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AC Milan vs Lazio Result & Analysis

Date: 30/09/2023
Time: 16:00
Final 2-0
AC Milan
AC Milan
Vs
44%
28%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lazio
Lazio
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AC Milan win✓ Hit
44.1%
Avg Implied 54.2% · @ 1.77
Edge
-10.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied 25.9% · @ 3.70
Edge
+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lazio win✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied 19.8% · @ 4.84
Edge
+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W10W31W20W41W21W15L00D10W31WH·SAM20/05A·JUV28/05H·HEL04/06A·BOL21/08H·TOR26/08A·AS 01/09A·INT16/09H·NEW19/09H·HEL23/09A·CAG27/09
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.831.600.471.271.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.130.871.000.331.221.22
vs Weaker (15)1.730.802.000.561.331.17
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Lazio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LazioLazio

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W32W20W12L01L21W13L11D11D20WA·UDI21/05H·CRE28/05A·EMP03/06A·LEC20/08H·GEN27/08A·NAP02/09A·JUV16/09H·ATL19/09H·MON23/09H·TOR27/09
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.931.200.931.200.93
vs Stronger (4)1.252.001.501.001.003.00
vs Similar (10)0.901.001.001.000.801.00
vs Weaker (16)1.380.621.250.881.500.38
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.4%
Under 1.5
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.1%
@ 2.00+0.3%
Under 2.5
51.9%
@ 1.83-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.3%
Under 3.5
73.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.2%
No
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.7%
2-0 ✓
8.1%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
AC Milan goals ↓
Lazio goals →
01234
08.7%7.1%4.7%1.7%0.5%
19.8%14%6.9%2.6%0.7%
28.1%9.1%5.1%1.9%0.5%
34.0%4.5%2.5%0.9%0.3%
41.5%1.7%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AC Milan goals (down), columns = Lazio goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter
2.47
AC Milan
1.97
Juventus
1.87
Atalanta
1.82
Bologna
1.79
AS Roma
1.66
Lazio
1.61
Fiorentina
1.58
Napoli
1.39
Torino
1.39
Genoa
1.29
Monza
1.18
Lecce
1.00
Hellas Verona
1.00
Udinese
0.97
Cagliari
0.95
Empoli
0.95
Frosinone
0.92
Sassuolo
0.79
Salernitana
0.45
AC Milan is 0.37 points better than Lazio in terms of average points per game (1.97 vs 1.61).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter
2.34
AC Milan
2.00
Atalanta
1.89
AS Roma
1.71
Fiorentina
1.61
Napoli
1.45
Bologna
1.42
Juventus
1.42
Lazio
1.29
Genoa
1.18
Frosinone
1.16
Sassuolo
1.13
Cagliari
1.11
Monza
1.03
Hellas Verona
1.00
Udinese
0.97
Torino
0.95
Salernitana
0.84
Lecce
0.84
Empoli
0.76
AC Milan is 0.71 goals better than Lazio in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.29).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Inter
0.58
Juventus
0.82
Bologna
0.84
Torino
0.95
Lazio
1.03
Atalanta
1.11
Genoa
1.18
Fiorentina
1.21
AS Roma
1.21
Napoli
1.26
AC Milan
1.29
Monza
1.34
Hellas Verona
1.34
Udinese
1.39
Lecce
1.42
Empoli
1.42
Cagliari
1.79
Frosinone
1.82
Sassuolo
1.97
Salernitana
2.13
AC Milan is 0.26 goals worse than Lazio in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.03).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Napoli
61%
Bologna
58%
Fiorentina
58%
Inter
57%
AC Milan
57%
AS Roma
55%
Monza
54%
Lazio
53%
Torino
52%
Atalanta
51%
Frosinone
50%
Juventus
48%
Lecce
45%
Hellas Verona
44%
Salernitana
44%
Genoa
44%
Empoli
44%
Sassuolo
44%
Cagliari
42%
Udinese
39%
AC Milan is 3.6 percentage points better than Lazio in terms of average possession (57% vs 53%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AC MilanAC Milan

For 3.2 · Against 4.3 · Total 7.5

🚩 Corners

1705323615532163352311685758398517A·CAGH·HELH·NEWA·INTA·AS H·TORA·BOLA·INTH·INTA·NAP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

70134241225223224221224654754634A·CAGH·HELH·NEWA·INTA·AS H·TORA·BOLA·INTH·INTA·NAP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 13.8 · Total 26.5

⚠️ Fouls

3706131211161313161514131641022151416121419232929292914373026A·CAGH·HELH·NEWA·INTA·AS H·TORA·BOLA·INTH·INTA·NAP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LazioLazio

For 5.6 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.5

🚩 Corners

16042131159727151252451546416169167669H·TORH·MONH·ATLA·JUVA·NAPH·GENA·LECA·AZ H·AZ A·CFR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.5

🟨 Cards

701422231524223212255456265327H·TORH·MONH·ATLA·JUVA·NAPH·GENA·LECA·AZ H·AZ A·CFR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 11.9 · Total 22.7

⚠️ Fouls

28012131376121313989161612118121571525201826172528192722H·TORH·MONH·ATLA·JUVA·NAPH·GENA·LECA·AZ H·AZ A·CFR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AC MilanAC Milan

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)7.66.78.41.81.91.726.026.026.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (26)7.97.48.42.72.82.727.426.028.7
vs Weaker (24)6.24.08.50.80.90.721.226.016.5
% over line17%22%11%28%24%32%72%78%67%
% under line83%78%89%72%76%68%28%22%33%
This opponent (Lazio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LazioLazio

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.58.68.41.91.91.823.623.423.9
vs Stronger (5)16.016.016.02.22.52.022.018.026.0
vs Similar (21)6.66.07.02.32.32.322.822.523.0
vs Weaker (24)8.89.28.01.41.61.225.525.825.0
% over line24%33%12%24%28%20%71%67%75%
% under line76%67%88%76%72%80%29%33%25%
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Salernitana
10.6
Empoli
10.5
Sassuolo
10.5
Frosinone
10.5
Udinese
10.3
Monza
10.1
Inter
9.8
Juventus
9.7
Napoli
9.7
Lecce
9.4
Atalanta
9.3
Bologna
9.3
Cagliari
9.2
AS Roma
9.2
Hellas Verona
9.2
Genoa
8.9
AC Milan
8.7
Torino
8.6
Fiorentina
8.6
Lazio
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
AS Roma
6.1
Frosinone
5.7
Lazio
5.4
Lecce
5.3
Monza
5.2
Salernitana
5.2
Udinese
5.0
Hellas Verona
5.0
Fiorentina
5.0
Torino
5.0
Bologna
4.8
AC Milan
4.8
Napoli
4.8
Genoa
4.8
Juventus
4.8
Atalanta
4.7
Sassuolo
4.5
Cagliari
4.5
Empoli
4.4
Inter
3.7

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Lecce
30.5
Monza
29.8
Frosinone
29.8
Torino
28.8
Hellas Verona
28.0
Salernitana
28.0
Udinese
27.5
Genoa
27.4
Cagliari
26.9
Fiorentina
26.5
Empoli
26.2
AC Milan
26.1
Juventus
25.9
Atalanta
25.8
AS Roma
25.6
Bologna
25.4
Napoli
25.3
Sassuolo
25.2
Lazio
24.0
Inter
23.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
35.4%
Under 9.5
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
72.7%
Under 3.5
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
76.7%
Under 21.5
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AC MilanAC Milan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W10W10W20W31W10W02L00D10W21WH·SAM20/05A·JUV28/05H·HEL04/06A·BOL21/08H·TOR26/08A·AS 01/09A·INT16/09H·NEW19/09H·HEL23/09A·CAG27/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.331.000.270.800.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.670.270.830.330.560.22
vs Weaker (15)1.130.401.110.221.170.67
Clean sheet %77% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Lazio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LazioLazio

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W00D10W01L11D02L01L11D00DA·UDI21/05H·CRE28/05A·EMP03/06A·LEC20/08H·GEN27/08A·NAP02/09A·JUV16/09H·ATL19/09H·MON23/09H·TOR27/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.470.600.530.470.40
vs Stronger (4)0.501.000.501.000.501.00
vs Similar (10)0.500.600.600.400.400.80
vs Weaker (16)0.560.250.620.500.500.00
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lazio over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lazio over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lazio over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AC MilanAC Milan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D21W00D10W11D13L00D00D10WH·SAM20/05A·JUV28/05H·HEL04/06A·BOL21/08H·TOR26/08A·AS 01/09A·INT16/09H·NEW19/09H·HEL23/09A·CAG27/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.500.600.200.470.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.470.600.170.000.671.00
vs Weaker (15)0.600.400.890.330.170.50
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Lazio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LazioLazio

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W12L20W02L00D10W11D10W00D20WA·UDI21/05H·CRE28/05A·EMP03/06A·LEC20/08H·GEN27/08A·NAP02/09A·JUV16/09H·ATL19/09H·MON23/09H·TOR27/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.470.600.400.730.53
vs Stronger (4)0.751.001.000.000.502.00
vs Similar (10)0.400.400.400.600.400.20
vs Weaker (16)0.810.380.620.381.000.38
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lazio over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lazio over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lazio over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls87.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards87.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners84.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls76.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners75.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards72.7%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

AC Milan
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chaka Traorè33%
Olivier Giroud33%
Christian Pulišić29%
Rafael Leão29%
Luka Jović25%
Jan-Carlo Simić25%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek21%
Noah Okafor17%
Matteo Gabbia12%
Fikayo Tomori11%
Theo Hernández11%
Samuel Chukwueze9%
Tijjani Reijnders8%
Ismaël Bennacer8%
Yacine Adli3%
Alessandro Florenzi3%
Davide Calabria3%
Simon Kjær0%
Mike Maignan0%
Rade Krunić0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Tommaso Pobega0%
Yunus Musah0%
Pierre Kalulu0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Luka Romero0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Álex Jiménez0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Kevin Zeroli0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rade Krunić36%
Álex Jiménez33%
Fikayo Tomori31%
Matteo Gabbia29%
Theo Hernández27%
Luka Romero25%
Yunus Musah23%
Alessandro Florenzi21%
Malick Thiaw20%
Filippo Terracciano20%
Tijjani Reijnders19%
Davide Calabria18%
Yacine Adli16%
Rafael Leão16%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek15%
Luka Jović14%
Pierre Kalulu9%
Ismaël Bennacer8%
Mike Maignan7%
Christian Pulišić6%
Olivier Giroud4%
Simon Kjær4%
Samuel Chukwueze3%
Noah Okafor3%
Marco Sportiello0%
Tommaso Pobega0%
Chaka Traorè0%
Jan-Carlo Simić0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Kevin Zeroli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rafael Leão24%
Olivier Giroud20%
Christian Pulišić19%
Theo Hernández18%
Alessandro Florenzi15%
Davide Calabria10%
Samuel Chukwueze9%
Noah Okafor8%
Ismaël Bennacer8%
Tijjani Reijnders6%
Yunus Musah5%
Simon Kjær4%
Matteo Gabbia4%
Luka Jović4%
Malick Thiaw3%
Yacine Adli3%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek3%
Mike Maignan2%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Rade Krunić0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Tommaso Pobega0%
Pierre Kalulu0%
Luka Romero0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Chaka Traorè0%
Álex Jiménez0%
Jan-Carlo Simić0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Kevin Zeroli0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Olivier Giroud35%
Rafael Leão20%
Alessandro Florenzi13%
Theo Hernández11%
Christian Pulišić8%
Noah Okafor6%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek5%
Luka Jović4%
Tijjani Reijnders2%
Yacine Adli0%
Davide Calabria0%
Samuel Chukwueze0%
Simon Kjær0%
Ismaël Bennacer0%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Rade Krunić0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Tommaso Pobega0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Yunus Musah0%
Pierre Kalulu0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Luka Romero0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Chaka Traorè0%
Álex Jiménez0%
Jan-Carlo Simić0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Kevin Zeroli0%
Lazio
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ciro Immobile26%
Matías Vecino19%
Mattia Zaccagni18%
Luis Alberto12%
Gustav Isaksen9%
Felipe Anderson9%
Patric8%
Pedro7%
Valentín Castellanos7%
Daichi Kamada6%
Mattéo Guendouzi5%
Luca Pellegrini4%
Danilo Cataldi3%
Ivan Provedel3%
Adam Marušić2%
Elseid Hysaj0%
Alessio Romagnoli0%
Christos Mandas0%
Nicolò Rovella0%
Manuel Lazzari0%
Nicolò Casale0%
Mario Gila Fuentes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nicolò Rovella35%
Alessio Romagnoli31%
Luca Pellegrini30%
Matías Vecino30%
Danilo Cataldi27%
Nicolò Casale27%
Mattia Zaccagni26%
Patric24%
Ciro Immobile23%
Luis Alberto20%
Pedro15%
Manuel Lazzari13%
Mattéo Guendouzi12%
Mario Gila Fuentes12%
Valentín Castellanos10%
Adam Marušić9%
Gustav Isaksen9%
Daichi Kamada8%
Elseid Hysaj7%
Felipe Anderson7%
Christos Mandas0%
Ivan Provedel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Luis Alberto17%
Felipe Anderson13%
Mattéo Guendouzi10%
Nicolò Rovella8%
Valentín Castellanos7%
Manuel Lazzari6%
Gustav Isaksen6%
Daichi Kamada6%
Mattia Zaccagni3%
Alessio Romagnoli3%
Matías Vecino3%
Ciro Immobile3%
Pedro2%
Elseid Hysaj0%
Patric0%
Adam Marušić0%
Danilo Cataldi0%
Christos Mandas0%
Luca Pellegrini0%
Ivan Provedel0%
Nicolò Casale0%
Mario Gila Fuentes0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ciro Immobile15%
Luis Alberto12%
Valentín Castellanos7%
Mattia Zaccagni6%
Manuel Lazzari3%
Gustav Isaksen3%
Daichi Kamada3%
Matías Vecino3%
Felipe Anderson2%
Elseid Hysaj0%
Mattéo Guendouzi0%
Alessio Romagnoli0%
Patric0%
Adam Marušić0%
Danilo Cataldi0%
Pedro0%
Christos Mandas0%
Luca Pellegrini0%
Nicolò Rovella0%
Ivan Provedel0%
Nicolò Casale0%
Mario Gila Fuentes0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
SAS (38)
€194m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
CAG (31)
€134m
FRO (33)
€84m
LEC (31)
€72m
MON (29)
€70m
HV (34)
€57m
EMP (27)
€20m
AC Milan's squad is €345m more valuable than Lazio's (€585m vs €240m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
SAS (12)
€90m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
FRO (8)
€34m
MON (11)
€26m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
EMP (9)
€11m
AC Milan's attack is €163m more valuable than Lazio's (€223m vs €60m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
SAS (9)
€53m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
CAG (9)
€31m
FRO (11)
€27m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
HV (9)
€14m
EMP (9)
€6m
AC Milan's midfield is €66m more valuable than Lazio's (€153m vs €86m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
SAS (17)
€52m
CAG (11)
€52m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
FRO (14)
€24m
MON (11)
€20m
EMP (9)
€4m
AC Milan's defence is €116m more valuable than Lazio's (€209m vs €93m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
AM wins
0
Draws
3
LAZ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

AC Milan vs Lazio · H/A from AM
DateH/AGameScore
06/05/23HAM Vs Lazio2-0
24/01/23ALazio Vs AM4-0
24/04/22ALazio Vs AM1-2
12/09/21HAM Vs Lazio2-0
26/04/21ALazio Vs AM3-0
23/12/20HAM Vs Lazio3-2
04/07/20ALazio Vs AM0-3
03/11/19HAM Vs Lazio1-2

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/23ACagliari Vs AM1-3
23/09/23HAM Vs Hellas Verona1-0
19/09/23HAM Vs Newcastle0-0
16/09/23AInter Vs AM5-1
01/09/23AAS Roma Vs AM1-2
26/08/23HAM Vs Torino4-1
21/08/23ABologna Vs AM0-2
04/06/23HAM Vs Hellas Verona3-1
28/05/23AJuventus Vs AM0-1
20/05/23HAM Vs Sampdoria5-1

LazioLazio

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/23HLAZ Vs Torino2-0
23/09/23HLAZ Vs Monza1-1
19/09/23HLAZ Vs Atletico Madrid1-1
16/09/23AJuventus Vs LAZ3-1
02/09/23ANapoli Vs LAZ1-2
27/08/23HLAZ Vs Genoa0-1
20/08/23ALecce Vs LAZ2-1
03/06/23AEmpoli Vs LAZ0-2
28/05/23HLAZ Vs Cremonese3-2
21/05/23AUdinese Vs LAZ0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWW1.78
HomeWWWDW2.12
AwayWWWLW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%64%40%
AVG goals2.682.722.64
Over 1.5 %76%76%76%
Over 2.5 %50%44%56%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored1.581.841.32
Conceded1.100.881.32
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet36%44%28%
Corners7.566.678.44
Cards5.005.224.78
Lazio
Lazio
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDDW1.72
HomeWLDDW1.84
AwayWWLWL1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%52%48%
AVG goals2.442.562.32
Over 1.5 %72%72%72%
Over 2.5 %44%44%44%
Over 3.5 %26%32%20%
Scored1.461.601.32
Conceded0.980.961.00
BTTS40%48%32%
Clean Sheet48%40%56%
Corners8.478.568.38
Cards5.535.335.75

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1InterInter3894
76%
2.5
8922+67
2.9
84%
55%
34%
9.8
47%
3.4
41%
22.1
58%
694
2202322422.30.6
57%
2AC MilanAC Milan3875
58%
2.0
7649+27
3.3
74%
66%
50%
9.0
39%
4.9
66%
22.6
50%
585
2231532092.01.3
57%
3JuventusJuventus3871
50%
1.9
5431+23
2.2
63%
39%
18%
9.6
53%
4.3
59%
23.1
63%
569
2401401891.40.8
48%
4AtalantaAtalanta3869
55%
1.8
7242+30
3.0
89%
66%
29%
9.4
42%
4.0
56%
23.2
63%
438
1581281531.91.1
51%
5BolognaBologna3868
47%
1.8
5432+22
2.3
74%
42%
16%
8.7
34%
5.5
82%
25.3
74%
218
10434791.40.8
58%
6AS RomaAS Roma3863
47%
1.7
6546+19
2.9
79%
61%
34%
8.8
42%
5.2
71%
24.0
66%
471
1381182151.71.2
55%
7LazioLazio3861
47%
1.6
4939+10
2.3
68%
39%
21%
9.8
39%
5.4
79%
24.5
71%
240
6086931.31.0
53%
8FiorentinaFiorentina3860
45%
1.6
6146+15
2.8
74%
53%
34%
8.3
32%
4.3
63%
24.7
76%
330
125107981.61.2
58%
9NapoliNapoli3853
34%
1.4
5548+7
2.7
79%
55%
32%
9.8
58%
4.7
69%
22.6
66%
459
2061011521.41.3
61%
10TorinoTorino3853
34%
1.4
3636+0
1.9
63%
32%
11%
8.4
42%
4.3
68%
23.8
66%
144
4346540.90.9
52%
11GenoaGenoa3849
32%
1.3
4545+0
2.4
68%
42%
18%
9.1
45%
4.7
68%
23.7
74%
182
5444841.21.2
44%
12MonzaMonza3845
29%
1.2
3951-12
2.4
66%
39%
21%
9.5
50%
4.6
62%
23.4
53%
70
2624201.01.3
54%
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3838
24%
1.0
3851-13
2.3
63%
50%
24%
9.4
45%
4.7
76%
26.8
76%
57
1314301.01.3
44%
14LecceLecce3838
21%
1.0
3254-22
2.3
74%
37%
18%
9.5
47%
5.1
70%
26.6
87%
72
2016370.81.4
45%
15UdineseUdinese3837
16%
1.0
3753-16
2.4
79%
37%
21%
10.7
68%
5.0
70%
24.8
79%
157
4639721.01.4
39%
16EmpoliEmpoli3836
24%
0.9
2954-25
2.2
63%
32%
13%
10.8
68%
4.3
71%
27.7
89%
20
11640.81.4
44%
17CagliariCagliari3836
21%
0.9
4268-26
2.9
84%
58%
32%
10.3
53%
4.5
58%
23.8
66%
134
5131521.11.8
42%
18FrosinoneFrosinone3835
21%
0.9
4469-25
3.0
79%
61%
37%
10.3
66%
4.2
70%
22.9
63%
84
3427241.21.8
50%
19SassuoloSassuolo3830
18%
0.8
4375-32
3.1
79%
55%
32%
10.7
66%
4.1
65%
21.3
39%
194
9053521.12.0
44%
20SalernitanaSalernitana3817
5%
0.4
3281-49
3.0
87%
66%
32%
10.9
68%
4.6
63%
24.9
84%
0
0000.82.1
44%
Italy: Serie A 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches