1.24+1.4%
Under 0.5
23.8%
@ 3.67-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
Under
Betfair
4.00
William Hil
3.90
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.65
1xBet
3.60
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
40.9%
@ 2.16-2.1%
Under 1.5
59.1%
@ 1.63+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Unibet
2.18
Under
Pinnacle
1.68
William Hil
1.65
BetVictor
1.65
1xBet
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.4%
@ 4.69-3.4%
Under 2.5
83.6%
@ 1.16+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.20
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.65
Marathonbet
4.60
William Hil
4.60
Under
William Hil
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Wisla Krakow over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
52.7%
@ 1.62-4.7%
Under
47.3%
@ 2.18+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.71
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.62
1xBet
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Under
Pinnacle
2.30
10Bet
2.25
Superbet
2.22
Unibet
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Wisla Krakow over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
19.6%
@ 3.90-4.2%
Under
80.4%
@ 1.22+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.05
Betano
4.00
10Bet
3.85
Superbet
3.80
1xBet
3.80
Under
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
Wisla Krakow over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.6%
@ 9.62-4.1%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.03+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Wieczysta Kraków over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
45.6%
@ 2.10+1.3%
Under
54.4%
@ 1.67-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.16
Betano
2.12
Pinnacle
2.12
Superbet
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.72
1xBet
1.69
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Wieczysta Kraków over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.7%
@ 6.58-1.4%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.08+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.70
Superbet
6.50
1xBet
6.50
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Wieczysta Kraków over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.9%
@ 17.00+0.3%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.01-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Wisla Krakow
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.57
0.86
0.64
0.69
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.78
0.89
0.67
0.67
0.83
1.00
vs Weaker (21)
0.76
0.43
0.91
0.64
0.60
0.20
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Wieczysta Kraków) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wieczysta Kraków
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.90
0.80
0.80
1.40
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.24
1.10
0.90
1.00
1.55
1.18
vs Weaker (8)
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Wisla Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.0%
@ 1.13-1.9%
Under 0.5
20.0%
@ 5.13+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.20
10Bet
5.10
1xBet
5.10
Superbet
5.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
49.9%
@ 1.71-4.4%
Under 1.5
50.1%
@ 2.04+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.75
William Hil
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.71
Superbet
1.70
Under
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.08
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
William Hil
2.05
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
25.1%
@ 3.10-4.7%
Under 2.5
74.9%
@ 1.32+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.25
Superbet
3.15
Betano
3.05
Marathonbet
3.04
Under
Betano
1.37
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Wisla Krakow over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
60.0%
@ 1.42-5.6%
Under
40.0%
@ 2.71+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.42
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.41
Under
Betano
2.75
1xBet
2.70
Superbet
2.67
Wisla Krakow over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
32.2%
@ 2.91+0.3%
Under
67.8%
@ 1.36-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.95
Marathonbet
2.93
1xBet
2.90
10Bet
2.90
Betano
2.85
Under
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Superbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Wisla Krakow over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.6%
@ 7.07-0.5%
Under
87.4%
@ 1.06+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Superbet
7.20
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Wieczysta Kraków over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
52.6%
@ 1.75-0.4%
Under
47.4%
@ 1.97+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.75
Betano
1.72
Under
Betano
2.05
1xBet
1.96
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.93
Wieczysta Kraków over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.1%
@ 4.68-4.7%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.15+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.85
Superbet
4.75
10Bet
4.75
1xBet
4.70
Betano
4.35
Under
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Wieczysta Kraków over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.7%
@ 12.50+1.1%
Under
91.3%
@ 1.02-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.4%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
-
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
94.1%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
93.9%
1.14
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.16
Unibet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
+11.8%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
92.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-4.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
91.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
89.7%
1.11
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Unibet
1.10
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
87.9%
1.30
Unibet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.30
+16.2%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 2H goals
87.4%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
-
-
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
87.3%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.9%
1.15
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
84.5%
1.03
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-8.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
83.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-9.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
83.6%
1.16
William Hil
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
81.3%
1.48
Unibet
1.52
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Superbet
1.49
+18.3%
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
80.4%
1.22
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
80.4%
1.12
1xBet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
-
-2.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.0%
1.13
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
-1.9%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
79.5%
1.06
10Bet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-6.7%
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
79.4%
1.47
Betfair
1.50
Unibet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.48
+16.5%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
79.2%
1.22
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
78.9%
1.34
Superbet
1.34
-
-
-
-
+11.1%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
76.2%
1.24
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
+1.4%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
74.9%
1.32
Betano
1.37
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
74.6%
1.36
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.37
Superbet
1.35
10Bet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.31
+8.9%
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
74.4%
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Unibet
1.17
-
-
-
-1.3%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
72.2%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Pinnacle
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
-14.1%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Wisla Krakow
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jordi Sánchez83%
Marko Božić33%
Elie Youan20%
Ángel Rodado17%
Julius Ertlthaler0%
Frederico Duarte0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
Alan Uryga0%
James Igbekeme0%
Raoul Giger0%
Rafał Mikulec0%
Maxence Maisonneuve0%
Kacper Duda0%
Marcel Łubik0%
Jakub Krzyżanowski0%
Maciej Kuziemka0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Maxence Maisonneuve60%
Alan Uryga33%
Kacper Duda33%
Julius Ertlthaler17%
Jordi Sánchez17%
Marko Božić17%
Elie Youan0%
Frederico Duarte0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
James Igbekeme0%
Raoul Giger0%
Rafał Mikulec0%
Ángel Rodado0%
Marcel Łubik0%
Jakub Krzyżanowski0%
Maciej Kuziemka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rafał Mikulec33%
Raoul Giger25%
Maxence Maisonneuve20%
Julius Ertlthaler17%
Alan Uryga17%
Marko Božić17%
Ángel Rodado17%
Elie Youan0%
Frederico Duarte0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
James Igbekeme0%
Jordi Sánchez0%
Kacper Duda0%
Marcel Łubik0%
Jakub Krzyżanowski0%
Maciej Kuziemka0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jordi Sánchez50%
Marko Božić33%
Ángel Rodado33%
Julius Ertlthaler0%
Elie Youan0%
Frederico Duarte0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
Alan Uryga0%
James Igbekeme0%
Raoul Giger0%
Rafał Mikulec0%
Maxence Maisonneuve0%
Kacper Duda0%
Marcel Łubik0%
Jakub Krzyżanowski0%
Maciej Kuziemka0%
Wieczysta Kraków
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lucas Piazón25%
Lisandro Semedo25%
Antonio Milić0%
Kamil Dankowski0%
Karol Fila0%
Petar Pušić0%
Tobias Christensen0%
Mikkel Maigaard0%
Matúš Vojtko0%
Christopher Lungoyi0%
Miguel Villar Miki0%
Ben Lederman0%
Antoni Mikułko0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ben Lederman33%
Lucas Piazón25%
Tobias Christensen25%
Mikkel Maigaard25%
Miguel Villar Miki25%
Antonio Milić0%
Lisandro Semedo0%
Kamil Dankowski0%
Karol Fila0%
Petar Pušić0%
Matúš Vojtko0%
Christopher Lungoyi0%
Antoni Mikułko0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kamil Dankowski33%
Miguel Villar Miki25%
Antonio Milić0%
Lucas Piazón0%
Lisandro Semedo0%
Karol Fila0%
Petar Pušić0%
Tobias Christensen0%
Mikkel Maigaard0%
Matúš Vojtko0%
Christopher Lungoyi0%
Ben Lederman0%
Antoni Mikułko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tobias Christensen25%
Antonio Milić0%
Lucas Piazón0%
Lisandro Semedo0%
Kamil Dankowski0%
Karol Fila0%
Petar Pušić0%
Mikkel Maigaard0%
Matúš Vojtko0%
Christopher Lungoyi0%
Miguel Villar Miki0%
Ben Lederman0%
Antoni Mikułko0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (25)
€58m
WŁ (29)
€43m
RC (27)
€33m
JAG (26)
€30m
GZ (27)
€29m
CK (26)
€21m
LW (25)
€20m
PS (27)
€20m
ZL (28)
€19m
ML (20)
€19m
KK (23)
€16m
WK (24)
€13m
GK (26)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
WK (22)
€12m
RR (25)
€11m
PG (22)
€9m
SW (22)
€7m
Wisla Krakow's squad is €2m more valuable than Wieczysta Kraków's (€13m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WŁ (13)
€21m
LP (10)
€21m
GZ (13)
€17m
JAG (11)
€12m
CK (12)
€11m
ZL (11)
€10m
LW (12)
€10m
ML (10)
€10m
RC (9)
€9m
PS (13)
€8m
WK (8)
€6m
WK (8)
€5m
RR (9)
€4m
PG (11)
€4m
WP (7)
€4m
KK (7)
€3m
GK (7)
€3m
SW (5)
€2m
Wisla Krakow and Wieczysta Kraków have a similar attack value (both €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (12)
€14m
LP (3)
€9m
KK (8)
€7m
WŁ (5)
€7m
GZ (4)
€6m
GK (10)
€6m
LW (7)
€4m
ZL (4)
€4m
JAG (5)
€3m
SW (9)
€3m
PS (5)
€3m
WP (9)
€3m
ML (2)
€2m
CK (4)
€2m
WK (4)
€2m
WK (3)
€1m
RR (4)
€1m
PG (1)
€0m
Wisla Krakow and Wieczysta Kraków have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (12)
€28m
JAG (10)
€15m
WŁ (11)
€15m
RC (6)
€9m
PS (9)
€9m
CK (10)
€8m
ML (8)
€6m
GZ (10)
€6m
WP (9)
€6m
LW (6)
€6m
RR (12)
€6m
KK (8)
€5m
WK (12)
€5m
ZL (13)
€5m
WK (11)
€5m
GK (9)
€4m
PG (10)
€4m
SW (8)
€2m
Wisla Krakow and Wieczysta Kraków have a similar defence value (both €5m).
Poland: Ekstraklasa 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: Ekstraklasa stats & trends →
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Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
Gornik Zabrze
GKS Katowice
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
Piast Gliwice
Radomiak Radom
Widzew Łódź
Slask Wroclaw
Motor Lublin
Wisla Plock
Raków Częstochowa