PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

AC Milan vs Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: 09/05/2025
Time: 18:45
Final 3-1
AC Milan
AC Milan
Vs
42%
30%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bologna
Bologna
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AC Milan win✓ Hit
41.8%
Avg Implied 40.6% · @ 2.35
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.4%
Avg Implied 28.2% · @ 3.38
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bologna win✗ Miss
27.8%
Avg Implied 31.2% · @ 3.05
Edge
-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L12L32W21W12L22D40W01L20W21WA·BOL27/02H·LAZ02/03A·LEC08/03H·COM15/03A·NAP30/03H·FIO05/04A·UDI11/04H·ATA20/04A·VEN27/04A·GEN05/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.071.270.871.601.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.001.331.111.110.831.67
vs Weaker (15)1.870.801.500.502.111.00
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Bologna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BolognaBologna

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W21W21W50W10W11D02L10W00D11DH·AC 27/02H·CAG02/03A·HEL09/03H·LAZ16/03A·VEN29/03H·NAP07/04A·ATA13/04H·INT20/04A·UDI28/04H·JUV04/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.071.941.001.001.14
vs Stronger (13)1.311.231.291.001.331.50
vs Similar (15)1.600.802.500.750.570.86
vs Weaker (2)2.002.002.003.002.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.9%
Under 1.5
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.2%
@ 1.96-7.7%
Under 2.5
58.8%
@ 1.87+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
20.7%
Under 3.5
79.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.0%
No
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
11.0%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.1%
AC Milan goals ↓
Bologna goals →
01234
011%8.6%5.1%1.7%0.4%
111%14%6.6%2.3%0.6%
28.3%8.5%4.3%1.5%0.4%
33.6%3.7%1.9%0.6%0.2%
41.2%1.2%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AC Milan goals (down), columns = Bologna goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Napoli
2.16
Inter
2.13
Atalanta
1.95
Juventus
1.84
AS Roma
1.82
Fiorentina
1.71
Lazio
1.71
AC Milan
1.66
Bologna
1.63
Como
1.29
Udinese
1.16
Torino
1.16
Genoa
1.13
Hellas Verona
0.97
Cagliari
0.95
Parma
0.95
Lecce
0.89
Empoli
0.82
Venezia
0.76
Monza
0.47
AC Milan is 0.03 points better than Bologna in terms of average points per game (1.66 vs 1.63).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter
2.08
Atalanta
2.05
Lazio
1.61
AC Milan
1.61
Fiorentina
1.58
Napoli
1.55
Juventus
1.53
Bologna
1.50
AS Roma
1.47
Como
1.29
Parma
1.16
Udinese
1.08
Cagliari
1.05
Torino
1.03
Genoa
0.97
Hellas Verona
0.89
Empoli
0.87
Venezia
0.84
Monza
0.74
Lecce
0.71
AC Milan is 0.11 goals better than Bologna in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Napoli
0.71
Inter
0.92
Juventus
0.92
AS Roma
0.92
Atalanta
0.97
Fiorentina
1.08
AC Milan
1.13
Torino
1.18
Bologna
1.24
Genoa
1.29
Lazio
1.29
Como
1.37
Udinese
1.47
Venezia
1.47
Cagliari
1.47
Lecce
1.53
Parma
1.53
Empoli
1.55
Hellas Verona
1.74
Monza
1.82
AC Milan is 0.11 goals better than Bologna in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 1.24).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Inter
59%
Bologna
59%
Juventus
58%
Atalanta
55%
Lazio
55%
Como
55%
Napoli
55%
AC Milan
54%
AS Roma
54%
Fiorentina
51%
Monza
49%
Torino
47%
Udinese
47%
Genoa
46%
Venezia
45%
Cagliari
45%
Parma
44%
Lecce
44%
Empoli
41%
Hellas Verona
38%
AC Milan is 4.5 percentage points worse than Bologna in terms of average possession (54% vs 59%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AC MilanAC Milan

For 5.1 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

150782775757462572355415912121185989A·GENA·VENH·ATAA·UDIH·FIOA·NAPH·COMA·LECH·LAZA·BOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

705111114311341231216112727343A·GENA·VENH·ATAA·UDIH·FIOA·NAPH·COMA·LECH·LAZA·BOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 10.6 · Total 22.2

⚠️ Fouls

28012141314879101212510217713146151326271519241528202028A·GENA·VENH·ATAA·UDIH·FIOA·NAPH·COMA·LECH·LAZA·BOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BolognaBologna

For 5.5 · Against 3.1 · Total 8.6

🚩 Corners

13010365565483327131414513111191158459H·JUVA·UDIH·INTA·ATAH·NAPA·VENH·LAZA·HELH·CAGH·AC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 3.1 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

50132323141314231412124555455533H·JUVA·UDIH·INTA·ATAH·NAPA·VENH·LAZA·HELH·CAGH·AC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 18.8 · Total 31.7

⚠️ Fouls

39061910211221121711182114181611231524131525313329293534343928H·JUVA·UDIH·INTA·ATAH·NAPA·VENH·LAZA·HELH·CAGH·AC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AC MilanAC Milan

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.110.14.24.63.922.421.123.7
vs Stronger (1)13.0-13.06.0-6.020.0-20.0
vs Similar (23)9.19.29.14.75.04.321.721.122.5
vs Weaker (26)10.810.910.83.84.23.423.121.225.0
% over line52%56%48%52%64%40%46%36%56%
% under line48%44%52%48%36%60%54%64%44%
This opponent (Bologna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BolognaBologna

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.69.47.84.95.24.629.929.930.0
vs Stronger (21)9.710.09.45.45.35.528.928.829.0
vs Similar (27)7.68.46.74.34.93.730.430.430.5
vs Weaker (2)10.016.04.06.58.05.033.533.034.0
% over line40%52%28%72%80%64%94%96%92%
% under line60%48%72%28%20%36%6%4%8%
This opponent (AC Milan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Lecce
10.5
Udinese
10.3
Parma
10.2
Lazio
10.1
AC Milan
10.1
Empoli
9.9
Venezia
9.8
Napoli
9.7
Cagliari
9.5
Genoa
9.5
Torino
9.4
Juventus
9.4
Hellas Verona
9.4
Inter
9.2
Monza
8.8
AS Roma
8.8
Fiorentina
8.7
Como
8.6
Bologna
8.6
Atalanta
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lazio
5.8
Fiorentina
5.2
Bologna
5.0
Como
4.8
Udinese
4.7
Parma
4.6
AS Roma
4.6
Monza
4.4
Hellas Verona
4.4
AC Milan
4.2
Venezia
4.1
Torino
4.1
Lecce
4.1
Cagliari
4.0
Genoa
4.0
Empoli
4.0
Juventus
3.7
Napoli
3.4
Atalanta
3.4
Inter
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bologna
29.9
Empoli
27.9
Como
27.9
Monza
27.4
Fiorentina
27.3
Venezia
26.3
Hellas Verona
25.4
Udinese
25.0
Lazio
24.7
Genoa
24.7
Lecce
24.4
Cagliari
24.4
Torino
24.2
AS Roma
23.7
Parma
23.6
Napoli
22.7
Juventus
22.4
Inter
22.4
AC Milan
22.4
Atalanta
22.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
39.4%
Under 9.5
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
66.0%
Under 3.5
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
82.6%
Under 21.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AC MilanAC Milan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L01L01L02L12L20W00D10W00DA·BOL27/02H·LAZ02/03A·LEC08/03H·COM15/03A·NAP30/03H·FIO05/04A·UDI11/04H·ATA20/04A·VEN27/04A·GEN05/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.470.600.400.400.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.400.670.560.560.170.83
vs Weaker (15)0.600.270.670.170.560.33
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Bologna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BolognaBologna

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L10W10W00D01L02L00D00D01LH·AC 27/02H·CAG02/03A·HEL09/03H·LAZ16/03A·VEN29/03H·NAP07/04A·ATA13/04H·INT20/04A·UDI28/04H·JUV04/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.530.440.620.430.43
vs Stronger (13)0.310.620.000.570.670.67
vs Similar (15)0.470.400.750.500.140.29
vs Weaker (2)1.001.001.002.001.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bologna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bologna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bologna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AC MilanAC Milan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D31W20W10W10W20W01L10W21WA·BOL27/02H·LAZ02/03A·LEC08/03H·COM15/03A·NAP30/03H·FIO05/04A·UDI11/04H·ATA20/04A·VEN27/04A·GEN05/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.600.670.471.200.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.600.670.560.560.670.83
vs Weaker (15)1.270.530.830.331.560.67
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Bologna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BolognaBologna

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W20W11D40W10W10W00D10W00D10WH·AC 27/02H·CAG02/03A·HEL09/03H·LAZ16/03A·VEN29/03H·NAP07/04A·ATA13/04H·INT20/04A·UDI28/04H·JUV04/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.531.500.380.570.71
vs Stronger (13)1.000.621.290.430.670.83
vs Similar (15)1.130.401.750.250.430.57
vs Weaker (2)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bologna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bologna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bologna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls91.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards82.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls82.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners81.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.579.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners72.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls70.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards70.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

AC Milan
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christian Pulišić29%
Santiago Giménez26%
Álvaro Morata26%
Tijjani Reijnders25%
Rafael Leão22%
Tammy Abraham19%
Luka Jović18%
João Félix14%
Samuel Chukwueze11%
Theo Hernández9%
Davide Calabria8%
Noah Okafor6%
Strahinja Pavlović6%
Matteo Gabbia6%
Malick Thiaw3%
Youssouf Fofana2%
Kyle Walker0%
Emerson Royal0%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek0%
Ismaël Bennacer0%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Yunus Musah0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Warren Bondo0%
Álex Jiménez0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Francesco Camarda0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Álvaro Morata35%
Ismaël Bennacer29%
Filippo Terracciano25%
Davide Calabria23%
Álex Jiménez23%
Fikayo Tomori21%
Emerson Royal21%
Warren Bondo20%
João Félix19%
Yunus Musah18%
Theo Hernández17%
Santiago Giménez16%
Rafael Leão14%
Matteo Gabbia14%
Youssouf Fofana14%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek11%
Malick Thiaw10%
Strahinja Pavlović9%
Francesco Camarda7%
Christian Pulišić6%
Kyle Walker6%
Luka Jović6%
Tijjani Reijnders6%
Samuel Chukwueze6%
Mike Maignan4%
Tammy Abraham2%
Marco Sportiello0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Noah Okafor0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rafael Leão20%
Christian Pulišić19%
Youssouf Fofana18%
Santiago Giménez16%
Ismaël Bennacer14%
Tammy Abraham14%
Noah Okafor12%
Theo Hernández9%
Samuel Chukwueze8%
Tijjani Reijnders8%
Álex Jiménez8%
Fikayo Tomori6%
Yunus Musah5%
Álvaro Morata4%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek4%
Malick Thiaw3%
Strahinja Pavlović3%
João Félix0%
Kyle Walker0%
Emerson Royal0%
Davide Calabria0%
Luka Jović0%
Mike Maignan0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Warren Bondo0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Francesco Camarda0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
João Félix29%
Rafael Leão14%
Tijjani Reijnders13%
Álvaro Morata13%
Theo Hernández11%
Santiago Giménez11%
Christian Pulišić10%
Tammy Abraham7%
Youssouf Fofana4%
Álex Jiménez4%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek4%
Matteo Gabbia3%
Samuel Chukwueze3%
Yunus Musah3%
Kyle Walker0%
Emerson Royal0%
Davide Calabria0%
Luka Jović0%
Ismaël Bennacer0%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Strahinja Pavlović0%
Noah Okafor0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Warren Bondo0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Francesco Camarda0%
Bologna
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Riccardo Orsolini40%
Santiago Castro22%
Dan Ndoye17%
Jens Odgaard16%
Jesper Karlsson14%
Thijs Dallinga14%
Tommaso Pobega13%
Samuel Iling Junior12%
Benjamín Domínguez11%
Giovanni Fabbian10%
Kacper Urbański8%
Lorenzo De Silvestri5%
Nicolò Cambiaghi5%
Lewis Ferguson4%
Emil Holm3%
Jhon Lucumí2%
Remo Freuler2%
Juan Miranda0%
Stefan Posch0%
Michel Aebischer0%
Nikola Moro0%
Davide Calabria0%
Łukasz Skorupski0%
Charalampos Lykogiannīs0%
Martin Erlić0%
Federico Ravaglia0%
Nicolò Casale0%
Sam Beukema0%
Oussama El Azzouzi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jhon Lucumí25%
Charalampos Lykogiannīs24%
Davide Calabria23%
Emil Holm21%
Santiago Castro20%
Michel Aebischer19%
Remo Freuler18%
Tommaso Pobega17%
Kacper Urbański17%
Stefan Posch15%
Jesper Karlsson14%
Lewis Ferguson12%
Dan Ndoye12%
Giovanni Fabbian12%
Juan Miranda11%
Riccardo Orsolini10%
Martin Erlić9%
Nicolò Casale9%
Sam Beukema9%
Nikola Moro6%
Samuel Iling Junior6%
Jens Odgaard5%
Lorenzo De Silvestri5%
Łukasz Skorupski3%
Thijs Dallinga2%
Nicolò Cambiaghi0%
Federico Ravaglia0%
Oussama El Azzouzi0%
Benjamín Domínguez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Charalampos Lykogiannīs28%
Nicolò Cambiaghi15%
Juan Miranda13%
Dan Ndoye12%
Santiago Castro11%
Benjamín Domínguez11%
Riccardo Orsolini10%
Nikola Moro9%
Jens Odgaard8%
Davide Calabria8%
Tommaso Pobega7%
Thijs Dallinga5%
Nicolò Casale5%
Sam Beukema4%
Lewis Ferguson4%
Remo Freuler4%
Emil Holm3%
Giovanni Fabbian2%
Jhon Lucumí2%
Stefan Posch0%
Michel Aebischer0%
Łukasz Skorupski0%
Lorenzo De Silvestri0%
Martin Erlić0%
Federico Ravaglia0%
Jesper Karlsson0%
Samuel Iling Junior0%
Kacper Urbański0%
Oussama El Azzouzi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Riccardo Orsolini28%
Santiago Castro17%
Dan Ndoye17%
Thijs Dallinga12%
Jens Odgaard11%
Martin Erlić9%
Benjamín Domínguez7%
Tommaso Pobega7%
Samuel Iling Junior6%
Lewis Ferguson4%
Emil Holm3%
Juan Miranda0%
Stefan Posch0%
Michel Aebischer0%
Nikola Moro0%
Davide Calabria0%
Jhon Lucumí0%
Remo Freuler0%
Łukasz Skorupski0%
Nicolò Cambiaghi0%
Lorenzo De Silvestri0%
Charalampos Lykogiannīs0%
Federico Ravaglia0%
Nicolò Casale0%
Sam Beukema0%
Jesper Karlsson0%
Kacper Urbański0%
Oussama El Azzouzi0%
Giovanni Fabbian0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
VEN (36)
€117m
LEC (31)
€72m
MON (29)
€70m
HV (34)
€57m
EMP (27)
€20m
AC Milan's squad is €367m more valuable than Bologna's (€585m vs €218m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
VEN (9)
€39m
PAR (8)
€35m
MON (11)
€26m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
EMP (9)
€11m
AC Milan's attack is €118m more valuable than Bologna's (€223m vs €104m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
VEN (11)
€31m
CAG (9)
€31m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
HV (9)
€14m
EMP (9)
€6m
AC Milan's midfield is €119m more valuable than Bologna's (€153m vs €34m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
COM (14)
€144m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
CAG (11)
€52m
VEN (16)
€47m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
MON (11)
€20m
EMP (9)
€4m
AC Milan's defence is €130m more valuable than Bologna's (€209m vs €79m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
AM wins
3
Draws
1
BOL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

AC Milan vs Bologna · H/A from AM
DateH/AGameScore
27/02/25ABologna Vs AM2-1
27/01/24HAM Vs Bologna2-2
21/08/23ABologna Vs AM0-2
15/04/23ABologna Vs AM1-1
27/08/22HAM Vs Bologna2-0
04/04/22HAM Vs Bologna0-0
23/10/21ABologna Vs AM2-4
30/01/21ABologna Vs AM1-2

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/05/25AGenoa Vs AM1-2
27/04/25AVenezia Vs AM0-2
20/04/25HAM Vs Atalanta0-1
11/04/25AUdinese Vs AM0-4
05/04/25HAM Vs Fiorentina2-2
30/03/25ANapoli Vs AM2-1
15/03/25HAM Vs Como2-1
08/03/25ALecce Vs AM2-3
02/03/25HAM Vs Lazio1-2
27/02/25ABologna Vs AM2-1

BolognaBologna

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/25HBOL Vs Juventus1-1
28/04/25AUdinese Vs BOL0-0
20/04/25HBOL Vs Inter1-0
13/04/25AAtalanta Vs BOL2-0
07/04/25HBOL Vs Napoli1-1
29/03/25AVenezia Vs BOL0-1
16/03/25HBOL Vs Lazio5-0
09/03/25AHellas Verona Vs BOL1-2
02/03/25HBOL Vs Cagliari2-1
27/02/25HBOL Vs AC Milan2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWW1.58
HomeDLWDL1.72
AwayWLWWW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%44%44%
AVG goals2.882.882.88
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %62%56%68%
Over 3.5 %32%36%28%
Scored1.641.761.52
Conceded1.241.121.36
BTTS62%60%64%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners10.1010.0810.12
Cards4.244.603.88
Bologna
Bologna
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDD1.56
HomeWWDWD1.76
AwayLWWLD1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%44%32%
AVG goals2.402.482.32
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %42%44%40%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored1.321.561.08
Conceded1.080.921.24
BTTS50%60%40%
Clean Sheet34%36%32%
Corners8.569.367.76
Cards4.985.204.75

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NapoliNapoli3882
63%
2.2
5927+32
2.3
71%
45%
16%
9.4
50%
3.2
41%
23.3
66%
459
2061011521.60.7
55%
2InterInter3881
63%
2.1
7935+44
3.0
79%
55%
39%
9.5
43%
3.3
44%
22.5
49%
694
2202322422.10.9
59%
3AtalantaAtalanta3874
58%
1.9
7837+41
3.0
82%
55%
39%
8.4
24%
3.4
36%
22.4
55%
438
1581281532.11.0
55%
4JuventusJuventus3870
47%
1.8
5835+23
2.4
76%
42%
21%
9.5
53%
3.8
58%
22.9
71%
569
2401401891.50.9
58%
5AS RomaAS Roma3869
53%
1.8
5635+21
2.4
66%
39%
24%
8.5
39%
4.3
59%
24.0
68%
471
1381182151.50.9
54%
6FiorentinaFiorentina3865
50%
1.7
6041+19
2.7
71%
61%
24%
8.0
30%
4.9
81%
27.2
86%
330
125107981.61.1
51%
7LazioLazio3865
47%
1.7
6149+12
2.9
82%
61%
29%
10.4
50%
6.2
92%
24.5
76%
240
6086931.61.3
55%
8AC MilanAC Milan3863
47%
1.7
6143+18
2.7
82%
61%
26%
9.9
53%
4.1
50%
22.7
50%
585
2231532091.61.1
54%
9BolognaBologna3862
42%
1.6
5747+10
2.7
82%
53%
34%
8.2
34%
4.4
70%
31.0
97%
218
10434791.51.2
59%
10ComoComo3849
34%
1.3
4952-3
2.7
84%
45%
24%
8.3
39%
5.1
74%
27.6
95%
488
261831441.31.4
55%
11TorinoTorino3844
26%
1.2
3945-6
2.2
68%
26%
21%
9.3
50%
3.9
61%
23.6
63%
144
4346541.01.2
47%
12UdineseUdinese3844
32%
1.2
4156-15
2.6
74%
50%
24%
10.0
61%
4.3
65%
24.9
76%
157
4639721.11.5
47%
13GenoaGenoa3843
26%
1.1
3749-12
2.3
68%
39%
21%
9.4
42%
4.1
64%
25.7
79%
182
5444841.01.3
46%
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3837
26%
1.0
3466-32
2.6
68%
47%
26%
9.3
47%
4.4
65%
25.1
66%
57
1314300.91.7
38%
15ParmaParma3836
18%
0.9
4458-14
2.7
71%
55%
39%
10.3
68%
4.4
55%
23.4
61%
142
3560461.21.5
44%
16CagliariCagliari3836
24%
0.9
4056-16
2.5
76%
50%
21%
9.8
50%
3.8
53%
24.3
66%
134
5131521.11.5
45%
17LecceLecce3834
21%
0.9
2758-31
2.2
58%
39%
24%
10.4
47%
4.1
61%
24.2
68%
72
2016370.71.5
44%
18EmpoliEmpoli3831
16%
0.8
3359-26
2.4
74%
47%
21%
9.6
50%
3.9
46%
27.8
84%
20
11640.91.6
41%
19VeneziaVenezia3829
13%
0.8
3256-24
2.3
68%
42%
24%
9.6
47%
3.9
45%
26.3
79%
117
3931470.81.5
45%
20MonzaMonza3818
8%
0.5
2869-41
2.6
79%
50%
24%
8.7
45%
4.2
58%
28.3
84%
70
2624200.71.8
49%
Italy: Serie A 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches