Zaglebie Lubin vs Raków Częstochowa Result & Analysis

The model favours an away win for Raków Czestochowa, with a 43% chance versus 29% for a Zaglebie Lubin victory and 28% for a draw. The expected total goals sit at 2.8, but the most probable total is two goals, with the single most likely scoreline 1-1 at 13.1%. Zaglebie, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded, while Raków, on the road against a weaker side, nets 2.0 goals and concedes 1.44. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 86.4%, Over 2.5 cards at 85.6%, Under 11.5 corners at 80.7%, Over 1.5 at 77.4% (miss), Over 21.5 fouls at 74.9%, Under 10.5 corners at 71.1%, Over 3.5 cards at 70.4%, Under 3.5 at 70.1%. These picks reflect the anticipated intensity and defensive frailties in the encounter.

In a quiet Ekstraklasa fixture, the pre-match favourite - an away win for Raków Czestochowa with a 43% chance - fell short, as the match finished 0-0, a draw that left the model’s call incorrect. The game saw the home side, Zaglebie Lubin, come off a draw and the away side a defeat, yet neither side could break the deadlock. The model’s other selections largely hit: over 19.5 fouls (86.4%), over 2.5 cards (85.6%), under 11.5 corners (80.7%), over 21.5 fouls (74.9%), under 10.5 corners (71.1%), over 3.5 cards (70.4%) and under 3.5 (70.1%). Only the over 1.5 goals pick (77.4%) missed. The final score of 0-0 matched the most likely 1-1 outcome, but the match itself was a defensive stalemate.