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AC Milan vs Lecce Result & Analysis

Date: 18/01/2026
Time: 19:45
Final 1-0
AC Milan
AC Milan
Vs
57%
27%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lecce
Lecce
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AC Milan win✓ Hit
57.3%
Avg Implied 73.9% · @ 1.27
Edge
-16.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied 18.0% · @ 5.21
Edge
+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lecce win✗ Miss
15.2%
Avg Implied 8.1% · @ 11.59
Edge
+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D10W10W32W22D30W10W11D11D31WA·PAR08/11A·INT23/11H·LAZ29/11A·TOR08/12H·SAS14/12H·HEL28/12A·CAG02/01H·GEN08/01A·FIO11/01A·COM15/01
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.730.901.670.931.800.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.291.001.430.861.141.14
vs Weaker (16)2.120.811.881.002.380.62
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Lecce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LecceLecce

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L21W02L10W03L11D02L12L01LH·HEL08/11A·LAZ23/11H·TOR30/11A·CRE07/12H·PIS12/12H·COM27/12A·JUV03/01H·AS 06/01H·PAR11/01A·INT14/01
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.330.561.310.791.36
vs Stronger (15)0.401.600.001.860.751.38
vs Similar (15)0.931.071.000.890.831.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.1%
Under 1.5
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.3%
@ 1.85-11.3%
Under 2.5
60.7%
@ 1.90+11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.3%
Under 3.5
80.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
40.7%
No
59.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0 ✓
15.2%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
12.5%
0-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
AC Milan goals ↓
Lecce goals →
01234
012%6.1%2.5%0.6%0.1%
115%12%3.9%0.9%0.2%
213%8.9%3.1%0.7%0.1%
36.7%4.6%1.6%0.4%0.1%
42.6%1.8%0.6%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AC Milan goals (down), columns = Lecce goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter
2.29
Napoli
2.00
AS Roma
1.92
Como
1.87
AC Milan
1.84
Juventus
1.82
Atalanta
1.55
Bologna
1.47
Lazio
1.42
Udinese
1.32
Sassuolo
1.29
Torino
1.18
Parma
1.18
Cagliari
1.13
Fiorentina
1.11
Genoa
1.08
Lecce
1.00
Cremonese
0.89
Hellas Verona
0.55
Pisa
0.47
AC Milan is 0.84 points better than Lecce in terms of average points per game (1.84 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter
2.34
Como
1.71
Juventus
1.61
AS Roma
1.55
Napoli
1.53
AC Milan
1.39
Atalanta
1.34
Bologna
1.29
Sassuolo
1.21
Udinese
1.18
Torino
1.16
Genoa
1.08
Fiorentina
1.08
Lazio
1.08
Cagliari
1.05
Cremonese
0.84
Lecce
0.74
Parma
0.74
Pisa
0.68
Hellas Verona
0.66
AC Milan is 0.66 goals better than Lecce in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 0.74).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Como
0.76
AS Roma
0.82
Juventus
0.89
Inter
0.92
AC Milan
0.92
Napoli
0.95
Atalanta
0.95
Lazio
1.05
Bologna
1.21
Parma
1.21
Udinese
1.26
Fiorentina
1.32
Lecce
1.32
Sassuolo
1.32
Genoa
1.34
Cagliari
1.39
Cremonese
1.50
Hellas Verona
1.61
Torino
1.66
Pisa
1.87
AC Milan is 0.39 goals better than Lecce in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Como
62%
Inter
60%
Napoli
59%
Juventus
58%
AS Roma
56%
Atalanta
55%
Bologna
55%
AC Milan
52%
Fiorentina
51%
Lazio
50%
Genoa
49%
Cremonese
46%
Sassuolo
46%
Udinese
46%
Cagliari
46%
Torino
44%
Parma
44%
Lecce
42%
Pisa
40%
Hellas Verona
40%
AC Milan is 10.2 percentage points better than Lecce in terms of average possession (52% vs 42%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AC MilanAC Milan

For 5.1 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

13048581217673734214193412131313101065107A·COMA·FIOH·GENA·CAGH·HELH·SASA·TORH·LAZA·INTA·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

701324112113123421111553143732A·COMA·FIOH·GENA·CAGH·HELH·SASA·TORH·LAZA·INTA·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.2 · Against 11.1 · Total 20.3

⚠️ Fouls

2405714101288105151212716101297101412242018202423221624A·COMA·FIOH·GENA·CAGH·HELH·SASA·TORH·LAZA·INTA·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LecceLecce

For 4.5 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

1403113322110461215566287214641110131012109A·INTH·PARH·AS A·JUVH·COMH·PISA·CREH·TORA·LAZH·HEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

6012513132421212311143643633525A·INTH·PARH·AS A·JUVH·COMH·PISA·CREH·TORA·LAZH·HEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 14.7 · Total 27.2

⚠️ Fouls

38014111617102076102417612151622138101825333013342327382128A·INTH·PARH·AS A·JUVH·COMH·PISA·CREH·TORA·LAZH·HEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AC MilanAC Milan

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.810.19.64.04.63.422.622.822.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (24)9.49.69.24.65.23.921.921.822.0
vs Weaker (26)10.210.69.83.54.02.923.223.822.7
% over line54%64%44%52%72%32%56%56%56%
% under line46%36%56%48%28%68%44%44%44%
This opponent (Lecce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LecceLecce

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.39.910.74.04.13.825.326.524.1
vs Stronger (23)10.69.112.03.73.83.722.423.421.5
vs Similar (27)10.010.59.34.14.34.027.828.726.7
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line56%50%62%58%58%58%72%77%67%
% under line44%50%38%42%42%42%28%23%33%
This opponent (AC Milan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Lecce
10.3
AC Milan
9.8
Juventus
9.8
Inter
9.7
Udinese
9.6
Atalanta
9.6
Genoa
9.5
Lazio
9.4
Cremonese
9.1
Cagliari
9.1
Parma
9.0
Bologna
9.0
Napoli
9.0
Fiorentina
8.7
Torino
8.7
Hellas Verona
8.7
AS Roma
8.6
Sassuolo
8.4
Pisa
8.4
Como
8.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lazio
5.8
Fiorentina
5.1
Como
5.0
Bologna
4.9
Cremonese
4.7
AS Roma
4.5
Genoa
4.3
Parma
4.3
Pisa
4.3
Hellas Verona
4.2
Sassuolo
4.1
Lecce
4.0
AC Milan
4.0
Udinese
3.9
Cagliari
3.9
Torino
3.5
Inter
3.5
Juventus
3.5
Napoli
3.3
Atalanta
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bologna
30.7
Cremonese
29.9
Fiorentina
28.6
Como
27.7
Genoa
27.2
Cagliari
27.0
Pisa
26.7
Sassuolo
26.6
AS Roma
26.2
Hellas Verona
25.7
Lazio
25.5
Udinese
25.4
Lecce
25.3
Torino
24.8
Inter
24.0
Parma
23.9
Napoli
23.6
Juventus
23.6
AC Milan
22.6
Atalanta
21.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.4%
Under 9.5
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
56.7%
Under 3.5
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
70.6%
Under 21.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AC MilanAC Milan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D00D12L11D10W00D01L00D11DA·PAR08/11A·INT23/11H·LAZ29/11A·TOR08/12H·SAS14/12H·HEL28/12A·CAG02/01H·GEN08/01A·FIO11/01A·COM15/01
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.470.530.400.670.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.500.570.570.430.430.71
vs Weaker (16)0.690.380.500.380.880.38
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Lecce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LecceLecce

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L20W00D00D01L10W01L10W00DH·HEL08/11A·LAZ23/11H·TOR30/11A·CRE07/12H·PIS12/12H·COM27/12A·JUV03/01H·AS 06/01H·PAR11/01A·INT14/01
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.500.310.380.430.64
vs Stronger (15)0.270.530.000.570.500.50
vs Similar (15)0.470.470.560.220.330.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AC MilanAC Milan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W10W20W11D20W10W10W11D20WA·PAR08/11A·INT23/11H·LAZ29/11A·TOR08/12H·SAS14/12H·HEL28/12A·CAG02/01H·GEN08/01A·FIO11/01A·COM15/01
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.431.130.531.130.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.790.430.860.430.710.43
vs Weaker (16)1.440.441.380.621.500.25
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Lecce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LecceLecce

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L01L02L10W02L01L01L02L01LH·HEL08/11A·LAZ23/11H·TOR30/11A·CRE07/12H·PIS12/12H·COM27/12A·JUV03/01H·AS 06/01H·PAR11/01A·INT14/01
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.830.250.940.360.71
vs Stronger (15)0.131.070.001.290.250.88
vs Similar (15)0.470.600.440.670.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls83.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.580.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards78.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards76.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners72.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls70.6%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

AC Milan
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rafael Leão29%
Christian Pulišić24%
Christopher Nkunku21%
Adrien Rabiot16%
Strahinja Pavlović14%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek10%
Alexis Saelemaekers8%
Zachary Athekame7%
Youssouf Fofana6%
Luka Modrić6%
Santiago Giménez6%
Niclas Füllkrug5%
Pervis Estupiñán5%
Koni De Winter4%
Davide Bartesaghi3%
Samuele Ricci3%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Ardon Jashari0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
David Odogu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pervis Estupiñán29%
Fikayo Tomori19%
Strahinja Pavlović16%
Adrien Rabiot16%
Rafael Leão16%
Alexis Saelemaekers13%
Matteo Gabbia13%
Samuele Ricci12%
Youssouf Fofana11%
Luka Modrić11%
Santiago Giménez11%
Zachary Athekame11%
Mike Maignan10%
Davide Bartesaghi9%
Koni De Winter7%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek6%
Christian Pulišić0%
Christopher Nkunku0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Ardon Jashari0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
David Odogu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adrien Rabiot13%
Christian Pulišić12%
Samuele Ricci12%
Youssouf Fofana11%
Santiago Giménez11%
Alexis Saelemaekers11%
Rafael Leão10%
Christopher Nkunku9%
Luka Modrić8%
Fikayo Tomori8%
Zachary Athekame7%
Ardon Jashari6%
Pervis Estupiñán5%
Koni De Winter4%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek3%
Davide Bartesaghi3%
Strahinja Pavlović3%
Mike Maignan0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
David Odogu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rafael Leão26%
Christian Pulišić21%
Santiago Giménez17%
Adrien Rabiot13%
Christopher Nkunku12%
Youssouf Fofana11%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek10%
Matteo Gabbia6%
Ardon Jashari6%
Alexis Saelemaekers5%
Samuele Ricci3%
Strahinja Pavlović3%
Luka Modrić0%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Pervis Estupiñán0%
Koni De Winter0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
David Odogu0%
Zachary Athekame0%
Lecce
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lameck Banda15%
Medon Berisha14%
Walid Cheddira12%
Nikola Štulić12%
Omri Gandelman11%
Lassana Coulibaly9%
N'Dri Konan7%
Mohamed Kaba6%
Tiago Gabriel5%
Riccardo Sottil5%
Jamil Siebert5%
Francesco Camarda4%
Ylber Ramadani3%
Santiago Pierotti3%
Corrie Ndaba0%
Gaby Jean0%
Þórir Jóhann Helgason0%
Antonino Gallo0%
Tete Morente0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Alex Sala0%
Balthazar Pierret0%
Sadik Fofana0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Olaf Gorter0%
Christ-Owen Kouassi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ylber Ramadani26%
Kialonda Gaspar24%
Youssef Maleh22%
Danilo Veiga21%
Tiago Gabriel18%
Lameck Banda15%
Gaby Jean14%
Jamil Siebert14%
Walid Cheddira12%
Mohamed Kaba12%
Lassana Coulibaly11%
N'Dri Konan11%
Santiago Pierotti10%
Antonino Gallo8%
Oumar Ngom7%
Tete Morente6%
Wladimiro Falcone5%
Riccardo Sottil5%
Francesco Camarda4%
Nikola Štulić3%
Corrie Ndaba0%
Þórir Jóhann Helgason0%
Omri Gandelman0%
Alex Sala0%
Balthazar Pierret0%
Sadik Fofana0%
Medon Berisha0%
Olaf Gorter0%
Christ-Owen Kouassi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Medon Berisha14%
Lameck Banda12%
Alex Sala11%
Antonino Gallo10%
Riccardo Sottil10%
Walid Cheddira6%
Omri Gandelman5%
Santiago Pierotti5%
Francesco Camarda4%
Lassana Coulibaly3%
Danilo Veiga3%
N'Dri Konan0%
Ylber Ramadani0%
Corrie Ndaba0%
Gaby Jean0%
Þórir Jóhann Helgason0%
Tete Morente0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Balthazar Pierret0%
Mohamed Kaba0%
Jamil Siebert0%
Nikola Štulić0%
Sadik Fofana0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Olaf Gorter0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Christ-Owen Kouassi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Medon Berisha14%
Walid Cheddira12%
Tete Morente6%
Omri Gandelman5%
Lameck Banda3%
Nikola Štulić3%
Santiago Pierotti3%
Lassana Coulibaly0%
N'Dri Konan0%
Ylber Ramadani0%
Corrie Ndaba0%
Gaby Jean0%
Þórir Jóhann Helgason0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Antonino Gallo0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Alex Sala0%
Balthazar Pierret0%
Mohamed Kaba0%
Jamil Siebert0%
Sadik Fofana0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Olaf Gorter0%
Francesco Camarda0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Christ-Owen Kouassi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
SAS (38)
€194m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
LEC (31)
€72m
PIS (36)
€71m
HV (34)
€57m
CRE (30)
€49m
AC Milan's squad is €513m more valuable than Lecce's (€585m vs €72m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
SAS (12)
€90m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
PAR (8)
€35m
PIS (13)
€24m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
CRE (7)
€12m
AC Milan's attack is €203m more valuable than Lecce's (€223m vs €20m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
SAS (9)
€53m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
CAG (9)
€31m
PIS (9)
€26m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
HV (9)
€14m
AC Milan's midfield is €138m more valuable than Lecce's (€153m vs €16m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
COM (14)
€144m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
SAS (17)
€52m
CAG (11)
€52m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
AC Milan's defence is €172m more valuable than Lecce's (€209m vs €37m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
AM wins
2
Draws
0
LEC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

AC Milan vs Lecce · H/A from AM
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/25ALecce Vs AM0-2
08/03/25ALecce Vs AM2-3
27/09/24HAM Vs Lecce3-0
06/04/24HAM Vs Lecce3-0
11/11/23ALecce Vs AM2-2
23/04/23HAM Vs Lecce2-0
14/01/23ALecce Vs AM2-2
22/06/20ALecce Vs AM1-4

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/01/26AComo Vs AM1-3
11/01/26AFiorentina Vs AM1-1
08/01/26HAM Vs Genoa1-1
02/01/26ACagliari Vs AM0-1
28/12/25HAM Vs Hellas Verona3-0
14/12/25HAM Vs Sassuolo2-2
08/12/25ATorino Vs AM2-3
29/11/25HAM Vs Lazio1-0
23/11/25AInter Vs AM0-1
08/11/25AParma Vs AM2-2

LecceLecce

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/01/26AInter Vs LEC1-0
11/01/26HLEC Vs Parma1-2
06/01/26HLEC Vs AS Roma0-2
03/01/26AJuventus Vs LEC1-1
27/12/25HLEC Vs Como0-3
12/12/25HLEC Vs Pisa1-0
07/12/25ACremonese Vs LEC2-0
30/11/25HLEC Vs Torino2-1
23/11/25ALazio Vs LEC2-0
08/11/25HLEC Vs Hellas Verona0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDW1.82
HomeWWDWD1.92
AwayWWWDW1.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%52%52%
AVG goals2.522.402.64
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %52%48%56%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored1.521.481.56
Conceded1.000.921.08
BTTS60%64%56%
Clean Sheet34%32%36%
Corners9.8410.129.56
Cards4.004.603.40
Lecce
Lecce
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL0.92
HomeWWLLL0.88
AwayWLLDL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%19%25%
AVG goals2.101.962.25
Over 1.5 %58%58%58%
Over 2.5 %36%38%33%
Over 3.5 %18%12%25%
Scored0.740.650.83
Conceded1.361.311.42
BTTS42%38%46%
Clean Sheet26%27%25%
Corners10.269.8810.67
Cards4.044.084.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1InterInter3887
71%
2.3
8935+54
3.3
84%
55%
37%
9.2
55%
3.5
38%
24.2
58%
694
2202322422.30.9
60%
2NapoliNapoli3876
61%
2.0
5836+22
2.5
68%
53%
26%
8.2
26%
3.5
42%
23.4
61%
459
2061011521.50.9
59%
3AS RomaAS Roma3873
61%
1.9
5931+28
2.4
66%
37%
18%
8.6
34%
4.1
66%
27.8
89%
471
1381182151.60.8
56%
4ComoComo3871
53%
1.9
6529+36
2.5
71%
45%
24%
7.7
24%
4.6
68%
25.9
79%
488
261831441.70.8
62%
5AC MilanAC Milan3870
53%
1.8
5335+18
2.3
66%
45%
18%
8.6
42%
3.8
58%
21.9
58%
585
2231532091.40.9
52%
6JuventusJuventus3869
50%
1.8
6134+27
2.5
74%
39%
24%
9.2
37%
3.7
59%
22.3
61%
569
2401401891.60.9
58%
7AtalantaAtalanta3859
39%
1.6
5136+15
2.3
74%
37%
18%
9.8
50%
3.4
47%
22.1
53%
438
1581281531.30.9
55%
8BolognaBologna3856
42%
1.5
4946+3
2.5
71%
45%
26%
8.7
34%
4.1
51%
27.8
89%
218
10434791.31.2
55%
9LazioLazio3854
37%
1.4
4140+1
2.1
66%
32%
16%
7.9
29%
4.9
76%
25.1
68%
240
6086931.11.1
50%
10UdineseUdinese3850
37%
1.3
4548-3
2.4
68%
45%
21%
9.3
39%
3.7
53%
25.1
79%
157
4639721.21.3
46%
11SassuoloSassuolo3849
37%
1.3
4650-4
2.5
74%
55%
21%
8.7
50%
4.5
65%
24.9
68%
194
9053521.21.3
46%
12ParmaParma3845
29%
1.2
2846-18
1.9
58%
29%
16%
8.8
37%
3.9
61%
24.3
79%
142
3560460.71.2
44%
13TorinoTorino3845
32%
1.2
4463-19
2.8
74%
63%
29%
8.5
42%
3.5
44%
24.5
68%
144
4346541.21.7
44%
14CagliariCagliari3843
29%
1.1
4053-13
2.4
76%
50%
18%
8.9
37%
4.1
58%
28.6
89%
134
5131521.11.4
46%
15FiorentinaFiorentina3842
24%
1.1
4150-9
2.4
71%
50%
24%
9.0
47%
4.8
78%
28.1
92%
330
125107981.11.3
51%
16GenoaGenoa3841
26%
1.1
4151-10
2.4
76%
53%
16%
8.6
37%
4.5
76%
27.4
87%
182
5444841.11.3
49%
17LecceLecce3838
26%
1.0
2850-22
2.1
61%
37%
13%
9.6
58%
3.8
50%
26.7
74%
72
2016370.71.3
42%
18CremoneseCremonese3834
21%
0.9
3257-25
2.3
68%
45%
24%
9.5
47%
3.8
46%
26.4
84%
49
1215220.81.5
46%
19Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3821
8%
0.6
2561-36
2.3
68%
50%
21%
9.0
42%
4.1
54%
25.3
74%
57
1314300.71.6
40%
20PisaPisa3818
5%
0.5
2671-45
2.6
66%
53%
32%
8.4
37%
3.8
53%
24.7
79%
71
2426220.71.9
40%
Italy: Serie A 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches