This opponent (Ajaccio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ajaccio
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.30
1.33
0.80
0.33
1.80
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
1.88
1.33
0.67
0.40
2.60
vs Similar (22)
0.86
1.09
1.33
0.83
0.30
1.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Amiens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
57.5%
Under 1.5
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
29.5%
@ 2.67-5.3%
Under 2.5
70.5%
@ 1.43+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
12.5%
Under 3.5
87.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
29.1%
No
70.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
20.5%
0-0
16.0%
2-0
15.5%
1-1
10.9%
3-0
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
0-1
5.9%
3-1 ✓
3.4%
Amiens goals ↓
Ajaccio goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
5.9%
1.6%
0.2%
0.0%
1
21%
11%
2.3%
0.4%
0.0%
2
15%
7.1%
1.6%
0.3%
0.0%
3
7.4%
3.4%
0.8%
0.1%
0.0%
4
2.7%
1.2%
0.3%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Amiens goals (down), columns = Ajaccio goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lorient
2.14
Paris FC
2.08
Metz
1.86
Dunkerque
1.66
Annecy
1.58
Boulogne
1.50
Laval
1.50
Guingamp
1.49
Bastia
1.44
Estac Troyes
1.33
PAU
1.33
Grenoble
1.31
Amiens
1.28
Ajaccio
1.25
Red Star
1.12
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.11
Clermont Foot
1.00
Martigues
0.89
Caen
0.67
Amiens is 0.03 points better than Ajaccio in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 1.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lorient
2.00
Metz
1.81
Paris FC
1.72
Guingamp
1.65
Rodez
1.58
Boulogne
1.50
Dunkerque
1.34
Laval
1.33
PAU
1.28
Grenoble
1.22
Bastia
1.22
Annecy
1.22
Amiens
1.14
Estac Troyes
1.14
Red Star
1.09
RED Star FC 93
1.09
Clermont Foot
0.95
Caen
0.94
Ajaccio
0.89
Martigues
0.81
Amiens is 0.25 goals better than Ajaccio in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 0.89).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lorient
0.92
Paris FC
0.97
Estac Troyes
1.00
Metz
1.00
Bastia
1.03
Laval
1.08
Dunkerque
1.11
Annecy
1.19
Ajaccio
1.22
Grenoble
1.31
Clermont Foot
1.34
Guingamp
1.43
Amiens
1.44
Red Star
1.50
RED Star FC 93
1.50
PAU
1.53
Rodez
1.58
Martigues
1.61
Caen
1.69
Boulogne
2.00
Amiens is 0.22 goals worse than Ajaccio in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 1.22).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Paris FC
61%
Metz
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Lorient
56%
Guingamp
55%
Caen
54%
RED Star FC 93
52%
Bastia
52%
Clermont Foot
51%
Boulogne
50%
PAU
49%
Ajaccio
46%
Grenoble
45%
Estac Troyes
45%
Amiens
44%
Martigues
44%
Laval
44%
Annecy
43%
Rodez
43%
Amiens is 1.9 percentage points worse than Ajaccio in terms of average possession (44% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Amiens
For 5.0 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 14.1 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ajaccio
For 4.6 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 1.7 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 14.5 · Total 28.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Amiens
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.3
9.6
3.9
3.7
4.0
27.9
28.6
27.2
vs Stronger (10)
10.6
11.8
9.4
3.5
3.8
3.2
26.5
26.8
26.2
vs Similar (38)
9.2
8.5
9.8
4.1
3.8
4.4
28.3
29.0
27.6
vs Weaker (2)
9.0
11.0
7.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
26.5
29.0
24.0
% over line
45%
36%
54%
54%
42%
67%
86%
88%
83%
% under line
55%
64%
46%
46%
58%
33%
14%
12%
17%
This opponent (Ajaccio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ajaccio
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.4
6.8
8.0
3.8
3.6
4.0
27.9
26.6
29.1
vs Stronger (15)
7.6
7.6
7.6
3.9
4.0
3.7
28.1
28.9
27.3
vs Similar (35)
7.3
6.5
8.2
3.8
3.5
4.1
27.8
25.6
29.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
24%
17%
32%
52%
52%
52%
86%
83%
88%
% under line
76%
83%
68%
48%
48%
48%
14%
17%
12%
This opponent (Amiens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
RED Star FC 93
11.1
Martigues
10.7
Rodez
10.3
Lorient
10.2
Clermont Foot
10.0
Estac Troyes
9.8
Caen
9.8
Red Star
9.6
Dunkerque
9.6
Amiens
9.5
Grenoble
9.5
Bastia
9.4
Guingamp
9.4
Laval
9.4
Annecy
9.4
Paris FC
9.3
PAU
9.1
Metz
9.1
Ajaccio
7.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bastia
4.7
Clermont Foot
4.5
PAU
4.2
Lorient
4.2
Martigues
4.1
Dunkerque
4.0
Amiens
4.0
Estac Troyes
3.9
Laval
3.9
Metz
3.9
Annecy
3.9
Ajaccio
3.8
Rodez
3.8
Guingamp
3.7
Red Star
3.7
Caen
3.7
Paris FC
3.5
Grenoble
3.4
RED Star FC 93
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Caen
28.0
Amiens
27.8
Ajaccio
27.6
Laval
27.6
Red Star
27.1
Annecy
27.0
Bastia
26.9
Guingamp
26.8
Estac Troyes
26.6
PAU
26.6
Dunkerque
25.5
Paris FC
25.1
Metz
24.9
Martigues
24.8
Lorient
24.7
Rodez
24.5
Clermont Foot
24.4
RED Star FC 93
24.3
Grenoble
23.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
49.5%
Under 9.5
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.7%
Under 3.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
88.4%
Under 21.5
11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Amiens
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.40
0.50
0.14
0.75
0.62
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.30
0.55
0.18
0.58
0.42
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
-
-
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajaccio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ajaccio
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.67
0.67
0.53
0.27
0.80
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
0.62
0.67
0.67
0.40
0.60
vs Similar (22)
0.45
0.68
0.67
0.50
0.20
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Amiens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Amiens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Amiens
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.57
0.64
0.43
0.50
0.69
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.17
0.33
0.33
1.33
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.61
0.73
0.45
0.33
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajaccio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ajaccio
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.63
0.67
0.27
0.07
1.00
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
1.25
0.67
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (22)
0.41
0.41
0.67
0.33
0.10
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Amiens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Amiens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
BTTS No
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 2.5
70.5%
1.43
-
-
-
-
-
+5.3%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Amiens
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Malick Mbaye42%
Antoine Leautey29%
Louis Mafouta18%
Osaze Urhoghide17%
Nordine Kandil16%
Kylian Kaiboue12%
Siaka Bakayoko9%
Amine Chabane8%
Ibrahim Fofana4%
Rayan Lutin3%
Sébastien Corchia0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Frank Boya0%
Andy Carroll0%
Victor Lobry0%
Régis Gurtner0%
Thomas Monconduit0%
Rémy Vita0%
Ange Chibozo0%
Owen Gene0%
Yvan Ikia Dimi0%
Mactar Tine0%
Mathis Touho0%
Mohamed Jaouab0%
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal0%
Joan Tincres0%
Elyess Dao0%
Messy Manitu0%
Louis Moussier0%
Krys Kouassi0%
Patrick Carraro Injai0%
Yanis Rafii0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mohamed Jaouab32%
Sébastien Corchia30%
Kylian Kaiboue27%
Frank Boya25%
Andy Carroll25%
Owen Gene25%
Thomas Monconduit22%
Osaze Urhoghide22%
Mactar Tine17%
Malick Mbaye17%
Amine Chabane17%
Louis Mafouta15%
Siaka Bakayoko13%
Ibrahim Fofana12%
Krys Kouassi12%
Yanis Rafii12%
Rémy Vita12%
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal11%
Rayan Lutin10%
Elyess Dao7%
Régis Gurtner3%
Antoine Leautey3%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Victor Lobry0%
Nordine Kandil0%
Ange Chibozo0%
Yvan Ikia Dimi0%
Mathis Touho0%
Joan Tincres0%
Messy Manitu0%
Louis Moussier0%
Patrick Carraro Injai0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sébastien Corchia15%
Victor Lobry13%
Rayan Lutin13%
Louis Mafouta12%
Antoine Leautey11%
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal11%
Malick Mbaye8%
Kylian Kaiboue8%
Elyess Dao7%
Frank Boya5%
Owen Gene5%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Andy Carroll0%
Régis Gurtner0%
Thomas Monconduit0%
Rémy Vita0%
Nordine Kandil0%
Osaze Urhoghide0%
Ange Chibozo0%
Yvan Ikia Dimi0%
Ibrahim Fofana0%
Mactar Tine0%
Mathis Touho0%
Siaka Bakayoko0%
Mohamed Jaouab0%
Joan Tincres0%
Amine Chabane0%
Messy Manitu0%
Louis Moussier0%
Krys Kouassi0%
Patrick Carraro Injai0%
Yanis Rafii0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Louis Mafouta21%
Kylian Kaiboue15%
Frank Boya15%
Nordine Kandil12%
Antoine Leautey3%
Sébastien Corchia0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Andy Carroll0%
Victor Lobry0%
Régis Gurtner0%
Thomas Monconduit0%
Rémy Vita0%
Osaze Urhoghide0%
Ange Chibozo0%
Owen Gene0%
Yvan Ikia Dimi0%
Ibrahim Fofana0%
Mactar Tine0%
Rayan Lutin0%
Mathis Touho0%
Siaka Bakayoko0%
Mohamed Jaouab0%
Malick Mbaye0%
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal0%
Joan Tincres0%
Amine Chabane0%
Elyess Dao0%
Messy Manitu0%
Louis Moussier0%
Krys Kouassi0%
Patrick Carraro Injai0%
Yanis Rafii0%
Ajaccio
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aboubakary Kanté25%
Ben Touré15%
Moussa Soumano15%
Yoann Touzghar11%
Christopher Ibayi11%
Axel Bamba10%
Everson Junior10%
Julien Anziani9%
Mickaël Barreto8%
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli7%
Benjamin Santelli4%
Tony Strata4%
Valentin Jacob0%
Francois-Joseph Sollacaro0%
Mohamed Youssouf0%
Thomas Mangani0%
Clement Vidal0%
Stephen Quemper0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Ghjuvanni Quilichini0%
Jesah Ayessa0%
Mehdi Puch-Herrantz0%
Ivane Chegra0%
Kan Guy Arsène Kouassi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Stephen Quemper40%
Everson Junior29%
Thomas Mangani26%
Mickaël Barreto25%
Clement Vidal22%
Benjamin Santelli22%
Christopher Ibayi21%
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli20%
Jesah Ayessa20%
Matthieu Huard18%
Ivane Chegra16%
Mohamed Youssouf15%
Francois-Joseph Sollacaro14%
Axel Bamba13%
Kan Guy Arsène Kouassi13%
Julien Anziani12%
Ben Touré10%
Mehdi Puch-Herrantz9%
Moussa Soumano7%
Tony Strata7%
Yoann Touzghar0%
Valentin Jacob0%
Aboubakary Kanté0%
Ghjuvanni Quilichini0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mickaël Barreto17%
Valentin Jacob14%
Kan Guy Arsène Kouassi9%
Moussa Soumano7%
Tony Strata7%
Thomas Mangani5%
Christopher Ibayi5%
Matthieu Huard5%
Benjamin Santelli4%
Aboubakary Kanté4%
Julien Anziani3%
Yoann Touzghar0%
Axel Bamba0%
Francois-Joseph Sollacaro0%
Mohamed Youssouf0%
Clement Vidal0%
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli0%
Stephen Quemper0%
Ghjuvanni Quilichini0%
Jesah Ayessa0%
Everson Junior0%
Mehdi Puch-Herrantz0%
Ben Touré0%
Ivane Chegra0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julien Anziani26%
Christopher Ibayi16%
Moussa Soumano11%
Aboubakary Kanté8%
Ben Touré5%
Yoann Touzghar0%
Axel Bamba0%
Valentin Jacob0%
Mickaël Barreto0%
Francois-Joseph Sollacaro0%
Mohamed Youssouf0%
Thomas Mangani0%
Benjamin Santelli0%
Clement Vidal0%
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli0%
Stephen Quemper0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Ghjuvanni Quilichini0%
Jesah Ayessa0%
Everson Junior0%
Mehdi Puch-Herrantz0%
Ivane Chegra0%
Tony Strata0%
Kan Guy Arsène Kouassi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Lorient
Paris FC
Metz
Dunkerque
Annecy
Guingamp
Laval
Bastia
Estac Troyes
PAU
Grenoble
Rodez
RED Star FC 93
Clermont Foot
Martigues
Caen
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