This opponent (Bordeaux) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bordeaux
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.30
1.44
0.81
1.21
1.86
vs Stronger (9)
1.00
1.56
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (21)
1.48
1.19
1.58
0.75
1.33
1.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Concarneau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.9%
Under 1.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.8%
@ 1.72-6.0%
Under 2.5
51.2%
@ 2.08+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.9%
Under 3.5
73.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.5%
No
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
5.1%
Concarneau goals ↓
Bordeaux goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.5%
9.8%
8.3%
4.2%
1.6%
1
6.8%
13%
9.2%
4.7%
1.8%
2
4.4%
6.7%
5.1%
2.6%
1.0%
3
1.6%
2.5%
1.9%
1.0%
0.4%
4
0.5%
0.7%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Concarneau goals (down), columns = Bordeaux goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Auxerre
1.93
Angers
1.85
Saint Etienne
1.73
Caen
1.55
Paris FC
1.51
Rodez
1.48
Amiens
1.43
Laval
1.40
Grenoble
1.38
Guingamp
1.38
Bastia
1.38
PAU
1.30
Bordeaux
1.30
Ajaccio
1.25
Annecy
1.25
Dunkerque
1.23
Estac Troyes
1.10
Concarneau
1.05
Quevilly
1.00
Rouen
1.00
Valenciennes
0.78
Concarneau is 0.25 points worse than Bordeaux in terms of average points per game (1.05 vs 1.30).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Auxerre
1.95
Rodez
1.62
PAU
1.55
Angers
1.50
Caen
1.40
Quevilly
1.34
Rouen
1.34
Bordeaux
1.30
Saint Etienne
1.29
Paris FC
1.29
Annecy
1.27
Guingamp
1.18
Grenoble
1.15
Estac Troyes
1.15
Bastia
1.12
Concarneau
1.05
Laval
1.05
Amiens
1.00
Dunkerque
0.95
Ajaccio
0.93
Valenciennes
0.70
Concarneau is 0.25 goals worse than Bordeaux in terms of goals scored per game (1.05 vs 1.30).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Saint Etienne
0.83
Amiens
0.97
Auxerre
1.05
Guingamp
1.05
Angers
1.10
Paris FC
1.12
Grenoble
1.15
Ajaccio
1.18
Bastia
1.20
Caen
1.23
Laval
1.23
Annecy
1.27
Estac Troyes
1.32
Dunkerque
1.35
Bordeaux
1.38
Valenciennes
1.40
Quevilly
1.45
Rouen
1.45
Rodez
1.45
Concarneau
1.48
PAU
1.52
Concarneau is 0.10 goals worse than Bordeaux in terms of goals conceded per game (1.48 vs 1.38).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bordeaux
60%
Auxerre
57%
Paris FC
56%
Concarneau
53%
Saint Etienne
53%
Angers
53%
Dunkerque
51%
Caen
51%
Estac Troyes
50%
Grenoble
50%
Ajaccio
49%
PAU
49%
Valenciennes
49%
Bastia
47%
Guingamp
47%
Quevilly
47%
Amiens
46%
Rodez
46%
Laval
44%
Annecy
43%
Concarneau is 6.3 percentage points worse than Bordeaux in terms of average possession (53% vs 60%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Concarneau
For 3.3 · Against 4.6 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 15.8 · Total 26.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bordeaux
For 6.2 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 16.8 · Total 28.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Concarneau
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (38)
8.5
7.6
9.4
3.5
3.4
3.6
27.4
26.3
28.6
vs Stronger (21)
9.4
8.6
10.3
3.4
3.1
3.7
24.8
23.6
26.0
vs Similar (17)
7.4
6.2
8.3
3.7
3.9
3.6
30.8
30.0
31.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
39%
32%
47%
34%
26%
42%
84%
84%
84%
% under line
61%
68%
53%
66%
74%
58%
16%
16%
16%
This opponent (Bordeaux) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bordeaux
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.7
9.9
3.2
3.4
3.0
27.6
28.7
26.6
vs Stronger (11)
11.9
12.2
11.6
4.3
6.0
2.8
26.8
31.0
22.6
vs Similar (39)
9.8
10.2
9.3
2.9
2.7
3.1
27.9
27.9
27.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
59%
63%
55%
40%
40%
40%
87%
95%
80%
% under line
41%
37%
45%
60%
60%
60%
13%
5%
20%
This opponent (Concarneau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rodez
10.3
Angers
10.1
Bordeaux
10.0
Auxerre
10.0
Saint Etienne
9.6
Estac Troyes
9.5
Dunkerque
9.5
Guingamp
9.3
Amiens
9.2
Annecy
9.2
Paris FC
9.1
Caen
9.1
Laval
9.1
Bastia
8.9
Grenoble
8.9
Quevilly
8.9
Rouen
8.8
PAU
8.8
Concarneau
8.5
Valenciennes
8.2
Ajaccio
6.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bordeaux
4.4
Valenciennes
4.3
Angers
4.3
Bastia
4.2
Caen
4.2
Laval
4.0
Saint Etienne
4.0
Annecy
3.9
Estac Troyes
3.9
PAU
3.9
Dunkerque
3.8
Amiens
3.8
Guingamp
3.8
Concarneau
3.7
Rodez
3.7
Auxerre
3.6
Quevilly
3.6
Grenoble
3.5
Rouen
3.5
Ajaccio
3.5
Paris FC
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Valenciennes
30.1
Caen
29.9
Laval
27.9
Amiens
27.6
Quevilly
27.5
Ajaccio
27.5
Bordeaux
27.5
Concarneau
27.4
Rouen
27.3
Bastia
27.1
Guingamp
27.1
Saint Etienne
26.9
Dunkerque
26.8
Estac Troyes
26.7
Annecy
26.6
PAU
25.7
Paris FC
25.4
Grenoble
25.0
Rodez
24.9
Angers
24.1
Auxerre
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
41.6%
Under 9.5
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
55.8%
Under 3.5
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
83.1%
Under 21.5
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Concarneau
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.50
0.27
0.53
0.33
0.47
vs Stronger (18)
0.33
0.67
0.44
0.78
0.22
0.56
vs Similar (12)
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.17
0.50
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Bordeaux) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bordeaux
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.80
0.75
0.62
0.50
1.00
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
0.67
0.25
0.75
0.60
0.60
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.86
0.92
0.58
0.44
1.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Concarneau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Concarneau over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Concarneau over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Concarneau over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Concarneau
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.87
0.93
1.13
0.47
0.60
vs Stronger (18)
0.67
1.22
1.11
1.56
0.22
0.89
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.33
0.67
0.50
0.83
0.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Bordeaux) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bordeaux
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.50
0.69
0.19
0.71
0.86
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.89
0.75
0.25
0.40
1.40
vs Similar (21)
0.76
0.33
0.67
0.17
0.89
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Concarneau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Concarneau over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Concarneau over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Concarneau over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Concarneau
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bevic Moussiti Oko40%
Pape Ibnou Ba29%
Yanis Merdji20%
Kandet Diawara13%
Tom Lebeau12%
Baptiste Mouazan11%
Nassim Chadli9%
Clément Rodrigues9%
Noha Ndombasi Nlandu8%
Thibault Sinquin7%
Maxime Etuin6%
Axel Urie6%
Isaac Matondo3%
Alexandre Philiponeau0%
Ambroise Gboho0%
Julien Faussurier0%
Esteban Salles0%
Issouf Paro0%
Romain Sans0%
Guillaume Jannez0%
Gabriel Bares0%
Julien Celestine0%
Alec Georgen0%
Mamadou Sylla0%
Abdelwahed Wahib0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tom Lebeau38%
Julien Celestine27%
Nassim Chadli18%
Issouf Paro17%
Thibault Sinquin14%
Yanis Merdji13%
Maxime Etuin12%
Alexandre Philiponeau12%
Alec Georgen9%
Axel Urie8%
Abdelwahed Wahib8%
Esteban Salles8%
Romain Sans8%
Gabriel Bares8%
Isaac Matondo7%
Kandet Diawara7%
Guillaume Jannez6%
Julien Faussurier6%
Baptiste Mouazan6%
Clément Rodrigues5%
Ambroise Gboho0%
Bevic Moussiti Oko0%
Mamadou Sylla0%
Pape Ibnou Ba0%
Noha Ndombasi Nlandu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bevic Moussiti Oko20%
Nassim Chadli9%
Clément Rodrigues9%
Alec Georgen9%
Julien Faussurier8%
Abdelwahed Wahib8%
Romain Sans8%
Yanis Merdji7%
Kandet Diawara7%
Pape Ibnou Ba6%
Gabriel Bares4%
Noha Ndombasi Nlandu4%
Isaac Matondo3%
Alexandre Philiponeau3%
Baptiste Mouazan3%
Ambroise Gboho0%
Maxime Etuin0%
Esteban Salles0%
Issouf Paro0%
Tom Lebeau0%
Guillaume Jannez0%
Thibault Sinquin0%
Julien Celestine0%
Mamadou Sylla0%
Axel Urie0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bevic Moussiti Oko40%
Nassim Chadli23%
Pape Ibnou Ba19%
Ambroise Gboho8%
Yanis Merdji7%
Axel Urie6%
Isaac Matondo3%
Alexandre Philiponeau0%
Julien Faussurier0%
Maxime Etuin0%
Esteban Salles0%
Issouf Paro0%
Tom Lebeau0%
Romain Sans0%
Guillaume Jannez0%
Thibault Sinquin0%
Gabriel Bares0%
Julien Celestine0%
Alec Georgen0%
Mamadou Sylla0%
Kandet Diawara0%
Noha Ndombasi Nlandu0%
Baptiste Mouazan0%
Abdelwahed Wahib0%
Clément Rodrigues0%
Bordeaux
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Žan Vipotnik24%
Zuriko Davitashvili22%
Alberth Elis21%
Pedro Díaz18%
Yoann Barbet17%
Jérémy Livolant13%
Emmanuel Biumla12%
Gaetan Weissbeck12%
Julien Vetro8%
Alexi Pitu4%
Vital Nsimba4%
Danylo Ignatenko3%
Aliou Badji0%
Karl-Johan Johnsson0%
Jean Marcelin0%
Clément Michelin0%
Rafał Strączek0%
Stian Gregersen0%
Malcom Bokele0%
Yohan Cassubie0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Jacques Ekomie0%
Mathias De Amorim0%
Marvin de Lima0%
Nfansu Njie0%
Mathys Angely0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Danylo Ignatenko33%
Nfansu Njie25%
Clément Michelin23%
Aliou Badji17%
Alexi Pitu16%
Stian Gregersen15%
Malcom Bokele15%
Marvin de Lima13%
Jacques Ekomie13%
Issouf Sissokho13%
Emmanuel Biumla12%
Gaetan Weissbeck12%
Jean Marcelin12%
Yohan Cassubie12%
Vital Nsimba12%
Yoann Barbet11%
Alberth Elis11%
Zuriko Davitashvili8%
Jérémy Livolant8%
Pedro Díaz5%
Karl-Johan Johnsson0%
Rafał Strączek0%
Žan Vipotnik0%
Julien Vetro0%
Mathias De Amorim0%
Mathys Angely0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Zuriko Davitashvili19%
Gaetan Weissbeck12%
Mathias De Amorim11%
Jérémy Livolant11%
Pedro Díaz11%
Aliou Badji8%
Žan Vipotnik8%
Alexi Pitu8%
Julien Vetro8%
Alberth Elis5%
Vital Nsimba4%
Malcom Bokele4%
Danylo Ignatenko3%
Clément Michelin3%
Issouf Sissokho3%
Karl-Johan Johnsson0%
Yoann Barbet0%
Jean Marcelin0%
Rafał Strączek0%
Stian Gregersen0%
Yohan Cassubie0%
Jacques Ekomie0%
Marvin de Lima0%
Emmanuel Biumla0%
Nfansu Njie0%
Mathys Angely0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Žan Vipotnik24%
Gaetan Weissbeck21%
Zuriko Davitashvili19%
Pedro Díaz13%
Alberth Elis11%
Aliou Badji8%
Vital Nsimba8%
Jérémy Livolant5%
Danylo Ignatenko3%
Yoann Barbet3%
Karl-Johan Johnsson0%
Jean Marcelin0%
Clément Michelin0%
Rafał Strączek0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Stian Gregersen0%
Malcom Bokele0%
Yohan Cassubie0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Julien Vetro0%
Jacques Ekomie0%
Mathias De Amorim0%
Marvin de Lima0%
Emmanuel Biumla0%
Nfansu Njie0%
Mathys Angely0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Auxerre
Angers
Saint Etienne
Rodez
Caen
Paris FC
Amiens
Laval
Guingamp
Grenoble
Bastia
PAU
Annecy
Ajaccio
Dunkerque
Estac Troyes
Quevilly
Rouen
Valenciennes