This opponent (Dender) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dender
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.07
1.73
0.93
1.73
1.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.46
1.21
1.42
1.00
1.50
1.42
vs Weaker (6)
2.83
0.50
3.00
0.67
2.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Club Brugge II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.8%
Under 1.5
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.6%
Under 2.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.2%
Under 3.5
66.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.0%
No
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
0-1 ✓
8.3%
0-2
8.2%
0-0
6.6%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
5.5%
Club Brugge II goals ↓
Dender goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
8.3%
8.2%
4.7%
2.0%
1
5.3%
12%
9.6%
5.5%
2.4%
2
3.8%
6.6%
5.7%
3.3%
1.4%
3
1.5%
2.6%
2.2%
1.3%
0.6%
4
0.4%
0.8%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Club Brugge II goals (down), columns = Dender goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beerschot VA
1.87
Dender
1.80
Lommel United
1.76
Deinze
1.76
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
Patro Eisden
1.59
SK Beveren
1.50
Oostende
1.27
Club Brugge II
1.23
KRC Genk II
1.23
K. Lierse S.K.
1.17
RSC Anderlecht II
1.13
Francs Borains
1.07
Seraing United
0.93
Standard Liège II
0.57
Club Brugge II is 0.57 points worse than Dender in terms of average points per game (1.23 vs 1.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dender
1.83
Lommel United
1.65
Deinze
1.65
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
KRC Genk II
1.53
Beerschot VA
1.53
SK Beveren
1.47
K. Lierse S.K.
1.47
Club Brugge II
1.33
RSC Anderlecht II
1.30
Patro Eisden
1.28
Francs Borains
1.27
Seraing United
1.10
Oostende
1.07
Standard Liège II
0.83
Club Brugge II is 0.50 goals worse than Dender in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beerschot VA
0.97
Lommel United
1.00
Patro Eisden
1.06
Dender
1.07
Zulte Waregem
1.12
Deinze
1.21
Oostende
1.30
SK Beveren
1.33
Liège
1.37
RSC Anderlecht II
1.57
Club Brugge II
1.63
Seraing United
1.70
Francs Borains
1.73
KRC Genk II
1.73
K. Lierse S.K.
1.97
Standard Liège II
2.00
Club Brugge II is 0.57 goals worse than Dender in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 1.07).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Beerschot VA
61%
Lommel United
59%
SK Beveren
55%
Club Brugge II
54%
Zulte Waregem
54%
RSC Anderlecht II
51%
KRC Genk II
50%
Deinze
49%
Dender
49%
K. Lierse S.K.
49%
Seraing United
47%
Francs Borains
46%
Standard Liège II
46%
Liège
45%
Oostende
44%
Patro Eisden
41%
Club Brugge II is 5.4 percentage points better than Dender in terms of average possession (54% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Club Brugge II
For 3.9 · Against 5.7 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 11.4 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dender
For 6.0 · Against 3.3 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 12.4 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Club Brugge II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
11.0
9.5
1.7
2.0
1.4
23.3
22.6
24.0
vs Stronger (6)
8.7
7.5
11.0
0.8
0.7
1.0
19.3
17.5
23.0
vs Similar (40)
10.4
11.4
9.5
1.8
2.2
1.5
24.7
24.6
24.8
vs Weaker (4)
11.5
15.0
8.0
2.0
2.5
1.5
18.0
17.0
19.0
% over line
48%
55%
40%
20%
25%
15%
62%
55%
70%
% under line
52%
45%
60%
80%
75%
85%
38%
45%
30%
This opponent (Dender) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dender
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.9
9.4
2.2
1.9
2.5
28.1
27.9
28.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (40)
9.4
9.6
9.1
2.3
2.1
2.5
28.2
28.4
28.0
vs Weaker (10)
10.8
11.0
10.5
1.6
0.8
2.4
27.8
26.0
29.5
% over line
48%
50%
45%
30%
20%
40%
81%
80%
82%
% under line
52%
50%
55%
70%
80%
60%
19%
20%
18%
This opponent (Club Brugge II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Liège
12.5
Standard Liège II
12.3
Seraing United
11.7
Beerschot VA
11.6
Deinze
11.3
Francs Borains
11.0
K. Lierse S.K.
10.9
KRC Genk II
10.9
SK Beveren
10.8
Club Brugge II
10.3
Zulte Waregem
10.2
Lommel United
10.1
RSC Anderlecht II
10.1
Oostende
9.6
Dender
9.6
Patro Eisden
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
KRC Genk II
6.3
Francs Borains
5.6
Liège
5.5
Seraing United
5.4
Patro Eisden
5.4
RSC Anderlecht II
5.4
K. Lierse S.K.
5.3
Standard Liège II
5.3
Beerschot VA
5.3
Dender
5.2
Lommel United
5.1
Deinze
5.0
Oostende
4.7
SK Beveren
4.3
Club Brugge II
4.2
Zulte Waregem
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dender
28.1
KRC Genk II
27.2
Francs Borains
27.2
Patro Eisden
26.8
Deinze
26.7
Seraing United
26.5
Standard Liège II
25.9
K. Lierse S.K.
25.6
Beerschot VA
25.5
RSC Anderlecht II
25.5
Oostende
25.1
Liège
24.6
SK Beveren
24.5
Club Brugge II
23.3
Zulte Waregem
22.8
Lommel United
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.3%
Under 9.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
76.7%
Under 3.5
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
75.4%
Under 21.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Club Brugge II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.50
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.46
0.75
0.42
0.67
0.50
0.83
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Dender) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dender
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.53
0.73
0.33
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.38
0.67
0.58
0.42
0.17
0.92
vs Weaker (6)
1.50
0.00
1.33
0.00
1.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Club Brugge II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Club Brugge II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Club Brugge II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Club Brugge II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dender over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dender over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dender over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Club Brugge II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.10
0.87
1.00
0.80
1.20
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.25
0.50
2.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (24)
0.79
1.12
0.67
0.92
0.92
1.33
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
0.50
4.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dender) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dender
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.53
1.00
0.60
1.27
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.08
0.54
0.83
0.58
1.33
0.50
vs Weaker (6)
1.33
0.50
1.67
0.67
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Club Brugge II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Club Brugge II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Club Brugge II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Club Brugge II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dender over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dender over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dender over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Club Brugge II
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joel Ordóñez33%
Lenn De Smet28%
Víctor Barberá27%
Romeo Vermant25%
Chemsdine Talbi20%
Shion Homma15%
Sem Audoor14%
Denzel De Roeve14%
Amine Et-Taibi12%
Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri12%
Benjamin Thoresen Faraas11%
Joaquin Seys5%
Liam De Smet4%
Josef Bursik0%
Nick Shinton0%
William Simba0%
Kyriani Sabbe0%
Alejandro Granados0%
Oleksandr Yakymenko0%
Tobias Lund Jensen0%
Jano Willems0%
Laurens Goemaere0%
Bi Yameogo0%
Kaye Iyowuna Furo0%
Axl De Corte0%
Jesse Bisiwu0%
Jessi Pedro Da Silva0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kyriani Sabbe33%
Oleksandr Yakymenko33%
Joaquin Seys23%
Bi Yameogo22%
Sem Audoor21%
Josef Bursik20%
Lenn De Smet20%
Laurens Goemaere18%
Jessi Pedro Da Silva17%
Kaye Iyowuna Furo15%
Shion Homma10%
Alejandro Granados10%
Amine Et-Taibi8%
Liam De Smet8%
Víctor Barberá7%
Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri6%
Benjamin Thoresen Faraas6%
William Simba5%
Jano Willems5%
Nick Shinton0%
Romeo Vermant0%
Denzel De Roeve0%
Chemsdine Talbi0%
Joel Ordóñez0%
Tobias Lund Jensen0%
Axl De Corte0%
Jesse Bisiwu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Romeo Vermant25%
Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri24%
Chemsdine Talbi20%
Shion Homma15%
Joaquin Seys14%
Víctor Barberá13%
Amine Et-Taibi8%
Kaye Iyowuna Furo8%
Sem Audoor7%
Benjamin Thoresen Faraas6%
Laurens Goemaere5%
Liam De Smet4%
Lenn De Smet4%
Josef Bursik0%
Nick Shinton0%
William Simba0%
Kyriani Sabbe0%
Denzel De Roeve0%
Joel Ordóñez0%
Alejandro Granados0%
Oleksandr Yakymenko0%
Tobias Lund Jensen0%
Jano Willems0%
Bi Yameogo0%
Axl De Corte0%
Jesse Bisiwu0%
Jessi Pedro Da Silva0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Romeo Vermant50%
Shion Homma15%
Víctor Barberá13%
Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri12%
Benjamin Thoresen Faraas11%
Lenn De Smet8%
Alejandro Granados5%
Josef Bursik0%
Nick Shinton0%
Amine Et-Taibi0%
William Simba0%
Sem Audoor0%
Liam De Smet0%
Kyriani Sabbe0%
Denzel De Roeve0%
Chemsdine Talbi0%
Joel Ordóñez0%
Oleksandr Yakymenko0%
Joaquin Seys0%
Tobias Lund Jensen0%
Jano Willems0%
Laurens Goemaere0%
Bi Yameogo0%
Kaye Iyowuna Furo0%
Axl De Corte0%
Jesse Bisiwu0%
Jessi Pedro Da Silva0%
Dender
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bruny Nsimba35%
Ali Akman25%
Arnaud Dony20%
Jordy Soladio19%
Michael Lallemand18%
Desmond Acquah17%
Olivier Myny14%
Kobe Cools12%
Ridwane M'Barki10%
Lennard Hens10%
Stefano Marzo9%
Dylan Ragolle6%
Jasper Van Oudenhove6%
Nicolas Antoine Rajsel5%
Ibrahima Sory Sankhon0%
Nathan Rodes0%
Joedrick Pupe0%
Gilles Ruyssen0%
Xavier Gies0%
Kéres Masangu0%
Fabio Ferraro0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joedrick Pupe38%
Stefano Marzo27%
Olivier Myny27%
Bruny Nsimba26%
Dylan Ragolle25%
Ridwane M'Barki24%
Lennard Hens24%
Gilles Ruyssen17%
Xavier Gies17%
Kobe Cools17%
Jordy Soladio14%
Kéres Masangu11%
Nathan Rodes9%
Fabio Ferraro7%
Nicolas Antoine Rajsel5%
Ibrahima Sory Sankhon0%
Ali Akman0%
Michael Lallemand0%
Jasper Van Oudenhove0%
Arnaud Dony0%
Desmond Acquah0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ridwane M'Barki33%
Lennard Hens33%
Stefano Marzo27%
Nicolas Antoine Rajsel11%
Ali Akman10%
Jordy Soladio10%
Bruny Nsimba9%
Olivier Myny5%
Ibrahima Sory Sankhon0%
Nathan Rodes0%
Joedrick Pupe0%
Dylan Ragolle0%
Michael Lallemand0%
Gilles Ruyssen0%
Xavier Gies0%
Kobe Cools0%
Jasper Van Oudenhove0%
Kéres Masangu0%
Fabio Ferraro0%
Arnaud Dony0%
Desmond Acquah0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bruny Nsimba43%
Lennard Hens33%
Ridwane M'Barki19%
Ali Akman15%
Nicolas Antoine Rajsel11%
Jordy Soladio10%
Gilles Ruyssen6%
Ibrahima Sory Sankhon0%
Nathan Rodes0%
Stefano Marzo0%
Olivier Myny0%
Joedrick Pupe0%
Dylan Ragolle0%
Michael Lallemand0%
Xavier Gies0%
Kobe Cools0%
Jasper Van Oudenhove0%
Kéres Masangu0%
Fabio Ferraro0%
Arnaud Dony0%
Desmond Acquah0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
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Lommel United
Deinze
Beerschot VA
Zulte Waregem
Patro Eisden
Liège
SK Beveren
Oostende
KRC Genk II
K. Lierse S.K.
RSC Anderlecht II
Francs Borains
Seraing United
Standard Liège II