PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

AC Milan vs Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: 14/09/2025
Time: 18:45
Final 1-0
AC Milan
AC Milan
Vs
46%
29%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bologna
Bologna
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AC Milan win✓ Hit
45.5%
Avg Implied 49.7% · @ 1.89
Edge
-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied 27.0% · @ 3.48
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bologna win✗ Miss
25.7%
Avg Implied 23.3% · @ 4.04
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D40W01L20W21W31W13L20W12L20WH·FIO05/04A·UDI11/04H·ATA20/04A·VEN27/04A·GEN05/05H·BOL09/05A·AS 18/05H·MON24/05H·CRE23/08A·LEC29/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.101.331.001.531.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.001.541.141.290.831.83
vs Weaker (17)1.760.761.500.752.000.78
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Bologna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BolognaBologna

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L10W00D11D13L23L13L01L10WH·NAP07/04A·ATA13/04H·INT20/04A·UDI28/04H·JUV04/05A·AC 09/05A·FIO18/05H·GEN24/05A·AS 23/08H·COM30/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.131.931.070.931.20
vs Stronger (13)1.151.311.501.000.861.57
vs Similar (15)1.600.872.250.880.860.86
vs Weaker (2)2.002.002.003.002.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.5%
Under 1.5
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.7%
@ 1.91-3.4%
Under 2.5
54.3%
@ 1.84+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.3%
Under 3.5
75.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.9%
No
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0 ✓
10.7%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
AC Milan goals ↓
Bologna goals →
01234
09.4%7.3%4.4%1.5%0.4%
111%14%6.5%2.3%0.6%
28.7%9.1%4.7%1.6%0.4%
34.3%4.4%2.3%0.8%0.2%
41.6%1.6%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AC Milan goals (down), columns = Bologna goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter
2.29
Napoli
2.00
AS Roma
1.92
Como
1.87
AC Milan
1.84
Juventus
1.82
Atalanta
1.55
Bologna
1.47
Lazio
1.42
Udinese
1.32
Sassuolo
1.29
Torino
1.18
Parma
1.18
Cagliari
1.13
Fiorentina
1.11
Genoa
1.08
Lecce
1.00
Cremonese
0.89
Hellas Verona
0.55
Pisa
0.47
AC Milan is 0.37 points better than Bologna in terms of average points per game (1.84 vs 1.47).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter
2.34
Como
1.71
Juventus
1.61
AS Roma
1.55
Napoli
1.53
AC Milan
1.39
Atalanta
1.34
Bologna
1.29
Sassuolo
1.21
Udinese
1.18
Torino
1.16
Genoa
1.08
Fiorentina
1.08
Lazio
1.08
Cagliari
1.05
Cremonese
0.84
Lecce
0.74
Parma
0.74
Pisa
0.68
Hellas Verona
0.66
AC Milan is 0.11 goals better than Bologna in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 1.29).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Como
0.76
AS Roma
0.82
Juventus
0.89
Inter
0.92
AC Milan
0.92
Napoli
0.95
Atalanta
0.95
Lazio
1.05
Bologna
1.21
Parma
1.21
Udinese
1.26
Fiorentina
1.32
Lecce
1.32
Sassuolo
1.32
Genoa
1.34
Cagliari
1.39
Cremonese
1.50
Hellas Verona
1.61
Torino
1.66
Pisa
1.87
AC Milan is 0.29 goals better than Bologna in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 1.21).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Como
62%
Inter
60%
Napoli
59%
Juventus
58%
AS Roma
56%
Atalanta
55%
Bologna
55%
AC Milan
52%
Fiorentina
51%
Lazio
50%
Genoa
49%
Cremonese
46%
Sassuolo
46%
Udinese
46%
Cagliari
46%
Torino
44%
Parma
44%
Lecce
42%
Pisa
40%
Hellas Verona
40%
AC Milan is 3.2 percentage points worse than Bologna in terms of average possession (52% vs 55%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AC MilanAC Milan

For 5.3 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

150549246243478277575749111067159121211A·LECH·CREH·MONA·AS H·BOLA·GENA·VENH·ATAA·UDIH·FIO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

7011413322511111431516461127A·LECH·CREH·MONA·AS H·BOLA·GENA·VENH·ATAA·UDIH·FIO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 11.6 · Total 21.7

⚠️ Fouls

28081010148916125141214131487910121218241728192627151924A·LECH·CREH·MONA·AS H·BOLA·GENA·VENH·ATAA·UDIH·FIO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BolognaBologna

For 6.6 · Against 3.3 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

14074421314243103655654831161467131111911H·COMA·AS H·GENA·FIOA·AC H·JUVA·UDIH·INTA·ATAH·NAP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

80441152242213232314138276445554H·COMA·AS H·GENA·FIOA·AC H·JUVA·UDIH·INTA·ATAH·NAP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 17.9 · Total 30.0

⚠️ Fouls

3801319131513231721145619102112211217111832283638192531332929H·COMA·AS H·GENA·FIOA·AC H·JUVA·UDIH·INTA·ATAH·NAP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AC MilanAC Milan

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.99.84.44.84.022.621.423.8
vs Stronger (1)13.0-13.06.0-6.020.0-20.0
vs Similar (23)8.89.28.54.95.04.722.321.123.7
vs Weaker (26)10.610.510.63.94.53.322.921.724.2
% over line50%60%40%58%72%44%48%40%56%
% under line50%40%60%42%28%56%52%60%44%
This opponent (Bologna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BolognaBologna

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.49.47.44.85.04.530.330.030.5
vs Stronger (21)9.210.08.55.25.35.228.928.829.0
vs Similar (27)7.78.66.74.34.63.831.130.731.5
vs Weaker (2)10.016.04.06.58.05.033.533.034.0
% over line36%52%20%72%80%64%94%96%92%
% under line64%48%80%28%20%36%6%4%8%
This opponent (AC Milan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Udinese
10.3
Parma
10.1
Lecce
10.1
Lazio
9.9
AC Milan
9.8
Juventus
9.6
Cagliari
9.5
Inter
9.4
Napoli
9.4
Genoa
9.4
Hellas Verona
9.2
Torino
9.2
Cremonese
9.0
Sassuolo
8.9
Atalanta
8.7
AS Roma
8.7
Como
8.6
Bologna
8.4
Fiorentina
8.3
Pisa
8.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lazio
6.1
Cremonese
5.1
Fiorentina
5.0
Como
5.0
Bologna
4.9
Pisa
4.7
AS Roma
4.6
Udinese
4.4
AC Milan
4.4
Parma
4.4
Hellas Verona
4.3
Sassuolo
4.1
Lecce
4.0
Cagliari
4.0
Genoa
3.9
Torino
3.9
Inter
3.7
Juventus
3.7
Napoli
3.3
Atalanta
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Cremonese
30.6
Bologna
30.3
Pisa
28.2
Como
27.5
Fiorentina
27.0
Hellas Verona
25.4
Genoa
25.3
Sassuolo
25.1
Cagliari
24.9
Udinese
24.8
Lazio
24.5
Lecce
24.3
Torino
24.2
AS Roma
24.1
Parma
23.9
Napoli
23.7
Juventus
22.7
AC Milan
22.6
Inter
21.9
Atalanta
21.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
38.3%
Under 9.5
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.4%
Under 3.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
82.1%
Under 21.5
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AC MilanAC Milan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L20W00D10W00D00D11D00D11D00DH·FIO05/04A·UDI11/04H·ATA20/04A·VEN27/04A·GEN05/05H·BOL09/05A·AS 18/05H·MON24/05H·CRE23/08A·LEC29/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.470.470.470.330.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.380.770.570.710.170.83
vs Weaker (17)0.410.240.380.250.440.22
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Bologna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BolognaBologna

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L00D00D01L00D01L03L00D00DH·NAP07/04A·ATA13/04H·INT20/04A·UDI28/04H·JUV04/05A·AC 09/05A·FIO18/05H·GEN24/05A·AS 23/08H·COM30/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.630.400.800.330.47
vs Stronger (13)0.230.620.000.670.430.57
vs Similar (15)0.400.600.620.750.140.43
vs Weaker (2)1.001.001.002.001.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bologna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bologna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bologna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AC MilanAC Milan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W01L10W21W31W02L20W01L20WH·FIO05/04A·UDI11/04H·ATA20/04A·VEN27/04A·GEN05/05H·BOL09/05A·AS 18/05H·MON24/05H·CRE23/08A·LEC29/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.630.870.531.200.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.620.770.570.570.671.00
vs Weaker (17)1.350.531.120.501.560.56
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Bologna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BolognaBologna

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D10W00D10W13L22D10W01L10WH·NAP07/04A·ATA13/04H·INT20/04A·UDI28/04H·JUV04/05A·AC 09/05A·FIO18/05H·GEN24/05A·AS 23/08H·COM30/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.501.530.270.600.73
vs Stronger (13)0.920.691.500.330.431.00
vs Similar (15)1.200.271.620.120.710.43
vs Weaker (2)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bologna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bologna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bologna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls91.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners82.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls82.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards81.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.575.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners73.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards72.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.5%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

AC Milan
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rafael Leão29%
Christian Pulišić24%
Christopher Nkunku21%
Adrien Rabiot16%
Strahinja Pavlović14%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek10%
Alexis Saelemaekers8%
Zachary Athekame7%
Youssouf Fofana6%
Luka Modrić6%
Santiago Giménez6%
Niclas Füllkrug5%
Pervis Estupiñán5%
Koni De Winter4%
Davide Bartesaghi3%
Samuele Ricci3%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Ardon Jashari0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
David Odogu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pervis Estupiñán29%
Fikayo Tomori19%
Strahinja Pavlović16%
Adrien Rabiot16%
Rafael Leão16%
Alexis Saelemaekers13%
Matteo Gabbia13%
Samuele Ricci12%
Youssouf Fofana11%
Luka Modrić11%
Santiago Giménez11%
Zachary Athekame11%
Mike Maignan10%
Davide Bartesaghi9%
Koni De Winter7%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek6%
Christian Pulišić0%
Christopher Nkunku0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Ardon Jashari0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
David Odogu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adrien Rabiot13%
Christian Pulišić12%
Samuele Ricci12%
Youssouf Fofana11%
Santiago Giménez11%
Alexis Saelemaekers11%
Rafael Leão10%
Christopher Nkunku9%
Luka Modrić8%
Fikayo Tomori8%
Zachary Athekame7%
Ardon Jashari6%
Pervis Estupiñán5%
Koni De Winter4%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek3%
Davide Bartesaghi3%
Strahinja Pavlović3%
Mike Maignan0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
David Odogu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rafael Leão26%
Christian Pulišić21%
Santiago Giménez17%
Adrien Rabiot13%
Christopher Nkunku12%
Youssouf Fofana11%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek10%
Matteo Gabbia6%
Ardon Jashari6%
Alexis Saelemaekers5%
Samuele Ricci3%
Strahinja Pavlović3%
Luka Modrić0%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Pervis Estupiñán0%
Koni De Winter0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
David Odogu0%
Zachary Athekame0%
Bologna
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Riccardo Orsolini27%
Santiago Castro20%
Jonathan Rowe20%
Federico Bernardeschi18%
Jens Odgaard18%
Thijs Dallinga14%
João Mário13%
Nicolò Cambiaghi10%
Giovanni Fabbian10%
Tommaso Pobega8%
Emil Holm6%
Remo Freuler2%
Jhon Lucumí2%
Nikola Moro2%
Juan Miranda2%
Lewis Ferguson2%
Simon Sohm0%
Ciro Immobile0%
Łukasz Skorupski0%
Lorenzo De Silvestri0%
Charalampos Lykogiannis0%
Federico Ravaglia0%
Nicolò Casale0%
Torbjørn Heggem0%
Nadir Zortea0%
Martin Vitík0%
Benjamín Domínguez0%
Ibrahim Sulemana0%
Eivind Helland0%
Massimo Pessina0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Eivind Helland29%
Ibrahim Sulemana25%
Emil Holm24%
Martin Vitík23%
Juan Miranda23%
Jhon Lucumí20%
Lewis Ferguson19%
Federico Ravaglia17%
Lorenzo De Silvestri17%
Charalampos Lykogiannis17%
Remo Freuler15%
Ciro Immobile14%
Federico Bernardeschi14%
João Mário13%
Tommaso Pobega11%
Łukasz Skorupski10%
Nicolò Cambiaghi10%
Santiago Castro8%
Jonathan Rowe7%
Nadir Zortea7%
Simon Sohm6%
Riccardo Orsolini6%
Nicolò Casale6%
Thijs Dallinga6%
Benjamín Domínguez5%
Jens Odgaard5%
Torbjørn Heggem3%
Nikola Moro2%
Giovanni Fabbian0%
Massimo Pessina0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Emil Holm29%
Benjamín Domínguez16%
Nicolò Cambiaghi15%
Jonathan Rowe10%
Nadir Zortea9%
Thijs Dallinga8%
Juan Miranda7%
Santiago Castro6%
Charalampos Lykogiannis6%
Jens Odgaard5%
Remo Freuler5%
Federico Bernardeschi5%
Tommaso Pobega3%
Jhon Lucumí2%
Nikola Moro2%
Riccardo Orsolini2%
Simon Sohm0%
Ciro Immobile0%
Łukasz Skorupski0%
Lorenzo De Silvestri0%
Federico Ravaglia0%
Nicolò Casale0%
Torbjørn Heggem0%
João Mário0%
Lewis Ferguson0%
Martin Vitík0%
Giovanni Fabbian0%
Ibrahim Sulemana0%
Eivind Helland0%
Massimo Pessina0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Riccardo Orsolini29%
Santiago Castro20%
Jens Odgaard15%
Jonathan Rowe12%
Federico Bernardeschi11%
Giovanni Fabbian10%
Tommaso Pobega8%
Thijs Dallinga8%
Nikola Moro2%
Juan Miranda2%
Lewis Ferguson2%
Simon Sohm0%
Ciro Immobile0%
Jhon Lucumí0%
Remo Freuler0%
Łukasz Skorupski0%
Nicolò Cambiaghi0%
Lorenzo De Silvestri0%
Charalampos Lykogiannis0%
Federico Ravaglia0%
Nicolò Casale0%
Torbjørn Heggem0%
João Mário0%
Emil Holm0%
Nadir Zortea0%
Martin Vitík0%
Benjamín Domínguez0%
Ibrahim Sulemana0%
Eivind Helland0%
Massimo Pessina0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
SAS (38)
€194m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
LEC (31)
€72m
PIS (36)
€71m
HV (34)
€57m
CRE (30)
€49m
AC Milan's squad is €367m more valuable than Bologna's (€585m vs €218m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
SAS (12)
€90m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
PAR (8)
€35m
PIS (13)
€24m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
CRE (7)
€12m
AC Milan's attack is €118m more valuable than Bologna's (€223m vs €104m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
SAS (9)
€53m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
CAG (9)
€31m
PIS (9)
€26m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
HV (9)
€14m
AC Milan's midfield is €119m more valuable than Bologna's (€153m vs €34m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
COM (14)
€144m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
SAS (17)
€52m
CAG (11)
€52m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
AC Milan's defence is €130m more valuable than Bologna's (€209m vs €79m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
AM wins
3
Draws
1
BOL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

AC Milan vs Bologna · H/A from AM
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/25HAM Vs Bologna3-1
27/02/25ABologna Vs AM2-1
27/01/24HAM Vs Bologna2-2
21/08/23ABologna Vs AM0-2
15/04/23ABologna Vs AM1-1
27/08/22HAM Vs Bologna2-0
04/04/22HAM Vs Bologna0-0
23/10/21ABologna Vs AM2-4

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/25ALecce Vs AM0-2
23/08/25HAM Vs Cremonese1-2
24/05/25HAM Vs Monza2-0
18/05/25AAS Roma Vs AM3-1
09/05/25HAM Vs Bologna3-1
05/05/25AGenoa Vs AM1-2
27/04/25AVenezia Vs AM0-2
20/04/25HAM Vs Atalanta0-1
11/04/25AUdinese Vs AM0-4
05/04/25HAM Vs Fiorentina2-2

BolognaBologna

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/25HBOL Vs Como1-0
23/08/25AAS Roma Vs BOL1-0
24/05/25HBOL Vs Genoa1-3
18/05/25AFiorentina Vs BOL3-2
09/05/25AAC Milan Vs BOL3-1
04/05/25HBOL Vs Juventus1-1
28/04/25AUdinese Vs BOL0-0
20/04/25HBOL Vs Inter1-0
13/04/25AAtalanta Vs BOL2-0
07/04/25HBOL Vs Napoli1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW1.64
HomeDLWWL1.76
AwayWWWLW1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%48%48%
AVG goals2.742.522.96
Over 1.5 %80%76%84%
Over 2.5 %60%52%68%
Over 3.5 %28%28%28%
Scored1.581.561.60
Conceded1.160.961.36
BTTS60%56%64%
Clean Sheet30%36%24%
Corners9.829.889.76
Cards4.404.764.04
Bologna
Bologna
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW1.44
HomeDWDLW1.80
AwayLDLLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%48%24%
AVG goals2.542.602.48
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %46%48%44%
Over 3.5 %28%28%28%
Scored1.301.601.00
Conceded1.241.001.48
BTTS52%60%44%
Clean Sheet30%36%24%
Corners8.429.447.40
Cards4.865.044.67

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1InterInter3887
71%
2.3
8935+54
3.3
84%
55%
37%
9.2
55%
3.5
38%
24.2
58%
694
2202322422.30.9
60%
2NapoliNapoli3876
61%
2.0
5836+22
2.5
68%
53%
26%
8.2
26%
3.5
42%
23.4
61%
459
2061011521.50.9
59%
3AS RomaAS Roma3873
61%
1.9
5931+28
2.4
66%
37%
18%
8.6
34%
4.1
66%
27.8
89%
471
1381182151.60.8
56%
4ComoComo3871
53%
1.9
6529+36
2.5
71%
45%
24%
7.7
24%
4.6
68%
25.9
79%
488
261831441.70.8
62%
5AC MilanAC Milan3870
53%
1.8
5335+18
2.3
66%
45%
18%
8.6
42%
3.8
58%
21.9
58%
585
2231532091.40.9
52%
6JuventusJuventus3869
50%
1.8
6134+27
2.5
74%
39%
24%
9.2
37%
3.7
59%
22.3
61%
569
2401401891.60.9
58%
7AtalantaAtalanta3859
39%
1.6
5136+15
2.3
74%
37%
18%
9.8
50%
3.4
47%
22.1
53%
438
1581281531.30.9
55%
8BolognaBologna3856
42%
1.5
4946+3
2.5
71%
45%
26%
8.7
34%
4.1
51%
27.8
89%
218
10434791.31.2
55%
9LazioLazio3854
37%
1.4
4140+1
2.1
66%
32%
16%
7.9
29%
4.9
76%
25.1
68%
240
6086931.11.1
50%
10UdineseUdinese3850
37%
1.3
4548-3
2.4
68%
45%
21%
9.3
39%
3.7
53%
25.1
79%
157
4639721.21.3
46%
11SassuoloSassuolo3849
37%
1.3
4650-4
2.5
74%
55%
21%
8.7
50%
4.5
65%
24.9
68%
194
9053521.21.3
46%
12ParmaParma3845
29%
1.2
2846-18
1.9
58%
29%
16%
8.8
37%
3.9
61%
24.3
79%
142
3560460.71.2
44%
13TorinoTorino3845
32%
1.2
4463-19
2.8
74%
63%
29%
8.5
42%
3.5
44%
24.5
68%
144
4346541.21.7
44%
14CagliariCagliari3843
29%
1.1
4053-13
2.4
76%
50%
18%
8.9
37%
4.1
58%
28.6
89%
134
5131521.11.4
46%
15FiorentinaFiorentina3842
24%
1.1
4150-9
2.4
71%
50%
24%
9.0
47%
4.8
78%
28.1
92%
330
125107981.11.3
51%
16GenoaGenoa3841
26%
1.1
4151-10
2.4
76%
53%
16%
8.6
37%
4.5
76%
27.4
87%
182
5444841.11.3
49%
17LecceLecce3838
26%
1.0
2850-22
2.1
61%
37%
13%
9.6
58%
3.8
50%
26.7
74%
72
2016370.71.3
42%
18CremoneseCremonese3834
21%
0.9
3257-25
2.3
68%
45%
24%
9.5
47%
3.8
46%
26.4
84%
49
1215220.81.5
46%
19Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3821
8%
0.6
2561-36
2.3
68%
50%
21%
9.0
42%
4.1
54%
25.3
74%
57
1314300.71.6
40%
20PisaPisa3818
5%
0.5
2671-45
2.6
66%
53%
32%
8.4
37%
3.8
53%
24.7
79%
71
2426220.71.9
40%
Italy: Serie A 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches