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Atalanta vs AC Milan Result & Analysis

Date: 06/12/2024
Time: 19:45
Final 2-1
Atalanta
Atalanta
Vs
60%
20%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atalanta win✓ Hit
60.3%
Avg Implied 44.3% · @ 2.16
Edge
+16.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.9%
Avg Implied 27.5% · @ 3.48
Edge
-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AC Milan win✗ Miss
19.8%
Avg Implied 28.2% · @ 3.39
Edge
-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AtalantaAtalanta

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-620W00D61W20W30W20W21W31W61W20WA·VEN20/10H·CEL23/10H·HEL26/10H·MON30/10A·NAP03/11A·VFB06/11H·UDI10/11A·PAR23/11A·BSC26/11A·AS 02/12
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.300.832.330.872.270.80
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (14)1.861.071.881.251.830.83
vs Weaker (15)2.870.673.330.502.560.78
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L10W31W02L10W31W33D00D32W30WA·FIO06/10H·UDI19/10H·CLU22/10H·NAP29/10A·MON02/11A·REA05/11A·CAG09/11H·JUV23/11A·SLO26/11H·EMP30/11
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.402.131.201.731.60
vs Stronger (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
vs Similar (13)1.001.380.831.501.141.29
vs Weaker (16)2.621.443.001.002.142.00
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Atalanta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%07%116%220%320%415%520%6+
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.6%
Under 1.5
9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
74.4%
@ 1.75+19.6%
Under 2.5
25.6%
@ 2.12-19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
54.3%
Under 3.5
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
69.8%
No
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1 ✓
8.9%
1-1
7.9%
3-1
7.3%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-0
5.2%
3-2
5.2%
1-2
5.0%
Atalanta goals ↓
AC Milan goals →
01234
02.8%2.2%2.0%1.0%0.3%
14.4%7.9%5.0%2.4%0.8%
26.3%8.9%6.2%2.9%1.0%
35.2%7.3%5.2%2.4%0.8%
43.2%4.5%3.2%1.5%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Atalanta goals (down), columns = AC Milan goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Napoli
2.16
Inter
2.13
Atalanta
1.95
Juventus
1.84
AS Roma
1.82
Fiorentina
1.71
Lazio
1.71
AC Milan
1.66
Bologna
1.63
Como
1.29
Udinese
1.16
Torino
1.16
Genoa
1.13
Hellas Verona
0.97
Cagliari
0.95
Parma
0.95
Lecce
0.89
Empoli
0.82
Venezia
0.76
Monza
0.47
Atalanta is 0.29 points better than AC Milan in terms of average points per game (1.95 vs 1.66).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter
2.08
Atalanta
2.05
Lazio
1.61
AC Milan
1.61
Fiorentina
1.58
Napoli
1.55
Juventus
1.53
Bologna
1.50
AS Roma
1.47
Como
1.29
Parma
1.16
Udinese
1.08
Cagliari
1.05
Torino
1.03
Genoa
0.97
Hellas Verona
0.89
Empoli
0.87
Venezia
0.84
Monza
0.74
Lecce
0.71
Atalanta is 0.45 goals better than AC Milan in terms of goals scored per game (2.05 vs 1.61).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Napoli
0.71
Inter
0.92
Juventus
0.92
AS Roma
0.92
Atalanta
0.97
Fiorentina
1.08
AC Milan
1.13
Torino
1.18
Bologna
1.24
Genoa
1.29
Lazio
1.29
Como
1.37
Udinese
1.47
Venezia
1.47
Cagliari
1.47
Lecce
1.53
Parma
1.53
Empoli
1.55
Hellas Verona
1.74
Monza
1.82
Atalanta is 0.16 goals better than AC Milan in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 1.13).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Inter
59%
Bologna
59%
Juventus
58%
Atalanta
55%
Lazio
55%
Como
55%
Napoli
55%
AC Milan
54%
AS Roma
54%
Fiorentina
51%
Monza
49%
Torino
47%
Udinese
47%
Genoa
46%
Venezia
45%
Cagliari
45%
Parma
44%
Lecce
44%
Empoli
41%
Hellas Verona
38%
Atalanta is 1.2 percentage points better than AC Milan in terms of average possession (55% vs 54%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AtalantaAtalanta

For 4.9 · Against 3.3 · Total 8.2

🚩 Corners

16042975245343451427452616797766117A·AS A·BSCA·PARH·UDIA·VFBA·NAPH·MONH·HELH·CELA·VEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

50321221132312311115322545112A·AS A·BSCA·PARH·UDIA·VFBA·NAPH·MONH·HELH·CELA·VEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.1 · Against 11.6 · Total 20.7

⚠️ Fouls

300131771686101217881014113155961230231422251825181418A·AS A·BSCA·PARH·UDIA·VFBA·NAPH·MONH·HELH·CELA·VEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AC MilanAC Milan

For 5.5 · Against 3.6 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

130738424365853515384710126913868127H·EMPA·SLOH·JUVA·CAGA·REAA·MONH·NAPH·CLUH·UDIA·FIO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

802234322241214433424752631866H·EMPA·SLOH·JUVA·CAGA·REAA·MONH·NAPH·CLUH·UDIA·FIO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 11.9 · Total 23.2

⚠️ Fouls

33012161215912117911151814679314211128272118203320161732H·EMPA·SLOH·JUVA·CAGA·REAA·MONH·NAPH·CLUH·UDIA·FIO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AtalantaAtalanta

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.68.19.03.42.74.123.623.024.3
vs Stronger (1)6.06.0-1.01.0-17.017.0-
vs Similar (23)7.76.78.53.63.23.924.124.224.1
vs Weaker (26)9.49.49.53.32.44.223.522.524.5
% over line30%21%38%44%29%58%66%62%69%
% under line70%79%62%56%71%42%34%38%31%
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.210.04.64.05.221.820.323.3
vs Stronger (1)13.0-13.06.0-6.020.0-20.0
vs Similar (23)8.97.99.85.24.26.122.321.223.4
vs Weaker (26)10.110.210.04.03.94.221.419.623.4
% over line50%44%56%62%52%72%42%28%56%
% under line50%56%44%38%48%28%58%72%44%
This opponent (Atalanta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Empoli
10.6
Udinese
10.5
Cagliari
10.4
Parma
10.3
Lecce
9.9
Napoli
9.8
Lazio
9.7
Venezia
9.7
AC Milan
9.6
Juventus
9.6
Inter
9.5
Hellas Verona
9.3
Monza
9.2
Genoa
8.9
Como
8.9
Torino
8.8
AS Roma
8.8
Fiorentina
8.7
Bologna
8.7
Atalanta
8.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lazio
5.8
Bologna
5.1
Parma
5.1
Fiorentina
5.0
Lecce
4.9
Udinese
4.8
Como
4.8
AS Roma
4.7
Genoa
4.7
Cagliari
4.7
Venezia
4.6
Monza
4.6
Hellas Verona
4.6
AC Milan
4.6
Torino
4.5
Napoli
4.2
Juventus
4.1
Empoli
4.1
Atalanta
3.5
Inter
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Como
27.9
Empoli
27.7
Bologna
26.7
Lecce
25.9
Fiorentina
25.6
Hellas Verona
25.4
Venezia
25.1
Monza
25.0
Lazio
24.9
Udinese
24.5
Cagliari
24.2
Parma
24.2
AS Roma
24.2
Genoa
23.7
Atalanta
23.6
Torino
23.5
Inter
23.3
Napoli
23.1
Juventus
22.1
AC Milan
21.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
40.4%
Under 9.5
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.0%
Under 3.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
66.1%
Under 21.5
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AtalantaAtalanta

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W00D51W00D20W00D01L20W41W00DA·VEN20/10H·CEL23/10H·HEL26/10H·MON30/10A·NAP03/11A·VFB06/11H·UDI10/11A·PAR23/11A·BSC26/11A·AS 02/12
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.471.330.531.070.40
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (14)1.140.641.380.750.830.50
vs Weaker (15)1.330.331.500.331.220.33
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W10W02L10W21W21W00D11D20WA·FIO06/10H·UDI19/10H·CLU22/10H·NAP29/10A·MON02/11A·REA05/11A·CAG09/11H·JUV23/11A·SLO26/11H·EMP30/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.671.200.530.670.80
vs Stronger (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
vs Similar (13)0.310.770.331.000.290.57
vs Weaker (16)1.380.561.780.220.861.00
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Atalanta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Atalanta over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AtalantaAtalanta

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W20W10W20W20W11D20W20WA·VEN20/10H·CEL23/10H·HEL26/10H·MON30/10A·NAP03/11A·VFB06/11H·UDI10/11A·PAR23/11A·BSC26/11A·AS 02/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.371.000.331.200.40
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (14)0.710.430.500.501.000.33
vs Weaker (15)1.530.331.830.171.330.44
Clean sheet %73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D21W00D00D10W12L00D21W10WA·FIO06/10H·UDI19/10H·CLU22/10H·NAP29/10A·MON02/11A·REA05/11A·CAG09/11H·JUV23/11A·SLO26/11H·EMP30/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.730.930.671.070.80
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (13)0.690.620.500.500.860.71
vs Weaker (16)1.250.881.220.781.291.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Atalanta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Atalanta over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.590.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners80.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls80.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards77.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards77.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.574.4%1.75-----+19.6%✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners71.3%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Atalanta
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ademola Lookman45%
Mateo Retegui40%
Ibrahim Sulemana20%
Charles De Ketelaere19%
Daniel Maldini18%
Nicolò Zaniolo14%
Marco Brescianini14%
Mario Pašalić13%
Davide Zappacosta12%
Éderson11%
Lazar Samardžić10%
Marten de Roon8%
Berat Djimsiti4%
Sead Kolašinac3%
Raoul Bellanova2%
Stefan Posch0%
Juan Cuadrado0%
Rui Patrício0%
Ben Godfrey0%
Marco Carnesecchi0%
Rafael Tolói0%
Odilon Kossounou0%
Isak Hien0%
Matteo Ruggeri0%
Giorgio Scalvini0%
Vanja Vlahović0%
Marco Palestra0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Isak Hien30%
Giorgio Scalvini29%
Sead Kolašinac28%
Nicolò Zaniolo23%
Berat Djimsiti18%
Rafael Tolói18%
Éderson17%
Marten de Roon17%
Juan Cuadrado12%
Ademola Lookman11%
Ibrahim Sulemana10%
Lazar Samardžić10%
Raoul Bellanova9%
Odilon Kossounou9%
Davide Zappacosta7%
Mateo Retegui6%
Matteo Ruggeri6%
Marco Brescianini5%
Mario Pašalić4%
Marco Carnesecchi2%
Charles De Ketelaere2%
Stefan Posch0%
Rui Patrício0%
Ben Godfrey0%
Daniel Maldini0%
Vanja Vlahović0%
Marco Palestra0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Raoul Bellanova21%
Davide Zappacosta17%
Mateo Retegui17%
Charles De Ketelaere17%
Nicolò Zaniolo14%
Ademola Lookman13%
Mario Pašalić13%
Marten de Roon10%
Juan Cuadrado9%
Sead Kolašinac9%
Matteo Ruggeri8%
Lazar Samardžić7%
Rafael Tolói6%
Odilon Kossounou5%
Berat Djimsiti4%
Marco Brescianini3%
Isak Hien2%
Éderson2%
Stefan Posch0%
Rui Patrício0%
Ben Godfrey0%
Marco Carnesecchi0%
Daniel Maldini0%
Giorgio Scalvini0%
Vanja Vlahović0%
Ibrahim Sulemana0%
Marco Palestra0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ademola Lookman37%
Mateo Retegui33%
Daniel Maldini18%
Davide Zappacosta15%
Charles De Ketelaere12%
Juan Cuadrado9%
Lazar Samardžić7%
Mario Pašalić7%
Marco Brescianini3%
Berat Djimsiti2%
Éderson2%
Stefan Posch0%
Nicolò Zaniolo0%
Sead Kolašinac0%
Rui Patrício0%
Ben Godfrey0%
Marco Carnesecchi0%
Rafael Tolói0%
Marten de Roon0%
Odilon Kossounou0%
Raoul Bellanova0%
Isak Hien0%
Matteo Ruggeri0%
Giorgio Scalvini0%
Vanja Vlahović0%
Ibrahim Sulemana0%
Marco Palestra0%
AC Milan
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christian Pulišić29%
Santiago Giménez26%
Álvaro Morata26%
Tijjani Reijnders25%
Rafael Leão22%
Tammy Abraham19%
Luka Jović18%
João Félix14%
Samuel Chukwueze11%
Theo Hernández9%
Davide Calabria8%
Noah Okafor6%
Strahinja Pavlović6%
Matteo Gabbia6%
Malick Thiaw3%
Youssouf Fofana2%
Kyle Walker0%
Emerson Royal0%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek0%
Ismaël Bennacer0%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Yunus Musah0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Warren Bondo0%
Álex Jiménez0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Francesco Camarda0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Álvaro Morata35%
Ismaël Bennacer29%
Filippo Terracciano25%
Davide Calabria23%
Álex Jiménez23%
Fikayo Tomori21%
Emerson Royal21%
Warren Bondo20%
João Félix19%
Yunus Musah18%
Theo Hernández17%
Santiago Giménez16%
Rafael Leão14%
Matteo Gabbia14%
Youssouf Fofana14%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek11%
Malick Thiaw10%
Strahinja Pavlović9%
Francesco Camarda7%
Christian Pulišić6%
Kyle Walker6%
Luka Jović6%
Tijjani Reijnders6%
Samuel Chukwueze6%
Mike Maignan4%
Tammy Abraham2%
Marco Sportiello0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Noah Okafor0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rafael Leão20%
Christian Pulišić19%
Youssouf Fofana18%
Santiago Giménez16%
Ismaël Bennacer14%
Tammy Abraham14%
Noah Okafor12%
Theo Hernández9%
Samuel Chukwueze8%
Tijjani Reijnders8%
Álex Jiménez8%
Fikayo Tomori6%
Yunus Musah5%
Álvaro Morata4%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek4%
Malick Thiaw3%
Strahinja Pavlović3%
João Félix0%
Kyle Walker0%
Emerson Royal0%
Davide Calabria0%
Luka Jović0%
Mike Maignan0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Warren Bondo0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Francesco Camarda0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
João Félix29%
Rafael Leão14%
Tijjani Reijnders13%
Álvaro Morata13%
Theo Hernández11%
Santiago Giménez11%
Christian Pulišić10%
Tammy Abraham7%
Youssouf Fofana4%
Álex Jiménez4%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek4%
Matteo Gabbia3%
Samuel Chukwueze3%
Yunus Musah3%
Kyle Walker0%
Emerson Royal0%
Davide Calabria0%
Luka Jović0%
Ismaël Bennacer0%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Strahinja Pavlović0%
Noah Okafor0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Warren Bondo0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Francesco Camarda0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
VEN (36)
€117m
LEC (31)
€72m
MON (29)
€70m
HV (34)
€57m
EMP (27)
€20m
Atalanta's squad is €147m less valuable than AC Milan's (€438m vs €585m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
VEN (9)
€39m
PAR (8)
€35m
MON (11)
€26m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
EMP (9)
€11m
Atalanta's attack is €65m less valuable than AC Milan's (€158m vs €223m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
VEN (11)
€31m
CAG (9)
€31m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
HV (9)
€14m
EMP (9)
€6m
Atalanta's midfield is €25m less valuable than AC Milan's (€128m vs €153m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
COM (14)
€144m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
CAG (11)
€52m
VEN (16)
€47m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
MON (11)
€20m
EMP (9)
€4m
Atalanta's defence is €56m less valuable than AC Milan's (€153m vs €209m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
ATA wins
2
Draws
4
AM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Atalanta vs AC Milan · H/A from ATA
DateH/AGameScore
25/02/24AAC Milan Vs ATA1-1
09/12/23HATA Vs AC Milan3-2
26/02/23AAC Milan Vs ATA2-0
21/08/22HATA Vs AC Milan1-1
15/05/22AAC Milan Vs ATA2-0
03/10/21HATA Vs AC Milan2-3
23/05/21HATA Vs AC Milan0-2
23/01/21AAC Milan Vs ATA0-3

AtalantaAtalanta

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/12/24AAS Roma Vs ATA0-2
26/11/24ABSC Young Boys Vs ATA1-6
23/11/24AParma Vs ATA1-3
10/11/24HATA Vs Udinese2-1
06/11/24AVfB Stuttgart Vs ATA0-2
03/11/24ANapoli Vs ATA0-3
30/10/24HATA Vs Monza2-0
26/10/24HATA Vs Hellas Verona6-1
23/10/24HATA Vs Celtic0-0
20/10/24AVenezia Vs ATA0-2

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/24HAM Vs Empoli3-0
26/11/24ASlovan Bratislava Vs AM2-3
23/11/24HAM Vs Juventus0-0
09/11/24ACagliari Vs AM3-3
05/11/24AReal Madrid Vs AM1-3
02/11/24AMonza Vs AM0-1
29/10/24HAM Vs Napoli0-2
22/10/24HAM Vs Club Brugge KV3-1
19/10/24HAM Vs Udinese1-0
06/10/24AFiorentina Vs AM2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Atalanta
Atalanta
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.10
HomeWDWWW2.25
AwayWWWWW1.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%71%58%
AVG goals3.143.253.04
Over 1.5 %90%83%96%
Over 2.5 %66%71%62%
Over 3.5 %34%38%31%
Scored2.242.422.08
Conceded0.900.830.96
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet42%46%38%
Corners8.568.128.96
Cards3.542.914.08
AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWW1.84
HomeWWLDW2.04
AwayLWWDW1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%60%48%
AVG goals3.403.163.64
Over 1.5 %80%76%84%
Over 2.5 %76%68%84%
Over 3.5 %50%44%56%
Scored2.062.161.96
Conceded1.341.001.68
BTTS64%48%80%
Clean Sheet30%44%16%
Corners9.609.2010.00
Cards4.584.005.16

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NapoliNapoli3882
63%
2.2
5927+32
2.3
71%
45%
16%
9.4
50%
3.2
41%
23.3
66%
459
2061011521.60.7
55%
2InterInter3881
63%
2.1
7935+44
3.0
79%
55%
39%
9.5
43%
3.3
44%
22.5
49%
694
2202322422.10.9
59%
3AtalantaAtalanta3874
58%
1.9
7837+41
3.0
82%
55%
39%
8.4
24%
3.4
36%
22.4
55%
438
1581281532.11.0
55%
4JuventusJuventus3870
47%
1.8
5835+23
2.4
76%
42%
21%
9.5
53%
3.8
58%
22.9
71%
569
2401401891.50.9
58%
5AS RomaAS Roma3869
53%
1.8
5635+21
2.4
66%
39%
24%
8.5
39%
4.3
59%
24.0
68%
471
1381182151.50.9
54%
6FiorentinaFiorentina3865
50%
1.7
6041+19
2.7
71%
61%
24%
8.0
30%
4.9
81%
27.2
86%
330
125107981.61.1
51%
7LazioLazio3865
47%
1.7
6149+12
2.9
82%
61%
29%
10.4
50%
6.2
92%
24.5
76%
240
6086931.61.3
55%
8AC MilanAC Milan3863
47%
1.7
6143+18
2.7
82%
61%
26%
9.9
53%
4.1
50%
22.7
50%
585
2231532091.61.1
54%
9BolognaBologna3862
42%
1.6
5747+10
2.7
82%
53%
34%
8.2
34%
4.4
70%
31.0
97%
218
10434791.51.2
59%
10ComoComo3849
34%
1.3
4952-3
2.7
84%
45%
24%
8.3
39%
5.1
74%
27.6
95%
488
261831441.31.4
55%
11TorinoTorino3844
26%
1.2
3945-6
2.2
68%
26%
21%
9.3
50%
3.9
61%
23.6
63%
144
4346541.01.2
47%
12UdineseUdinese3844
32%
1.2
4156-15
2.6
74%
50%
24%
10.0
61%
4.3
65%
24.9
76%
157
4639721.11.5
47%
13GenoaGenoa3843
26%
1.1
3749-12
2.3
68%
39%
21%
9.4
42%
4.1
64%
25.7
79%
182
5444841.01.3
46%
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3837
26%
1.0
3466-32
2.6
68%
47%
26%
9.3
47%
4.4
65%
25.1
66%
57
1314300.91.7
38%
15ParmaParma3836
18%
0.9
4458-14
2.7
71%
55%
39%
10.3
68%
4.4
55%
23.4
61%
142
3560461.21.5
44%
16CagliariCagliari3836
24%
0.9
4056-16
2.5
76%
50%
21%
9.8
50%
3.8
53%
24.3
66%
134
5131521.11.5
45%
17LecceLecce3834
21%
0.9
2758-31
2.2
58%
39%
24%
10.4
47%
4.1
61%
24.2
68%
72
2016370.71.5
44%
18EmpoliEmpoli3831
16%
0.8
3359-26
2.4
74%
47%
21%
9.6
50%
3.9
46%
27.8
84%
20
11640.91.6
41%
19VeneziaVenezia3829
13%
0.8
3256-24
2.3
68%
42%
24%
9.6
47%
3.9
45%
26.3
79%
117
3931470.81.5
45%
20MonzaMonza3818
8%
0.5
2869-41
2.6
79%
50%
24%
8.7
45%
4.2
58%
28.3
84%
70
2624200.71.8
49%
Italy: Serie A 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches