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Arouca vs Estoril Result & Analysis

Date: 16/03/2025
Time: 15:30
Final 1-1
Arouca
Arouca
Vs
35%
27%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Estoril
Estoril
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arouca win✗ Miss
35.1%
Avg Implied 47.5% · @ 1.98
Edge
-12.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.7%
Avg Implied 27.7% · @ 3.40
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Estoril win✗ Miss
38.2%
Avg Implied 24.8% · @ 3.79
Edge
+13.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AroucaArouca

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D31W22D10W21W11D22D22D02L10WH·GIL27/12A·BOA04/01A·GUI18/01H·MOR24/01A·NAC01/02H·RIO10/02A·SPO15/02H·FAR23/02H·FC 01/03A·AVS08/03
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.600.731.331.331.87
vs Stronger (10)0.602.600.332.171.003.25
vs Similar (19)1.161.111.000.781.301.40
vs Weaker (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Estoril) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstorilEstoril

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D42W32W10W21W21W22D21W13L22DH·MOR28/12A·EST05/01A·SAN18/01H·GUI26/01A·GIL01/02H·BOA09/02A·NAC15/02H·RIO22/02A·SPO03/03H·FAR08/03
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.531.201.201.271.87
vs Stronger (8)0.502.120.331.330.602.60
vs Similar (20)1.551.401.361.181.781.67
vs Weaker (2)1.000.502.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Arouca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.7%
Under 1.5
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.9%
@ 2.04+10.6%
Under 2.5
43.1%
@ 1.76-10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.5%
Under 3.5
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.9%
No
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
6.7%
1-0
6.3%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
5.9%
Arouca goals ↓
Estoril goals →
01234
06.3%6.7%5.9%3.0%1.1%
16.3%12%8.6%4.4%1.7%
25.4%8.2%6.2%3.1%1.2%
32.6%4.0%3.0%1.5%0.6%
40.9%1.4%1.1%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arouca goals (down), columns = Estoril goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
FC Porto
2.09
SC Braga
1.94
Santa Clara
1.68
Guimaraes
1.59
Famalicao
1.38
Estoril
1.35
Casa Pia
1.32
Moreirense
1.18
Rio Ave
1.12
Arouca
1.12
GIL Vicente
1.00
Nacional
1.00
AVS
0.86
Estrela
0.85
Farense
0.79
Boavista
0.71
Vizela
0.50
Arouca is 0.24 points worse than Estoril in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 1.35).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.59
Benfica
2.47
FC Porto
1.91
SC Braga
1.62
Estoril
1.41
Guimaraes
1.38
Famalicao
1.29
Moreirense
1.24
Casa Pia
1.15
Rio Ave
1.15
Santa Clara
1.06
Arouca
1.03
Vizela
1.00
GIL Vicente
1.00
Nacional
0.94
AVS
0.83
Farense
0.74
Estrela
0.71
Boavista
0.71
Arouca is 0.38 goals worse than Estoril in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.41).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sporting CP
0.79
Benfica
0.82
FC Porto
0.88
SC Braga
0.88
Santa Clara
0.94
Guimaraes
1.09
Famalicao
1.15
Casa Pia
1.29
Farense
1.35
GIL Vicente
1.38
Arouca
1.44
Moreirense
1.47
Estrela
1.47
Nacional
1.47
Estoril
1.56
Rio Ave
1.62
AVS
1.72
Boavista
1.74
Vizela
2.50
Arouca is 0.12 goals better than Estoril in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 1.56).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Vizela
71%
FC Porto
62%
Sporting CP
60%
Benfica
58%
SC Braga
57%
Guimaraes
57%
Arouca
53%
GIL Vicente
51%
Famalicao
50%
Estoril
49%
Rio Ave
48%
Moreirense
47%
Nacional
47%
Casa Pia
47%
Estrela
45%
Santa Clara
44%
AVS
43%
Farense
41%
Boavista
40%
Arouca is 3.5 percentage points better than Estoril in terms of average possession (53% vs 49%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AroucaArouca

For 5.6 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.4

🚩 Corners

180714249996333102593357861318961214612A·AVSH·FC H·FARA·SPOH·RIOA·NACH·MORA·GUIA·BOAH·GIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.9

🟨 Cards

1301122333412633176124671834131A·AVSH·FC H·FARA·SPOH·RIOA·NACH·MORA·GUIA·BOAH·GIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.5 · Against 11.7 · Total 28.2

⚠️ Fouls

350171513121616136201020151811913188211132253219303529222632A·AVSH·FC H·FARA·SPOH·RIOA·NACH·MORA·GUIA·BOAH·GIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

EstorilEstoril

For 3.3 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.0

🚩 Corners

12047664375333251733621112410867868H·FARA·SPOH·RIOA·NACH·BOAA·GILH·GUIA·SANA·ESTH·MOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

60212121332111332212223336326434H·FARA·SPOH·RIOA·NACH·BOAA·GILH·GUIA·SANA·ESTH·MOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.2 · Against 14.4 · Total 30.6

⚠️ Fouls

38017181010149141525121412172016141820171435202329372637303831H·FARA·SPOH·RIOA·NACH·BOAA·GILH·GUIA·SANA·ESTH·MOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AroucaArouca

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.510.15.04.95.026.326.925.8
vs Stronger (15)10.58.913.05.15.44.723.925.321.7
vs Similar (31)9.910.29.64.44.34.427.527.827.2
vs Weaker (4)6.55.07.09.08.09.326.828.026.3
% over line52%57%48%70%67%73%77%83%72%
% under line48%43%52%30%33%27%23%17%28%
This opponent (Estoril) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstorilEstoril

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.89.14.55.04.027.629.525.4
vs Stronger (14)9.910.39.64.45.83.226.128.824.1
vs Similar (31)9.19.78.24.34.73.828.029.226.1
vs Weaker (5)10.48.511.76.25.07.029.233.526.3
% over line45%42%48%60%65%54%82%92%70%
% under line55%58%52%40%35%46%18%8%30%
This opponent (Arouca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Farense
11.3
Nacional
11.0
Guimaraes
10.8
SC Braga
10.6
Benfica
10.5
Estrela
10.1
Famalicao
9.9
Arouca
9.9
Vizela
9.8
Sporting CP
9.8
Rio Ave
9.8
AVS
9.7
FC Porto
9.7
Estoril
9.6
Casa Pia
9.4
Boavista
9.3
GIL Vicente
9.2
Moreirense
8.9
Santa Clara
8.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
6.1
FC Porto
6.0
Guimaraes
6.0
Boavista
5.7
Famalicao
5.5
AVS
5.2
Rio Ave
5.2
Arouca
5.1
Nacional
5.0
SC Braga
5.0
Vizela
5.0
Farense
5.0
Estoril
5.0
Casa Pia
4.7
Sporting CP
4.7
Estrela
4.7
Benfica
4.7
Moreirense
4.6
GIL Vicente
4.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
30.0
Santa Clara
28.9
Moreirense
28.9
Estrela
28.3
Rio Ave
28.2
Nacional
28.1
Guimaraes
28.1
Estoril
27.7
Boavista
27.4
Farense
27.0
FC Porto
27.0
AVS
26.7
GIL Vicente
26.5
Arouca
26.4
Casa Pia
26.1
SC Braga
25.2
Sporting CP
24.7
Vizela
23.1
Benfica
21.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
48.1%
Under 9.5
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
67.5%
Under 3.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
87.4%
Under 21.5
12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AroucaArouca

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W02L00D21W00D21W01L01L00DH·GIL27/12A·BOA04/01A·GUI18/01H·MOR24/01A·NAC01/02H·RIO10/02A·SPO15/02H·FAR23/02H·FC 01/03A·AVS08/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.730.270.530.800.93
vs Stronger (10)0.301.100.170.830.501.50
vs Similar (19)0.630.580.330.330.900.80
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Estoril) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstorilEstoril

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W30W21W00D11D10W11D00D02L00DH·MOR28/12A·EST05/01A·SAN18/01H·GUI26/01A·GIL01/02H·BOA09/02A·NAC15/02H·RIO22/02A·SPO03/03H·FAR08/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.670.670.400.530.93
vs Stronger (8)0.001.120.000.670.001.40
vs Similar (20)0.850.550.820.360.890.78
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Arouca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arouca over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estoril over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estoril over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estoril over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AroucaArouca

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D21W20W10W00D11D01L21W01L10WH·GIL27/12A·BOA04/01A·GUI18/01H·MOR24/01A·NAC01/02H·RIO10/02A·SPO15/02H·FAR23/02H·FC 01/03A·AVS08/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.870.470.800.530.93
vs Stronger (10)0.301.500.171.330.501.75
vs Similar (19)0.530.530.670.440.400.60
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Estoril) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstorilEstoril

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L11D10W10W11D11D21W11D22DH·MOR28/12A·EST05/01A·SAN18/01H·GUI26/01A·GIL01/02H·BOA09/02A·NAC15/02H·RIO22/02A·SPO03/03H·FAR08/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.870.530.800.730.93
vs Stronger (8)0.501.000.330.670.601.20
vs Similar (20)0.700.850.550.820.890.89
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Arouca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arouca over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estoril over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estoril over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estoril over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls94.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls87.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards83.8%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.580.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls77.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners75.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Arouca
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Henrique Araújo25%
Dylan Nandín20%
Jason16%
Alfonso Trezza15%
Güven Yalçın13%
Miguel Puche9%
Tiago Esgaio8%
Morlaye Sylla6%
Pablo Gozálbez6%
David Simão4%
Weverson4%
Chico Lamba4%
Jose Fontán3%
Mamadou Loum0%
Ivo Rodrigues0%
Nico Mantl0%
João Valido0%
Alex Pinto0%
Vladislav Morozov0%
Amadou Dante0%
Mateus Quaresma0%
Boris Popović0%
Brian Mansilla0%
Matías Rocha0%
Taichi Fukui0%
Pedro Santos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivo Rodrigues36%
Jose Fontán34%
David Simão33%
Mateus Quaresma33%
Alex Pinto29%
Chico Lamba23%
Nico Mantl21%
Matías Rocha20%
Pedro Santos19%
Mamadou Loum19%
Güven Yalçın17%
Henrique Araújo17%
Taichi Fukui17%
Jason16%
Morlaye Sylla16%
Weverson15%
Dylan Nandín13%
Alfonso Trezza12%
Tiago Esgaio8%
Amadou Dante6%
Pablo Gozálbez6%
Miguel Puche5%
João Valido0%
Vladislav Morozov0%
Boris Popović0%
Brian Mansilla0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivo Rodrigues9%
Henrique Araújo8%
Weverson8%
Chico Lamba8%
Alex Pinto7%
Dylan Nandín7%
Taichi Fukui7%
Alfonso Trezza6%
Güven Yalçın4%
Tiago Esgaio4%
Jason3%
Morlaye Sylla3%
Mamadou Loum0%
David Simão0%
Nico Mantl0%
João Valido0%
Vladislav Morozov0%
Amadou Dante0%
Mateus Quaresma0%
Miguel Puche0%
Pablo Gozálbez0%
Boris Popović0%
Brian Mansilla0%
Jose Fontán0%
Matías Rocha0%
Pedro Santos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jason19%
Brian Mansilla17%
Henrique Araújo12%
Morlaye Sylla12%
Alfonso Trezza12%
Tiago Esgaio8%
Dylan Nandín7%
Pablo Gozálbez6%
Miguel Puche5%
Güven Yalçın4%
Mamadou Loum0%
David Simão0%
Ivo Rodrigues0%
Nico Mantl0%
João Valido0%
Alex Pinto0%
Vladislav Morozov0%
Amadou Dante0%
Mateus Quaresma0%
Boris Popović0%
Jose Fontán0%
Weverson0%
Chico Lamba0%
Matías Rocha0%
Taichi Fukui0%
Pedro Santos0%
Estoril
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alejandro Marqués33%
Yanis Begraoui24%
João Carvalho18%
Gonçalo Costa11%
André Lacximicant11%
Felix Bacher9%
Hélder Costa8%
Xeka7%
Vinicius Zanocelo7%
Wagner Pina7%
Jandro Orellana4%
Jordan Holsgrove4%
Kévin Boma3%
Pedro Álvaro3%
Joel Robles0%
Rafik Guitane0%
Kevin Chamorro0%
Pedro Amaral0%
Eliaquim Mangala0%
Michel Costa0%
Israel Salazar0%
Pedro Carvalho0%
Fabrício Garcia0%
Tiago Brito0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Eliaquim Mangala44%
Xeka43%
Michel Costa40%
Pedro Álvaro29%
Vinicius Zanocelo27%
Felix Bacher26%
Kévin Boma24%
Jordan Holsgrove21%
João Carvalho18%
Wagner Pina17%
André Lacximicant15%
Pedro Amaral14%
Jandro Orellana13%
Fabrício Garcia12%
Pedro Carvalho11%
Joel Robles10%
Hélder Costa8%
Gonçalo Costa6%
Alejandro Marqués3%
Yanis Begraoui3%
Rafik Guitane0%
Kevin Chamorro0%
Israel Salazar0%
Tiago Brito0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rafik Guitane19%
Jordan Holsgrove14%
Wagner Pina13%
André Lacximicant11%
João Carvalho11%
Pedro Carvalho11%
Yanis Begraoui9%
Xeka7%
Jandro Orellana4%
Pedro Amaral3%
Pedro Álvaro3%
Joel Robles0%
Felix Bacher0%
Vinicius Zanocelo0%
Kevin Chamorro0%
Hélder Costa0%
Eliaquim Mangala0%
Alejandro Marqués0%
Gonçalo Costa0%
Kévin Boma0%
Michel Costa0%
Israel Salazar0%
Fabrício Garcia0%
Tiago Brito0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yanis Begraoui9%
André Lacximicant7%
Xeka7%
Jandro Orellana4%
Fabrício Garcia4%
João Carvalho4%
Vinicius Zanocelo3%
Joel Robles0%
Rafik Guitane0%
Felix Bacher0%
Kevin Chamorro0%
Hélder Costa0%
Pedro Amaral0%
Pedro Álvaro0%
Eliaquim Mangala0%
Jordan Holsgrove0%
Alejandro Marqués0%
Gonçalo Costa0%
Kévin Boma0%
Michel Costa0%
Israel Salazar0%
Wagner Pina0%
Pedro Carvalho0%
Tiago Brito0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
VIZ (29)
€12m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
Arouca's squad is €15m less valuable than Estoril's (€28m vs €42m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
MOR (5)
€5m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
Arouca's attack is €12m less valuable than Estoril's (€11m vs €24m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
EST (5)
€3m
VIZ (5)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
Arouca and Estoril have a similar midfield value (both €8m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
VIZ (11)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
AVS (10)
€3m
Arouca's defence is €2m less valuable than Estoril's (€8m vs €10m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
ARO wins
0
Draws
4
EST wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Arouca vs Estoril · H/A from ARO
DateH/AGameScore
26/10/24AEstoril Vs ARO4-1
20/01/24AEstoril Vs ARO1-2
13/08/23HARO Vs Estoril4-3
15/05/23AEstoril Vs ARO2-0
07/01/23HARO Vs Estoril2-0
27/01/22AEstoril Vs ARO1-2
07/08/21HARO Vs Estoril0-2
21/05/17AEstoril Vs ARO4-2

AroucaArouca

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/25AAVS Vs ARO0-1
01/03/25HARO Vs FC Porto0-2
23/02/25HARO Vs Farense2-2
15/02/25ASporting CP Vs ARO2-2
10/02/25HARO Vs Rio Ave1-1
01/02/25ANacional Vs ARO1-2
24/01/25HARO Vs Moreirense1-0
18/01/25AGuimaraes Vs ARO2-2
04/01/25ABoavista Vs ARO1-3
27/12/24HARO Vs GIL Vicente1-1

EstorilEstoril

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/25HEST Vs Farense2-2
03/03/25ASporting CP Vs EST3-1
22/02/25HEST Vs Rio Ave2-1
15/02/25ANacional Vs EST2-2
09/02/25HEST Vs Boavista2-1
01/02/25AGIL Vicente Vs EST1-2
26/01/25HEST Vs Guimaraes1-0
18/01/25ASanta Clara Vs EST2-3
05/01/25AEstrela Vs EST2-4
28/12/24HEST Vs Moreirense2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Arouca
Arouca
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDLW1.42
HomeDWDDL1.38
AwayWDWDW1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%38%42%
AVG goals2.962.713.19
Over 1.5 %78%79%77%
Over 2.5 %66%58%73%
Over 3.5 %38%25%50%
Scored1.501.291.69
Conceded1.461.421.50
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet24%25%23%
Corners9.819.4810.12
Cards5.175.095.24
Estoril
Estoril
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLD1.24
HomeDWWWD1.65
AwayWWWDL0.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%50%12%
AVG goals2.902.583.25
Over 1.5 %70%62%79%
Over 2.5 %64%58%71%
Over 3.5 %46%38%54%
Scored1.341.421.25
Conceded1.561.152.00
BTTS56%42%71%
Clean Sheet28%42%12%
Corners9.479.779.13
Cards4.814.964.62

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sporting CPSporting CP3482
74%
2.4
8827+61
3.4
88%
68%
44%
9.2
44%
5.5
71%
26.2
76%
414
146911762.60.8
60%
2BenficaBenfica3480
74%
2.4
8428+56
3.3
88%
68%
38%
10.0
53%
4.5
68%
23.8
65%
357
172771082.50.8
58%
3FC PortoFC Porto3471
65%
2.1
6530+35
2.8
91%
53%
26%
8.8
41%
6.1
88%
27.6
91%
467
2141051481.90.9
62%
4SC BragaSC Braga3466
56%
1.9
5530+25
2.5
76%
47%
18%
9.9
56%
5.0
70%
26.6
82%
165
4156681.60.9
57%
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara3457
50%
1.7
3632+4
2.0
59%
29%
9%
8.1
24%
6.6
85%
29.9
88%
27
96121.10.9
44%
6GuimaraesGuimaraes3454
41%
1.6
4737+10
2.5
68%
47%
26%
10.6
65%
5.5
71%
28.8
100%
46
2211121.41.1
57%
7FamalicaoFamalicao3447
35%
1.4
4439+5
2.4
79%
53%
15%
10.4
50%
5.7
85%
30.2
88%
57
1620221.31.1
50%
8EstorilEstoril3446
35%
1.4
4853-5
3.0
79%
71%
41%
8.8
35%
4.4
62%
30.0
91%
42
248101.41.6
49%
9Casa PiaCasa Pia3445
35%
1.3
3944-5
2.4
74%
44%
26%
9.3
32%
5.5
73%
26.8
79%
27
96121.11.3
47%
10MoreirenseMoreirense3440
29%
1.2
4250-8
2.7
76%
53%
35%
8.3
26%
5.3
71%
30.5
97%
22
5891.21.5
47%
11AroucaArouca3438
26%
1.1
3549-14
2.5
71%
47%
29%
10.6
59%
5.4
76%
28.1
85%
28
11881.01.4
53%
12Rio AveRio Ave3438
26%
1.1
3955-16
2.8
82%
50%
29%
9.8
47%
4.7
65%
27.6
94%
37
88211.11.6
48%
13GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3434
24%
1.0
3447-13
2.4
71%
44%
18%
8.9
35%
4.7
71%
27.5
85%
29
118111.01.4
51%
14NacionalNacional3434
26%
1.0
3250-18
2.4
71%
44%
18%
10.2
53%
5.0
62%
27.3
85%
20
6590.91.5
47%
15AVSAVS3631
17%
0.9
3062-32
2.6
72%
44%
25%
8.6
36%
5.2
75%
26.9
78%
7
3230.81.7
43%
16EstrelaEstrela3429
21%
0.9
2450-26
2.2
59%
32%
18%
9.8
44%
5.2
76%
31.5
97%
20
63110.71.5
45%
17FarenseFarense3427
18%
0.8
2546-21
2.1
56%
41%
18%
11.0
53%
5.4
74%
28.7
94%
8
3240.71.4
41%
18BoavistaBoavista3424
18%
0.7
2459-35
2.4
65%
50%
26%
9.1
38%
5.7
76%
27.5
82%
0
0000.71.7
40%
19VizelaVizela21
0%
0.5
25-3
3.5
100%
100%
50%
12.0
100%
6.0
100%
26.0
100%
12
5241.02.5
71%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches