This opponent (Kisvarda FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kisvarda FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.63
1.27
1.27
0.80
2.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
2.33
1.00
3.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
1.11
1.56
1.29
1.14
0.92
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Diosgyori VTK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.7%
Under 1.5
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.6%
Under 2.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.2%
Under 3.5
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.7%
No
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
1-0
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
3-0
6.1%
0-0
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
Diosgyori VTK goals ↓
Kisvarda FC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.8%
4.1%
2.8%
1.0%
0.3%
1
8.4%
11%
5.4%
1.9%
0.5%
2
9.2%
9.9%
5.3%
1.9%
0.5%
3
6.1%
6.5%
3.5%
1.3%
0.3%
4
3.0%
3.2%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Diosgyori VTK goals (down), columns = Kisvarda FC goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.24
Paks
1.76
Puskas Academy
1.67
Fehérvár FC
1.64
Debreceni VSC
1.45
Diosgyori VTK
1.36
Kecskeméti TE
1.36
MTK Budapest
1.33
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.30
Ujpest
1.12
Kisvarda FC
0.94
Mezokovesd-zsory
0.64
Diosgyori VTK is 0.42 points better than Kisvarda FC in terms of average points per game (1.36 vs 0.94).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.42
Puskas Academy
1.82
Fehérvár FC
1.67
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.64
Paks
1.55
Diosgyori VTK
1.52
Debreceni VSC
1.48
Kecskeméti TE
1.36
Ujpest
1.36
MTK Budapest
1.30
Kisvarda FC
1.21
Mezokovesd-zsory
0.94
Diosgyori VTK is 0.30 goals better than Kisvarda FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.52 vs 1.21).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ferencvarosi TC
0.91
Puskas Academy
1.06
Fehérvár FC
1.21
Paks
1.27
Kecskeméti TE
1.36
Debreceni VSC
1.45
Kisvarda FC
1.67
Diosgyori VTK
1.70
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.82
MTK Budapest
1.88
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.91
Ujpest
2.03
Diosgyori VTK is 0.03 goals worse than Kisvarda FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.70 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ferencvarosi TC
65%
Debreceni VSC
57%
Puskas Academy
52%
Diosgyori VTK
52%
Kecskeméti TE
49%
Ujpest
49%
Fehérvár FC
48%
Mezokovesd-zsory
48%
MTK Budapest
47%
Kisvarda FC
47%
Paks
45%
Zalaegerszegi TE
39%
Diosgyori VTK is 4.9 percentage points better than Kisvarda FC in terms of average possession (52% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Diosgyori VTK
For 4.5 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 11.4 · Total 23.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kisvarda FC
For 5.6 · Against 3.6 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 12.1 · Total 24.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Diosgyori VTK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.5
10.5
2.0
1.8
2.1
23.6
21.2
26.6
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
5.0
5.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (36)
10.7
10.1
11.3
2.4
2.3
2.4
23.0
21.2
25.8
vs Weaker (13)
9.0
14.0
6.5
0.7
0.3
1.2
30.0
-
30.0
% over line
52%
60%
45%
26%
27%
25%
64%
50%
80%
% under line
48%
40%
55%
74%
73%
75%
36%
50%
20%
This opponent (Kisvarda FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kisvarda FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.2
9.6
3.0
3.1
3.0
24.0
23.6
25.3
vs Stronger (4)
11.3
8.0
13.0
2.8
1.0
4.5
21.0
21.0
-
vs Similar (46)
9.8
10.3
9.2
3.1
3.3
2.8
24.3
23.9
25.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
60%
56%
42%
44%
40%
67%
56%
100%
% under line
42%
40%
44%
58%
56%
60%
33%
44%
0%
This opponent (Diosgyori VTK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Paks
11.5
Zalaegerszegi TE
10.6
Diosgyori VTK
10.5
Kecskeméti TE
10.2
Ferencvarosi TC
10.1
Mezokovesd-zsory
9.9
Kisvarda FC
9.8
Fehérvár FC
9.5
Debreceni VSC
9.5
MTK Budapest
9.4
Puskas Academy
9.3
Ujpest
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Puskas Academy
5.2
Fehérvár FC
5.1
Paks
5.0
Kecskeméti TE
4.9
Ferencvarosi TC
4.7
Ujpest
4.5
Zalaegerszegi TE
4.5
Debreceni VSC
4.2
Diosgyori VTK
4.1
Mezokovesd-zsory
4.1
Kisvarda FC
4.1
MTK Budapest
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Paks
29.7
Puskas Academy
29.2
Kecskeméti TE
28.4
Debreceni VSC
27.1
Mezokovesd-zsory
26.5
Ujpest
25.0
Ferencvarosi TC
24.8
Zalaegerszegi TE
24.4
Kisvarda FC
24.0
Diosgyori VTK
23.6
MTK Budapest
23.1
Fehérvár FC
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.8%
Under 9.5
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
56.8%
Under 3.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
64.2%
Under 21.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Diosgyori VTK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
0.94
0.56
0.43
0.71
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.56
0.64
0.85
0.54
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
0.50
2.00
0.50
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Kisvarda FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kisvarda FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.80
0.53
0.60
0.47
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (27)
0.56
0.81
0.57
0.57
0.54
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Diosgyori VTK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Diosgyori VTK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Diosgyori VTK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Diosgyori VTK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kisvarda FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kisvarda FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kisvarda FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Diosgyori VTK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.90
1.00
0.62
1.00
1.21
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.00
0.96
1.08
0.69
0.92
1.25
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Kisvarda FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kisvarda FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.83
0.73
0.67
0.33
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.67
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (27)
0.56
0.74
0.71
0.57
0.38
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Diosgyori VTK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Diosgyori VTK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Diosgyori VTK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Diosgyori VTK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kisvarda FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kisvarda FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kisvarda FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Diosgyori VTK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vince Fekete33%
Franchu22%
Dániel Gera19%
Rudi Požeg Vancaš19%
Bright Edomwonyi18%
Levente Szabó17%
Vladislav Klimovich14%
Csaba Szatmári12%
Gábor Jurek12%
Ágoston Bényei12%
Pernambuco11%
Elton Acolatse10%
Godfrey Bitok Stephen0%
Bozhidar Chorbadzhiyski0%
Marco Lund0%
Argyris Kampetsis0%
Dániel Lukács0%
Dániel Farkas0%
Szilárd Bokros0%
Gergő Holdampf0%
Doru Popadiuc0%
Alex Vallejo0%
Artem Odintsov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Doru Popadiuc40%
Bozhidar Chorbadzhiyski33%
Dániel Gera25%
Gábor Jurek25%
Godfrey Bitok Stephen24%
Marco Lund21%
Csaba Szatmári19%
Rudi Požeg Vancaš19%
Argyris Kampetsis17%
Alex Vallejo12%
Ágoston Bényei12%
Franchu11%
Szilárd Bokros9%
Levente Szabó8%
Vladislav Klimovich7%
Artem Odintsov6%
Bright Edomwonyi6%
Gergő Holdampf6%
Elton Acolatse0%
Dániel Lukács0%
Dániel Farkas0%
Pernambuco0%
Vince Fekete0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dániel Lukács33%
Rudi Požeg Vancaš19%
Bright Edomwonyi18%
Ágoston Bényei12%
Levente Szabó8%
Marco Lund7%
Dániel Gera6%
Godfrey Bitok Stephen6%
Gergő Holdampf6%
Pernambuco6%
Franchu0%
Vladislav Klimovich0%
Elton Acolatse0%
Bozhidar Chorbadzhiyski0%
Argyris Kampetsis0%
Csaba Szatmári0%
Dániel Farkas0%
Szilárd Bokros0%
Doru Popadiuc0%
Alex Vallejo0%
Artem Odintsov0%
Gábor Jurek0%
Vince Fekete0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dániel Gera19%
Levente Szabó17%
Bright Edomwonyi12%
Franchu11%
Pernambuco11%
Elton Acolatse10%
Rudi Požeg Vancaš6%
Ágoston Bényei6%
Godfrey Bitok Stephen0%
Vladislav Klimovich0%
Bozhidar Chorbadzhiyski0%
Marco Lund0%
Argyris Kampetsis0%
Csaba Szatmári0%
Dániel Lukács0%
Dániel Farkas0%
Szilárd Bokros0%
Gergő Holdampf0%
Doru Popadiuc0%
Alex Vallejo0%
Artem Odintsov0%
Gábor Jurek0%
Vince Fekete0%
Kisvarda FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jasmin Mešanović21%
Jaroslav Navrátil17%
Driton Camaj17%
Branimir Cipetić17%
Miloš Spasić15%
Andrija Filipović11%
Bernardo Matić8%
Lucas Marcolini8%
Boban Nikolov7%
Rafał Makowski6%
Aleksandar Jovičić6%
Mario Ilievski5%
Wellington Nem0%
Norbert Balogh0%
Danijel Petković0%
Imre Széles0%
Bence Ötvös0%
Bogdan Melnyk0%
Kevin Körmendi0%
Enes Alić0%
Marcell Kovács0%
Tibor Lippai0%
Ádám Czékus0%
Raúl Stefan0%
Maxim Osztrovka0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bernardo Matić42%
Tibor Lippai42%
Aleksandar Jovičić33%
Raúl Stefan25%
Lucas Marcolini23%
Driton Camaj22%
Andrija Filipović22%
Bogdan Melnyk21%
Boban Nikolov20%
Branimir Cipetić17%
Bence Ötvös12%
Mario Ilievski11%
Imre Széles9%
Marcell Kovács9%
Rafał Makowski6%
Jaroslav Navrátil6%
Wellington Nem0%
Jasmin Mešanović0%
Norbert Balogh0%
Danijel Petković0%
Miloš Spasić0%
Kevin Körmendi0%
Enes Alić0%
Ádám Czékus0%
Maxim Osztrovka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jaroslav Navrátil22%
Rafał Makowski18%
Branimir Cipetić17%
Boban Nikolov13%
Mario Ilievski11%
Kevin Körmendi9%
Bernardo Matić8%
Bogdan Melnyk7%
Jasmin Mešanović5%
Wellington Nem0%
Aleksandar Jovičić0%
Norbert Balogh0%
Danijel Petković0%
Imre Széles0%
Bence Ötvös0%
Lucas Marcolini0%
Driton Camaj0%
Miloš Spasić0%
Andrija Filipović0%
Enes Alić0%
Marcell Kovács0%
Tibor Lippai0%
Ádám Czékus0%
Raúl Stefan0%
Maxim Osztrovka0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Driton Camaj11%
Jasmin Mešanović11%
Bernardo Matić8%
Tibor Lippai8%
Lucas Marcolini8%
Bence Ötvös6%
Rafał Makowski6%
Mario Ilievski5%
Wellington Nem0%
Boban Nikolov0%
Aleksandar Jovičić0%
Norbert Balogh0%
Danijel Petković0%
Imre Széles0%
Bogdan Melnyk0%
Jaroslav Navrátil0%
Miloš Spasić0%
Andrija Filipović0%
Branimir Cipetić0%
Kevin Körmendi0%
Enes Alić0%
Marcell Kovács0%
Ádám Czékus0%
Raúl Stefan0%
Maxim Osztrovka0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
KT (22)
€3m
DV (18)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
Diosgyori VTK's squad is €3m less valuable than Kisvarda FC's (€3m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
KT (9)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
DV (5)
€1m
Diosgyori VTK's attack is €1m less valuable than Kisvarda FC's (€1m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
DV (4)
€1m
KT (2)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
Diosgyori VTK and Kisvarda FC have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
DV (9)
€1m
KT (11)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
Diosgyori VTK and Kisvarda FC have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Hungary: NB I 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
Puskas Academy
Fehérvár FC
Debreceni VSC
Kecskeméti TE
MTK Budapest
Zalaegerszegi TE
Ujpest
Mezokovesd-zsory