This opponent (Forest Green) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Forest Green
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
1.30
2.47
1.20
1.33
1.40
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
1.95
1.35
2.60
1.40
1.30
1.30
vs Weaker (9)
1.89
1.22
2.20
0.80
1.50
1.75
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Boreham Wood) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.1%
Under 1.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.6%
Under 2.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.2%
Under 3.5
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.2%
No
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.2%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
6.4%
0-0 ✓
6.1%
3-1
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
Boreham Wood goals ↓
Forest Green goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.1%
4.9%
3.5%
1.4%
0.4%
1
8.0%
12%
6.4%
2.5%
0.8%
2
8.2%
9.7%
5.8%
2.3%
0.7%
3
4.9%
5.8%
3.5%
1.4%
0.4%
4
2.2%
2.6%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Boreham Wood goals (down), columns = Forest Green goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
York
2.35
Rochdale
2.29
Carlisle
2.04
Boreham Wood
1.90
Scunthorpe
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Southend
1.72
Halifax
1.52
Hartlepool
1.48
Woking
1.37
Tamworth
1.35
Boston Utd
1.28
Altrincham
1.24
Solihull
1.22
Wealdstone
1.22
Yeovil
1.11
Gateshead
1.09
Eastleigh
1.09
Sutton
1.02
Aldershot
1.00
Brackley Town
0.91
Morecambe
0.83
Braintree Town
0.78
Truro
0.74
Boreham Wood is 0.15 points better than Forest Green in terms of average points per game (1.90 vs 1.74).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
York
2.48
Boreham Wood
2.00
Rochdale
1.92
Carlisle
1.87
Southend
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Scunthorpe
1.69
Solihull
1.54
Halifax
1.50
Woking
1.50
Aldershot
1.50
Wealdstone
1.48
Morecambe
1.43
Boston Utd
1.37
Tamworth
1.37
Sutton
1.28
Eastleigh
1.24
Altrincham
1.20
Gateshead
1.17
Hartlepool
1.17
Yeovil
1.04
Truro
0.91
Brackley Town
0.87
Braintree Town
0.83
Boreham Wood is 0.26 goals better than Forest Green in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.74).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
York
0.89
Rochdale
0.92
Southend
1.02
Forest Green
1.11
Carlisle
1.11
Woking
1.17
Boreham Wood
1.24
Hartlepool
1.28
Scunthorpe
1.35
Altrincham
1.41
Halifax
1.43
Boston Utd
1.46
Yeovil
1.48
Tamworth
1.54
Solihull
1.57
Truro
1.57
Brackley Town
1.63
Braintree Town
1.65
Wealdstone
1.65
Sutton
1.72
Eastleigh
1.74
Aldershot
1.89
Gateshead
1.96
Morecambe
2.24
Boreham Wood is 0.14 goals worse than Forest Green in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
York
62%
Boreham Wood
58%
Wealdstone
57%
Rochdale
56%
Sutton
54%
Aldershot
54%
Forest Green
53%
Southend
52%
Altrincham
52%
Gateshead
50%
Woking
50%
Scunthorpe
49%
Morecambe
49%
Carlisle
49%
Solihull
48%
Braintree Town
48%
Halifax
48%
Hartlepool
47%
Yeovil
47%
Truro
44%
Eastleigh
41%
Brackley Town
40%
Tamworth
38%
Boreham Wood is 4.2 percentage points better than Forest Green in terms of average possession (58% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Boreham Wood or Draw✓ Hit
76.0%
Avg Implied -
51%
25%
24%
covers Boreham Wood + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Boreham Wood or Forest Green✗ Miss
74.8%
Avg Implied -
51%
25%
24%
covers Boreham Wood + Forest Green
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Forest Green✓ Hit
49.2%
Avg Implied -
51%
25%
24%
covers Draw + Forest Green
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Boreham Wood over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
83.6%
Under
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Boreham Wood over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
53.9%
Under
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Boreham Wood over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
27.1%
Under
72.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Boreham Wood over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
11.0%
Under
89.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forest Green over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
69.5%
Under
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forest Green over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
33.3%
Under
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forest Green over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.8%
Under
88.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forest Green over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Boreham Wood, so a minus line means Boreham Wood give that many goals of a start and Forest Green receive them. At -1, Boreham Wood must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Boreham Wood win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Boreham Wood)Actual: Forest Green
Boreham Wood -2
13.1%
Draw -2
15.8%
Forest Green +2
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Boreham Wood)Actual: Forest Green
Boreham Wood -1
29.0%
Draw -1
21.8%
Forest Green +1
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Boreham Wood)Actual: Boreham Wood
Boreham Wood +1
76.0%
Draw +1
14.0%
Forest Green -1
10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Boreham Wood)Actual: Boreham Wood
Boreham Wood +2
90.0%
Draw +2
6.8%
Forest Green -2
3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Boreham Wood
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.67
1.12
0.62
0.93
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Weaker (28)
1.04
0.64
1.14
0.57
0.93
0.71
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Forest Green) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Forest Green
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.77
0.93
0.87
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.95
0.90
1.10
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (9)
0.89
0.44
1.00
0.40
0.75
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Boreham Wood) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Boreham Wood over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Boreham Wood over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Boreham Wood over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forest Green over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forest Green over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forest Green over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Boreham Wood
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.83
1.12
0.81
1.07
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.50
1.50
0.50
1.50
-
-
vs Weaker (28)
1.14
0.79
1.21
0.71
1.07
0.86
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Forest Green) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Forest Green
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.53
1.53
0.33
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
1.20
0.40
1.70
0.30
0.70
0.50
vs Weaker (9)
1.00
0.78
1.20
0.40
0.75
1.25
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Boreham Wood) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Boreham Wood over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Boreham Wood over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Boreham Wood over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forest Green over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forest Green over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forest Green over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
England: National League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →