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Atalanta vs AC Milan Result & Analysis

Date: 28/10/2025
Time: 19:45
Final 1-1
Atalanta
Atalanta
Vs
40%
28%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atalanta win✗ Miss
39.8%
Avg Implied 36.0% · @ 2.61
Edge
+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.9%
Avg Implied 28.9% · @ 3.26
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AC Milan win✗ Miss
32.4%
Avg Implied 35.1% · @ 2.68
Edge
-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AtalantaAtalanta

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D41W04L30W11D21W11D00D00D11DA·PAR30/08H·LEC14/09A·PAR17/09A·TOR21/09A·JUV27/09H·CLU30/09H·COM04/10H·LAZ19/10H·SLA22/10A·CRE25/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.001.061.002.211.00
vs Stronger (2)1.003.00--1.003.00
vs Similar (13)1.001.000.751.121.400.80
vs Weaker (15)2.200.731.380.883.140.57
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L20W12L20W10W30W21W00D21W22DA·AS 18/05H·MON24/05H·CRE23/08A·LEC29/08H·BOL14/09A·UDI20/09H·NAP28/09A·JUV05/10H·FIO19/10H·PIS24/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.071.561.061.641.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.081.381.381.250.601.60
vs Weaker (17)2.000.821.750.882.220.78
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Atalanta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.2%
Under 1.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.8%
@ 1.91+2.6%
Under 2.5
48.2%
@ 1.85-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.7%
Under 3.5
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.8%
No
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.6%
0-1
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
5.7%
Atalanta goals ↓
AC Milan goals →
01234
07.6%7.1%5.3%2.3%0.7%
18.1%13%7.8%3.4%1.1%
26.8%8.8%5.7%2.4%0.8%
33.3%4.3%2.8%1.2%0.4%
41.2%1.5%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Atalanta goals (down), columns = AC Milan goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter
2.29
Napoli
2.00
AS Roma
1.92
Como
1.87
AC Milan
1.84
Juventus
1.82
Atalanta
1.55
Bologna
1.47
Lazio
1.42
Udinese
1.32
Sassuolo
1.29
Torino
1.18
Parma
1.18
Cagliari
1.13
Fiorentina
1.11
Genoa
1.08
Lecce
1.00
Cremonese
0.89
Hellas Verona
0.55
Pisa
0.47
Atalanta is 0.29 points worse than AC Milan in terms of average points per game (1.55 vs 1.84).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter
2.34
Como
1.71
Juventus
1.61
AS Roma
1.55
Napoli
1.53
AC Milan
1.39
Atalanta
1.34
Bologna
1.29
Sassuolo
1.21
Udinese
1.18
Torino
1.16
Genoa
1.08
Fiorentina
1.08
Lazio
1.08
Cagliari
1.05
Cremonese
0.84
Lecce
0.74
Parma
0.74
Pisa
0.68
Hellas Verona
0.66
Atalanta is 0.05 goals worse than AC Milan in terms of goals scored per game (1.34 vs 1.39).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Como
0.76
AS Roma
0.82
Juventus
0.89
Inter
0.92
AC Milan
0.92
Napoli
0.95
Atalanta
0.95
Lazio
1.05
Bologna
1.21
Parma
1.21
Udinese
1.26
Fiorentina
1.32
Lecce
1.32
Sassuolo
1.32
Genoa
1.34
Cagliari
1.39
Cremonese
1.50
Hellas Verona
1.61
Torino
1.66
Pisa
1.87
Atalanta is 0.03 goals worse than AC Milan in terms of goals conceded per game (0.95 vs 0.92).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Como
62%
Inter
60%
Napoli
59%
Juventus
58%
AS Roma
56%
Atalanta
55%
Bologna
55%
AC Milan
52%
Fiorentina
51%
Lazio
50%
Genoa
49%
Cremonese
46%
Sassuolo
46%
Udinese
46%
Cagliari
46%
Torino
44%
Parma
44%
Lecce
42%
Pisa
40%
Hellas Verona
40%
Atalanta is 3.3 percentage points better than AC Milan in terms of average possession (55% vs 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AtalantaAtalanta

For 5.4 · Against 3.4 · Total 8.8

🚩 Corners

19010263718371514116822112981181917103A·CREH·SLAH·LAZH·COMH·CLUA·JUVA·TORA·PARH·LECA·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

501332413241222114544241422A·CREH·SLAH·LAZH·COMH·CLUA·JUVA·PARA·PARH·PISH·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 9.2 · Total 19.0

⚠️ Fouls

2908681510510198107691111512715814231529181320161923A·CREH·SLAH·LAZH·COMH·CLUA·JUVA·TORA·PARH·LECA·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AC MilanAC Milan

For 3.9 · Against 3.9 · Total 7.8

🚩 Corners

11062136174174549246248468511911106H·PISH·FIOA·JUVH·NAPA·UDIH·BOLA·LECH·CREH·MONA·AS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

6013332222321141334642251516H·PISH·FIOA·JUVH·NAPA·UDIH·BOLA·LECH·CREH·MONA·AS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 12.5 · Total 22.8

⚠️ Fouls

330821141281577791716810101489161229262314163318241728H·PISH·FIOA·JUVH·NAPA·UDIH·BOLA·LECH·CREH·MONA·AS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AtalantaAtalanta

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.09.58.33.03.03.020.721.320.0
vs Stronger (3)8.37.09.02.73.02.521.328.018.0
vs Similar (23)9.49.98.83.73.63.721.021.220.7
vs Weaker (24)8.69.37.82.52.42.620.420.919.8
% over line34%42%25%36%31%42%44%50%38%
% under line66%58%75%64%69%58%56%50%62%
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.79.34.24.63.923.022.123.9
vs Stronger (1)13.0-13.06.0-6.020.0-20.0
vs Similar (23)8.48.87.94.74.94.522.520.924.6
vs Weaker (26)10.310.610.13.74.23.223.523.323.7
% over line46%58%33%56%69%42%52%46%58%
% under line54%42%67%44%31%58%48%54%42%
This opponent (Atalanta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Lecce
10.3
Udinese
10.0
Juventus
9.8
Parma
9.7
Lazio
9.7
Cagliari
9.6
AC Milan
9.5
Napoli
9.4
Inter
9.3
Torino
9.2
Genoa
9.2
Hellas Verona
9.1
Cremonese
9.0
Atalanta
9.0
AS Roma
9.0
Bologna
8.6
Sassuolo
8.6
Pisa
8.4
Fiorentina
8.3
Como
8.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lazio
6.2
Como
5.1
Cremonese
5.0
Bologna
5.0
Fiorentina
5.0
AS Roma
4.7
Hellas Verona
4.5
Pisa
4.4
Parma
4.4
Sassuolo
4.3
AC Milan
4.2
Udinese
4.2
Genoa
4.2
Lecce
4.1
Cagliari
4.1
Torino
4.0
Juventus
3.7
Inter
3.6
Napoli
3.3
Atalanta
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bologna
30.7
Cremonese
30.2
Fiorentina
28.2
Pisa
28.0
Como
27.7
Sassuolo
26.0
AS Roma
25.8
Genoa
25.8
Hellas Verona
25.5
Cagliari
25.2
Lazio
25.1
Udinese
24.8
Lecce
24.5
Torino
24.2
Parma
23.9
Juventus
23.4
Napoli
23.4
AC Milan
23.0
Inter
22.9
Atalanta
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
42.7%
Under 9.5
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
49.8%
Under 3.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
66.7%
Under 21.5
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AtalantaAtalanta

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W02L30W10W01L11D00D00D00DA·PAR30/08H·LEC14/09A·PAR17/09A·TOR21/09A·JUV27/09H·CLU30/09H·COM04/10H·LAZ19/10H·SLA22/10A·CRE25/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.470.500.561.070.36
vs Stronger (2)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (13)0.380.620.250.750.600.40
vs Weaker (15)1.200.270.750.381.710.14
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D11D00D00D10W20W00D00D10WA·AS 18/05H·MON24/05H·CRE23/08A·LEC29/08H·BOL14/09A·UDI20/09H·NAP28/09A·JUV05/10H·FIO19/10H·PIS24/10
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.430.560.380.430.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.460.690.620.500.201.00
vs Weaker (17)0.530.240.500.250.560.22
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Atalanta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Atalanta over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AtalantaAtalanta

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D31W02L00D01L20W00D00D00D11DA·PAR30/08H·LEC14/09A·PAR17/09A·TOR21/09A·JUV27/09H·CLU30/09H·COM04/10H·LAZ19/10H·SLA22/10A·CRE25/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.530.560.441.140.64
vs Stronger (2)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (13)0.620.380.500.380.800.40
vs Weaker (15)1.000.470.620.501.430.43
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L20W01L20W10W20W01L00D21W12LA·AS 18/05H·MON24/05H·CRE23/08A·LEC29/08H·BOL14/09A·UDI20/09H·NAP28/09A·JUV05/10H·FIO19/10H·PIS24/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.631.000.691.210.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.620.690.750.750.400.60
vs Weaker (17)1.470.591.250.621.670.56
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Atalanta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Atalanta over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards83.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls80.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners79.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.577.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards70.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.570.3%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Atalanta
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gianluca Scamacca29%
Mario Pašalić22%
Giacomo Raspadori19%
Nikola Krstović19%
Ademola Lookman16%
Lazar Samardžić16%
Giorgio Scalvini10%
Charles De Ketelaere10%
Marco Brescianini8%
Davide Zappacosta8%
Kamaldeen Sulemana8%
Yunus Musah7%
Éderson7%
Nicola Zalewski5%
Marten de Roon4%
Odilon Kossounou3%
Honest Ahanor3%
Isak Hien3%
Berat Djimsiti2%
Sead Kolašinac0%
Marco Carnesecchi0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Raoul Bellanova0%
Daniel Maldini0%
Lorenzo Bernasconi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marten de Roon20%
Isak Hien18%
Yunus Musah15%
Sead Kolašinac14%
Gianluca Scamacca13%
Berat Djimsiti13%
Kamaldeen Sulemana11%
Lorenzo Bernasconi11%
Éderson10%
Charles De Ketelaere10%
Odilon Kossounou9%
Daniel Maldini9%
Mario Pašalić9%
Honest Ahanor9%
Marco Brescianini8%
Nikola Krstović8%
Raoul Bellanova8%
Nicola Zalewski7%
Giorgio Scalvini7%
Davide Zappacosta6%
Lazar Samardžić5%
Marco Carnesecchi2%
Ademola Lookman0%
Giacomo Raspadori0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Charles De Ketelaere14%
Nicola Zalewski14%
Nikola Krstović12%
Mario Pašalić11%
Ademola Lookman11%
Daniel Maldini9%
Lorenzo Bernasconi8%
Marten de Roon8%
Davide Zappacosta6%
Giacomo Raspadori6%
Raoul Bellanova6%
Kamaldeen Sulemana5%
Gianluca Scamacca5%
Lazar Samardžić5%
Éderson5%
Yunus Musah4%
Giorgio Scalvini3%
Sead Kolašinac0%
Marco Brescianini0%
Marco Carnesecchi0%
Berat Djimsiti0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Odilon Kossounou0%
Isak Hien0%
Honest Ahanor0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gianluca Scamacca32%
Nikola Krstović27%
Daniel Maldini18%
Ademola Lookman11%
Mario Pašalić9%
Davide Zappacosta8%
Giacomo Raspadori6%
Kamaldeen Sulemana5%
Lazar Samardžić5%
Charles De Ketelaere5%
Giorgio Scalvini3%
Honest Ahanor3%
Nicola Zalewski2%
Berat Djimsiti2%
Sead Kolašinac0%
Marco Brescianini0%
Éderson0%
Marco Carnesecchi0%
Marten de Roon0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Odilon Kossounou0%
Raoul Bellanova0%
Isak Hien0%
Yunus Musah0%
Lorenzo Bernasconi0%
AC Milan
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rafael Leão29%
Christian Pulišić24%
Christopher Nkunku21%
Adrien Rabiot16%
Strahinja Pavlović14%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek10%
Alexis Saelemaekers8%
Zachary Athekame7%
Youssouf Fofana6%
Luka Modrić6%
Santiago Giménez6%
Niclas Füllkrug5%
Pervis Estupiñán5%
Koni De Winter4%
Davide Bartesaghi3%
Samuele Ricci3%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Ardon Jashari0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
David Odogu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pervis Estupiñán29%
Fikayo Tomori19%
Strahinja Pavlović16%
Adrien Rabiot16%
Rafael Leão16%
Alexis Saelemaekers13%
Matteo Gabbia13%
Samuele Ricci12%
Youssouf Fofana11%
Luka Modrić11%
Santiago Giménez11%
Zachary Athekame11%
Mike Maignan10%
Davide Bartesaghi9%
Koni De Winter7%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek6%
Christian Pulišić0%
Christopher Nkunku0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Ardon Jashari0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
David Odogu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adrien Rabiot13%
Christian Pulišić12%
Samuele Ricci12%
Youssouf Fofana11%
Santiago Giménez11%
Alexis Saelemaekers11%
Rafael Leão10%
Christopher Nkunku9%
Luka Modrić8%
Fikayo Tomori8%
Zachary Athekame7%
Ardon Jashari6%
Pervis Estupiñán5%
Koni De Winter4%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek3%
Davide Bartesaghi3%
Strahinja Pavlović3%
Mike Maignan0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
David Odogu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rafael Leão26%
Christian Pulišić21%
Santiago Giménez17%
Adrien Rabiot13%
Christopher Nkunku12%
Youssouf Fofana11%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek10%
Matteo Gabbia6%
Ardon Jashari6%
Alexis Saelemaekers5%
Samuele Ricci3%
Strahinja Pavlović3%
Luka Modrić0%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Pervis Estupiñán0%
Koni De Winter0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
David Odogu0%
Zachary Athekame0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
SAS (38)
€194m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
LEC (31)
€72m
PIS (36)
€71m
HV (34)
€57m
CRE (30)
€49m
Atalanta's squad is €147m less valuable than AC Milan's (€438m vs €585m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
SAS (12)
€90m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
PAR (8)
€35m
PIS (13)
€24m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
CRE (7)
€12m
Atalanta's attack is €65m less valuable than AC Milan's (€158m vs €223m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
SAS (9)
€53m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
CAG (9)
€31m
PIS (9)
€26m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
HV (9)
€14m
Atalanta's midfield is €25m less valuable than AC Milan's (€128m vs €153m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
COM (14)
€144m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
SAS (17)
€52m
CAG (11)
€52m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
Atalanta's defence is €56m less valuable than AC Milan's (€153m vs €209m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
ATA wins
2
Draws
3
AM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Atalanta vs AC Milan · H/A from ATA
DateH/AGameScore
20/04/25AAC Milan Vs ATA0-1
06/12/24HATA Vs AC Milan2-1
25/02/24AAC Milan Vs ATA1-1
09/12/23HATA Vs AC Milan3-2
26/02/23AAC Milan Vs ATA2-0
21/08/22HATA Vs AC Milan1-1
15/05/22AAC Milan Vs ATA2-0
03/10/21HATA Vs AC Milan2-3

AtalantaAtalanta

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/25ACremonese Vs ATA1-1
22/10/25HATA Vs Slavia Praha0-0
19/10/25HATA Vs Lazio0-0
04/10/25HATA Vs Como1-1
30/09/25HATA Vs Club Brugge KV2-1
27/09/25AJuventus Vs ATA1-1
21/09/25ATorino Vs ATA0-3
17/09/25AParis Saint Germain Vs ATA4-0
14/09/25HATA Vs Lecce4-1
30/08/25AParma Vs ATA1-1

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/10/25HAM Vs Pisa2-2
19/10/25HAM Vs Fiorentina2-1
05/10/25AJuventus Vs AM0-0
28/09/25HAM Vs Napoli2-1
20/09/25AUdinese Vs AM0-3
14/09/25HAM Vs Bologna1-0
29/08/25ALecce Vs AM0-2
23/08/25HAM Vs Cremonese1-2
24/05/25HAM Vs Monza2-0
18/05/25AAS Roma Vs AM3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Atalanta
Atalanta
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 3 Wins / 6 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDDD1.82
HomeWWDDD1.54
AwayDLWDD2.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%38%62%
AVG goals2.822.692.96
Over 1.5 %80%77%83%
Over 2.5 %50%46%54%
Over 3.5 %34%31%38%
Scored1.901.622.21
Conceded0.921.080.75
BTTS52%62%42%
Clean Sheet40%31%50%
Corners8.969.548.33
Cards3.233.163.32
AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWD1.76
HomeLWWWD1.92
AwayWLWWD1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%54%50%
AVG goals2.582.382.79
Over 1.5 %76%73%79%
Over 2.5 %56%50%62%
Over 3.5 %22%19%25%
Scored1.541.501.58
Conceded1.040.881.21
BTTS56%58%54%
Clean Sheet34%35%33%
Corners9.529.739.29
Cards4.244.583.88

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1InterInter3887
71%
2.3
8935+54
3.3
84%
55%
37%
9.2
55%
3.5
38%
24.2
58%
694
2202322422.30.9
60%
2NapoliNapoli3876
61%
2.0
5836+22
2.5
68%
53%
26%
8.2
26%
3.5
42%
23.4
61%
459
2061011521.50.9
59%
3AS RomaAS Roma3873
61%
1.9
5931+28
2.4
66%
37%
18%
8.6
34%
4.1
66%
27.8
89%
471
1381182151.60.8
56%
4ComoComo3871
53%
1.9
6529+36
2.5
71%
45%
24%
7.7
24%
4.6
68%
25.9
79%
488
261831441.70.8
62%
5AC MilanAC Milan3870
53%
1.8
5335+18
2.3
66%
45%
18%
8.6
42%
3.8
58%
21.9
58%
585
2231532091.40.9
52%
6JuventusJuventus3869
50%
1.8
6134+27
2.5
74%
39%
24%
9.2
37%
3.7
59%
22.3
61%
569
2401401891.60.9
58%
7AtalantaAtalanta3859
39%
1.6
5136+15
2.3
74%
37%
18%
9.8
50%
3.4
47%
22.1
53%
438
1581281531.30.9
55%
8BolognaBologna3856
42%
1.5
4946+3
2.5
71%
45%
26%
8.7
34%
4.1
51%
27.8
89%
218
10434791.31.2
55%
9LazioLazio3854
37%
1.4
4140+1
2.1
66%
32%
16%
7.9
29%
4.9
76%
25.1
68%
240
6086931.11.1
50%
10UdineseUdinese3850
37%
1.3
4548-3
2.4
68%
45%
21%
9.3
39%
3.7
53%
25.1
79%
157
4639721.21.3
46%
11SassuoloSassuolo3849
37%
1.3
4650-4
2.5
74%
55%
21%
8.7
50%
4.5
65%
24.9
68%
194
9053521.21.3
46%
12ParmaParma3845
29%
1.2
2846-18
1.9
58%
29%
16%
8.8
37%
3.9
61%
24.3
79%
142
3560460.71.2
44%
13TorinoTorino3845
32%
1.2
4463-19
2.8
74%
63%
29%
8.5
42%
3.5
44%
24.5
68%
144
4346541.21.7
44%
14CagliariCagliari3843
29%
1.1
4053-13
2.4
76%
50%
18%
8.9
37%
4.1
58%
28.6
89%
134
5131521.11.4
46%
15FiorentinaFiorentina3842
24%
1.1
4150-9
2.4
71%
50%
24%
9.0
47%
4.8
78%
28.1
92%
330
125107981.11.3
51%
16GenoaGenoa3841
26%
1.1
4151-10
2.4
76%
53%
16%
8.6
37%
4.5
76%
27.4
87%
182
5444841.11.3
49%
17LecceLecce3838
26%
1.0
2850-22
2.1
61%
37%
13%
9.6
58%
3.8
50%
26.7
74%
72
2016370.71.3
42%
18CremoneseCremonese3834
21%
0.9
3257-25
2.3
68%
45%
24%
9.5
47%
3.8
46%
26.4
84%
49
1215220.81.5
46%
19Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3821
8%
0.6
2561-36
2.3
68%
50%
21%
9.0
42%
4.1
54%
25.3
74%
57
1314300.71.6
40%
20PisaPisa3818
5%
0.5
2671-45
2.6
66%
53%
32%
8.4
37%
3.8
53%
24.7
79%
71
2426220.71.9
40%
Italy: Serie A 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches