This opponent (Drogheda United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Drogheda United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.40
1.00
1.13
1.13
1.67
vs Stronger (9)
0.89
1.22
0.83
1.17
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (20)
1.10
1.55
1.00
1.25
1.17
1.75
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.6%
Under 1.5
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.8%
Under 2.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.4%
Under 3.5
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.9%
No
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
6.2%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
Bohemians goals ↓
Drogheda United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.2%
4.8%
3.3%
1.2%
0.3%
1
8.4%
12%
6.0%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.7%
9.8%
5.5%
2.1%
0.6%
3
5.3%
6.0%
3.4%
1.3%
0.4%
4
2.4%
2.8%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bohemians goals (down), columns = Drogheda United goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
2.00
Derry City
1.81
St Patrick's Athl.
1.72
Shelbourne
1.67
Dundalk
1.61
Bohemians
1.61
Drogheda United
1.14
Sligo Rovers
1.03
Waterford
1.00
Cork City
0.86
UCD
0.31
Bohemians is 0.47 points better than Drogheda United in terms of average points per game (1.61 vs 1.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.86
Dundalk
1.64
St Patrick's Athl.
1.64
Derry City
1.58
Bohemians
1.47
Shelbourne
1.22
Drogheda United
1.11
Waterford
1.00
Sligo Rovers
1.00
Cork City
0.97
UCD
0.53
Bohemians is 0.36 goals better than Drogheda United in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.11).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Derry City
0.67
Shelbourne
0.75
Shamrock Rovers
0.75
Waterford
1.00
Bohemians
1.11
St Patrick's Athl.
1.17
Dundalk
1.22
Sligo Rovers
1.42
Drogheda United
1.50
Cork City
1.76
UCD
2.67
Bohemians is 0.39 goals better than Drogheda United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
60%
Bohemians
57%
Dundalk
56%
Derry City
56%
Shelbourne
53%
Sligo Rovers
49%
St Patrick's Athl.
46%
Cork City
45%
Drogheda United
40%
UCD
38%
Bohemians is 17.3 percentage points better than Drogheda United in terms of average possession (57% vs 40%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bohemians
For 6.0 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 9.5 · Total 22.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Drogheda United
For 4.6 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 13.0 · Total 25.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bohemians
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
9.0
16.0
0.3
0.6
0.0
22.2
23.0
20.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (48)
10.8
9.0
16.0
0.4
0.7
0.0
22.2
23.0
20.0
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
33%
100%
4%
8%
0%
50%
67%
0%
% under line
50%
67%
0%
96%
92%
100%
50%
33%
100%
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Drogheda United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
7.7
9.0
0.3
0.4
0.2
25.8
26.7
24.5
vs Stronger (16)
8.0
8.0
-
0.2
0.3
0.0
25.0
25.0
-
vs Similar (31)
8.2
7.5
9.0
0.4
0.6
0.3
26.0
27.5
24.5
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
40%
33%
50%
4%
8%
0%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
60%
67%
50%
96%
92%
100%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bohemians
10.8
Shamrock Rovers
10.0
Sligo Rovers
9.7
Cork City
9.6
Derry City
9.6
St Patrick's Athl.
9.0
UCD
8.8
Shelbourne
8.4
Drogheda United
8.2
Dundalk
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
St Patrick's Athl.
7.5
Derry City
5.8
Dundalk
5.4
Shelbourne
5.0
UCD
5.0
Shamrock Rovers
5.0
Sligo Rovers
4.4
Bohemians
4.2
Drogheda United
3.2
Cork City
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Drogheda United
25.8
Derry City
25.3
Shelbourne
25.2
Dundalk
25.2
Sligo Rovers
25.0
Cork City
24.4
St Patrick's Athl.
23.4
Shamrock Rovers
22.7
Bohemians
22.2
UCD
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
41.2%
Under 9.5
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
67.1%
Under 3.5
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
67.5%
Under 21.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bohemians
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.53
0.53
0.60
0.20
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.38
0.55
0.57
0.64
0.20
0.47
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Drogheda United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.60
0.47
0.53
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
0.56
0.50
0.83
0.33
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.45
0.65
0.38
0.38
0.50
0.83
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bohemians over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bohemians
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.63
1.33
0.53
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.07
0.59
1.29
0.43
0.87
0.73
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Drogheda United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.80
0.53
0.60
0.67
1.00
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
0.67
0.33
0.33
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.90
0.62
0.88
0.67
0.92
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bohemians over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bohemians
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jonathan Afolabi53%
James Clarke27%
Daniel Grant17%
Alistair Coote14%
John O'Sullivan11%
James McManus8%
Kacper Radkowski8%
Krystian Nowak0%
James Akintunde0%
Adam McDonnell0%
Dylan Connolly0%
Declan McDaid0%
Jordan Flores0%
James Talbot0%
Paddy Kirk0%
Keith Buckley0%
Kristopher Twardek0%
Cian Byrne0%
Bartlomiej Kukułowicz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Adam McDonnell50%
James Akintunde25%
Dylan Connolly21%
Jordan Flores21%
Paddy Kirk15%
John O'Sullivan11%
Bartlomiej Kukułowicz11%
Keith Buckley8%
Kacper Radkowski8%
Krystian Nowak7%
Jonathan Afolabi7%
James Clarke7%
Declan McDaid0%
James Talbot0%
Daniel Grant0%
Kristopher Twardek0%
Cian Byrne0%
Alistair Coote0%
James McManus0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dylan Connolly21%
Jordan Flores21%
Jonathan Afolabi20%
James Clarke13%
Bartlomiej Kukułowicz11%
Keith Buckley8%
James McManus8%
Paddy Kirk8%
Krystian Nowak0%
James Akintunde0%
Adam McDonnell0%
Kacper Radkowski0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Declan McDaid0%
James Talbot0%
Daniel Grant0%
Kristopher Twardek0%
Cian Byrne0%
Alistair Coote0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jonathan Afolabi47%
Adam McDonnell25%
Jordan Flores14%
Daniel Grant8%
Alistair Coote7%
James Clarke7%
Krystian Nowak0%
James Akintunde0%
Dylan Connolly0%
Kacper Radkowski0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Declan McDaid0%
James Talbot0%
Paddy Kirk0%
Keith Buckley0%
Kristopher Twardek0%
Cian Byrne0%
Bartlomiej Kukułowicz0%
James McManus0%
Drogheda United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adam Foley31%
Kyle Robinson25%
Dayle Rooney23%
Ryan Brennan20%
Jamie Egan20%
Aaron McNally18%
Warren Davis8%
Conor Keeley7%
Evan Weir7%
Gary Deegan0%
Luke Slater0%
Darragh Markey0%
Darragh Noone0%
Luke Heeney0%
Conor Kane0%
Michael Leddy0%
Matthew O'Brien0%
Emmanuel Adegboyega0%
Andrew Wogan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luke Heeney43%
Kyle Robinson42%
Ryan Brennan30%
Warren Davis23%
Conor Keeley14%
Evan Weir14%
Matthew O'Brien12%
Conor Kane10%
Darragh Noone9%
Aaron McNally9%
Dayle Rooney8%
Darragh Markey7%
Adam Foley6%
Andrew Wogan6%
Gary Deegan0%
Luke Slater0%
Michael Leddy0%
Jamie Egan0%
Emmanuel Adegboyega0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dayle Rooney23%
Ryan Brennan20%
Emmanuel Adegboyega20%
Darragh Markey14%
Adam Foley12%
Warren Davis8%
Luke Heeney7%
Conor Keeley7%
Gary Deegan0%
Luke Slater0%
Darragh Noone0%
Conor Kane0%
Michael Leddy0%
Aaron McNally0%
Evan Weir0%
Matthew O'Brien0%
Jamie Egan0%
Kyle Robinson0%
Andrew Wogan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dayle Rooney15%
Ryan Brennan10%
Kyle Robinson8%
Adam Foley6%
Gary Deegan0%
Luke Slater0%
Darragh Markey0%
Darragh Noone0%
Luke Heeney0%
Conor Kane0%
Conor Keeley0%
Michael Leddy0%
Aaron McNally0%
Evan Weir0%
Matthew O'Brien0%
Jamie Egan0%
Emmanuel Adegboyega0%
Warren Davis0%
Andrew Wogan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
DUN (20)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
CC (2)
€0m
Bohemians's squad is €1m more valuable than Drogheda United's (€4m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
DUN (3)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
Bohemians and Drogheda United have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
DUN (6)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
Bohemians and Drogheda United have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
DUN (11)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
CC (0)
€0m
Bohemians and Drogheda United have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Ireland: Premier Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Cork City
UCD
Waterford