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AC Milan vs Fiorentina Result & Analysis

Date: 05/04/2025
Time: 18:45
Final 2-2
AC Milan
AC Milan
Vs
42%
30%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AC Milan win✗ Miss
41.8%
Avg Implied 50.0% · @ 1.91
Edge
-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.7%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.65
Edge
+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina win✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied 23.8% · @ 4.01
Edge
+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L10W11D12L12L12L32W21W12LA·EMP08/02A·FEY12/02H·HEL15/02H·FEY18/02A·TOR22/02A·BOL27/02H·LAZ02/03A·LEC08/03H·COM15/03A·NAP30/03
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.171.330.871.531.47
vs Stronger (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
vs Similar (15)1.071.331.221.110.831.67
vs Weaker (14)1.711.001.500.501.881.38
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FiorentinaFiorentina

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W12L02L01L10W23L12L31W30W10WH·INT06/02A·INT10/02H·COM16/02A·HEL23/02H·LEC28/02A·PAN06/03A·NAP09/03H·PAN13/03H·JUV16/03H·ATA30/03
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.102.270.931.671.27
vs Stronger (6)1.671.502.001.001.332.00
vs Similar (16)1.941.062.441.001.291.14
vs Weaker (8)2.250.882.000.672.401.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.9%
Under 1.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.6%
@ 1.75-10.7%
Under 2.5
56.4%
@ 2.08+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.6%
Under 3.5
77.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.2%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.1%
AC Milan goals ↓
Fiorentina goals →
01234
010%8.2%5.1%1.8%0.5%
111%14%6.9%2.5%0.7%
28.1%8.7%4.7%1.7%0.4%
33.6%3.9%2.1%0.7%0.2%
41.2%1.3%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AC Milan goals (down), columns = Fiorentina goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Napoli
2.16
Inter
2.13
Atalanta
1.95
Juventus
1.84
AS Roma
1.82
Fiorentina
1.71
Lazio
1.71
AC Milan
1.66
Bologna
1.63
Como
1.29
Udinese
1.16
Torino
1.16
Genoa
1.13
Hellas Verona
0.97
Cagliari
0.95
Parma
0.95
Lecce
0.89
Empoli
0.82
Venezia
0.76
Monza
0.47
AC Milan is 0.05 points worse than Fiorentina in terms of average points per game (1.66 vs 1.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter
2.08
Atalanta
2.05
Lazio
1.61
AC Milan
1.61
Fiorentina
1.58
Napoli
1.55
Juventus
1.53
Bologna
1.50
AS Roma
1.47
Como
1.29
Parma
1.16
Udinese
1.08
Cagliari
1.05
Torino
1.03
Genoa
0.97
Hellas Verona
0.89
Empoli
0.87
Venezia
0.84
Monza
0.74
Lecce
0.71
AC Milan is 0.03 goals better than Fiorentina in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.58).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Napoli
0.71
Inter
0.92
Juventus
0.92
AS Roma
0.92
Atalanta
0.97
Fiorentina
1.08
AC Milan
1.13
Torino
1.18
Bologna
1.24
Genoa
1.29
Lazio
1.29
Como
1.37
Udinese
1.47
Venezia
1.47
Cagliari
1.47
Lecce
1.53
Parma
1.53
Empoli
1.55
Hellas Verona
1.74
Monza
1.82
AC Milan is 0.05 goals worse than Fiorentina in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 1.08).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Inter
59%
Bologna
59%
Juventus
58%
Atalanta
55%
Lazio
55%
Como
55%
Napoli
55%
AC Milan
54%
AS Roma
54%
Fiorentina
51%
Monza
49%
Torino
47%
Udinese
47%
Genoa
46%
Venezia
45%
Cagliari
45%
Parma
44%
Lecce
44%
Empoli
41%
Hellas Verona
38%
AC Milan is 3.0 percentage points better than Fiorentina in terms of average possession (54% vs 51%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AC MilanAC Milan

For 5.8 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.7

🚩 Corners

1706257235541144310765628598915717118A·NAPH·COMA·LECH·LAZA·BOLA·TORH·FEYH·HELA·FEYA·EMP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.7

🟨 Cards

80113412312111533412532734328738A·NAPH·COMA·LECH·LAZA·BOLA·TORH·FEYH·HELA·FEYA·EMP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 11.6 · Total 22.4

⚠️ Fouls

29051021771314615135141110111898101715282020281921291727A·NAPH·COMA·LECH·LAZA·BOLA·TORH·FEYH·HELA·FEYA·EMP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FiorentinaFiorentina

For 2.8 · Against 4.6 · Total 7.4

🚩 Corners

10024165544645214211818671081075399H·ATAH·JUVH·PANA·NAPA·PANH·LECA·HELH·COMA·INTH·GEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.9

🟨 Cards

9032345212132323234313593355574H·ATAH·JUVH·PANA·NAPA·PANH·LECA·HELH·COMA·INTH·GEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 15.2 · Total 27.5

⚠️ Fouls

4507169132619510129101281914241516171423224515212227383131H·ATAH·JUVH·PANA·NAPA·PANH·LECA·HELH·COMA·INTH·GEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AC MilanAC Milan

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.89.84.44.74.122.421.423.6
vs Stronger (1)13.0-13.06.0-6.020.0-20.0
vs Similar (24)9.18.99.24.95.34.522.422.122.7
vs Weaker (25)10.410.610.23.94.13.522.620.824.9
% over line48%50%46%56%65%46%46%38%54%
% under line52%50%54%44%35%54%54%62%46%
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FiorentinaFiorentina

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.59.08.05.04.65.426.528.025.0
vs Stronger (7)7.87.08.73.32.24.725.528.023.0
vs Similar (29)8.88.88.85.35.45.227.128.625.4
vs Weaker (14)8.311.26.75.13.65.925.526.225.1
% over line33%42%24%70%64%76%84%88%80%
% under line67%58%76%30%36%24%16%12%20%
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Empoli
10.3
Parma
10.2
Venezia
10.2
Lecce
10.2
Udinese
10.1
Cagliari
9.9
AC Milan
9.8
Lazio
9.8
Hellas Verona
9.6
Napoli
9.5
Torino
9.5
Genoa
9.4
Juventus
9.3
Inter
9.3
Monza
8.9
AS Roma
8.9
Fiorentina
8.8
Como
8.7
Bologna
8.4
Atalanta
8.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lazio
5.7
Fiorentina
5.1
Como
4.9
Bologna
4.9
Udinese
4.8
Parma
4.7
AS Roma
4.7
Hellas Verona
4.5
AC Milan
4.4
Monza
4.3
Venezia
4.3
Torino
4.2
Cagliari
4.2
Lecce
4.1
Genoa
4.0
Empoli
3.9
Juventus
3.8
Napoli
3.5
Atalanta
3.4
Inter
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bologna
29.6
Como
27.9
Empoli
27.6
Monza
26.7
Fiorentina
26.5
Hellas Verona
26.0
Venezia
25.7
Lazio
25.0
Lecce
25.0
Udinese
24.9
Cagliari
24.6
Genoa
24.3
Torino
23.9
Parma
23.7
AS Roma
23.3
Juventus
22.8
Atalanta
22.8
Napoli
22.7
Inter
22.6
AC Milan
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AC MilanAC Milan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D10W01L10W01L01L01L02LA·EMP08/02A·FEY12/02H·HEL15/02H·FEY18/02A·TOR22/02A·BOL27/02H·LAZ02/03A·LEC08/03H·COM15/03A·NAP30/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.530.600.400.530.67
vs Stronger (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
vs Similar (15)0.400.670.560.560.170.83
vs Weaker (14)0.640.360.670.170.620.50
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FiorentinaFiorentina

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D01L00D10W22D01L20W20W10WH·INT06/02A·INT10/02H·COM16/02A·HEL23/02H·LEC28/02A·PAN06/03A·NAP09/03H·PAN13/03H·JUV16/03H·ATA30/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.471.270.270.730.67
vs Stronger (6)0.670.670.670.330.671.00
vs Similar (16)1.190.381.440.220.860.57
vs Weaker (8)0.880.501.330.330.600.60
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AC MilanAC Milan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D10W01L11D02L11D31W20W10WA·EMP08/02A·FEY12/02H·HEL15/02H·FEY18/02A·TOR22/02A·BOL27/02H·LAZ02/03A·LEC08/03H·COM15/03A·NAP30/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.630.730.471.000.80
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (15)0.670.670.670.560.670.83
vs Weaker (14)1.070.640.830.331.250.88
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FiorentinaFiorentina

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L01L01L00D01L11D11D10W00DH·INT06/02A·INT10/02H·COM16/02A·HEL23/02H·LEC28/02A·PAN06/03A·NAP09/03H·PAN13/03H·JUV16/03H·ATA30/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.631.000.670.930.60
vs Stronger (6)1.000.831.330.670.671.00
vs Similar (16)0.750.691.000.780.430.57
vs Weaker (8)1.380.380.670.331.800.40
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.570.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

AC Milan
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christian Pulišić29%
Santiago Giménez26%
Álvaro Morata26%
Tijjani Reijnders25%
Rafael Leão22%
Tammy Abraham19%
Luka Jović18%
João Félix14%
Samuel Chukwueze11%
Theo Hernández9%
Davide Calabria8%
Noah Okafor6%
Strahinja Pavlović6%
Matteo Gabbia6%
Malick Thiaw3%
Youssouf Fofana2%
Kyle Walker0%
Emerson Royal0%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek0%
Ismaël Bennacer0%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Yunus Musah0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Warren Bondo0%
Álex Jiménez0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Francesco Camarda0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Álvaro Morata35%
Ismaël Bennacer29%
Filippo Terracciano25%
Davide Calabria23%
Álex Jiménez23%
Fikayo Tomori21%
Emerson Royal21%
Warren Bondo20%
João Félix19%
Yunus Musah18%
Theo Hernández17%
Santiago Giménez16%
Rafael Leão14%
Matteo Gabbia14%
Youssouf Fofana14%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek11%
Malick Thiaw10%
Strahinja Pavlović9%
Francesco Camarda7%
Christian Pulišić6%
Kyle Walker6%
Luka Jović6%
Tijjani Reijnders6%
Samuel Chukwueze6%
Mike Maignan4%
Tammy Abraham2%
Marco Sportiello0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Noah Okafor0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rafael Leão20%
Christian Pulišić19%
Youssouf Fofana18%
Santiago Giménez16%
Ismaël Bennacer14%
Tammy Abraham14%
Noah Okafor12%
Theo Hernández9%
Samuel Chukwueze8%
Tijjani Reijnders8%
Álex Jiménez8%
Fikayo Tomori6%
Yunus Musah5%
Álvaro Morata4%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek4%
Malick Thiaw3%
Strahinja Pavlović3%
João Félix0%
Kyle Walker0%
Emerson Royal0%
Davide Calabria0%
Luka Jović0%
Mike Maignan0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Warren Bondo0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Francesco Camarda0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
João Félix29%
Rafael Leão14%
Tijjani Reijnders13%
Álvaro Morata13%
Theo Hernández11%
Santiago Giménez11%
Christian Pulišić10%
Tammy Abraham7%
Youssouf Fofana4%
Álex Jiménez4%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek4%
Matteo Gabbia3%
Samuel Chukwueze3%
Yunus Musah3%
Kyle Walker0%
Emerson Royal0%
Davide Calabria0%
Luka Jović0%
Ismaël Bennacer0%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Strahinja Pavlović0%
Noah Okafor0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Warren Bondo0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Francesco Camarda0%
Fiorentina
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Moise Kean48%
Lucas Martínez Quarta25%
Rolando Mandragora21%
Albert Guðmundsson21%
Robin Gosens17%
Riccardo Sottil16%
Yacine Adli14%
Jonathan Ikoné13%
Lucas Beltrán13%
Nicolò Fagioli10%
Cristiano Biraghi8%
Edoardo Bove7%
Luca Ranieri6%
Danilo Cataldi6%
Amir Richardson5%
Fabiano Parisi5%
Christian Kouamé4%
Andrea Colpani3%
Pietro Comuzzo2%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
Nicolò Zaniolo0%
David De Gea0%
Marin Pongračić0%
Pietro Terracciano0%
Dodô0%
Pablo Marí0%
Michael Folorunsho0%
Cher Ndour0%
Michael Kayode0%
Matias Moreno0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Michael Folorunsho42%
Nicolò Zaniolo31%
Dodô26%
Marin Pongračić25%
Lucas Martínez Quarta25%
Matias Moreno25%
Rolando Mandragora21%
Luca Ranieri21%
Moise Kean20%
Edoardo Bove20%
Amir Richardson18%
Robin Gosens17%
Pietro Comuzzo16%
Cristiano Biraghi15%
Pablo Marí15%
Fabiano Parisi15%
Christian Kouamé15%
Lucas Beltrán13%
Cher Ndour11%
Yacine Adli9%
Riccardo Sottil8%
Danilo Cataldi6%
Albert Guðmundsson6%
Nicolò Fagioli5%
Andrea Colpani3%
David De Gea2%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
Jonathan Ikoné0%
Pietro Terracciano0%
Michael Kayode0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yacine Adli20%
Edoardo Bove20%
Robin Gosens20%
Christian Kouamé19%
Rolando Mandragora14%
Dodô11%
Lucas Beltrán9%
Luca Ranieri8%
Michael Kayode8%
Riccardo Sottil8%
Cristiano Biraghi8%
Moise Kean7%
Albert Guðmundsson6%
Michael Folorunsho5%
Fabiano Parisi5%
Nicolò Fagioli5%
Jonathan Ikoné4%
Marin Pongračić4%
Andrea Colpani3%
Amir Richardson3%
David De Gea2%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
Nicolò Zaniolo0%
Danilo Cataldi0%
Lucas Martínez Quarta0%
Pietro Terracciano0%
Pablo Marí0%
Cher Ndour0%
Pietro Comuzzo0%
Matias Moreno0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Moise Kean57%
Christian Kouamé15%
Riccardo Sottil12%
Rolando Mandragora12%
Michael Folorunsho11%
Jonathan Ikoné9%
Andrea Colpani6%
Lucas Martínez Quarta6%
Robin Gosens5%
Albert Guðmundsson3%
Pietro Comuzzo2%
Lucas Beltrán2%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
Nicolò Zaniolo0%
Nicolò Fagioli0%
David De Gea0%
Marin Pongračić0%
Yacine Adli0%
Danilo Cataldi0%
Pietro Terracciano0%
Cristiano Biraghi0%
Luca Ranieri0%
Dodô0%
Pablo Marí0%
Fabiano Parisi0%
Edoardo Bove0%
Cher Ndour0%
Amir Richardson0%
Michael Kayode0%
Matias Moreno0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
VEN (36)
€117m
LEC (31)
€72m
MON (29)
€70m
HV (34)
€57m
EMP (27)
€20m
AC Milan's squad is €255m more valuable than Fiorentina's (€585m vs €330m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
VEN (9)
€39m
PAR (8)
€35m
MON (11)
€26m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
EMP (9)
€11m
AC Milan's attack is €98m more valuable than Fiorentina's (€223m vs €125m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
VEN (11)
€31m
CAG (9)
€31m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
HV (9)
€14m
EMP (9)
€6m
AC Milan's midfield is €46m more valuable than Fiorentina's (€153m vs €107m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
COM (14)
€144m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
CAG (11)
€52m
VEN (16)
€47m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
MON (11)
€20m
EMP (9)
€4m
AC Milan's defence is €111m more valuable than Fiorentina's (€209m vs €98m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
AM wins
0
Draws
3
FIO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

AC Milan vs Fiorentina · H/A from AM
DateH/AGameScore
06/10/24AFiorentina Vs AM2-1
30/03/24AFiorentina Vs AM1-2
25/11/23HAM Vs Fiorentina1-0
04/03/23AFiorentina Vs AM2-1
13/11/22HAM Vs Fiorentina2-1
01/05/22HAM Vs Fiorentina1-0
20/11/21AFiorentina Vs AM4-3
21/03/21AFiorentina Vs AM2-3

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/03/25ANapoli Vs AM2-1
15/03/25HAM Vs Como2-1
08/03/25ALecce Vs AM2-3
02/03/25HAM Vs Lazio1-2
27/02/25ABologna Vs AM2-1
22/02/25ATorino Vs AM2-1
18/02/25HAM Vs Feyenoord1-1
15/02/25HAM Vs Hellas Verona1-0
12/02/25AFeyenoord Vs AM1-0
08/02/25AEmpoli Vs AM0-2

FiorentinaFiorentina

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/03/25HFIO Vs Atalanta1-0
16/03/25HFIO Vs Juventus3-0
13/03/25HFIO Vs Panathinaikos3-1
09/03/25ANapoli Vs FIO2-1
06/03/25APanathinaikos Vs FIO3-2
28/02/25HFIO Vs Lecce1-0
23/02/25AHellas Verona Vs FIO1-0
16/02/25HFIO Vs Como0-2
10/02/25AInter Vs FIO2-1
06/02/25HFIO Vs Inter3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL1.46
HomeDWDLW1.73
AwayLLLWL1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%46%33%
AVG goals2.922.853.00
Over 1.5 %78%77%79%
Over 2.5 %64%58%71%
Over 3.5 %30%31%29%
Scored1.601.771.42
Conceded1.321.081.58
BTTS64%58%71%
Clean Sheet26%35%17%
Corners9.829.819.83
Cards4.424.694.12
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWW1.80
HomeLWWWW2.24
AwayWLLLL1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%68%36%
AVG goals3.083.362.80
Over 1.5 %80%84%76%
Over 2.5 %62%72%52%
Over 3.5 %34%40%28%
Scored1.922.281.56
Conceded1.161.081.24
BTTS62%60%64%
Clean Sheet30%32%28%
Corners8.519.048.00
Cards5.064.755.36

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NapoliNapoli3882
63%
2.2
5927+32
2.3
71%
45%
16%
9.4
50%
3.2
41%
23.3
66%
459
2061011521.60.7
55%
2InterInter3881
63%
2.1
7935+44
3.0
79%
55%
39%
9.5
43%
3.3
44%
22.5
49%
694
2202322422.10.9
59%
3AtalantaAtalanta3874
58%
1.9
7837+41
3.0
82%
55%
39%
8.4
24%
3.4
36%
22.4
55%
438
1581281532.11.0
55%
4JuventusJuventus3870
47%
1.8
5835+23
2.4
76%
42%
21%
9.5
53%
3.8
58%
22.9
71%
569
2401401891.50.9
58%
5AS RomaAS Roma3869
53%
1.8
5635+21
2.4
66%
39%
24%
8.5
39%
4.3
59%
24.0
68%
471
1381182151.50.9
54%
6FiorentinaFiorentina3865
50%
1.7
6041+19
2.7
71%
61%
24%
8.0
30%
4.9
81%
27.2
86%
330
125107981.61.1
51%
7LazioLazio3865
47%
1.7
6149+12
2.9
82%
61%
29%
10.4
50%
6.2
92%
24.5
76%
240
6086931.61.3
55%
8AC MilanAC Milan3863
47%
1.7
6143+18
2.7
82%
61%
26%
9.9
53%
4.1
50%
22.7
50%
585
2231532091.61.1
54%
9BolognaBologna3862
42%
1.6
5747+10
2.7
82%
53%
34%
8.2
34%
4.4
70%
31.0
97%
218
10434791.51.2
59%
10ComoComo3849
34%
1.3
4952-3
2.7
84%
45%
24%
8.3
39%
5.1
74%
27.6
95%
488
261831441.31.4
55%
11TorinoTorino3844
26%
1.2
3945-6
2.2
68%
26%
21%
9.3
50%
3.9
61%
23.6
63%
144
4346541.01.2
47%
12UdineseUdinese3844
32%
1.2
4156-15
2.6
74%
50%
24%
10.0
61%
4.3
65%
24.9
76%
157
4639721.11.5
47%
13GenoaGenoa3843
26%
1.1
3749-12
2.3
68%
39%
21%
9.4
42%
4.1
64%
25.7
79%
182
5444841.01.3
46%
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3837
26%
1.0
3466-32
2.6
68%
47%
26%
9.3
47%
4.4
65%
25.1
66%
57
1314300.91.7
38%
15ParmaParma3836
18%
0.9
4458-14
2.7
71%
55%
39%
10.3
68%
4.4
55%
23.4
61%
142
3560461.21.5
44%
16CagliariCagliari3836
24%
0.9
4056-16
2.5
76%
50%
21%
9.8
50%
3.8
53%
24.3
66%
134
5131521.11.5
45%
17LecceLecce3834
21%
0.9
2758-31
2.2
58%
39%
24%
10.4
47%
4.1
61%
24.2
68%
72
2016370.71.5
44%
18EmpoliEmpoli3831
16%
0.8
3359-26
2.4
74%
47%
21%
9.6
50%
3.9
46%
27.8
84%
20
11640.91.6
41%
19VeneziaVenezia3829
13%
0.8
3256-24
2.3
68%
42%
24%
9.6
47%
3.9
45%
26.3
79%
117
3931470.81.5
45%
20MonzaMonza3818
8%
0.5
2869-41
2.6
79%
50%
24%
8.7
45%
4.2
58%
28.3
84%
70
2624200.71.8
49%
Italy: Serie A 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches