This opponent (Rouen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rouen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.33
1.19
1.25
0.57
1.43
vs Stronger (17)
0.82
1.24
1.22
1.00
0.38
1.50
vs Similar (13)
1.00
1.46
1.14
1.57
0.83
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Amiens) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
62.3%
Under 1.5
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.1%
@ 2.26-7.5%
Under 2.5
65.9%
@ 1.61+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.5%
Under 3.5
84.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
36.1%
No
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
17.3%
0-0
13.8%
2-0
13.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
4.0%
Amiens goals ↓
Rouen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
6.6%
2.3%
0.5%
0.1%
1
17%
12%
3.4%
0.7%
0.1%
2
13%
8.2%
2.5%
0.5%
0.1%
3
6.5%
4.0%
1.2%
0.2%
0.0%
4
2.4%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Amiens goals (down), columns = Rouen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Le Havre
1.98
Metz
1.95
Bordeaux
1.87
Bastia
1.52
Saint Etienne
1.50
Caen
1.48
Paris FC
1.45
Guingamp
1.38
Grenoble
1.35
Sochaux
1.35
Quevilly
1.32
Rouen
1.32
Amiens
1.25
Laval
1.23
Annecy
1.23
Rodez
1.21
PAU
1.18
Valenciennes
1.18
Dijon
1.10
Nimes
0.97
Niort
0.78
Amiens is 0.07 points worse than Rouen in terms of average points per game (1.25 vs 1.32).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Saint Etienne
1.73
Metz
1.62
Bordeaux
1.41
Sochaux
1.40
Caen
1.32
Bastia
1.32
Guingamp
1.27
Quevilly
1.24
Rouen
1.24
Paris FC
1.20
Nimes
1.18
Laval
1.18
Le Havre
1.18
PAU
1.10
Amiens
1.07
Valenciennes
1.07
Annecy
1.05
Niort
1.02
Rodez
1.00
Dijon
1.00
Grenoble
0.85
Amiens is 0.16 goals worse than Rouen in terms of goals scored per game (1.07 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Le Havre
0.47
Bordeaux
0.69
Metz
0.85
Grenoble
0.95
Sochaux
1.07
Dijon
1.12
Rodez
1.13
Caen
1.15
Paris FC
1.18
Bastia
1.18
Guingamp
1.25
Valenciennes
1.25
Quevilly
1.29
Rouen
1.29
Annecy
1.32
Amiens
1.38
Laval
1.45
PAU
1.45
Saint Etienne
1.52
Nimes
1.62
Niort
1.82
Amiens is 0.09 goals worse than Rouen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.38 vs 1.29).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Amiens
For 4.5 · Against 3.7 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 13.6 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rouen
For 2.8 · Against 3.6 · Total 6.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 15.9 · Total 30.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Amiens
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.6
8.6
2.8
2.6
2.9
26.2
26.8
25.7
vs Stronger (11)
7.0
9.0
5.5
2.2
2.4
2.0
22.6
24.7
21.0
vs Similar (37)
9.1
8.6
9.6
2.9
2.7
3.2
27.0
26.8
27.2
vs Weaker (2)
7.5
7.0
8.0
3.5
3.0
4.0
28.5
33.0
24.0
% over line
33%
39%
28%
40%
36%
44%
86%
89%
83%
% under line
67%
61%
72%
60%
64%
56%
14%
11%
17%
This opponent (Rouen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rouen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.0
7.5
8.6
3.9
4.3
3.5
29.9
29.3
30.6
vs Stronger (29)
8.1
7.5
8.8
3.9
4.2
3.4
28.9
28.9
29.0
vs Similar (21)
7.8
7.4
8.3
4.0
4.5
3.6
31.4
30.1
32.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
29%
23%
35%
54%
65%
42%
86%
88%
83%
% under line
71%
77%
65%
46%
35%
58%
14%
12%
17%
This opponent (Amiens) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Metz
10.1
Nimes
9.5
Dijon
9.4
Saint Etienne
9.4
Bordeaux
9.4
Sochaux
9.2
Guingamp
9.2
PAU
9.1
Caen
9.1
Paris FC
8.9
Valenciennes
8.8
Bastia
8.7
Niort
8.6
Amiens
8.5
Grenoble
8.4
Le Havre
8.0
Rouen
8.0
Rodez
7.9
Annecy
7.0
Laval
2.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Laval
8.0
Metz
4.6
Valenciennes
4.5
Bordeaux
4.4
Caen
4.4
Sochaux
4.3
Grenoble
4.1
Guingamp
4.0
Saint Etienne
4.0
Annecy
4.0
Rouen
4.0
Le Havre
3.9
PAU
3.9
Rodez
3.9
Dijon
3.9
Amiens
3.8
Bastia
3.8
Nimes
3.7
Niort
3.3
Paris FC
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Laval
37.0
Valenciennes
31.6
Rouen
30.0
Caen
28.9
Rodez
28.3
Guingamp
28.0
Nimes
27.8
Niort
27.7
Amiens
27.5
Bastia
27.2
Dijon
27.0
PAU
26.9
Grenoble
26.5
Sochaux
26.0
Le Havre
25.7
Metz
25.6
Saint Etienne
25.3
Paris FC
24.9
Bordeaux
23.5
Annecy
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
33.0%
Under 9.5
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
49.6%
Under 3.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
91.2%
Under 21.5
8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Amiens
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.47
0.36
0.14
0.44
0.75
vs Stronger (8)
0.12
0.75
0.00
0.00
0.25
1.50
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.36
0.50
0.20
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Rouen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rouen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.73
0.76
0.71
0.23
0.77
vs Stronger (18)
0.44
0.61
0.60
0.50
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.92
1.00
1.00
0.20
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Amiens) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Amiens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Amiens
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.70
1.07
0.57
0.38
0.81
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
1.50
0.50
1.50
0.25
1.50
vs Similar (22)
0.82
0.41
1.30
0.20
0.42
0.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Rouen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rouen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.63
0.41
0.53
0.15
0.77
vs Stronger (18)
0.39
0.61
0.60
0.50
0.12
0.75
vs Similar (12)
0.17
0.67
0.14
0.57
0.20
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Amiens) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Amiens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Amiens
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tolu Arokodare30%
Papiss Demba Cissé23%
Gaël Kakuta19%
George Ilenikhena12%
Antoine Leautey11%
Iron Gomis9%
Youssouf Assogba8%
Mamadou Fofana8%
Janis Antiste7%
Jessy Benet7%
Hassane Bandé5%
Formose Mendy3%
Aliou Badji0%
Jérémy Gélin0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Nicholas Opoku0%
Abdourahmane Barry0%
Sebastian Ring0%
Regis Gurtner0%
Florian Bianchini0%
Mathis Lachuer0%
Mattheo Xantippe0%
Ange Chibozo0%
Owen Gene0%
Kassoum Ouattara0%
Ibrahim Fofana0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aliou Badji33%
Florian Bianchini33%
Mamadou Fofana22%
Jérémy Gélin21%
Nicholas Opoku18%
Formose Mendy16%
Sebastian Ring15%
Mathis Lachuer13%
Mattheo Xantippe12%
Mamadou Fofana11%
Iron Gomis11%
Abdourahmane Barry10%
Kassoum Ouattara9%
Antoine Leautey8%
Youssouf Assogba8%
Jessy Benet7%
Hassane Bandé5%
Gaël Kakuta5%
Owen Gene4%
Regis Gurtner0%
Papiss Demba Cissé0%
Tolu Arokodare0%
Janis Antiste0%
Ange Chibozo0%
Ibrahim Fofana0%
George Ilenikhena0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ibrahim Fofana17%
Antoine Leautey14%
Ange Chibozo13%
Gaël Kakuta10%
Iron Gomis9%
Mamadou Fofana8%
Janis Antiste7%
Jessy Benet7%
Papiss Demba Cissé7%
Abdourahmane Barry5%
Mathis Lachuer4%
Mattheo Xantippe4%
Sebastian Ring4%
Jérémy Gélin3%
Nicholas Opoku3%
Aliou Badji0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Regis Gurtner0%
Hassane Bandé0%
Tolu Arokodare0%
Youssouf Assogba0%
Formose Mendy0%
Florian Bianchini0%
Owen Gene0%
Kassoum Ouattara0%
George Ilenikhena0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tolu Arokodare45%
Aliou Badji33%
Janis Antiste14%
George Ilenikhena12%
Mamadou Fofana11%
Papiss Demba Cissé7%
Antoine Leautey6%
Hassane Bandé5%
Gaël Kakuta5%
Jérémy Gélin3%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Nicholas Opoku0%
Abdourahmane Barry0%
Sebastian Ring0%
Jessy Benet0%
Regis Gurtner0%
Iron Gomis0%
Youssouf Assogba0%
Formose Mendy0%
Florian Bianchini0%
Mathis Lachuer0%
Mattheo Xantippe0%
Ange Chibozo0%
Owen Gene0%
Kassoum Ouattara0%
Ibrahim Fofana0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (37)
€176m
SE (30)
€93m
LH (25)
€55m
MET (26)
€43m
ROD (23)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
ANN (21)
€10m
LAV (24)
€9m
BAS (19)
€7m
SOC (20)
€7m
DIJ (20)
€5m
AMI (14)
€4m
CAE (18)
€4m
VAL (21)
€4m
ROU (14)
€3m
QUE (10)
€2m
Amiens's squad is €2m more valuable than Rouen's (€4m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (13)
€59m
SE (10)
€54m
MET (11)
€17m
LH (10)
€9m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
BAS (9)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
ANN (7)
€3m
SOC (8)
€3m
LAV (7)
€2m
CAE (8)
€2m
ROU (5)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€1m
VAL (8)
€1m
AMI (4)
€0m
QUE (2)
€0m
Amiens's attack is €1m less valuable than Rouen's (€0m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (7)
€54m
LH (5)
€23m
MET (5)
€18m
SE (7)
€11m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
ANN (6)
€3m
LAV (7)
€3m
GRE (5)
€3m
PAU (4)
€2m
DIJ (6)
€2m
BAS (3)
€1m
SOC (3)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
CAE (4)
€1m
AMI (2)
€0m
QUE (2)
€0m
ROU (3)
€0m
Amiens and Rouen have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (17)
€62m
SE (13)
€28m
LH (10)
€23m
MET (10)
€8m
ROD (10)
€7m
PAU (10)
€6m
LAV (10)
€4m
ANN (8)
€4m
GRE (10)
€4m
AMI (8)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
GUI (8)
€3m
BAS (7)
€2m
VAL (10)
€2m
CAE (6)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€2m
QUE (6)
€1m
ROU (6)
€1m
Amiens's defence is €2m more valuable than Rouen's (€4m vs €1m).
France: Ligue 2 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Le Havre
Metz
Bordeaux
Bastia
Saint Etienne
Caen
Paris FC
Guingamp
Sochaux
Grenoble
Quevilly
Laval
Annecy
Rodez
Valenciennes
PAU
Dijon
Nimes
Niort