This opponent (Grenoble) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grenoble
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.33
1.29
1.21
1.12
1.44
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.20
0.33
1.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (22)
1.27
1.45
1.50
1.30
1.08
1.58
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
0.67
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajaccio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
60.7%
Under 1.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
32.5%
@ 2.30-8.3%
Under 2.5
67.5%
@ 1.58+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.4%
Under 3.5
85.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
37.7%
No
62.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
16.5%
0-0
14.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-0
11.6%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
3-0
5.1%
1-2 ✓
4.2%
Ajaccio goals ↓
Grenoble goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
8.1%
3.2%
0.7%
0.1%
1
16%
13%
4.2%
1.0%
0.2%
2
12%
8.0%
2.8%
0.6%
0.1%
3
5.1%
3.5%
1.2%
0.3%
0.0%
4
1.7%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ajaccio goals (down), columns = Grenoble goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Auxerre
1.93
Angers
1.85
Saint Etienne
1.73
Caen
1.55
Paris FC
1.51
Rodez
1.48
Amiens
1.43
Laval
1.40
Grenoble
1.38
Guingamp
1.38
Bastia
1.38
PAU
1.30
Bordeaux
1.30
Ajaccio
1.25
Annecy
1.25
Dunkerque
1.23
Estac Troyes
1.10
Concarneau
1.05
Quevilly
1.00
Rouen
1.00
Valenciennes
0.78
Ajaccio is 0.12 points worse than Grenoble in terms of average points per game (1.25 vs 1.38).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Auxerre
1.95
Rodez
1.62
PAU
1.55
Angers
1.50
Caen
1.40
Quevilly
1.34
Rouen
1.34
Bordeaux
1.30
Saint Etienne
1.29
Paris FC
1.29
Annecy
1.27
Guingamp
1.18
Grenoble
1.15
Estac Troyes
1.15
Bastia
1.12
Concarneau
1.05
Laval
1.05
Amiens
1.00
Dunkerque
0.95
Ajaccio
0.93
Valenciennes
0.70
Ajaccio is 0.22 goals worse than Grenoble in terms of goals scored per game (0.93 vs 1.15).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Saint Etienne
0.83
Amiens
0.97
Auxerre
1.05
Guingamp
1.05
Angers
1.10
Paris FC
1.12
Grenoble
1.15
Ajaccio
1.18
Bastia
1.20
Caen
1.23
Laval
1.23
Annecy
1.27
Estac Troyes
1.32
Dunkerque
1.35
Bordeaux
1.38
Valenciennes
1.40
Quevilly
1.45
Rouen
1.45
Rodez
1.45
Concarneau
1.48
PAU
1.52
Ajaccio is 0.03 goals worse than Grenoble in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 1.15).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bordeaux
60%
Auxerre
57%
Paris FC
56%
Concarneau
53%
Saint Etienne
53%
Angers
53%
Dunkerque
51%
Caen
51%
Estac Troyes
50%
Grenoble
50%
Ajaccio
49%
PAU
49%
Valenciennes
49%
Bastia
47%
Guingamp
47%
Quevilly
47%
Amiens
46%
Rodez
46%
Laval
44%
Annecy
43%
Ajaccio is 0.6 percentage points worse than Grenoble in terms of average possession (49% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ajaccio
For 4.1 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.1 · Against 13.6 · Total 28.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Grenoble
For 5.6 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 12.2 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ajaccio
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
6.8
6.5
7.2
2.7
2.6
2.9
28.1
26.8
29.3
vs Stronger (23)
7.1
7.2
7.0
2.0
1.8
2.1
27.4
28.8
26.0
vs Similar (27)
6.7
6.2
7.2
3.4
3.3
3.5
28.3
25.8
30.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
11%
11%
11%
36%
38%
33%
84%
84%
84%
% under line
89%
89%
89%
64%
62%
67%
16%
16%
16%
This opponent (Grenoble) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grenoble
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.2
8.9
2.4
2.4
2.3
23.6
22.1
25.1
vs Stronger (10)
9.4
10.2
8.5
2.2
2.6
1.8
21.4
21.8
21.0
vs Similar (36)
9.0
8.9
9.0
2.4
2.3
2.6
24.6
22.5
26.8
vs Weaker (4)
9.0
9.0
9.0
2.0
3.0
1.0
21.5
20.5
22.5
% over line
42%
53%
32%
32%
32%
32%
63%
42%
84%
% under line
58%
47%
68%
68%
68%
68%
37%
58%
16%
This opponent (Ajaccio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rodez
10.3
Angers
10.1
Bordeaux
10.0
Auxerre
10.0
Saint Etienne
9.6
Estac Troyes
9.5
Dunkerque
9.5
Guingamp
9.3
Amiens
9.2
Annecy
9.2
Paris FC
9.1
Caen
9.1
Laval
9.1
Bastia
8.9
Grenoble
8.9
Quevilly
8.9
Rouen
8.8
PAU
8.8
Concarneau
8.5
Valenciennes
8.2
Ajaccio
6.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bordeaux
4.4
Valenciennes
4.3
Angers
4.3
Bastia
4.2
Caen
4.2
Laval
4.0
Saint Etienne
4.0
Annecy
3.9
Estac Troyes
3.9
PAU
3.9
Dunkerque
3.8
Amiens
3.8
Guingamp
3.8
Concarneau
3.7
Rodez
3.7
Auxerre
3.6
Quevilly
3.6
Grenoble
3.5
Rouen
3.5
Ajaccio
3.5
Paris FC
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Valenciennes
30.1
Caen
29.9
Laval
27.9
Amiens
27.6
Quevilly
27.5
Ajaccio
27.5
Bordeaux
27.5
Concarneau
27.4
Rouen
27.3
Bastia
27.1
Guingamp
27.1
Saint Etienne
26.9
Dunkerque
26.8
Estac Troyes
26.7
Annecy
26.6
PAU
25.7
Paris FC
25.4
Grenoble
25.0
Rodez
24.9
Angers
24.1
Auxerre
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
30.2%
Under 9.5
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.4%
Under 3.5
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
81.5%
Under 21.5
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ajaccio
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.53
0.73
0.40
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
0.70
1.00
0.50
0.33
0.83
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.45
0.64
0.36
0.33
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Grenoble) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grenoble
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.63
0.71
0.57
0.38
0.69
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.40
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.73
0.70
0.60
0.33
0.83
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajaccio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ajaccio over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ajaccio
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.57
0.67
0.20
0.20
0.93
vs Stronger (10)
0.00
0.70
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.17
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.50
0.91
0.27
0.33
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Grenoble) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grenoble
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.70
0.57
0.64
0.75
0.75
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
0.80
0.00
0.67
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.77
0.73
0.80
0.70
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajaccio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ajaccio over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ajaccio
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christopher Ibayi35%
Anthony Fosse33%
Yoann Touzghar18%
Cyrille Bayala17%
Yacine Bammou17%
Mickaël Barreto12%
Valentin Jacob11%
Ben Touré11%
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli9%
Riad Nouri7%
Vincent Marchetti7%
Hamza Sakhi7%
Thomas Mangani6%
Clement Vidal4%
Mathieu Michel0%
Francois-Joseph Sollacaro0%
Cedric Avinel0%
Mohamed Youssouf0%
Mounaim El Idrissy0%
Thibault Campanini0%
Julien Benhaim0%
Mickaël Alphonse0%
Maxime Chanot0%
Stephen Quemper0%
Al Hassan Toure0%
Josue Escartin0%
Everson Junior0%
Mehdi Puch-Herrantz0%
Salomon Abergel0%
Ivane Chegra0%
Tony Strata0%
Moussa Soumano0%
Ricardo Silva0%
Owen Martinez-Jullien0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Maxime Chanot38%
Julien Benhaim38%
Cyrille Bayala33%
Owen Martinez-Jullien33%
Christopher Ibayi29%
Mickaël Alphonse25%
Francois-Joseph Sollacaro24%
Vincent Marchetti20%
Thibault Campanini17%
Thomas Mangani17%
Yacine Bammou17%
Al Hassan Toure17%
Mehdi Puch-Herrantz17%
Stephen Quemper16%
Hamza Sakhi13%
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli12%
Mickaël Barreto12%
Clement Vidal11%
Tony Strata11%
Mathieu Michel10%
Valentin Jacob7%
Ben Touré7%
Mohamed Youssouf6%
Moussa Soumano4%
Riad Nouri4%
Yoann Touzghar0%
Cedric Avinel0%
Mounaim El Idrissy0%
Josue Escartin0%
Everson Junior0%
Salomon Abergel0%
Ivane Chegra0%
Ricardo Silva0%
Anthony Fosse0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cyrille Bayala33%
Hamza Sakhi13%
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli12%
Maxime Chanot10%
Stephen Quemper8%
Ben Touré7%
Yoann Touzghar7%
Vincent Marchetti7%
Mickaël Barreto6%
Yacine Bammou6%
Valentin Jacob4%
Riad Nouri4%
Mohamed Youssouf3%
Thomas Mangani3%
Mathieu Michel0%
Francois-Joseph Sollacaro0%
Cedric Avinel0%
Mounaim El Idrissy0%
Thibault Campanini0%
Julien Benhaim0%
Clement Vidal0%
Mickaël Alphonse0%
Al Hassan Toure0%
Christopher Ibayi0%
Josue Escartin0%
Everson Junior0%
Mehdi Puch-Herrantz0%
Salomon Abergel0%
Ivane Chegra0%
Tony Strata0%
Moussa Soumano0%
Ricardo Silva0%
Owen Martinez-Jullien0%
Anthony Fosse0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anthony Fosse33%
Vincent Marchetti13%
Christopher Ibayi12%
Valentin Jacob11%
Ben Touré7%
Yoann Touzghar7%
Mickaël Barreto6%
Yacine Bammou6%
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli3%
Mathieu Michel0%
Francois-Joseph Sollacaro0%
Cedric Avinel0%
Riad Nouri0%
Mohamed Youssouf0%
Mounaim El Idrissy0%
Thibault Campanini0%
Cyrille Bayala0%
Hamza Sakhi0%
Thomas Mangani0%
Julien Benhaim0%
Clement Vidal0%
Mickaël Alphonse0%
Maxime Chanot0%
Stephen Quemper0%
Al Hassan Toure0%
Josue Escartin0%
Everson Junior0%
Mehdi Puch-Herrantz0%
Salomon Abergel0%
Ivane Chegra0%
Tony Strata0%
Moussa Soumano0%
Ricardo Silva0%
Owen Martinez-Jullien0%
Grenoble
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jessy Benet26%
Pape Meissa Ba21%
Mohamed Amine Sbai16%
Saikou Touray10%
Virgiliu Postolachi9%
Lenny Joseph8%
Theo Valls8%
Nolan Mbemba7%
Mamadou Diarra6%
Loïc Nestor5%
Abdoulie Sanyang3%
Mathys Tourraine3%
Dante Rigo0%
Arial Mendy0%
Adrien Monfray0%
Brice Maubleu0%
Gaëtan Paquiez0%
Bobby Allain0%
Eddy Sylvestre0%
Natanael Ntolla0%
Abiezer Jeno0%
Mattheo Xantippe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mattheo Xantippe23%
Adrien Monfray22%
Abdoulie Sanyang20%
Arial Mendy19%
Gaëtan Paquiez17%
Mamadou Diarra15%
Saikou Touray14%
Eddy Sylvestre13%
Jessy Benet11%
Mathys Tourraine10%
Dante Rigo8%
Natanael Ntolla7%
Pape Meissa Ba6%
Lenny Joseph5%
Loïc Nestor5%
Theo Valls4%
Virgiliu Postolachi3%
Mohamed Amine Sbai3%
Brice Maubleu3%
Bobby Allain0%
Nolan Mbemba0%
Abiezer Jeno0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jessy Benet15%
Arial Mendy12%
Lenny Joseph11%
Abdoulie Sanyang10%
Mohamed Amine Sbai9%
Natanael Ntolla7%
Pape Meissa Ba6%
Saikou Touray5%
Adrien Monfray4%
Mathys Tourraine3%
Dante Rigo0%
Brice Maubleu0%
Loïc Nestor0%
Theo Valls0%
Gaëtan Paquiez0%
Bobby Allain0%
Nolan Mbemba0%
Mamadou Diarra0%
Eddy Sylvestre0%
Virgiliu Postolachi0%
Abiezer Jeno0%
Mattheo Xantippe0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pape Meissa Ba35%
Jessy Benet26%
Mohamed Amine Sbai16%
Lenny Joseph11%
Abiezer Jeno9%
Abdoulie Sanyang7%
Adrien Monfray4%
Natanael Ntolla3%
Virgiliu Postolachi3%
Dante Rigo0%
Arial Mendy0%
Brice Maubleu0%
Loïc Nestor0%
Theo Valls0%
Gaëtan Paquiez0%
Bobby Allain0%
Nolan Mbemba0%
Mamadou Diarra0%
Eddy Sylvestre0%
Saikou Touray0%
Mathys Tourraine0%
Mattheo Xantippe0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Auxerre
Angers
Saint Etienne
Rodez
Caen
Paris FC
Amiens
Laval
Guingamp
Bastia
PAU
Bordeaux
Annecy
Dunkerque
Estac Troyes
Concarneau
Quevilly
Rouen
Valenciennes