This opponent (Niort) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Niort
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.40
0.73
1.07
1.07
1.73
vs Stronger (13)
0.69
1.23
0.75
1.00
0.60
1.60
vs Similar (17)
1.06
1.53
0.71
1.14
1.30
1.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Caen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.4%
Under 1.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.5%
@ 2.17+6.1%
Under 2.5
50.5%
@ 1.66-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.6%
Under 3.5
72.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.6%
No
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
1-0 ✓
11.1%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.2%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.3%
Caen goals ↓
Niort goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.2%
5.3%
3.0%
0.9%
0.2%
1
11%
12%
5.1%
1.6%
0.4%
2
11%
9.7%
4.5%
1.4%
0.3%
3
6.1%
5.6%
2.6%
0.8%
0.2%
4
2.7%
2.4%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Caen goals (down), columns = Niort goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Le Havre
1.98
Metz
1.95
Bordeaux
1.87
Bastia
1.52
Saint Etienne
1.50
Caen
1.48
Paris FC
1.45
Guingamp
1.38
Grenoble
1.35
Sochaux
1.35
Quevilly
1.32
Rouen
1.32
Amiens
1.25
Laval
1.23
Annecy
1.23
Rodez
1.21
PAU
1.18
Valenciennes
1.18
Dijon
1.10
Nimes
0.97
Niort
0.78
Caen is 0.70 points better than Niort in terms of average points per game (1.48 vs 0.78).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Saint Etienne
1.73
Metz
1.62
Bordeaux
1.41
Sochaux
1.40
Caen
1.32
Bastia
1.32
Guingamp
1.27
Quevilly
1.24
Rouen
1.24
Paris FC
1.20
Nimes
1.18
Laval
1.18
Le Havre
1.18
PAU
1.10
Amiens
1.07
Valenciennes
1.07
Annecy
1.05
Niort
1.02
Rodez
1.00
Dijon
1.00
Grenoble
0.85
Caen is 0.30 goals better than Niort in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 1.02).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Le Havre
0.47
Bordeaux
0.69
Metz
0.85
Grenoble
0.95
Sochaux
1.07
Dijon
1.12
Rodez
1.13
Caen
1.15
Paris FC
1.18
Bastia
1.18
Guingamp
1.25
Valenciennes
1.25
Quevilly
1.29
Rouen
1.29
Annecy
1.32
Amiens
1.38
Laval
1.45
PAU
1.45
Saint Etienne
1.52
Nimes
1.62
Niort
1.82
Caen is 0.68 goals better than Niort in terms of goals conceded per game (1.15 vs 1.82).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Caen
For 4.0 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.3 · Against 16.1 · Total 32.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Niort
For 4.2 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.8 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 15.3 · Total 27.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Caen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
8.5
9.0
3.4
3.2
3.8
28.9
28.1
29.9
vs Stronger (11)
9.8
8.8
10.8
3.7
3.0
4.3
27.9
26.8
29.0
vs Similar (36)
8.5
8.4
8.6
3.2
2.9
3.6
28.6
27.1
30.1
vs Weaker (3)
8.0
8.5
7.0
4.7
5.5
3.0
35.7
38.5
30.0
% over line
40%
43%
37%
44%
42%
46%
85%
90%
79%
% under line
60%
57%
63%
56%
58%
54%
15%
10%
21%
This opponent (Niort) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Niort
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
8.2
9.2
2.6
2.5
2.7
26.8
26.1
27.5
vs Stronger (23)
8.5
7.9
9.1
2.2
2.2
2.2
23.9
24.2
23.7
vs Similar (27)
8.9
8.5
9.3
3.0
2.9
3.0
29.4
28.0
30.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
35%
40%
32%
24%
40%
75%
75%
75%
% under line
62%
65%
60%
68%
76%
60%
25%
25%
25%
This opponent (Caen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Metz
10.1
Nimes
9.5
Saint Etienne
9.4
Bordeaux
9.4
Dijon
9.3
Sochaux
9.3
Guingamp
9.2
PAU
9.1
Caen
9.1
Paris FC
8.9
Valenciennes
8.8
Bastia
8.7
Niort
8.6
Amiens
8.5
Grenoble
8.4
Rouen
8.2
Le Havre
8.0
Rodez
7.9
Annecy
7.0
Laval
2.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Laval
8.0
Metz
4.6
Valenciennes
4.5
Bordeaux
4.4
Caen
4.4
Sochaux
4.2
Grenoble
4.1
Guingamp
4.0
Saint Etienne
4.0
Annecy
4.0
PAU
3.9
Rodez
3.9
Dijon
3.9
Le Havre
3.8
Amiens
3.8
Rouen
3.8
Bastia
3.8
Nimes
3.8
Niort
3.3
Paris FC
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Laval
37.0
Valenciennes
31.6
Rouen
30.6
Caen
28.9
Rodez
28.3
Nimes
28.1
Guingamp
28.0
Niort
27.7
Amiens
27.5
Bastia
27.2
Dijon
27.0
PAU
26.9
Grenoble
26.5
Sochaux
26.0
Metz
25.6
Le Havre
25.4
Saint Etienne
25.3
Paris FC
24.9
Bordeaux
23.5
Annecy
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
36.1%
Under 9.5
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
51.5%
Under 3.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
89.7%
Under 21.5
10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Caen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.37
0.73
0.47
0.40
0.27
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
0.43
1.00
0.33
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.33
0.80
0.50
0.36
0.18
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Niort) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Niort
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.77
0.20
0.67
0.67
0.87
vs Stronger (13)
0.23
0.77
0.00
0.75
0.60
0.80
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.76
0.43
0.57
0.70
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Caen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Caen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Caen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.70
1.07
0.33
0.67
1.07
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
0.71
1.00
0.33
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.76
1.10
0.40
0.55
1.09
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Niort) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Niort
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.63
0.53
0.40
0.40
0.87
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
0.46
0.75
0.25
0.00
0.80
vs Similar (17)
0.47
0.76
0.29
0.57
0.60
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Caen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Caen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Caen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexandre Mendy46%
Godson Kyeremeh16%
Samuel Essende14%
Romain Thomas11%
Ali Abdi9%
Emmanuel Ntim9%
Yoann Court8%
Bilal Brahimi8%
Norman Bassette8%
Anton Saletros7%
Benjamin Jeannot6%
Hianga'a M'Bock4%
Djibril Diani4%
Hugo Vandermersch3%
Moussa Sylla0%
Johann Obiang0%
Caleb Zady Sery0%
Anthony Mandrea0%
Ibrahim Cissé0%
Jessy Deminguet0%
Quentin Daubin0%
Adolphe Teikeu0%
Iyad Mohamed0%
Brahim Traoré0%
Noe Lebreton0%
Mohamed Hafid0%
Diedonné Gaucho Debohi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Iyad Mohamed33%
Romain Thomas27%
Emmanuel Ntim22%
Hugo Vandermersch21%
Alexandre Mendy19%
Quentin Daubin18%
Adolphe Teikeu18%
Ali Abdi16%
Jessy Deminguet14%
Hianga'a M'Bock12%
Bilal Brahimi11%
Djibril Diani11%
Mohamed Hafid10%
Yoann Court8%
Moussa Sylla8%
Johann Obiang8%
Samuel Essende7%
Ibrahim Cissé6%
Anthony Mandrea5%
Godson Kyeremeh5%
Caleb Zady Sery0%
Benjamin Jeannot0%
Anton Saletros0%
Brahim Traoré0%
Noe Lebreton0%
Norman Bassette0%
Diedonné Gaucho Debohi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Moussa Sylla15%
Alexandre Mendy14%
Yoann Court12%
Caleb Zady Sery10%
Ali Abdi9%
Johann Obiang8%
Jessy Deminguet7%
Anton Saletros7%
Hugo Vandermersch6%
Godson Kyeremeh5%
Hianga'a M'Bock4%
Samuel Essende4%
Bilal Brahimi3%
Romain Thomas3%
Anthony Mandrea0%
Ibrahim Cissé0%
Benjamin Jeannot0%
Quentin Daubin0%
Adolphe Teikeu0%
Djibril Diani0%
Emmanuel Ntim0%
Iyad Mohamed0%
Brahim Traoré0%
Noe Lebreton0%
Norman Bassette0%
Mohamed Hafid0%
Diedonné Gaucho Debohi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexandre Mendy35%
Hianga'a M'Bock12%
Moussa Sylla8%
Jessy Deminguet7%
Benjamin Jeannot6%
Ali Abdi6%
Yoann Court4%
Samuel Essende4%
Quentin Daubin3%
Romain Thomas3%
Godson Kyeremeh3%
Johann Obiang0%
Caleb Zady Sery0%
Anthony Mandrea0%
Ibrahim Cissé0%
Adolphe Teikeu0%
Anton Saletros0%
Djibril Diani0%
Emmanuel Ntim0%
Hugo Vandermersch0%
Iyad Mohamed0%
Bilal Brahimi0%
Brahim Traoré0%
Noe Lebreton0%
Norman Bassette0%
Mohamed Hafid0%
Diedonné Gaucho Debohi0%
Niort
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bilal Boutobba29%
Moataz Zemzemi17%
Nesta Elphege17%
Junior Flemmings12%
Oumar Ngom12%
Amadou Sagna11%
Junior Olaitan9%
Samuel Renel8%
Kevin Rocheteau6%
Bryan Passi5%
Ibrahima Sory Conté5%
Lenny Vallier4%
Yanis Merdji4%
Samy Benchama3%
Charles Kabore0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Guy-Marcelin Kilama0%
Mathieu Michel0%
Jean Louchet0%
Joris Moutachy0%
Dylan Durivaux0%
Tyron Tormin0%
Godwin Bentil0%
Bradley Matufueni M'bondo0%
Nacim El Hassani0%
Ryan Bakayoko0%
Landry Manga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Charles Kabore30%
Dylan Durivaux21%
Bilal Boutobba17%
Joris Moutachy15%
Ibrahima Sory Conté14%
Moataz Zemzemi13%
Junior Flemmings12%
Oumar Ngom12%
Junior Olaitan12%
Quentin Bernard12%
Lenny Vallier11%
Yanis Merdji11%
Bryan Passi11%
Bradley Matufueni M'bondo7%
Guy-Marcelin Kilama6%
Samy Benchama6%
Kevin Rocheteau6%
Amadou Sagna5%
Samuel Renel4%
Mathieu Michel3%
Jean Louchet0%
Tyron Tormin0%
Godwin Bentil0%
Nacim El Hassani0%
Ryan Bakayoko0%
Nesta Elphege0%
Landry Manga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Amadou Sagna14%
Bilal Boutobba11%
Ryan Bakayoko9%
Junior Olaitan9%
Charles Kabore7%
Ibrahima Sory Conté5%
Samuel Renel4%
Moataz Zemzemi3%
Quentin Bernard0%
Guy-Marcelin Kilama0%
Mathieu Michel0%
Yanis Merdji0%
Jean Louchet0%
Bryan Passi0%
Lenny Vallier0%
Kevin Rocheteau0%
Junior Flemmings0%
Samy Benchama0%
Joris Moutachy0%
Dylan Durivaux0%
Tyron Tormin0%
Godwin Bentil0%
Bradley Matufueni M'bondo0%
Nacim El Hassani0%
Nesta Elphege0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Landry Manga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bilal Boutobba20%
Junior Olaitan18%
Junior Flemmings12%
Ryan Bakayoko9%
Amadou Sagna5%
Yanis Merdji4%
Charles Kabore0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Ibrahima Sory Conté0%
Guy-Marcelin Kilama0%
Mathieu Michel0%
Jean Louchet0%
Bryan Passi0%
Moataz Zemzemi0%
Lenny Vallier0%
Kevin Rocheteau0%
Samy Benchama0%
Samuel Renel0%
Joris Moutachy0%
Dylan Durivaux0%
Tyron Tormin0%
Godwin Bentil0%
Bradley Matufueni M'bondo0%
Nacim El Hassani0%
Nesta Elphege0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Landry Manga0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Le Havre
Metz
Bordeaux
Bastia
Saint Etienne
Paris FC
Guingamp
Sochaux
Grenoble
Quevilly
Rouen
Amiens
Laval
Annecy
Rodez
Valenciennes
PAU
Dijon
Nimes