PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

AC Milan vs Atalanta Result & Analysis

Date: 25/02/2024
Time: 19:45
Final 1-1
AC Milan
AC Milan
Vs
44%
29%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Atalanta
Atalanta
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AC Milan win✗ Miss
44.5%
Avg Implied 40.4% · @ 2.36
Edge
+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.7%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.50
Edge
+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Atalanta win✗ Miss
26.9%
Avg Implied 32.3% · @ 2.95
Edge
-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W30W31W32W22D32W10W30W24L23LH·SAS30/12A·EMP07/01H·AS 14/01A·UDI20/01H·BOL27/01A·FRO03/02H·NAP11/02H·REN15/02A·MON18/02A·REN22/02
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.331.530.671.872.00
vs Stronger (2)1.002.002.001.000.003.00
vs Similar (14)1.431.361.380.621.502.33
vs Weaker (14)2.071.211.670.672.381.62
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Atalanta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AtalantaAtalanta

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-540W41W01L10W11D50W20W31W41W30WA·RAK14/12H·SAL18/12A·BOL23/12H·LEC30/12A·AS 07/01H·FRO15/01H·UDI27/01H·LAZ04/02A·GEN11/02H·SAS17/02
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.970.902.120.561.791.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.581.501.431.141.802.00
vs Weaker (18)2.220.502.670.111.780.89
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%222%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.4%
Under 1.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.7%
@ 1.77-7.2%
Under 2.5
53.3%
@ 2.07+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.2%
Under 3.5
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.0%
No
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.7%
1-0
10.2%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.4%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
4.9%
AC Milan goals ↓
Atalanta goals →
01234
09.1%7.3%4.6%1.7%0.5%
110%14%6.7%2.4%0.7%
28.4%9.1%4.9%1.8%0.5%
34.1%4.4%2.4%0.9%0.2%
41.5%1.6%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AC Milan goals (down), columns = Atalanta goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter
2.47
AC Milan
1.97
Juventus
1.87
Atalanta
1.82
Bologna
1.79
AS Roma
1.66
Lazio
1.61
Fiorentina
1.58
Napoli
1.39
Torino
1.39
Genoa
1.29
Monza
1.18
Lecce
1.00
Hellas Verona
1.00
Udinese
0.97
Cagliari
0.95
Empoli
0.95
Frosinone
0.92
Sassuolo
0.79
Salernitana
0.45
AC Milan is 0.16 points better than Atalanta in terms of average points per game (1.97 vs 1.82).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter
2.34
AC Milan
2.00
Atalanta
1.89
AS Roma
1.71
Fiorentina
1.61
Napoli
1.45
Bologna
1.42
Juventus
1.42
Lazio
1.29
Genoa
1.18
Frosinone
1.16
Sassuolo
1.13
Cagliari
1.11
Monza
1.03
Hellas Verona
1.00
Udinese
0.97
Torino
0.95
Salernitana
0.84
Lecce
0.84
Empoli
0.76
AC Milan is 0.11 goals better than Atalanta in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.89).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Inter
0.58
Juventus
0.82
Bologna
0.84
Torino
0.95
Lazio
1.03
Atalanta
1.11
Genoa
1.18
Fiorentina
1.21
AS Roma
1.21
Napoli
1.26
AC Milan
1.29
Monza
1.34
Hellas Verona
1.34
Udinese
1.39
Lecce
1.42
Empoli
1.42
Cagliari
1.79
Frosinone
1.82
Sassuolo
1.97
Salernitana
2.13
AC Milan is 0.18 goals worse than Atalanta in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.11).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Napoli
61%
Bologna
58%
Fiorentina
58%
Inter
57%
AC Milan
57%
AS Roma
55%
Monza
54%
Lazio
53%
Torino
52%
Atalanta
51%
Frosinone
50%
Juventus
48%
Lecce
45%
Hellas Verona
44%
Salernitana
44%
Genoa
44%
Empoli
44%
Sassuolo
44%
Cagliari
42%
Udinese
39%
AC Milan is 5.8 percentage points better than Atalanta in terms of average possession (57% vs 51%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AC MilanAC Milan

For 4.3 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.8

🚩 Corners

1202103782124241752566651210103651271211A·RENA·MONH·RENH·NAPA·FROH·BOLA·UDIH·AS A·EMPH·SAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

802124111315316232113612487531A·RENA·MONH·RENH·NAPA·FROH·BOLA·UDIH·AS A·EMPH·SAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 10.3 · Total 21.1

⚠️ Fouls

2801012101189912131016129121291398722211721232821212215A·RENA·MONH·RENH·NAPA·FROH·BOLA·UDIH·AS A·EMPH·SAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AtalantaAtalanta

For 6.4 · Against 4.7 · Total 11.1

🚩 Corners

170115476144825656531076616117810111181712H·SASA·GENH·LAZH·UDIH·FROA·AS H·LECA·BOLH·SALA·RAK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

7043232116122421221167531746337A·GENH·LAZH·UDIH·FROA·AS H·LECA·BOLH·SALA·RAKH·AC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 11.1 · Total 22.9

⚠️ Fouls

2801091381314811118141410161410911161019212719192826242026H·SASA·GENH·LAZH·UDIH·FROA·AS H·LECA·BOLH·SALA·RAK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AC MilanAC Milan

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.38.99.63.73.04.423.622.324.7
vs Stronger (2)12.511.014.06.06.06.023.018.028.0
vs Similar (23)9.48.710.14.03.84.224.923.027.1
vs Weaker (25)8.88.98.73.32.24.522.022.022.0
% over line49%44%53%52%36%68%62%44%79%
% under line51%56%47%48%64%32%38%56%21%
This opponent (Atalanta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AtalantaAtalanta

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.110.12.42.22.623.322.324.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (20)8.87.610.42.93.82.223.924.323.4
vs Weaker (30)11.112.110.02.11.42.922.820.824.9
% over line60%56%64%32%27%38%63%50%79%
% under line40%44%36%68%73%62%37%50%21%
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Salernitana
11.1
Sassuolo
10.7
Udinese
10.7
Empoli
10.6
Napoli
10.4
Frosinone
10.0
Monza
10.0
Atalanta
9.8
Juventus
9.8
Cagliari
9.8
Inter
9.7
Hellas Verona
9.6
Lecce
9.0
Lazio
9.0
Genoa
8.9
AC Milan
8.9
Torino
8.9
Bologna
8.8
AS Roma
8.7
Fiorentina
8.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lecce
5.7
AS Roma
5.7
Lazio
5.4
Udinese
5.2
Salernitana
5.1
Frosinone
5.1
Bologna
5.1
Monza
5.0
Fiorentina
5.0
AC Milan
4.9
Genoa
4.9
Napoli
4.9
Torino
4.8
Hellas Verona
4.8
Cagliari
4.7
Juventus
4.6
Empoli
4.5
Sassuolo
4.5
Atalanta
4.4
Inter
3.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Lecce
29.7
Frosinone
26.8
Monza
26.6
Udinese
26.5
Hellas Verona
26.4
Empoli
26.3
Cagliari
26.3
Salernitana
26.1
Genoa
26.0
Fiorentina
25.8
Torino
25.8
AS Roma
25.4
Bologna
25.1
AC Milan
24.0
Atalanta
24.0
Juventus
23.9
Napoli
23.9
Lazio
23.4
Sassuolo
23.1
Inter
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
48.7%
Under 9.5
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
66.2%
Under 3.5
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
63.0%
Under 21.5
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AC MilanAC Milan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W10W11D11D11D10W10W02L11DH·SAS30/12A·EMP07/01H·AS 14/01A·UDI20/01H·BOL27/01A·FRO03/02H·NAP11/02H·REN15/02A·MON18/02A·REN22/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.500.730.200.870.80
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (14)0.640.430.620.120.670.83
vs Weaker (14)1.000.500.830.171.120.75
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Atalanta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AtalantaAtalanta

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L00D00D11D30W20W20W10W10WA·RAK14/12H·SAL18/12A·BOL23/12H·LEC30/12A·AS 07/01H·FRO15/01H·UDI27/01H·LAZ04/02A·GEN11/02H·SAS17/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.470.810.250.930.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.920.750.570.431.401.20
vs Weaker (18)0.830.281.000.110.670.44
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AC MilanAC Milan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W21W21W11D21W00D20W22D12LH·SAS30/12A·EMP07/01H·AS 14/01A·UDI20/01H·BOL27/01A·FRO03/02H·NAP11/02H·REN15/02A·MON18/02A·REN22/02
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.830.800.471.001.20
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (14)0.790.930.750.500.831.50
vs Weaker (14)1.070.710.830.501.250.88
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Atalanta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AtalantaAtalanta

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W40W01L10W00D20W00D11D31W20WA·RAK14/12H·SAL18/12A·BOL23/12H·LEC30/12A·AS 07/01H·FRO15/01H·UDI27/01H·LAZ04/02A·GEN11/02H·SAS17/02
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.431.310.310.860.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.670.750.860.710.400.80
vs Weaker (18)1.390.221.670.001.110.44
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards82.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls77.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners74.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

AC Milan
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chaka Traorè33%
Olivier Giroud33%
Christian Pulišić29%
Rafael Leão29%
Luka Jović25%
Jan-Carlo Simić25%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek21%
Noah Okafor17%
Matteo Gabbia12%
Fikayo Tomori11%
Theo Hernández11%
Samuel Chukwueze9%
Tijjani Reijnders8%
Ismaël Bennacer8%
Yacine Adli3%
Alessandro Florenzi3%
Davide Calabria3%
Simon Kjær0%
Mike Maignan0%
Rade Krunić0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Tommaso Pobega0%
Yunus Musah0%
Pierre Kalulu0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Luka Romero0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Álex Jiménez0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Kevin Zeroli0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rade Krunić36%
Álex Jiménez33%
Fikayo Tomori31%
Matteo Gabbia29%
Theo Hernández27%
Luka Romero25%
Yunus Musah23%
Alessandro Florenzi21%
Malick Thiaw20%
Filippo Terracciano20%
Tijjani Reijnders19%
Davide Calabria18%
Yacine Adli16%
Rafael Leão16%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek15%
Luka Jović14%
Pierre Kalulu9%
Ismaël Bennacer8%
Mike Maignan7%
Christian Pulišić6%
Olivier Giroud4%
Simon Kjær4%
Samuel Chukwueze3%
Noah Okafor3%
Marco Sportiello0%
Tommaso Pobega0%
Chaka Traorè0%
Jan-Carlo Simić0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Kevin Zeroli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rafael Leão24%
Olivier Giroud20%
Christian Pulišić19%
Theo Hernández18%
Alessandro Florenzi15%
Davide Calabria10%
Samuel Chukwueze9%
Noah Okafor8%
Ismaël Bennacer8%
Tijjani Reijnders6%
Yunus Musah5%
Simon Kjær4%
Matteo Gabbia4%
Luka Jović4%
Malick Thiaw3%
Yacine Adli3%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek3%
Mike Maignan2%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Rade Krunić0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Tommaso Pobega0%
Pierre Kalulu0%
Luka Romero0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Chaka Traorè0%
Álex Jiménez0%
Jan-Carlo Simić0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Kevin Zeroli0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Olivier Giroud35%
Rafael Leão20%
Alessandro Florenzi13%
Theo Hernández11%
Christian Pulišić8%
Noah Okafor6%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek5%
Luka Jović4%
Tijjani Reijnders2%
Yacine Adli0%
Davide Calabria0%
Samuel Chukwueze0%
Simon Kjær0%
Ismaël Bennacer0%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Rade Krunić0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Tommaso Pobega0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Yunus Musah0%
Pierre Kalulu0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Luka Romero0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Chaka Traorè0%
Álex Jiménez0%
Jan-Carlo Simić0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Kevin Zeroli0%
Atalanta
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gianluca Scamacca38%
Giovanni Bonfanti33%
Ademola Lookman31%
Teun Koopmeiners24%
Charles De Ketelaere22%
El Bilal Touré20%
Luis Muriel17%
Nadir Zortea17%
Mario Pašalić16%
Éderson15%
Aleksei Miranchuk8%
Mitchel Bakker5%
Giorgio Scalvini5%
Davide Zappacosta5%
Matteo Ruggeri5%
Emil Holm3%
Sead Kolašinac3%
Berat Djimsiti2%
Juan Musso0%
Marco Carnesecchi0%
Hans Hateboer0%
José Luis Palomino0%
Rafael Tolói0%
Marten de Roon0%
Michel Ndary Adopo0%
Isak Hien0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Giovanni Bonfanti33%
Marten de Roon32%
Isak Hien27%
Rafael Tolói26%
Emil Holm24%
Éderson19%
Davide Zappacosta17%
Hans Hateboer17%
Nadir Zortea17%
Berat Djimsiti16%
Teun Koopmeiners15%
Giorgio Scalvini15%
Ademola Lookman14%
El Bilal Touré13%
Sead Kolašinac13%
Mitchel Bakker11%
Matteo Ruggeri9%
Gianluca Scamacca8%
Mario Pašalić7%
Aleksei Miranchuk3%
Charles De Ketelaere2%
Juan Musso0%
Luis Muriel0%
Marco Carnesecchi0%
José Luis Palomino0%
Michel Ndary Adopo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aleksei Miranchuk22%
Charles De Ketelaere20%
Gianluca Scamacca18%
Ademola Lookman17%
Teun Koopmeiners15%
Mario Pašalić13%
Matteo Ruggeri11%
Marten de Roon10%
Davide Zappacosta10%
Michel Ndary Adopo9%
Giorgio Scalvini7%
Isak Hien5%
Luis Muriel4%
Emil Holm3%
Hans Hateboer3%
Éderson2%
Berat Djimsiti2%
Mitchel Bakker0%
Sead Kolašinac0%
Juan Musso0%
Marco Carnesecchi0%
José Luis Palomino0%
Rafael Tolói0%
Nadir Zortea0%
El Bilal Touré0%
Giovanni Bonfanti0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gianluca Scamacca35%
Ademola Lookman21%
Aleksei Miranchuk16%
Charles De Ketelaere15%
Luis Muriel13%
Teun Koopmeiners13%
Emil Holm10%
Mario Pašalić9%
Giorgio Scalvini2%
Davide Zappacosta2%
Éderson2%
Mitchel Bakker0%
Sead Kolašinac0%
Juan Musso0%
Marco Carnesecchi0%
Berat Djimsiti0%
Hans Hateboer0%
José Luis Palomino0%
Rafael Tolói0%
Marten de Roon0%
Michel Ndary Adopo0%
Nadir Zortea0%
Isak Hien0%
Matteo Ruggeri0%
El Bilal Touré0%
Giovanni Bonfanti0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
SAS (38)
€194m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
CAG (31)
€134m
FRO (33)
€84m
LEC (31)
€72m
MON (29)
€70m
HV (34)
€57m
EMP (27)
€20m
AC Milan's squad is €147m more valuable than Atalanta's (€585m vs €438m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
SAS (12)
€90m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
FRO (8)
€34m
MON (11)
€26m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
EMP (9)
€11m
AC Milan's attack is €65m more valuable than Atalanta's (€223m vs €158m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
SAS (9)
€53m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
CAG (9)
€31m
FRO (11)
€27m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
HV (9)
€14m
EMP (9)
€6m
AC Milan's midfield is €25m more valuable than Atalanta's (€153m vs €128m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
SAS (17)
€52m
CAG (11)
€52m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
FRO (14)
€24m
MON (11)
€20m
EMP (9)
€4m
AC Milan's defence is €56m more valuable than Atalanta's (€209m vs €153m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
AM wins
2
Draws
2
ATA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

AC Milan vs Atalanta · H/A from AM
DateH/AGameScore
09/12/23AAtalanta Vs AM3-2
26/02/23HAM Vs Atalanta2-0
21/08/22AAtalanta Vs AM1-1
15/05/22HAM Vs Atalanta2-0
03/10/21AAtalanta Vs AM2-3
23/05/21AAtalanta Vs AM0-2
23/01/21HAM Vs Atalanta0-3
24/07/20HAM Vs Atalanta1-1

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/02/24ARennes Vs AM3-2
18/02/24AMonza Vs AM4-2
15/02/24HAM Vs Rennes3-0
11/02/24HAM Vs Napoli1-0
03/02/24AFrosinone Vs AM2-3
27/01/24HAM Vs Bologna2-2
20/01/24AUdinese Vs AM2-3
14/01/24HAM Vs AS Roma3-1
07/01/24AEmpoli Vs AM0-3
30/12/23HAM Vs Sassuolo1-0

AtalantaAtalanta

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/02/24HATA Vs Sassuolo3-0
11/02/24AGenoa Vs ATA1-4
04/02/24HATA Vs Lazio3-1
27/01/24HATA Vs Udinese2-0
15/01/24HATA Vs Frosinone5-0
07/01/24AAS Roma Vs ATA1-1
30/12/23HATA Vs Lecce1-0
23/12/23ABologna Vs ATA1-0
18/12/23HATA Vs Salernitana4-1
14/12/23ARaków Częstochowa Vs ATA0-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL1.80
HomeWWDWW2.12
AwayWWWLL1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%64%40%
AVG goals2.802.363.24
Over 1.5 %74%64%84%
Over 2.5 %52%40%64%
Over 3.5 %38%28%48%
Scored1.661.681.64
Conceded1.140.681.60
BTTS52%40%64%
Clean Sheet36%48%24%
Corners9.278.899.63
Cards5.054.225.84
Atalanta
Atalanta
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.78
HomeWWWWW2.19
AwayLWLDW1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%69%38%
AVG goals2.922.882.96
Over 1.5 %84%85%83%
Over 2.5 %54%54%54%
Over 3.5 %32%31%33%
Scored1.822.041.58
Conceded1.100.851.38
BTTS50%46%54%
Clean Sheet34%46%21%
Corners10.1310.1210.14
Cards4.293.874.77

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1InterInter3894
76%
2.5
8922+67
2.9
84%
55%
34%
9.8
47%
3.4
41%
22.1
58%
694
2202322422.30.6
57%
2AC MilanAC Milan3875
58%
2.0
7649+27
3.3
74%
66%
50%
9.0
39%
4.9
66%
22.6
50%
585
2231532092.01.3
57%
3JuventusJuventus3871
50%
1.9
5431+23
2.2
63%
39%
18%
9.6
53%
4.3
59%
23.1
63%
569
2401401891.40.8
48%
4AtalantaAtalanta3869
55%
1.8
7242+30
3.0
89%
66%
29%
9.4
42%
4.0
56%
23.2
63%
438
1581281531.91.1
51%
5BolognaBologna3868
47%
1.8
5432+22
2.3
74%
42%
16%
8.7
34%
5.5
82%
25.3
74%
218
10434791.40.8
58%
6AS RomaAS Roma3863
47%
1.7
6546+19
2.9
79%
61%
34%
8.8
42%
5.2
71%
24.0
66%
471
1381182151.71.2
55%
7LazioLazio3861
47%
1.6
4939+10
2.3
68%
39%
21%
9.8
39%
5.4
79%
24.5
71%
240
6086931.31.0
53%
8FiorentinaFiorentina3860
45%
1.6
6146+15
2.8
74%
53%
34%
8.3
32%
4.3
63%
24.7
76%
330
125107981.61.2
58%
9NapoliNapoli3853
34%
1.4
5548+7
2.7
79%
55%
32%
9.8
58%
4.7
69%
22.6
66%
459
2061011521.41.3
61%
10TorinoTorino3853
34%
1.4
3636+0
1.9
63%
32%
11%
8.4
42%
4.3
68%
23.8
66%
144
4346540.90.9
52%
11GenoaGenoa3849
32%
1.3
4545+0
2.4
68%
42%
18%
9.1
45%
4.7
68%
23.7
74%
182
5444841.21.2
44%
12MonzaMonza3845
29%
1.2
3951-12
2.4
66%
39%
21%
9.5
50%
4.6
62%
23.4
53%
70
2624201.01.3
54%
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3838
24%
1.0
3851-13
2.3
63%
50%
24%
9.4
45%
4.7
76%
26.8
76%
57
1314301.01.3
44%
14LecceLecce3838
21%
1.0
3254-22
2.3
74%
37%
18%
9.5
47%
5.1
70%
26.6
87%
72
2016370.81.4
45%
15UdineseUdinese3837
16%
1.0
3753-16
2.4
79%
37%
21%
10.7
68%
5.0
70%
24.8
79%
157
4639721.01.4
39%
16EmpoliEmpoli3836
24%
0.9
2954-25
2.2
63%
32%
13%
10.8
68%
4.3
71%
27.7
89%
20
11640.81.4
44%
17CagliariCagliari3836
21%
0.9
4268-26
2.9
84%
58%
32%
10.3
53%
4.5
58%
23.8
66%
134
5131521.11.8
42%
18FrosinoneFrosinone3835
21%
0.9
4469-25
3.0
79%
61%
37%
10.3
66%
4.2
70%
22.9
63%
84
3427241.21.8
50%
19SassuoloSassuolo3830
18%
0.8
4375-32
3.1
79%
55%
32%
10.7
66%
4.1
65%
21.3
39%
194
9053521.12.0
44%
20SalernitanaSalernitana3817
5%
0.4
3281-49
3.0
87%
66%
32%
10.9
68%
4.6
63%
24.9
84%
0
0000.82.1
44%
Italy: Serie A 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches