Altrincham vs Gateshead Result & Analysis

Altrincham are tipped to win, with a 46 % chance of triumph, a 27 % chance of a draw and a 27 % chance of a Gateshead victory. The model expects 2.7 goals in total, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 13 % probability. Altrincham, playing at home against a stronger side, average 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Gateshead, on the road against a weaker opponent, average 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 2.5 cards at 80.6 %, Over 1.5 goals at 76.9 %, Under 5.5 cards at 73.2 % and Under 3.5 goals at 70.7 %. The final score was 3-1, a home win. Altrincham’s recent form shows a 3-straight-defeat streak, ending with a 0-1 loss to Boston Utd, whereas Gateshead’s recent run includes a 0-3 defeat to Yeovil.

Altrincham’s 3-1 victory over Gateshead extended their recent run, turning a string of three defeats into a win at home. The model’s pre-match favourite was a home win at 46 %, a call that proved correct. The most likely scoreline, 1-1, was missed, but the model’s other selections delivered a mixed verdict. Over 1.5 cards, at 76.9 %, hit as expected, while Over 2.5 cards, at 80.6 %, missed. Under 5.5 cards, 73.2 %, also hit, and Under 3.5, 70.7 %, missed. The predicted total of 2.7 goals fell short of the actual four goals scored.