This opponent (Niort) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Niort
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.70
1.07
1.73
0.73
1.67
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
1.42
0.83
1.50
0.17
1.33
vs Similar (18)
1.17
1.89
1.22
1.89
1.11
1.89
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Bastia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.8%
Under 1.5
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
35.7%
@ 1.86-14.9%
Under 2.5
64.3%
@ 1.91+14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.6%
Under 3.5
83.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
35.4%
No
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
17.5%
2-0
14.4%
0-0
13.0%
1-1
11.7%
2-1 ✓
8.2%
3-0
7.5%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
4.3%
Bastia goals ↓
Niort goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
5.8%
2.0%
0.4%
0.1%
1
17%
12%
3.0%
0.6%
0.1%
2
14%
8.2%
2.4%
0.4%
0.1%
3
7.5%
4.3%
1.2%
0.2%
0.0%
4
2.9%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bastia goals (down), columns = Niort goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Le Havre
1.98
Metz
1.95
Bordeaux
1.87
Bastia
1.52
Saint Etienne
1.50
Caen
1.48
Paris FC
1.45
Guingamp
1.38
Grenoble
1.35
Sochaux
1.35
Quevilly
1.32
Rouen
1.32
Amiens
1.25
Laval
1.23
Annecy
1.23
Rodez
1.21
PAU
1.18
Valenciennes
1.18
Dijon
1.10
Nimes
0.97
Niort
0.78
Bastia is 0.75 points better than Niort in terms of average points per game (1.52 vs 0.78).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Saint Etienne
1.73
Metz
1.62
Bordeaux
1.41
Sochaux
1.40
Caen
1.32
Bastia
1.32
Guingamp
1.27
Quevilly
1.24
Rouen
1.24
Paris FC
1.20
Nimes
1.18
Laval
1.18
Le Havre
1.18
PAU
1.10
Amiens
1.07
Valenciennes
1.07
Annecy
1.05
Niort
1.02
Rodez
1.00
Dijon
1.00
Grenoble
0.85
Bastia is 0.30 goals better than Niort in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 1.02).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Le Havre
0.47
Bordeaux
0.69
Metz
0.85
Grenoble
0.95
Sochaux
1.07
Dijon
1.12
Rodez
1.13
Caen
1.15
Paris FC
1.18
Bastia
1.18
Guingamp
1.25
Valenciennes
1.25
Quevilly
1.29
Rouen
1.29
Annecy
1.32
Amiens
1.38
Laval
1.45
PAU
1.45
Saint Etienne
1.52
Nimes
1.62
Niort
1.82
Bastia is 0.65 goals better than Niort in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 1.82).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bastia
For 4.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 7.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 6.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 20.5 · Against 13.0 · Total 33.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Niort
For 6.0 · Against 0.0 · Total 6.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 4.0 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 20.0 · Against 13.0 · Total 33.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bastia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.7
8.8
6.6
1.3
1.2
1.4
30.2
29.8
30.8
vs Stronger (3)
11.0
11.0
-
1.0
1.5
0.0
32.0
32.0
-
vs Similar (35)
7.1
8.2
6.3
1.0
0.8
1.3
28.6
26.5
30.0
vs Weaker (12)
8.2
8.7
7.5
2.3
2.5
2.2
33.2
33.3
33.0
% over line
12%
25%
0%
16%
12%
20%
94%
88%
100%
% under line
88%
75%
100%
84%
88%
80%
6%
12%
0%
This opponent (Niort) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Niort
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
6.6
9.9
0.8
0.9
0.7
26.6
28.2
24.9
vs Stronger (21)
9.3
6.5
10.4
0.8
0.9
0.6
24.0
27.0
22.8
vs Similar (29)
7.4
6.7
9.0
0.9
0.9
0.8
28.6
28.7
28.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
25%
50%
8%
8%
8%
75%
88%
62%
% under line
62%
75%
50%
92%
92%
92%
25%
12%
38%
This opponent (Bastia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Metz
10.1
Nimes
9.5
Dijon
9.4
Saint Etienne
9.4
Bordeaux
9.4
Sochaux
9.3
Guingamp
9.2
Caen
9.1
PAU
9.1
Paris FC
8.8
Valenciennes
8.8
Niort
8.6
Amiens
8.6
Bastia
8.6
Grenoble
8.3
Annecy
8.0
Le Havre
8.0
Rodez
7.8
Rouen
7.7
Laval
4.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Laval
7.0
Valenciennes
4.6
Metz
4.5
Caen
4.4
Bordeaux
4.4
Sochaux
4.3
Grenoble
4.2
Guingamp
4.1
Rouen
4.1
Saint Etienne
4.0
Bastia
3.9
Le Havre
3.9
PAU
3.9
Dijon
3.9
Rodez
3.9
Amiens
3.8
Nimes
3.7
Annecy
3.5
Niort
3.3
Paris FC
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Laval
34.0
Valenciennes
31.4
Rouen
29.5
Caen
29.0
Guingamp
28.1
Rodez
28.1
Nimes
28.0
Bastia
27.8
Niort
27.7
Amiens
27.5
Dijon
27.0
Grenoble
26.9
PAU
26.4
Sochaux
26.0
Le Havre
25.5
Metz
25.4
Saint Etienne
25.3
Paris FC
24.9
Annecy
24.0
Bordeaux
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
34.5%
Under 9.5
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
53.0%
Under 3.5
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
89.2%
Under 21.5
10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bastia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.53
0.60
0.47
0.20
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.50
0.90
0.40
0.20
0.60
vs Weaker (8)
0.12
0.62
0.00
0.50
0.25
0.75
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Niort) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Niort
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.93
0.40
1.00
0.47
0.87
vs Stronger (12)
0.25
0.33
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.17
vs Similar (18)
0.56
1.33
0.33
1.33
0.78
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Bastia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bastia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bastia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bastia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bastia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.37
0.73
0.20
0.73
0.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.45
0.90
0.30
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (8)
0.75
0.25
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Niort) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Niort
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.77
0.67
0.73
0.27
0.80
vs Stronger (12)
0.25
1.08
0.33
1.00
0.17
1.17
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.56
0.89
0.56
0.33
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Bastia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bastia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bastia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bastia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bastia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Frank Magri38%
Yohan Bai21%
Kapitbafan Djoco20%
Benjamin Santelli17%
Issiar Drame17%
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof13%
Amine Talal10%
Kevin Schur10%
Migouel Alfarela9%
Sébastien Salles-Lamonge8%
Dominique Guidi7%
Kylian Kaiboue6%
Dylan Tavares6%
Lloyd Palun6%
Florian Bohnert6%
Niakhate Ndiaye4%
Christophe Vincent3%
Tom Ducrocq3%
Joris Sainati0%
Zacharie Boucher0%
Anthony Roncaglia0%
Anthony Robic0%
Johny Placide0%
Mamadou Camara0%
Jocelyn Janneh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joris Sainati41%
Kylian Kaiboue39%
Tom Ducrocq31%
Frank Magri29%
Dominique Guidi25%
Lloyd Palun24%
Christophe Vincent20%
Niakhate Ndiaye18%
Issiar Drame17%
Mamadou Camara17%
Sébastien Salles-Lamonge16%
Benjamin Santelli14%
Anthony Robic12%
Florian Bohnert11%
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof11%
Kapitbafan Djoco10%
Dylan Tavares9%
Johny Placide9%
Yohan Bai7%
Anthony Roncaglia7%
Migouel Alfarela6%
Kevin Schur5%
Amine Talal0%
Zacharie Boucher0%
Jocelyn Janneh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Frank Magri17%
Sébastien Salles-Lamonge16%
Kylian Kaiboue16%
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof13%
Migouel Alfarela9%
Niakhate Ndiaye7%
Benjamin Santelli6%
Kevin Schur5%
Dominique Guidi4%
Christophe Vincent3%
Tom Ducrocq3%
Dylan Tavares3%
Lloyd Palun0%
Joris Sainati0%
Amine Talal0%
Zacharie Boucher0%
Anthony Roncaglia0%
Anthony Robic0%
Florian Bohnert0%
Kapitbafan Djoco0%
Yohan Bai0%
Johny Placide0%
Issiar Drame0%
Mamadou Camara0%
Jocelyn Janneh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Frank Magri38%
Kapitbafan Djoco20%
Migouel Alfarela16%
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof11%
Kylian Kaiboue10%
Yohan Bai7%
Benjamin Santelli6%
Lloyd Palun0%
Joris Sainati0%
Tom Ducrocq0%
Amine Talal0%
Dominique Guidi0%
Zacharie Boucher0%
Anthony Roncaglia0%
Christophe Vincent0%
Kevin Schur0%
Anthony Robic0%
Florian Bohnert0%
Sébastien Salles-Lamonge0%
Johny Placide0%
Dylan Tavares0%
Issiar Drame0%
Niakhate Ndiaye0%
Mamadou Camara0%
Jocelyn Janneh0%
Niort
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bilal Boutobba29%
Moataz Zemzemi17%
Nesta Elphege17%
Junior Flemmings12%
Oumar Ngom12%
Amadou Sagna11%
Junior Olaitan9%
Samuel Renel8%
Kevin Rocheteau6%
Bryan Passi5%
Ibrahima Sory Conté5%
Lenny Vallier4%
Yanis Merdji4%
Samy Benchama3%
Charles Kabore0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Guy-Marcelin Kilama0%
Mathieu Michel0%
Jean Louchet0%
Joris Moutachy0%
Dylan Durivaux0%
Tyron Tormin0%
Godwin Bentil0%
Bradley Matufueni M'bondo0%
Nacim El Hassani0%
Ryan Bakayoko0%
Landry Manga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Charles Kabore30%
Dylan Durivaux21%
Bilal Boutobba17%
Joris Moutachy15%
Ibrahima Sory Conté14%
Moataz Zemzemi13%
Junior Flemmings12%
Oumar Ngom12%
Junior Olaitan12%
Quentin Bernard12%
Lenny Vallier11%
Yanis Merdji11%
Bryan Passi11%
Bradley Matufueni M'bondo7%
Guy-Marcelin Kilama6%
Samy Benchama6%
Kevin Rocheteau6%
Amadou Sagna5%
Samuel Renel4%
Mathieu Michel3%
Jean Louchet0%
Tyron Tormin0%
Godwin Bentil0%
Nacim El Hassani0%
Ryan Bakayoko0%
Nesta Elphege0%
Landry Manga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Amadou Sagna14%
Bilal Boutobba11%
Ryan Bakayoko9%
Junior Olaitan9%
Charles Kabore7%
Ibrahima Sory Conté5%
Samuel Renel4%
Moataz Zemzemi3%
Quentin Bernard0%
Guy-Marcelin Kilama0%
Mathieu Michel0%
Yanis Merdji0%
Jean Louchet0%
Bryan Passi0%
Lenny Vallier0%
Kevin Rocheteau0%
Junior Flemmings0%
Samy Benchama0%
Joris Moutachy0%
Dylan Durivaux0%
Tyron Tormin0%
Godwin Bentil0%
Bradley Matufueni M'bondo0%
Nacim El Hassani0%
Nesta Elphege0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Landry Manga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bilal Boutobba20%
Junior Olaitan18%
Junior Flemmings12%
Ryan Bakayoko9%
Amadou Sagna5%
Yanis Merdji4%
Charles Kabore0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Ibrahima Sory Conté0%
Guy-Marcelin Kilama0%
Mathieu Michel0%
Jean Louchet0%
Bryan Passi0%
Moataz Zemzemi0%
Lenny Vallier0%
Kevin Rocheteau0%
Samy Benchama0%
Samuel Renel0%
Joris Moutachy0%
Dylan Durivaux0%
Tyron Tormin0%
Godwin Bentil0%
Bradley Matufueni M'bondo0%
Nacim El Hassani0%
Nesta Elphege0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Landry Manga0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Le Havre
Metz
Bordeaux
Saint Etienne
Caen
Paris FC
Guingamp
Sochaux
Grenoble
Quevilly
Rouen
Amiens
Laval
Annecy
Rodez
Valenciennes
PAU
Dijon
Nimes