Atalanta, coming off a draw against Fiorentina, hosts Bologna in a closely contested match. The home side's recent form has seen them alternate between wins and losses, while Bologna is also coming off a draw against Inter. The model predicts a home win, with Atalanta having a 43% chance of winning, a 29% chance of drawing, and a 27% chance of losing to Bologna.
The expected total goals is 2.5, with the most likely total goals being 2. The single most likely score is a 1-1 draw, with a probability of 13.9%. Atalanta scores an average of 1.88 goals at home and concedes 0.88, while Bologna scores 1.6 goals away from home and concedes 2.8 against stronger opponents.
The model's selections include Over 21.5 fouls with a 77% chance of hitting, Under 3.5 with a 75.9% chance of hitting, and Over 1.5 with a 72.4% chance of missing. Atalanta has a 43% chance of winning, a 29% chance of drawing, and a 27% chance of losing to Bologna.
Results analysis
A surprise upset in Italy: Serie A as Bologna stunned Atalanta 0-1, extending their run of draws to three. This result was not predicted by the pre-match favourite, Atalanta, who had a 43% chance of winning but ultimately came up short. The model's selection, a home win, was incorrect. Meanwhile, the model's suggested picks all came to fruition, with Over 21.5 fouls hitting at 77% and Under 3.5 goals also hitting at 76%. The only miss was Over 1.5 goals, which had a 72% probability.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Atalanta win✗ Miss
43.5%
Avg Implied 56.9% · @ 1.64
Edge
-13.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.1%
Avg Implied 23.0% · @ 4.06
Edge
+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bologna win✓ Hit
27.4%
Avg Implied 20.1% · @ 4.65
Edge
+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Atalanta
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.27
1.67
1.20
1.27
1.33
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
5.00
1.00
6.00
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (14)
1.29
1.07
1.57
1.14
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (14)
1.71
0.93
1.86
0.57
1.57
1.29
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Bologna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bologna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.47
0.69
1.38
1.64
1.57
vs Stronger (12)
0.92
2.33
0.57
2.00
1.40
2.80
vs Similar (16)
1.19
0.75
0.75
0.75
1.62
0.75
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Atalanta) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.4%
Under 1.5
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.5%
@ 1.62-12.3%
Under 2.5
54.5%
@ 2.22+12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.1%
Under 3.5
75.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.2%
No
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
10.4%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
0-1 ✓
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
4.8%
Atalanta goals ↓
Bologna goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.5%
7.6%
4.8%
1.7%
0.5%
1
10%
14%
6.8%
2.4%
0.7%
2
8.3%
8.9%
4.8%
1.7%
0.5%
3
3.9%
4.2%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.4%
1.5%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Atalanta goals (down), columns = Bologna goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Inter
2.29
Napoli
2.00
AS Roma
1.92
Como
1.87
AC Milan
1.84
Juventus
1.82
Atalanta
1.55
Bologna
1.47
Lazio
1.42
Udinese
1.32
Sassuolo
1.29
Torino
1.18
Parma
1.18
Cagliari
1.13
Fiorentina
1.11
Genoa
1.08
Lecce
1.00
Cremonese
0.89
Hellas Verona
0.55
Pisa
0.47
Atalanta is 0.08 points better than Bologna in terms of average points per game (1.55 vs 1.47).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Inter
2.34
Como
1.71
Juventus
1.61
AS Roma
1.55
Napoli
1.53
AC Milan
1.39
Atalanta
1.34
Bologna
1.29
Sassuolo
1.21
Udinese
1.18
Torino
1.16
Genoa
1.08
Fiorentina
1.08
Lazio
1.08
Cagliari
1.05
Cremonese
0.84
Lecce
0.74
Parma
0.74
Pisa
0.68
Hellas Verona
0.66
Atalanta is 0.05 goals better than Bologna in terms of goals scored per game (1.34 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Como
0.76
AS Roma
0.82
Juventus
0.89
Inter
0.92
AC Milan
0.92
Napoli
0.95
Atalanta
0.95
Lazio
1.05
Bologna
1.21
Parma
1.21
Udinese
1.26
Fiorentina
1.32
Lecce
1.32
Sassuolo
1.32
Genoa
1.34
Cagliari
1.39
Cremonese
1.50
Hellas Verona
1.61
Torino
1.66
Pisa
1.87
Atalanta is 0.26 goals better than Bologna in terms of goals conceded per game (0.95 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Como
62%
Inter
60%
Napoli
59%
Juventus
58%
AS Roma
56%
Atalanta
55%
Bologna
55%
AC Milan
52%
Fiorentina
51%
Lazio
50%
Genoa
49%
Cremonese
46%
Sassuolo
46%
Udinese
46%
Cagliari
46%
Torino
44%
Parma
44%
Lecce
42%
Pisa
40%
Hellas Verona
40%
Atalanta is 0.1 percentage points better than Bologna in terms of average possession (55% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Atalanta
For 4.8 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 9.7 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bologna
For 4.0 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 13.9 · Total 28.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Atalanta
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.9
8.9
3.1
3.1
3.1
21.6
22.0
21.3
vs Stronger (3)
8.3
9.0
8.0
1.7
4.0
0.5
16.7
22.0
14.0
vs Similar (24)
9.2
9.5
8.8
4.0
3.7
4.4
21.5
22.0
20.9
vs Weaker (23)
9.8
10.5
9.2
2.3
2.3
2.4
22.4
21.9
22.8
% over line
42%
44%
40%
44%
36%
52%
50%
52%
48%
% under line
58%
56%
60%
56%
64%
48%
50%
48%
52%
This opponent (Bologna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bologna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.9
9.0
4.1
3.7
4.4
28.6
26.8
30.3
vs Stronger (16)
9.4
10.2
8.6
3.7
3.5
3.9
28.9
26.9
30.9
vs Similar (32)
9.5
9.8
9.2
4.3
3.9
4.8
28.6
26.9
30.2
vs Weaker (2)
8.5
8.0
9.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
26.0
25.0
27.0
% over line
46%
48%
44%
56%
48%
64%
86%
80%
92%
% under line
54%
52%
56%
44%
52%
36%
14%
20%
8%
This opponent (Atalanta) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lecce
10.1
Udinese
9.7
Juventus
9.7
Bologna
9.5
Atalanta
9.4
Inter
9.3
Cremonese
9.1
Sassuolo
9.0
Cagliari
8.9
AC Milan
8.9
Fiorentina
8.8
Lazio
8.8
Genoa
8.8
AS Roma
8.7
Parma
8.7
Hellas Verona
8.7
Torino
8.6
Napoli
8.5
Pisa
8.3
Como
7.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lazio
5.3
Fiorentina
4.9
Como
4.7
Genoa
4.4
Sassuolo
4.3
Bologna
4.2
Hellas Verona
4.2
AS Roma
4.2
Pisa
4.1
Cremonese
4.0
Parma
3.9
Lecce
3.9
Cagliari
3.8
Juventus
3.8
Udinese
3.8
AC Milan
3.7
Atalanta
3.6
Torino
3.5
Napoli
3.5
Inter
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cremonese
28.6
Bologna
28.6
AS Roma
28.1
Fiorentina
28.0
Cagliari
27.7
Genoa
27.7
Como
26.7
Hellas Verona
26.0
Lecce
25.8
Udinese
25.4
Pisa
25.4
Sassuolo
24.9
Lazio
24.9
Torino
24.6
Parma
24.4
Inter
24.0
Napoli
23.7
Juventus
23.2
AC Milan
21.9
Atalanta
21.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
40.6%
Under 9.5
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
50.9%
Under 3.5
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
82.4%
Under 21.5
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Atalanta
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.53
0.73
0.40
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.57
0.43
0.57
0.29
0.57
0.57
vs Weaker (14)
0.79
0.43
1.00
0.14
0.57
0.71
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Bologna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bologna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.60
0.06
0.62
0.93
0.57
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
1.25
0.00
1.14
0.80
1.40
vs Similar (16)
0.44
0.12
0.12
0.25
0.75
0.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Atalanta) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Atalanta over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bologna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bologna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bologna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Atalanta
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.73
0.93
0.80
0.73
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
3.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (14)
0.71
0.64
1.00
0.86
0.43
0.43
vs Weaker (14)
0.93
0.50
0.86
0.43
1.00
0.57
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Bologna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bologna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.87
0.62
0.75
0.71
1.00
vs Stronger (12)
0.58
1.08
0.57
0.86
0.60
1.40
vs Similar (16)
0.75
0.62
0.62
0.50
0.88
0.75
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Atalanta) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Atalanta over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bologna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bologna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bologna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Atalanta
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gianluca Scamacca29%
Mario Pašalić22%
Giacomo Raspadori19%
Nikola Krstović19%
Ademola Lookman16%
Lazar Samardžić16%
Giorgio Scalvini10%
Charles De Ketelaere10%
Marco Brescianini8%
Davide Zappacosta8%
Kamaldeen Sulemana8%
Yunus Musah7%
Éderson7%
Nicola Zalewski5%
Marten de Roon4%
Odilon Kossounou3%
Honest Ahanor3%
Isak Hien3%
Berat Djimsiti2%
Sead Kolašinac0%
Marco Carnesecchi0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Raoul Bellanova0%
Daniel Maldini0%
Lorenzo Bernasconi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marten de Roon20%
Isak Hien18%
Yunus Musah15%
Sead Kolašinac14%
Gianluca Scamacca13%
Berat Djimsiti13%
Kamaldeen Sulemana11%
Lorenzo Bernasconi11%
Éderson10%
Charles De Ketelaere10%
Odilon Kossounou9%
Daniel Maldini9%
Mario Pašalić9%
Honest Ahanor9%
Marco Brescianini8%
Nikola Krstović8%
Raoul Bellanova8%
Nicola Zalewski7%
Giorgio Scalvini7%
Davide Zappacosta6%
Lazar Samardžić5%
Marco Carnesecchi2%
Ademola Lookman0%
Giacomo Raspadori0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Charles De Ketelaere14%
Nicola Zalewski14%
Nikola Krstović12%
Mario Pašalić11%
Ademola Lookman11%
Daniel Maldini9%
Lorenzo Bernasconi8%
Marten de Roon8%
Davide Zappacosta6%
Giacomo Raspadori6%
Raoul Bellanova6%
Kamaldeen Sulemana5%
Gianluca Scamacca5%
Lazar Samardžić5%
Éderson5%
Yunus Musah4%
Giorgio Scalvini3%
Sead Kolašinac0%
Marco Brescianini0%
Marco Carnesecchi0%
Berat Djimsiti0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Odilon Kossounou0%
Isak Hien0%
Honest Ahanor0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gianluca Scamacca32%
Nikola Krstović27%
Daniel Maldini18%
Ademola Lookman11%
Mario Pašalić9%
Davide Zappacosta8%
Giacomo Raspadori6%
Kamaldeen Sulemana5%
Lazar Samardžić5%
Charles De Ketelaere5%
Giorgio Scalvini3%
Honest Ahanor3%
Nicola Zalewski2%
Berat Djimsiti2%
Sead Kolašinac0%
Marco Brescianini0%
Éderson0%
Marco Carnesecchi0%
Marten de Roon0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Odilon Kossounou0%
Raoul Bellanova0%
Isak Hien0%
Yunus Musah0%
Lorenzo Bernasconi0%
Bologna
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Riccardo Orsolini27%
Santiago Castro20%
Jonathan Rowe20%
Federico Bernardeschi18%
Jens Odgaard18%
Thijs Dallinga14%
João Mário13%
Nicolò Cambiaghi10%
Giovanni Fabbian10%
Tommaso Pobega8%
Emil Holm6%
Remo Freuler2%
Jhon Lucumí2%
Nikola Moro2%
Juan Miranda2%
Lewis Ferguson2%
Simon Sohm0%
Ciro Immobile0%
Łukasz Skorupski0%
Lorenzo De Silvestri0%
Charalampos Lykogiannis0%
Federico Ravaglia0%
Nicolò Casale0%
Torbjørn Heggem0%
Nadir Zortea0%
Martin Vitík0%
Benjamín Domínguez0%
Ibrahim Sulemana0%
Eivind Helland0%
Massimo Pessina0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Eivind Helland29%
Ibrahim Sulemana25%
Emil Holm24%
Martin Vitík23%
Juan Miranda23%
Jhon Lucumí20%
Lewis Ferguson19%
Federico Ravaglia17%
Lorenzo De Silvestri17%
Charalampos Lykogiannis17%
Remo Freuler15%
Ciro Immobile14%
Federico Bernardeschi14%
João Mário13%
Tommaso Pobega11%
Łukasz Skorupski10%
Nicolò Cambiaghi10%
Santiago Castro8%
Jonathan Rowe7%
Nadir Zortea7%
Simon Sohm6%
Riccardo Orsolini6%
Nicolò Casale6%
Thijs Dallinga6%
Benjamín Domínguez5%
Jens Odgaard5%
Torbjørn Heggem3%
Nikola Moro2%
Giovanni Fabbian0%
Massimo Pessina0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Emil Holm29%
Benjamín Domínguez16%
Nicolò Cambiaghi15%
Jonathan Rowe10%
Nadir Zortea9%
Thijs Dallinga8%
Juan Miranda7%
Santiago Castro6%
Charalampos Lykogiannis6%
Jens Odgaard5%
Remo Freuler5%
Federico Bernardeschi5%
Tommaso Pobega3%
Jhon Lucumí2%
Nikola Moro2%
Riccardo Orsolini2%
Simon Sohm0%
Ciro Immobile0%
Łukasz Skorupski0%
Lorenzo De Silvestri0%
Federico Ravaglia0%
Nicolò Casale0%
Torbjørn Heggem0%
João Mário0%
Lewis Ferguson0%
Martin Vitík0%
Giovanni Fabbian0%
Ibrahim Sulemana0%
Eivind Helland0%
Massimo Pessina0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Riccardo Orsolini29%
Santiago Castro20%
Jens Odgaard15%
Jonathan Rowe12%
Federico Bernardeschi11%
Giovanni Fabbian10%
Tommaso Pobega8%
Thijs Dallinga8%
Nikola Moro2%
Juan Miranda2%
Lewis Ferguson2%
Simon Sohm0%
Ciro Immobile0%
Jhon Lucumí0%
Remo Freuler0%
Łukasz Skorupski0%
Nicolò Cambiaghi0%
Lorenzo De Silvestri0%
Charalampos Lykogiannis0%
Federico Ravaglia0%
Nicolò Casale0%
Torbjørn Heggem0%
João Mário0%
Emil Holm0%
Nadir Zortea0%
Martin Vitík0%
Benjamín Domínguez0%
Ibrahim Sulemana0%
Eivind Helland0%
Massimo Pessina0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AM (58)
€1279m
JUV (28)
€569m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
SAS (38)
€194m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
LEC (31)
€72m
PIS (36)
€71m
HV (34)
€57m
CRE (30)
€49m
Atalanta's squad is €220m more valuable than Bologna's (€438m vs €218m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AM (13)
€442m
COM (13)
€261m
JUV (10)
€240m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
SAS (12)
€90m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
PAR (8)
€35m
PIS (13)
€24m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
CRE (7)
€12m
Atalanta's attack is €54m more valuable than Bologna's (€158m vs €104m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AM (21)
€385m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
SAS (9)
€53m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
CAG (9)
€31m
PIS (9)
€26m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
HV (9)
€14m
Atalanta's midfield is €93m more valuable than Bologna's (€128m vs €34m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AM (24)
€452m
AR (18)
€215m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
COM (14)
€144m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
SAS (17)
€52m
CAG (11)
€52m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
Atalanta's defence is €73m more valuable than Bologna's (€153m vs €79m).
Italy: Serie A 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Inter
Napoli
AS Roma
Como
AC Milan
Juventus
Lazio
Udinese
Sassuolo
Parma
Torino
Cagliari
Fiorentina
Genoa
Lecce
Cremonese
Hellas Verona
Pisa