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AC Milan vs AS Roma Result & Analysis

Date: 14/01/2024
Time: 19:45
Final 3-1
AC Milan
AC Milan
Vs
56%
28%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AS Roma
AS Roma
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AC Milan win✓ Hit
55.8%
Avg Implied 44.2% · @ 2.16
Edge
+11.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied 29.5% · @ 3.24
Edge
-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AS Roma win✗ Miss
16.6%
Avg Implied 26.3% · @ 3.63
Edge
-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D10W13L31W23L21W30W22D10W30WA·LEC11/11H·FIO25/11H·BOR28/11H·FRO02/12A·ATA09/12A·NEW13/12H·MON17/12A·SAL22/12H·SAS30/12A·EMP07/01
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.101.860.711.441.44
vs Stronger (2)1.002.002.001.000.003.00
vs Similar (13)1.081.310.800.801.251.62
vs Weaker (15)2.200.802.500.621.861.00
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AS RomaAS Roma

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D31W11D21W11D30W02L20W01L11DA·LAZ12/11H·UDI26/11A·SER30/11A·SAS03/12H·FIO10/12H·SHE14/12A·BOL17/12H·NAP23/12A·JUV30/12H·ATA07/01
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.032.330.730.931.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.730.911.400.800.171.00
vs Weaker (19)2.161.112.800.701.441.56
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.7%
Under 1.5
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.1%
@ 2.19-2.4%
Under 2.5
58.9%
@ 1.69+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
20.6%
Under 3.5
79.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.1%
No
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
12.1%
0-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
6.3%
0-1
6.2%
3-1 ✓
4.8%
AC Milan goals ↓
AS Roma goals →
01234
011%6.2%2.8%0.7%0.1%
114%13%4.4%1.1%0.2%
212%9.1%3.4%0.9%0.2%
36.3%4.8%1.8%0.5%0.1%
42.5%1.9%0.7%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AC Milan goals (down), columns = AS Roma goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter
2.47
AC Milan
1.97
Juventus
1.87
Atalanta
1.82
Bologna
1.79
AS Roma
1.66
Lazio
1.61
Fiorentina
1.58
Napoli
1.39
Torino
1.39
Genoa
1.29
Monza
1.18
Lecce
1.00
Hellas Verona
1.00
Udinese
0.97
Cagliari
0.95
Empoli
0.95
Frosinone
0.92
Sassuolo
0.79
Salernitana
0.45
AC Milan is 0.32 points better than AS Roma in terms of average points per game (1.97 vs 1.66).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter
2.34
AC Milan
2.00
Atalanta
1.89
AS Roma
1.71
Fiorentina
1.61
Napoli
1.45
Bologna
1.42
Juventus
1.42
Lazio
1.29
Genoa
1.18
Frosinone
1.16
Sassuolo
1.13
Cagliari
1.11
Monza
1.03
Hellas Verona
1.00
Udinese
0.97
Torino
0.95
Salernitana
0.84
Lecce
0.84
Empoli
0.76
AC Milan is 0.29 goals better than AS Roma in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.71).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Inter
0.58
Juventus
0.82
Bologna
0.84
Torino
0.95
Lazio
1.03
Atalanta
1.11
Genoa
1.18
Fiorentina
1.21
AS Roma
1.21
Napoli
1.26
AC Milan
1.29
Monza
1.34
Hellas Verona
1.34
Udinese
1.39
Lecce
1.42
Empoli
1.42
Cagliari
1.79
Frosinone
1.82
Sassuolo
1.97
Salernitana
2.13
AC Milan is 0.08 goals worse than AS Roma in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.21).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Napoli
61%
Bologna
58%
Fiorentina
58%
Inter
57%
AC Milan
57%
AS Roma
55%
Monza
54%
Lazio
53%
Torino
52%
Atalanta
51%
Frosinone
50%
Juventus
48%
Lecce
45%
Hellas Verona
44%
Salernitana
44%
Genoa
44%
Empoli
44%
Sassuolo
44%
Cagliari
42%
Udinese
39%
AC Milan is 2.3 percentage points better than AS Roma in terms of average possession (57% vs 55%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AC MilanAC Milan

For 4.9 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.4

🚩 Corners

140666566453546671013111312111298101311144A·EMPH·SASA·SALH·MONA·NEWA·ATAH·FROH·BORH·FIOA·LEC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

110211141252611111127431537722311A·EMPH·SASA·SALH·MONA·NEWA·ATAH·FROH·BORH·FIOA·LEC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 10.2 · Total 21.3

⚠️ Fouls

3101398711168814171111116106910161222152716312217161928A·EMPH·SASA·SALH·MONA·NEWA·ATAH·FROH·BORH·FIOA·LEC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AS RomaAS Roma

For 4.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 7.0

🚩 Corners

1206522446216111347114114448712785H·ATAA·JUVH·NAPA·BOLH·SHEH·FIOA·SASA·SERH·UDIA·LAZ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 3.7 · Total 6.7

🟨 Cards

13016117644127415331343721383116647H·ATAA·JUVH·NAPA·BOLH·SHEH·FIOA·SASA·SERH·UDIA·LAZ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 13.4 · Total 27.7

⚠️ Fouls

3601414141519121616159141411101917815131228293132242821362325H·ATAA·JUVH·NAPA·BOLH·SHEH·FIOA·SASA·SERH·UDIA·LAZ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AC MilanAC Milan

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.79.33.22.63.924.523.025.8
vs Stronger (2)12.511.014.06.06.06.023.018.028.0
vs Similar (24)9.69.89.43.83.83.926.625.128.0
vs Weaker (24)8.99.58.32.41.43.721.621.022.2
% over line48%53%44%46%32%60%71%53%88%
% under line52%47%56%54%68%40%29%47%12%
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AS RomaAS Roma

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.28.57.94.13.94.225.925.726.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (23)7.57.67.54.85.63.926.227.125.1
vs Weaker (27)8.99.58.33.42.54.525.524.126.8
% over line32%35%29%54%50%58%79%82%76%
% under line68%65%71%46%50%42%21%18%24%
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Salernitana
10.8
Empoli
10.7
Udinese
10.6
Sassuolo
10.6
Napoli
10.4
Monza
10.3
Frosinone
10.1
Juventus
10.0
Atalanta
9.8
Cagliari
9.6
Inter
9.6
Hellas Verona
9.4
AC Milan
9.2
Lecce
9.1
Lazio
9.1
Bologna
9.0
Fiorentina
8.9
AS Roma
8.8
Genoa
8.6
Torino
8.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
AS Roma
5.9
Lecce
5.7
Lazio
5.5
Udinese
5.3
Frosinone
5.3
Monza
5.3
Salernitana
5.2
Bologna
5.1
Fiorentina
5.0
Napoli
5.0
Hellas Verona
5.0
Genoa
4.9
Torino
4.9
AC Milan
4.8
Sassuolo
4.6
Cagliari
4.6
Juventus
4.5
Empoli
4.5
Atalanta
4.4
Inter
3.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Lecce
30.7
Monza
27.8
Udinese
27.1
Frosinone
27.1
Torino
26.9
Cagliari
26.7
Salernitana
26.6
Genoa
26.6
Empoli
26.6
Hellas Verona
26.6
Fiorentina
26.4
AS Roma
26.1
Bologna
25.3
Juventus
24.9
Atalanta
24.6
AC Milan
24.4
Lazio
24.4
Napoli
24.4
Sassuolo
23.9
Inter
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
42.7%
Under 9.5
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
73.4%
Under 3.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
72.2%
Under 21.5
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AC MilanAC Milan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W11D10W11D01L20W11D00D20WA·LEC11/11H·FIO25/11H·BOR28/11H·FRO02/12A·ATA09/12A·NEW13/12H·MON17/12A·SAL22/12H·SAS30/12A·EMP07/01
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.371.000.290.880.44
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (13)0.540.380.400.200.620.50
vs Weaker (15)1.330.271.380.251.290.29
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AS RomaAS Roma

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W10W01L10W20W01L00D00D11DA·LAZ12/11H·UDI26/11A·SER30/11A·SAS03/12H·FIO10/12H·SHE14/12A·BOL17/12H·NAP23/12A·JUV30/12H·ATA07/01
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.370.930.330.470.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.450.180.800.400.170.00
vs Weaker (19)0.840.471.000.300.670.67
Clean sheet %70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AC MilanAC Milan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D02L21W12L20W10W11D10W10WA·LEC11/11H·FIO25/11H·BOR28/11H·FRO02/12A·ATA09/12A·NEW13/12H·MON17/12A·SAL22/12H·SAS30/12A·EMP07/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.730.860.430.561.00
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (13)0.540.920.400.600.621.12
vs Weaker (15)0.870.531.120.380.570.71
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AS RomaAS Roma

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W01L20W01L10W01L20W01L00DA·LAZ12/11H·UDI26/11A·SER30/11A·SAS03/12H·FIO10/12H·SHE14/12A·BOL17/12H·NAP23/12A·JUV30/12H·ATA07/01
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.671.400.400.470.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.270.730.600.400.001.00
vs Weaker (19)1.320.631.800.400.780.89
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards87.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls84.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.579.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners79.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards73.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls72.2%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

AC Milan
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chaka Traorè33%
Olivier Giroud33%
Christian Pulišić29%
Rafael Leão29%
Luka Jović25%
Jan-Carlo Simić25%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek21%
Noah Okafor17%
Matteo Gabbia12%
Fikayo Tomori11%
Theo Hernández11%
Samuel Chukwueze9%
Tijjani Reijnders8%
Ismaël Bennacer8%
Yacine Adli3%
Alessandro Florenzi3%
Davide Calabria3%
Simon Kjær0%
Mike Maignan0%
Rade Krunić0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Tommaso Pobega0%
Yunus Musah0%
Pierre Kalulu0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Luka Romero0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Álex Jiménez0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Kevin Zeroli0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rade Krunić36%
Álex Jiménez33%
Fikayo Tomori31%
Matteo Gabbia29%
Theo Hernández27%
Luka Romero25%
Yunus Musah23%
Alessandro Florenzi21%
Malick Thiaw20%
Filippo Terracciano20%
Tijjani Reijnders19%
Davide Calabria18%
Yacine Adli16%
Rafael Leão16%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek15%
Luka Jović14%
Pierre Kalulu9%
Ismaël Bennacer8%
Mike Maignan7%
Christian Pulišić6%
Olivier Giroud4%
Simon Kjær4%
Samuel Chukwueze3%
Noah Okafor3%
Marco Sportiello0%
Tommaso Pobega0%
Chaka Traorè0%
Jan-Carlo Simić0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Kevin Zeroli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rafael Leão24%
Olivier Giroud20%
Christian Pulišić19%
Theo Hernández18%
Alessandro Florenzi15%
Davide Calabria10%
Samuel Chukwueze9%
Noah Okafor8%
Ismaël Bennacer8%
Tijjani Reijnders6%
Yunus Musah5%
Simon Kjær4%
Matteo Gabbia4%
Luka Jović4%
Malick Thiaw3%
Yacine Adli3%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek3%
Mike Maignan2%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Rade Krunić0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Tommaso Pobega0%
Pierre Kalulu0%
Luka Romero0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Chaka Traorè0%
Álex Jiménez0%
Jan-Carlo Simić0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Kevin Zeroli0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Olivier Giroud35%
Rafael Leão20%
Alessandro Florenzi13%
Theo Hernández11%
Christian Pulišić8%
Noah Okafor6%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek5%
Luka Jović4%
Tijjani Reijnders2%
Yacine Adli0%
Davide Calabria0%
Samuel Chukwueze0%
Simon Kjær0%
Ismaël Bennacer0%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Rade Krunić0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Tommaso Pobega0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Yunus Musah0%
Pierre Kalulu0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Luka Romero0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Chaka Traorè0%
Álex Jiménez0%
Jan-Carlo Simić0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Kevin Zeroli0%
AS Roma
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Romelu Lukaku42%
Paulo Dybala30%
Lorenzo Pellegrini26%
Andrea Belotti20%
Houssem Aouar16%
Dean Huijsen15%
Gianluca Mancini15%
Sardar Azmoun11%
Leandro Paredes9%
Renato Sanches8%
Tammy Abraham8%
Bryan Cristante8%
Stephan El Shaarawy7%
Rasmus Kristensen3%
Leonardo Spinazzola3%
Diego Llorente2%
Edoardo Bove2%
Angeliño0%
Mile Svilar0%
Rick Karsdorp0%
Chris Smalling0%
Evan Ndicka0%
Rui Patrício0%
Zeki Çelik0%
Nicola Zalewski0%
Tommaso Baldanzi0%
Riccardo Pagano0%
João Costa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Leandro Paredes38%
Evan Ndicka32%
Dean Huijsen31%
Lorenzo Pellegrini26%
Bryan Cristante24%
Gianluca Mancini23%
João Costa20%
Rasmus Kristensen17%
Renato Sanches17%
Diego Llorente15%
Sardar Azmoun15%
Houssem Aouar12%
Edoardo Bove12%
Romelu Lukaku11%
Tommaso Baldanzi11%
Angeliño10%
Andrea Belotti10%
Nicola Zalewski10%
Leonardo Spinazzola9%
Tammy Abraham8%
Paulo Dybala8%
Rick Karsdorp8%
Zeki Çelik7%
Mile Svilar7%
Stephan El Shaarawy4%
Rui Patrício4%
Chris Smalling0%
Riccardo Pagano0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Paulo Dybala24%
Stephan El Shaarawy13%
Leandro Paredes13%
Romelu Lukaku9%
Leonardo Spinazzola9%
Evan Ndicka9%
Bryan Cristante8%
Rick Karsdorp8%
Lorenzo Pellegrini8%
Nicola Zalewski6%
Angeliño5%
Andrea Belotti5%
Diego Llorente5%
Edoardo Bove5%
Zeki Çelik4%
Rasmus Kristensen3%
Gianluca Mancini2%
Renato Sanches0%
Mile Svilar0%
Houssem Aouar0%
Chris Smalling0%
Sardar Azmoun0%
Rui Patrício0%
Tammy Abraham0%
Tommaso Baldanzi0%
Riccardo Pagano0%
Dean Huijsen0%
João Costa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Romelu Lukaku24%
Paulo Dybala22%
Stephan El Shaarawy7%
Bryan Cristante6%
Lorenzo Pellegrini5%
Andrea Belotti5%
Edoardo Bove5%
Rick Karsdorp4%
Sardar Azmoun4%
Nicola Zalewski3%
Evan Ndicka3%
Gianluca Mancini2%
Angeliño0%
Leandro Paredes0%
Renato Sanches0%
Rasmus Kristensen0%
Mile Svilar0%
Houssem Aouar0%
Leonardo Spinazzola0%
Chris Smalling0%
Rui Patrício0%
Tammy Abraham0%
Zeki Çelik0%
Diego Llorente0%
Tommaso Baldanzi0%
Riccardo Pagano0%
Dean Huijsen0%
João Costa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
SAS (38)
€194m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
CAG (31)
€134m
FRO (33)
€84m
LEC (31)
€72m
MON (29)
€70m
HV (34)
€57m
EMP (27)
€20m
AC Milan's squad is €114m more valuable than AS Roma's (€585m vs €471m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
SAS (12)
€90m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
FRO (8)
€34m
MON (11)
€26m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
EMP (9)
€11m
AC Milan's attack is €85m more valuable than AS Roma's (€223m vs €138m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
SAS (9)
€53m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
CAG (9)
€31m
FRO (11)
€27m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
HV (9)
€14m
EMP (9)
€6m
AC Milan's midfield is €35m more valuable than AS Roma's (€153m vs €118m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
SAS (17)
€52m
CAG (11)
€52m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
FRO (14)
€24m
MON (11)
€20m
EMP (9)
€4m
AC Milan's defence is €6m less valuable than AS Roma's (€209m vs €215m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
AM wins
3
Draws
0
AR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

AC Milan vs AS Roma · H/A from AM
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/23AAS Roma Vs AM1-2
29/04/23AAS Roma Vs AM1-1
08/01/23HAM Vs AS Roma2-2
06/01/22HAM Vs AS Roma3-1
31/10/21AAS Roma Vs AM1-2
28/02/21AAS Roma Vs AM1-2
26/10/20HAM Vs AS Roma3-3
28/06/20HAM Vs AS Roma2-0

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/01/24AEmpoli Vs AM0-3
30/12/23HAM Vs Sassuolo1-0
22/12/23ASalernitana Vs AM2-2
17/12/23HAM Vs Monza3-0
13/12/23ANewcastle Vs AM1-2
09/12/23AAtalanta Vs AM3-2
02/12/23HAM Vs Frosinone3-1
28/11/23HAM Vs Borussia Dortmund1-3
25/11/23HAM Vs Fiorentina1-0
11/11/23ALecce Vs AM2-2

AS RomaAS Roma

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/01/24HAR Vs Atalanta1-1
30/12/23AJuventus Vs AR1-0
23/12/23HAR Vs Napoli2-0
17/12/23ABologna Vs AR2-0
14/12/23HAR Vs Sheriff Tiraspol3-0
10/12/23HAR Vs Fiorentina1-1
03/12/23ASassuolo Vs AR1-2
30/11/23AServette FC Vs AR1-1
26/11/23HAR Vs Udinese3-1
12/11/23ALazio Vs AR0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW1.74
HomeWLWWW2.08
AwayDLWDW1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%64%36%
AVG goals2.462.322.60
Over 1.5 %66%60%72%
Over 2.5 %42%32%52%
Over 3.5 %28%24%32%
Scored1.441.561.32
Conceded1.020.761.28
BTTS44%36%52%
Clean Sheet42%52%32%
Corners9.529.739.31
Cards5.194.276.06
AS Roma
AS Roma
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLD1.58
HomeWDWWD2.27
AwayDDWLL0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%69%17%
AVG goals2.402.811.96
Over 1.5 %72%85%58%
Over 2.5 %42%50%33%
Over 3.5 %18%23%12%
Scored1.442.080.75
Conceded0.960.731.21
BTTS46%42%50%
Clean Sheet38%54%21%
Corners8.218.477.94
Cards5.976.005.94

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1InterInter3894
76%
2.5
8922+67
2.9
84%
55%
34%
9.8
47%
3.4
41%
22.1
58%
694
2202322422.30.6
57%
2AC MilanAC Milan3875
58%
2.0
7649+27
3.3
74%
66%
50%
9.0
39%
4.9
66%
22.6
50%
585
2231532092.01.3
57%
3JuventusJuventus3871
50%
1.9
5431+23
2.2
63%
39%
18%
9.6
53%
4.3
59%
23.1
63%
569
2401401891.40.8
48%
4AtalantaAtalanta3869
55%
1.8
7242+30
3.0
89%
66%
29%
9.4
42%
4.0
56%
23.2
63%
438
1581281531.91.1
51%
5BolognaBologna3868
47%
1.8
5432+22
2.3
74%
42%
16%
8.7
34%
5.5
82%
25.3
74%
218
10434791.40.8
58%
6AS RomaAS Roma3863
47%
1.7
6546+19
2.9
79%
61%
34%
8.8
42%
5.2
71%
24.0
66%
471
1381182151.71.2
55%
7LazioLazio3861
47%
1.6
4939+10
2.3
68%
39%
21%
9.8
39%
5.4
79%
24.5
71%
240
6086931.31.0
53%
8FiorentinaFiorentina3860
45%
1.6
6146+15
2.8
74%
53%
34%
8.3
32%
4.3
63%
24.7
76%
330
125107981.61.2
58%
9NapoliNapoli3853
34%
1.4
5548+7
2.7
79%
55%
32%
9.8
58%
4.7
69%
22.6
66%
459
2061011521.41.3
61%
10TorinoTorino3853
34%
1.4
3636+0
1.9
63%
32%
11%
8.4
42%
4.3
68%
23.8
66%
144
4346540.90.9
52%
11GenoaGenoa3849
32%
1.3
4545+0
2.4
68%
42%
18%
9.1
45%
4.7
68%
23.7
74%
182
5444841.21.2
44%
12MonzaMonza3845
29%
1.2
3951-12
2.4
66%
39%
21%
9.5
50%
4.6
62%
23.4
53%
70
2624201.01.3
54%
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3838
24%
1.0
3851-13
2.3
63%
50%
24%
9.4
45%
4.7
76%
26.8
76%
57
1314301.01.3
44%
14LecceLecce3838
21%
1.0
3254-22
2.3
74%
37%
18%
9.5
47%
5.1
70%
26.6
87%
72
2016370.81.4
45%
15UdineseUdinese3837
16%
1.0
3753-16
2.4
79%
37%
21%
10.7
68%
5.0
70%
24.8
79%
157
4639721.01.4
39%
16EmpoliEmpoli3836
24%
0.9
2954-25
2.2
63%
32%
13%
10.8
68%
4.3
71%
27.7
89%
20
11640.81.4
44%
17CagliariCagliari3836
21%
0.9
4268-26
2.9
84%
58%
32%
10.3
53%
4.5
58%
23.8
66%
134
5131521.11.8
42%
18FrosinoneFrosinone3835
21%
0.9
4469-25
3.0
79%
61%
37%
10.3
66%
4.2
70%
22.9
63%
84
3427241.21.8
50%
19SassuoloSassuolo3830
18%
0.8
4375-32
3.1
79%
55%
32%
10.7
66%
4.1
65%
21.3
39%
194
9053521.12.0
44%
20SalernitanaSalernitana3817
5%
0.4
3281-49
3.0
87%
66%
32%
10.9
68%
4.6
63%
24.9
84%
0
0000.82.1
44%
Italy: Serie A 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches